BYU at TCU - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
TCU -5 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
TCU 44 - BYU: 11 (Big 12)

Cougars (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (59 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (28 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 19.9 MPH
BYU coming off BYE
TCU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: TCU -12 (SP+ TCU -11)
Projected Score: BYU: 21 - TCU: 33 (55)
TCU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
BYU Travel: 948 miles, 1 hrs behind

Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (15 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#71)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BYU Players
TCU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

BYU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	BYU vs Sam Houston	-19.0	46.5	W 14 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/9	BYU vs Southern Utah	-30.5	46.5	W 41 - 16	O	N
Sat 9/16	BYU at Arkansas	+9.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	BYU at Kansas	+9.0	55.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Fri 9/29	BYU vs Cincinnati	-1.0	47.5	W 35 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	BYU at TCU	+5.0	52.5	L 11 - 44	O	N
Sat 10/21	BYU vs Texas Tech	+3.0	49.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/28	BYU at Texas	+20.5	48.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/4	BYU at West Virginia	+13.0	48.5	L 7 - 37	U	N
Sat 11/11	BYU vs Iowa State	+7.5	40.5	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	BYU vs Oklahoma	+24.5	58.5	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/25	BYU at Oklahoma State	+15.5	55.5	L 34 - 40	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

TCU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	TCU vs Colorado	-20.5	59.5	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	TCU vs Nicholls	-41.5	59.5	W 41 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/16	TCU at Houston	-7.5	64.0	W 36 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	TCU vs SMU	-7.0	63.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/30	TCU vs West Virginia	-14.0	52.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	TCU at Iowa State	-6.5	52.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/14	TCU vs BYU	-5.0	52.5	W 44 - 11	O	Y
Sat 10/21	TCU at Kansas State	+5.5	60.0	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2	TCU at Texas Tech	+2.5	59.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/11	TCU vs Texas	+13.0	56.0	L 26 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/18	TCU vs Baylor	-13.0	62.0	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/24	TCU at Oklahoma	+12.5	66.5	L 45 - 69	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU	.3	46%	31.2	46%	3.33	176	46%	250	4.33	.25	48%	19.6	50%	47%	4.65	53.2	0.8	1
TCU	.3	44%	33.5	47%	3.15	193	40%	262	4.28	.17	41%	24.6	45%	38%	4.36	49.6	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Offense	13	31.2	28	45.6%	4.33	0.8	22	426	176	250	5.2	52%	47%	46%	46%	13%	.3
TCU Defense	15	24.6	23.3	41.3%	4.36	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	38%	16%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BYU Defense	13	19.6	21.7	48.3%	4.65	1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	50%	47%	13%	.25
TCU Offense	15	33.5	36.7	43.5%	4.28	1.1	21	455	193	262	5.1	52%	48%	47%	40%	13%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
BYU	13	29:09	21.9	45%	33%	5.7	53.2	0.8	1	3.7	1.2	3	27.7
TCU	15	30:25	21	40%	52%	4.8	49.6	1.1	1.5	4.7	2	6	30.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Offense	13	52%	46%	33.7	176.4	5.2	19	.23	3.33	69%	8%	1.11
TCU Defense	15	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.99	72%	8%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BYU Defense	13	53%	50%	-	-	-	-	.21	3.54	67%	7%	0.89
TCU Offense	15	52%	47%	37.7	193.3	5.1	37	.22	3.15	72%	8%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Offense	13	47%	46%	19.8	30.2	249.7	8.3	12.6	32	7	.4	1.7	30%	33%	.42	5%	2
TCU Defense	15	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.2	1.8	32%	27%	.3	7%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BYU Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.31	1.5	26%	39%	.57	6%	2.1
TCU Offense	15	48%	40%	19.5	30.3	261.7	8.7	13.5	33	8	.38	1.9	30%	32%	.45	5%	2.4

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: -4.63 #89
BYU's Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
BYU's Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
2023 Talent Rating: 694.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
BYU's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
BYU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU: -4.63 TCU: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: -3.7 TCU: 7.5

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 8 #44
TCU's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
TCU's Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
2023 Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #24
TCU's 2023 Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60
TCU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 28
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

BYU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 33
BYU 21

Projected Total Points: 55

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	TCU	44	BYU	11	TCU	TCU -5	TCU	52.5	Over
2011	10/28	TCU	38	BYU	28	TCU
2010	10/16	TCU	31	BYU	3	TCU
2009	10/24	BYU	7	TCU	38	TCU
2008	10/16	TCU	32	BYU	7	TCU
2007	11/08	BYU	27	TCU	22	BYU
2006	09/28	TCU	17	BYU	31	BYU
2005	09/24	BYU	50	TCU	51	TCU

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
TCU	6	1	1 Overs
BYU	2	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 5	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#89) BYU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.63 #89
Offense Rating: 10.78 #119
Defense Rating: 10.17 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #74
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #95
Talent Rating: 694.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #61
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile

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BYU Ratings Matchup TCU

Power #89

#44

Off #119

#32

Def #74

#97

Talent #51

#67

SP+ #77

#40

SP+ Off #74

#27

SP+ Def #95

#57

Rematch from Week 7
TCU -5.0 (52.5)
TCU won vs BYU this year (44-11)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat BYU in 2023 (44-11)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 70° - Wind: 20 mph

Team Information
Injuries: BYU | TCU
Depth Chart: BYU | TCU
Rosters: BYU | TCU

(#44) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 8 #44
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.76 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: 7.5 #40
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #27
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #57
Talent Rating: 640.00 #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 31 #24
Expected Record: 6.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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BYU's OC Aaron Roderick

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hinckley Ropati	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Hinckley Ropati	68	360	1	5.3	26
Enoch Nawahine	30	98	1	3.3	12
Darius Lassiter (Tr)	1	0	0	0.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darius Lassiter (Tr)	45	703	4	15.6	57
Keanu Hill	12	108	1	9.0	20
Dom Henry	6	80	0	13.3	19
Hinckley Ropati	5	76	1	15.2	30

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Jay Hill

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)	25	2	1	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Daley	14	6	3	1	0
Blake Mangelson	37	6	2	3	1
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2
Isaiah Bagnah (Tr)	25	2	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jakob Robinson	43	5	0	2	5
John Nelson	23	2	1	3	5
Tyler Batty	57	7	2	8	2

TCU's OC Kendal Briles

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Morris	322	509	63%	3774	31	12	7.4
Savion Williams	3	3	100%	22	1	0	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Savion Williams	51	322	6	6.3	35
Chandler Morris	60	242	4	4.0	49
Trey Sanders (Tr)	13	46	0	3.5	12
Corey Wren	10	24	0	2.4	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jack Bech (Tr)	62	1034	9	16.7	52
John Paul Richardson	57	733	2	12.9	38
Savion Williams	60	611	6	10.2	75
Blake Nowell	9	179	1	19.9	46

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Joe Gillespie

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Abraham Camara	55	6	0	1	6
Zach Marcheselli	47	10	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcel Brooks	5	3	3	1	0
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Damonic Williams	36	5	1	2	0
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamel Johnson	47	3	0	0	9
Randon Fontenette	72	8	3	0	7
Abraham Camara	55	6	0	1	6