TCU at BYU Game Matchup
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at BYU CougarsBYU logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
LaVell Edwards Stadium - Provo, UT  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: BYU -1.5   (SP+ BYU -0)
Projected Score: TCU: 27 - BYU: 28 (55)
BYU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
TCU Travel: 948 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 3.6 (#24)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
 
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina+1.557.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-35
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-0.5
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State+6
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-9.5
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State+6.5
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-4.5
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-3
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU+1.5
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-8.5
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
BYU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 BYU vs Portland State-34
Sat 9/6 BYU vs Stanford-18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 BYU at East Carolina-15.5
Sat 9/27 BYU at Colorado-3.5
Fri 10/3 BYU vs West Virginia-13.5
Sat 10/11 BYU at Arizona-10
Sat 10/18 BYU vs Utah-2.5
Sat 10/25 BYU at Iowa State+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 BYU at Texas Tech+4.5
Sat 11/15 BYU vs TCU-1.5
Sat 11/22 BYU at Cincinnati-3.5
Sat 11/29 BYU vs UCF-14.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)33.545% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)24.646% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)31.247% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)19.646% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BYU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1333.528.647.1%4.461.6214001062933.942%58%45%49%13%.3
BYU Defense1319.618.541.4%3.792.1 - - - - - 51%49%46%37%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1324.63041.5%3.821.1 - - - - - 53%47%46%36%14%.19
BYU Offense1331.233.544.7%3.731.4203631482164.752%48%47%43%16%.22

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1326:112144%80%5.249.71.61.14.51.8131.7
BYU1328:3220.535%75%4.4371.42.14.51.2531.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1342% (119)45% (53)27.6106.43.926 (36).08 (95)2.95 (85)73% (70)8% (36)0.94 (85)
BYU Defense1351% (70)46% (99) - - - - .14 (78)2.8 (36)72% (59)9% (86)0.97 (61)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1353% (95)46% (102) - - - - .22 (118)3.26 (104)89% (134)9% (105)1.02 (87)
BYU Offense1352% (62)47% (30)31.6147.74.718 (78).2 (36)3.23 (37)75% (60)9% (44)0.99 (56)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1358% (19)49% (9)23.534.9293.28.412.525 (31)10 (63).47 (5)1.6 (75)31% (57)33% (47).4 (39)5% (38)2.1 (55)
BYU Defense1349% (65)37% (28) - - - - - - 20 (2).12 (21)1.5 (24)31% (83)31% (73).27 (52)8% (11)2 (49)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1347% (41)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (40)1.5 (57)34% (42)27% (19).19 (22)6% (81)1.8 (26)
BYU Offense1348% (74)43% (59)15.627.3215.87.913.820 (58)11 (72).27 (60)1.7 (33)32% (83)33% (49).34 (65)7% (101)2 (96)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 11.78 #30
TCU's Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
TCU's Defense Rating: 10.55 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 11.78   BYU: 12.98

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 11.1   BYU: 11.5




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 12.98 #39
BYU's Offense Rating: 21.86 #27
BYU's Defense Rating: 12.40 #57
2025 Talent Rating: 744.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #27
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #29
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 28
TCU 27


Projected Total Points: 55
BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.5

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14TCU44BYU11TCUTCU -5TCU52.5Over
201110/28TCU38BYU28TCU
201010/16TCU31BYU3TCU
200910/24BYU7TCU38TCU
200810/16TCU32BYU7TCU
200711/08BYU27TCU22BYU
200609/28TCU17BYU31BYU
200509/24BYU50TCU51TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU201 Overs
TCU610 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 31 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams3 - 50 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#30) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.78 #30
Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
Defense Rating: 10.55 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37
Talent Rating: 854.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #31
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


TCU Notes
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) WR McAlister good, talent/#'s should find 2/3
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.
(3/19) Dykes quietly got to 9 W's LY.
TCU     Ratings Matchup     BYU
Power #30
#39
Off #21
#27
Def #41
#57
Talent #31
#60
SP+ #29
#27
SP+ Off #19
#29
SP+ Def #37
#28

Previous Matchups
TCU beat BYU in 2023 (44-11)

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | BYU
Depth Chart: TCU | BYU
Rosters: TCU | BYU
(#39) BYU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.98 #39
Offense Rating: 21.86 #27
Defense Rating: 12.40 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #29
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #28
Talent Rating: 744.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #61
Expected Record: 8.4 - 3.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.73 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


BYU Notes
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(5/21) QB Retzlaff could have serious legal trouble
(4/5) WR Marion (#3 LY) dynamic returner/runner
(3/20) QB Retzlaff a find & mobile. Must limit TOs
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Def was good LY but replaces a lot, esp DL
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team


  
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)7822122.817
Trent Battle4418624.224
Jordyn Bailey374124.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)7110261014.555
Eric McAlister39762519.584
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
D'Andre Rogers12142211.840

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor817321
Jamel Johnson722003
Bud Clark680003
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh (Tr)247620
Devean Deal4610631
Zachary Chapman243310
Namdi Obiazor817321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson473009
Jevon McIver Jr.120004
Bud Clark680003

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jake Retzlaff21136758%289619127.9
Parker Kingston1333%331011.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin13872375.239
Jake Retzlaff10041764.229
Sione I Moa2312735.524
Pokaiaua Haunga177604.514
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts50803316.162
Jojo Phillips10211221.157
Parker Kingston13196115.136
Carsen Ryan (Tr)10113111.325

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Tanner Wall530001
Jack Kelly50105131
Raider Damuni263100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jack Kelly50105131
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Raider Damuni263100
Justin Kirkland (Tr)184110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Glasker7015424
Mory Bamba170004
Keanu Tanuvasa (Tr)165124