TCU at BYU - 2025 Matchup Preview
TCU logo TCU Horned Frogs at BYU CougarsBYU logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
LaVell Edwards Stadium - Provo, UT  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (2 - 0) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 45 - 18 (48 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 8) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: TCU -2.5   (SP+ TCU -2)
Projected Score: TCU: 29 - BYU: 27 (56)
TCU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TCU Travel: 948 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cougars (2 - 0) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (71 - 43)
Avg Score : 48 - 2 (48 - 2 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina-3.059.5W 48 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-42.560.5W 42 - 21ON
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-7.064.5
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State-0.5
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-17
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State-9
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-8.5
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-6
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU-2.5
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-10.5
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 8, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 8, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
BYU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 BYU vs Portland State-43.561.5W 69 - 0OY
Sat 9/6 BYU vs Stanford-20.544.5W 27 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 BYU at East Carolina-7.549.5
Sat 9/27 BYU at Colorado-7
Fri 10/3 BYU vs West Virginia-8.5
Sat 10/11 BYU at Arizona-1.5
Sat 10/18 BYU vs Utah+5
Sat 10/25 BYU at Iowa State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 BYU at Texas Tech+13
Sat 11/15 BYU vs TCU+2.5
Sat 11/22 BYU at Cincinnati+3
Sat 11/29 BYU vs UCF-9

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for BYU's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#7 (.5)57% (9)4554% (24)3.3 (35)19359% (6)3235.08 (29)#102 (.2)42% (83)17.540% (72)46% (104)3.8 (81)5211.5
BYU#38 (.32)47% (45)4850% (40)3.66 (18)31343% (74)1574.5 (46)#2 (-.2)24% (3)1.517% (2)30% (18)0.75 (1)450.52
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense2454857%5.081275161933236.143%57%54%59%8%.5
BYU Defense21.51.524.2%0.752 - - - - - 47%53%17%30%24%-.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense217.51442.2%3.81.5 - - - - - 58%42%40%46%19%.2
BYU Offense2484846.7%4.50.523469313157756%44%50%43%8%.32

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU227:4326.570%100%4.55211.57.53125.9
BYU234:392346%67%4.5450.528.52.5035.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense243% (108)54% (24)31.51936.14 (79).2 (48)3.3 (35)100% (1)5% (8)0.84 (97)
BYU Defense247% (45)17% (2) - - - - -.32 (2)0.35 (1)100% (127)21% (2)0.64 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense258% (120)40% (72) - - - - .13 (98)3.13 (106)100% (127)15% (15)0.93 (70)
BYU Offense256% (41)50% (40)44.5312.577 (38).48 (4)3.66 (18)100% (1)6% (23)1.33 (16)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense257% (25)59% (6)2634.5322.59.412.46 (34)2 (60).72 (7)1.7 (36)27% (37)52% (3)1.12 (1)3% (26)2.5 (14)
BYU Defense253% (94)30% (18) - - - - - - 2 (56)-.09 (16)0.9 (2)40% (7)12% (6)-.07 (13)3% (124)1.7 (37)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense242% (19)46% (104) - - - - - - 1 (87).29 (97)2.2 (135)30% (97)48% (133)1.17 (136)3% (120)2.8 (133)
BYU Offense244% (93)43% (74)14.522.5156.5710.83 (90)0 (1).11 (115)1.4 (105)29% (52)27% (100)-.02 (126)2% (10)1.5 (120)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 22.72 #23
TCU's Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
TCU's Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 22.72   BYU: 15.875

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 14.3   BYU: 12.5




BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 15.875 #41
BYU's Offense Rating: 14.19 #59
BYU's Defense Rating: -0.06 #26
2025 Talent Rating: 686.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
BYU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
BYU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #21

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


TCU Scoring
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense on Road: 48
Defense: 17.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 14

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 29
BYU 27


Total Points: 56

BYU Scoring
Offense: 48 PPG
Offense at Home: 48
Defense: 1.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 1.5

BYU's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14TCU44BYU11TCUTCU -5TCU52.5Over
201110/28TCU38BYU28TCU
201010/16TCU31BYU3TCU
200910/24BYU7TCU38TCU
200810/16TCU32BYU7TCU
200711/08BYU27TCU22BYU
200609/28TCU17BYU31BYU
200509/24BYU50TCU51TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
BYU201 Overs
TCU610 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 31 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams3 - 50 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#23) TCU Info
Power Rating: 22.72 #23
Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42
Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16% #31
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 57%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Great Pass Success 59%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

TCU has lost 7 straight
TCU has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

TCU Notes
(7/13) WR McAlister, Dwyer good duo. Have depth
(5/19) OL returns 3/5, not good LY. 2 FCS portals?
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.

TCU Highlights
TCU in Undefeated

TCU offense is efficent (#9)
TCU offense is good in red zone (#29)
TCU offense is good on 3rd downs
TCU Front 7 is disruptive (#15)
TCU has a great TO Margin (#28)
TCU commits very few Penalties (#6)

TCU Deficiencies
TCU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#121)
TCU Does Not Stuff Runs (#113)
TCU has a bad defensive line (#106)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBYUTCU
OverallOver#12#20
OffenseOff#15#9
DefenseDef#35#35
Special TeamsST#11#63
PassingPass#61#6
RushingRush#20#31
Run BlockRBLK#9#43
Pass BlockPBLK#34#19
Route RunningWR Rt#59#12
TacklingTkl#34#19
Run DefenseR Def#20#19
Pass Rush DefPRush#44#52
Coverage DefCov#49#52

Previous Matchups
TCU beat BYU in 2023 (44-11)

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | BYU
Depth Chart: TCU | BYU
Rosters: TCU | BYU
(#41) BYU Info
Power Rating: 15.875 #41
Offense Rating: 14.19 #59
Defense Rating: -0.06 #26
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.5 #27
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #21
Talent Rating: 686.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 47%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.5 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Bad Pass Success 43%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 24%
Great in Scoring Position 0.75 PPO
Great Run Def Success 17%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

BYU has lost 7 straight
BYU has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

BYU Notes
(8/16) QB1 - Fr Bear Bachmeier looks like starter
(7/30) Def good LY, but lost 8 starters, most of DL
(6/29) QB Retzlaff left after legal trouble, honor code
(6/29) QB huge ? into fall camp, Hillstead early leader
(5/29) DL added 6 portals + 1 meh LB and 1 S
(5/29) WR serious hit with #2 Lassiter denied '25
(5/29) OL returns 3/5, need new T's. 2 portal add
(3/20) RB Martin returns, need #2/depth
(3/20) Sitake & staff incredible job in '24. Tough team

BYU Highlights
BYU is Undefeated vs Spread
BYU in Undefeated
BYU is Undefeated at Home
BYU is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

BYU has Really Good Running Game (#29)
BYU has a top Offensive Line (#18)
BYU offense is good on 3rd downs
BYU does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#7)

BYU has a really good defense (#3)
BYU defense does not give up big plays (#1)
BYU defense is really good in red zone (#1)
BYU has a good run defense (#2)
BYU has a good pass defense (#18)
BYU Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#1)
BYU Defensive Line is very good (#1)
BYU Front 7 is disruptive (#2)
BYU has a great TO Margin (#11)
BYU commits very few Penalties (#6)

BYU Deficiencies


  
TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover486376%621619.9
Ken Seals4667%24014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)2115617.475
Nate Palmer138806.826
Jeremy Payne115705.229
Trent Battle54829.628
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)14225216.133
Joseph Manjack6138023.051
Eric McAlister566013.233
D'Andre Rogers65118.514

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson141000
Namdi Obiazor121110
Devean Deal101010
Kaleb Elarms-Orr100000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh (Tr)63200
Namdi Obiazor121110
Jonathan Bax52100
Zachary Chapman21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jevon McIver Jr.31002
Austin Jordan20001
Gil Jackson10001

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bear Bachmeier (Tr)243863%272307.2
McCae Hillstead4580%33006.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
LJ Martin2624109.349
Sione I Moa106216.219
Cody Hagen257128.557
Jovesa Damuni85006.312
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Roberts688114.741
Carsen Ryan (Tr)583116.625
Cody Hagen235017.524
Jojo Phillips330010.021

View BYU's Full Roster
BYU's DC Jay Hill
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Logan Lutui83000
Isaiah Glasker73120
Jack Kelly63120
Faletau Satuala62000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Choe Bryant-Strother21100
Jack Kelly63120
Keanu Tanuvasa (Tr)51110
Anisi Purcell (Tr)41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bodie Schoonover20011
Logan Lutui83000
Talan Alfrey31000