Abilene Christian at TCU - 2025 Matchup Preview
Abilene Christian logo Abilene Christian Wildcats at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
TCU -42.5 (60.5) (0)  Open: -38.5
TCU 42 - Abilene Christian: 21

 
Wildcats (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 39 (14 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ACU coming off BYE
TCU coming off BYE
Our Line: TCU -21   (SP+ TCU -14)

TCU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%
Horned Frogs (2 - 0) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 45 - 18 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
 
Abilene Christian's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Abilene Christian at Tulsa+5.059.5L 7 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Abilene Christian at TCU+42.560.5L 21 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Abilene Christian's Schedule
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina-3.059.5W 48 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-42.560.5W 42 - 21ON
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-7.064.5
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State-0.5
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-17
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State-9
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-8.5
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-6
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU-2.5
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-10.5
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ACU0%140%000%000%38.50%0%0000
TCU#7 (.5)57% (9)4554% (24)3.3 (35)19359% (6)3235.08 (29)#102 (.2)42% (83)17.540% (72)46% (104)3.8 (81)5211.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ACU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ACU Offense214140%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TCU Defense217.52142.2%3.81.5 - - - - - 58%42%40%46%19%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ACU Defense238.538.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TCU Offense2454257%5.081275161933236.143%57%54%59%8%.5

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Abilene Christian20:000NAN%0%0000000100
TCU227:4326.570%100%4.55211.57.53125.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ACU Offense20%0%000000%0%0
TCU Defense258% (120)40% (72) - - - - .13 (98)3.13 (106)100% (127)15% (15)0.93 (70)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ACU Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TCU Offense243% (108)54% (24)31.51936.14 (79).2 (48)3.3 (35)100% (1)5% (8)0.84 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ACU Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
TCU Defense242% (19)46% (104) - - - - - - 1 (87).29 (97)2.2 (135)30% (97)48% (133)1.17 (136)3% (120)2.8 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ACU Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TCU Offense257% (25)59% (6)2634.5322.59.412.46 (34)2 (60).72 (7)1.7 (36)27% (37)52% (3)1.12 (1)3% (26)2.5 (14)

Abilene Christian's Power Ratings
Abilene Christian's Power Rating: #NR
Abilene Christian's Offense Rating: #NR
Abilene Christian's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Abilene Christian's 2025 Expected Record: -
Abilene Christian's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Abilene Christian's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Abilene Christian's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian:    TCU: 21.01

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian:    TCU: 14.3




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 21.01 #23
TCU's Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
TCU's Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Abilene Christian Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 38.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.5

Abilene Christian's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 40
Abilene Christian 19


Total Points: 59

TCU Scoring
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 17.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13TCU42Abilene Christian21TCUTCU -42.5Abilene Christian60.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU101 Overs
Abilene Christian010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) Abilene Christian Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Abilene Christian has lost 1 straight
Abilene Christian has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Abilene Christian Highlights

Abilene Christian Deficiencies
Abilene Christian has a really bad Offense
Abilene Christian Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTCUACU
OverallOver#20
OffenseOff#9
DefenseDef#35
Special TeamsST#63
PassingPass#6
RushingRush#31
Run BlockRBLK#43
Pass BlockPBLK#19
Route RunningWR Rt#12
TacklingTkl#19
Run DefenseR Def#19
Pass Rush DefPRush#52
Coverage DefCov#52

Rematch from Week 3
TCU -42.5 (60.5)
TCU won vs Abilene Christian this year (42-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ACU | TCU
Depth Chart: ACU | TCU
Rosters: ACU | TCU
(#23) TCU Info
Power Rating: 21.01 #23
Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42
Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 57%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Great Pass Success 59%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

TCU has won 1 straight
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

TCU Notes
(7/13) WR McAlister, Dwyer good duo. Have depth
(5/19) OL returns 3/5, not good LY. 2 FCS portals?
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.

TCU Highlights
TCU in Undefeated
TCU is Undefeated at Home

TCU offense is efficent (#9)
TCU offense is good in red zone (#29)
TCU offense is good on 3rd downs
TCU Front 7 is disruptive (#15)
TCU has a great TO Margin (#28)
TCU commits very few Penalties (#6)

TCU Deficiencies
TCU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#121)
TCU Does Not Stuff Runs (#113)
TCU has a bad defensive line (#106)


  
Abilene Christian's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Stone Earle (Tr)588271%655218.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordon Vaughn4918923.928
Rovaughn Banks Jr.3013214.417
Stone Earle (Tr)419022.221
EJ Wilson Jr.51703.45
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Gipson10155015.542
Dallas Dudley (Tr)6108018.042
JJ Henry1310708.226
J.B. Mitchell (Tr)588117.632

View Abilene Christian's Full Roster
Abilene Christian's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rashon Myles Jr.181000
Will Shaffer171000
Dorian Plumley151000
Tyson Williams130000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rashon Myles Jr.181000
Noah Mangham20000
Colt Cooper10000
Sammy Morris IV10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vilay Nakkoun Jr.10001
Jocelyn Malaska (Tr)111001
T.J. Marshall40001

TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover486376%621619.9
Ken Seals4667%24014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)2115617.475
Nate Palmer138806.826
Jeremy Payne115705.229
Trent Battle54829.628
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)14225216.133
Joseph Manjack6138023.051
Eric McAlister566013.233
D'Andre Rogers65118.514

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson141000
Namdi Obiazor121110
Devean Deal101010
Kaleb Elarms-Orr100000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh (Tr)63200
Namdi Obiazor121110
Jonathan Bax52100
Zachary Chapman21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jevon McIver Jr.31002
Austin Jordan20001
Gil Jackson10001