Abilene Christian at TCU - 2025 Matchup Preview
Abilene Christian logo Abilene Christian Wildcats at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
TCU -42.5 (60.5) (0)  Open: -38.5
TCU 42 - Abilene Christian: 21

 
Wildcats (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 39 (14 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 92.5° (29% Hum)
ACU coming off BYE
TCU coming off BYE
Our Line: TCU -14  (SP+ TCU -8)
TCU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 56%
Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
 
Abilene Christian's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Abilene Christian at Tulsa+5.059.5L 7 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Abilene Christian at TCU+42.560.5L 21 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Abilene Christian's Schedule
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina-3.059.5W 48 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-42.560.5W 42 - 21ON
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-6.563.5W 35 - 24UY
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State+2.554.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-13.557.5W 35 - 21UY
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State-3.054.5L 28 - 41ON
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-3.566.5W 42 - 36OY
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-16.555.5W 23 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-7.558.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU+3.051.5L 13 - 44ON
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-1.555.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-3.058.5W 45 - 23OY
Tue 12/30 TCU vs USC+4.556.5W 30 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ACU0%140%000%000%38.50%0%0000
TCU#43 (.21)44% (48)30.742% (89)2.64 (120)12347% (20)2704.04 (37)#60 (.15)41% (59)25.339% (36)43% (85)3.46 (55)55.81.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ACU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ACU Offense214140%00000000%0%0%0%0%
TCU Defense1325.324.241%3.461.5 - - - - - 48%50%39%43%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ACU Defense238.538.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
TCU Offense1330.73644.3%4.041.521393123270446%52%42%47%15%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Abilene Christian20:000NAN%0%0000000100
TCU1326:4220.647%63%655.81.51.54.91.8130.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ACU Offense20%0%000000%0%0
TCU Defense1348% (50)39% (36) - - - - .07 (53)2.9 (73)70% (61)9% (75)0.87 (22)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ACU Defense20%0% - - - - 00%0%0
TCU Offense1346% (101)42% (89)30.9122.8417 (60).02 (116)2.64 (120)77% (36)9% (64)0.81 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ACU Offense20%0%000000000%0%0%0
TCU Defense1350% (87)43% (85) - - - - - - 12 (22).28 (84)1.6 (103)31% (72)32% (95).34 (94)6% (81)2.1 (98)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ACU Defense20%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
TCU Offense1352% (36)47% (20)21.332.3270.28.412.729 (3)14 (108).43 (19)1.6 (32)32% (88)33% (29).42 (26)6% (73)2.1 (29)

Abilene Christian's Power Ratings
Abilene Christian's Power Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Offense Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Abilene Christian's 2025 Expected Record: -
Abilene Christian's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Abilene Christian's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Western Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian:    TCU: 13.86

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Abilene Christian:    TCU: 8.2




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 13.86  #33
TCU's Offense Rating: 16.96  #30
TCU's Defense Rating: 2.44  #33
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00  #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16  #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.2  #39
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #37
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #48

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Abilene Christian Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 38.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.5

Abilene Christian's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 37
Abilene Christian 23

Total Points: 61

Based on Last 4 Games
TCU 43
Abilene Christian 25

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
TCU 36
Abilene Christian 20

Total Points: 56
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13TCU42Abilene Christian21TCU -42.5Abilene Christian60.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU101 Overs
Abilene Christian010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) ACU at (#33) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatACUTCU
Power RatePwrNR #33
SP+SP+NR #39
Perf GradeGradeNR #40
OffenseOffNR #35
DefenseDefNR #41
Spec TeamsSTNR #67
TalentTalNR #29
Blue ChipsBC%NR #31
TCU Notes
(12/11) Hired UConn OC Gordon Sammis. Pot. good upgrade
(11/16) Frogs disappointing. No show vs decent teams
(10/27) Even box score @ WVU? Frogs not road warriors
(10/12) Blew season vs K St, Run Off bad, Run Def worse
(9/27) Run Off awful vs ASU, Def torched 500 yds, 200 rush
(9/27) 3 TOs, 8 penalties, outgained 500-271 and lost by 3
(9/20) Hoover great, Run Off meh, R Def great vs SMU
(9/20) WR McAlister one of best in CFB, great weapon
(9/1) Killed NC, Run game dominant, Run Def great
(7/13) WR McAlister, Dwyer good duo. Have depth
(5/19) OL returns 3/5, not good LY. 2 FCS portals?
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
TCU Injury Report
Abilene Christian on Offense
CategoryCat
ACU OffTCU Def
Perf GradePerfNR #41
SuccessSucNR #59
ExplosiveExpNR #79
PPAPPANR #60
PowerPwrNR #33
SP+SP+NR #48
Pts POPPONR #55
HavocHavNR #79
Abilene Christian Run Game
CategoryCat
ACU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNR #10
Run SuccessRSucNR #36
Run ExplRExpNR #22
PPAExpNR #53
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #73
Stuff RateStuffNR #103
TackleTak -  #10
Abilene Christian Pass Game
CategoryCat
ACU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNR #92
Pass SuccessPSucNR #85
Pass ExplPExlNR #103
PPAExpNR #84
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #106
F7 HavocF7NR #75
DB HavocDBNR #81
TCU on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatTCU OffACU Def
Perf GradePerf #35NR
SuccessSuc #48NR
ExplosiveExp #48NR
PPAPPA #43NR
PowerPwr #30NR
SP+SP+ #37NR
Pts POPPO #37NR
HavocHav #61NR
TCU Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
TCU OffACU Def
Run GameRun #72NR
Run SuccessRSuc #89NR
Run ExplRExp #124NR
PPAExp #116NR
Run BlockR Blk #63 -
OL YdsOLY #120NR
Stuff RateStuff #121NR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatTCU OffACU Def
Pass GamePass #34NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #20NR
Pass ExplPExl #32NR
PPAExp #19NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #40NR
F7 HavocF7 #64NR
DB HavocDB #73NR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4

ACU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 93° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 3
TCU -42.5 (60.5)
TCU won vs Abilene Christian this year (42-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ACU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Stone Earle (Tr)26539867%293118107.4
Quayde Hawkins33100%361012.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rovaughn Banks Jr.13066735.166
Jordon Vaughn10966486.175
EJ Wilson Jr.8148226.045
Stone Earle (Tr)133383102.925
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Gipson641022616.043
Dallas Dudley (Tr)35402111.542
JJ Henry3734429.328
Brian Henry28325411.642

View Abilene Christian's Full Roster

ACU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rashon Myles Jr.181000
Will Shaffer171000
Dorian Plumley151000
Tyson Williams130000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Rashon Myles Jr.181000
Cameron Jones20000
Jed Castles10000
Vilay Nakkoun Jr.10001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vilay Nakkoun Jr.10001
Jocelyn Malaska (Tr)111001
T.J. Marshall40001

TCU's OC Kendal Briles (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover27241366%347229138.4
Ken Seals4667%24014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne9755045.751
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)9744334.675
Trent Battle6234565.665
Jon Denman4414723.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister6411211017.585
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)54730713.569
Joseph Manjack41551313.451
D'Andre Rogers3230029.439

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Elarms-Orr11910452
Jamel Johnson893003
Namdi Obiazor814211
Bud Clark542115
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Elarms-Orr11910452
Devean Deal509484
Kylin Jackson (Tr)265321
Paul Oyewale248210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vernon Glover351006
Bud Clark542115
Devean Deal509484