Colorado at TCU Game Matchup
Colorado logo Colorado Buffaloes at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX  (Big 12)

 
Buffaloes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (32 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#74)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
TCU is playing their 4th straight game
COLO is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: TCU -9.5   (SP+ TCU -9)
Projected Score: COLO: 23 - TCU: 33 (57)
TCU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
COLO Travel: 668 miles, 1 hrs behind
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.5 - 4.5 (#41)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 6) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 1)
 
Colorado's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Colorado vs Georgia Tech+3.557.5
Sat 9/6 Colorado vs Delaware-23.5
Sat 9/13 Colorado at Houston-1
Sat 9/20 Colorado vs Wyoming-20
Sat 9/27 Colorado vs BYU+3.5
Sat 10/4 Colorado at TCU+9.5
Sat 10/11 Colorado vs Iowa State+4
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Colorado at Utah+8.5
Sat 11/1 Colorado vs Arizona-9
Sat 11/8 Colorado at West Virginia-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Colorado vs Arizona State+8
Sat 11/29 Colorado at Kansas State+13.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina+1.557.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-35
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-0.5
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State+6
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-9.5
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State+6.5
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-4.5
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-3
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU+1.5
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-8.5
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)32.944% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)23.140% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)33.545% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)24.646% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1332.932.244.5%4.340.920368663022.737%63%44%45%17%.24
TCU Defense1324.623.341.5%3.821.1 - - - - - 53%47%46%36%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1323.118.438.4%3.31.8 - - - - - 53%47%40%36%20%.09
TCU Offense1333.536.747.1%4.461.6214001062933.942%58%45%49%13%.3

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1326:0319.741%40%7.162.80.91.86.72.8231.4
TCU1326:112144%80%5.249.71.61.14.51.8131.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1337% (133)44% (73)24.2662.715 (96).08 (94)2.76 (110)82% (16)11% (104)0.86 (121)
TCU Defense1353% (95)46% (102) - - - - .22 (118)3.26 (104)89% (134)9% (105)1.02 (87)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1353% (93)40% (43) - - - - .06 (37)2.87 (47)78% (98)12% (19)1.06 (100)
TCU Offense1342% (119)45% (53)27.6106.43.926 (36).08 (95)2.95 (85)73% (70)8% (36)0.94 (85)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1363% (2)45% (34)25.935.23028.611.735 (3)8 (40).34 (32)1.6 (53)33% (96)35% (27).47 (18)6% (78)2.1 (54)
TCU Defense1347% (41)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (40)1.5 (57)34% (42)27% (19).19 (22)6% (81)1.8 (26)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1347% (46)36% (17) - - - - - - 12 (39).13 (24)1.6 (61)35% (25)29% (50).24 (41)8% (18)1.9 (31)
TCU Offense1358% (19)49% (9)23.534.9293.28.412.525 (31)10 (63).47 (5)1.6 (75)31% (57)33% (47).4 (39)5% (38)2.1 (55)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 5.88 #50
Colorado's Offense Rating: 16.17 #55
Colorado's Defense Rating: 10.29 #38
2025 Talent Rating: 690.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.6 #52
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #59

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 5.88   TCU: 13.94

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 2.6   TCU: 11.1




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 13.94 #30
TCU's Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
TCU's Defense Rating: 10.55 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 854.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 774.88
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.4

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 33
Colorado 23

Projected Total Points: 57
TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02TCU42Colorado45ColoradoTCU -20.5Colorado59.5Over
202209/02Colorado13TCU38TCUTCU -13.5TCU59.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU111 Overs
Colorado111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#50) Colorado Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.88 #50
Offense Rating: 16.17 #55
Defense Rating: 10.29 #38
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.6 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.9 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #59
Talent Rating: 690.00 #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #25
Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 37%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Colorado Notes
(5/1) Watch Fr WR Q Gibson, will play early and KR
(4/11) RB Augustave no longer on team, led RB LY
(4/4) So. Jordan Seaton (OT) a top OT via PFF
(3/19) QB1? Salter likely, Fr. Lewis
(3/19) RBs bad LY in passing Off. Any ballers?
(3/19) WR rebuild, have added a lot of talent
(3/19) OL returns 3/5, 3 portal adds. Should improve
(3/19) Def much improved LY, new leaders needed
(3/19) Prime added a lot of stars as coaches
(3/19) Great job, but now w/o Hunter/Shedeur?
Colorado     Ratings Matchup     TCU
Power #50
#30
Off #55
#21
Def #38
#41
Talent #73
#31
SP+ #52
#29
SP+ Off #45
#19
SP+ Def #59
#37

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat TCU in 2023 (45-42)
TCU beat Colorado in 2022 (38-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: COLO | TCU
Depth Chart: COLO | TCU
Rosters: COLO | TCU
(#30) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.94 #30
Offense Rating: 22.33 #21
Defense Rating: 10.55 #41
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37
Talent Rating: 854.00 #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #31
Expected Record: 7.5 - 4.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


TCU Notes
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) WR McAlister good, talent/#'s should find 2/3
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.
(3/19) Dykes quietly got to 9 W's LY.


  
Colorado's OC Pat Shurmur
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter (Tr)14726156%18861567.2
Ryan Staub040%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaidon Salter (Tr)11458775.141
Dallan Hayden6419613.127
Micah Welch4318644.325
Charlie Offerdahl2611914.639
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joseph Williams (Tr)30588519.672
Jack Hestera (Tr)24340414.232
Drelon Miller3227738.749
Omarion Miller10216121.658

View Colorado's Full Roster
Colorado's DC Robert Livingston
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Reginald Hughes (Tr)8310460
Martavius French (Tr)8017143
Dylahn McKinney593008
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)548200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Arden Walker337520
Keaten Wade207410
Reginald Hughes (Tr)8310460
Amari McNeill256430
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylahn McKinney593008
Tyrecus Davis (Tr)421008
Carter Stoutmire421027

TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)7822122.817
Trent Battle4418624.224
Jordyn Bailey374124.759
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)7110261014.555
Eric McAlister39762519.584
Joseph Manjack22351316.057
D'Andre Rogers12142211.840

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Namdi Obiazor817321
Jamel Johnson722003
Bud Clark680003
Kaleb Elarms-Orr545220
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh (Tr)247620
Devean Deal4610631
Zachary Chapman243310
Namdi Obiazor817321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson473009
Jevon McIver Jr.120004
Bud Clark680003