Colorado at TCU - 2025 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo Colorado Buffaloes at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX  (Big 12)

 
Buffaloes (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Deion Sanders (13 - 11)
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (20 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#115)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 6) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
TCU is playing their 4th straight game
COLO is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: TCU -17   (SP+ TCU -14)

Projected Score: COLO: 21 - TCU: 38 (58)
TCU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
COLO Travel: 668 miles, 1 hrs behind
Horned Frogs (2 - 0) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (26 - 13)
Avg Score : 45 - 18 (42 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 8) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Colorado vs Georgia Tech+4.055.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 9/6 Colorado vs Delaware-23.549.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 9/12 Colorado at Houston+4.045.5L 20 - 36ON
Sat 9/20 Colorado vs Wyoming-12.544.5
Sat 9/27 Colorado vs BYU+7
Sat 10/4 Colorado at TCU+17
Sat 10/11 Colorado vs Iowa State+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Colorado at Utah+19.5
Sat 11/1 Colorado vs Arizona+3
Sat 11/8 Colorado at West Virginia+6
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Colorado vs Arizona State+9
Sat 11/29 Colorado at Kansas State+5.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
TCU's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/1 TCU at North Carolina-3.059.5W 48 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 TCU vs Abilene Christian-42.560.5W 42 - 21ON
Sat 9/20 TCU vs SMU-7.064.5
Fri 9/26 TCU at Arizona State-0.5
Sat 10/4 TCU vs Colorado-17
Sat 10/11 TCU at Kansas State-9
Sat 10/18 TCU vs Baylor-8.5
Sat 10/25 TCU at West Virginia-8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 TCU vs Iowa State-6
Sat 11/15 TCU at BYU-2.5
Sat 11/22 TCU at Houston-10.5
Sat 11/29 TCU vs Cincinnati-7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 8, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 8, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#65 (.21)37% (113)23.736% (118)2.73 (93)12638% (103)2105.42 (17)#95 (.18)47% (114)23.348% (110)44% (100)3.5 (68)41.70.72
TCU#7 (.5)57% (9)4554% (24)3.3 (35)19359% (6)3235.08 (29)#102 (.2)42% (83)17.540% (72)46% (104)3.8 (81)5211.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO#35 (.24)44% (48)44% (73)2.76 (110)6645% (34)3024.34 (28)#22 (.09)38% (30)40% (43)36% (17)3.3 (21)62.80.91.8
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense323.72037%5.420.7183361262104.242%58%36%38%17%.21
TCU Defense217.52142.2%3.81.5 - - - - - 58%42%40%46%19%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense323.33646.6%3.52 - - - - - 64%36%48%44%13%.18
TCU Offense2454257%5.081275161933236.143%57%54%59%8%.5

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado327:5618.337%75%4.741.70.7241.7028.7
TCU227:4326.570%100%4.55211.57.53125.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense342% (118)36% (118)30125.74.25 (62).24 (41)2.73 (93)67% (86)12% (113)1.53 (6)
TCU Defense258% (120)40% (72) - - - - .13 (98)3.13 (106)100% (127)15% (15)0.93 (70)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense364% (133)48% (110) - - - - .07 (71)3.12 (104)75% (80)8% (102)0.99 (78)
TCU Offense243% (108)54% (24)31.51936.14 (79).2 (48)3.3 (35)100% (1)5% (8)0.84 (97)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense358% (18)38% (103)19.331.32106.710.94 (72)2 (60).2 (91)1.5 (75)39% (123)39% (28).55 (31)5% (60)2.2 (43)
TCU Defense242% (19)46% (104) - - - - - - 1 (87).29 (97)2.2 (135)30% (97)48% (133)1.17 (136)3% (120)2.8 (133)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense336% (6)44% (100) - - - - - - 2 (56).37 (111)1.7 (106)28% (117)31% (84).2 (57)5% (84)1.8 (43)
TCU Offense257% (25)59% (6)2634.5322.59.412.46 (34)2 (60).72 (7)1.7 (36)27% (37)52% (3)1.12 (1)3% (26)2.5 (14)

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: 7.52 #62
Colorado's Offense Rating: 15.81 #49
Colorado's Defense Rating: 8.29 #74
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #25
Colorado's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Colorado's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #63
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 7.52   TCU: 21.01

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: 0.4   TCU: 14.3




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 21.01 #23
TCU's Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
TCU's Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
2025 Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
TCU's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
TCU's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Colorado's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 38
Colorado 21


Total Points: 58

TCU Scoring
Offense: 45 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 17.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

TCU's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02TCU42Colorado45ColoradoTCU -20.5Colorado59.5Over
202209/02Colorado13TCU38TCUTCU -13.5TCU59.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU111 Overs
Colorado111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams2 - 02 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#62) Colorado Info
Power Rating: 7.52 #62
Offense Rating: 15.81 #49
Defense Rating: 8.29 #74
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Talent Rating: 750.00 #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 21% #25
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.42 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Colorado has lost 3 straight
Colorado has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Colorado Notes
(9/9) QB Ryan Saub starting vs Houston
(9/8) QB shuffle, #3 Staub played best vs Del
(8/29) Prime's clock management is an abomination
(8/29) Salter OK, run off better, run defense mauled
(8/26) QB1 Kaidon Salter starter, Fr. Lewis backup
(7/22) Very quiet, Prime health issues. Bad signs
(5/1) Watch Fr WR Q Gibson, will play early and KR
(4/11) RB Augustave no longer on team, led RB LY
(4/4) So. Jordan Seaton (OT) a top OT via PFF
(3/19) RBs bad LY in passing Off. Any ballers?

Colorado Highlights
Colorado offense is explosive (#12)
Colorado offense is good in red zone (#17)
Colorado has a great TO Margin (#28)

Colorado Deficiencies
Colorado offense is really bad (#113)
Colorado run game is really bad (#118)
Colorado pass game is really bad (#103)
Colorado has a bad defense (#114)
Colorado has a bad defensive line (#104)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTCUCOLO
OverallOver#20#83
OffenseOff#9#98
DefenseDef#35#74
Special TeamsST#63#43
PassingPass#6#108
RushingRush#31#88
Run BlockRBLK#43#78
Pass BlockPBLK#19#9
Route RunningWR Rt#12#93
TacklingTkl#19#62
Run DefenseR Def#19#74
Pass Rush DefPRush#52#44
Coverage DefCov#52#96

Previous Matchups
Colorado beat TCU in 2023 (45-42)
TCU beat Colorado in 2022 (38-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: COLO | TCU
Depth Chart: COLO | TCU
Rosters: COLO | TCU
(#23) TCU Info
Power Rating: 21.01 #23
Offense Rating: 28.98 #7
Defense Rating: 6.25 #63
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #23
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 #12
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42
Talent Rating: 882.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 16 #31
Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 57%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.08 PPO
Good Run Success 54%
Great Pass Success 59%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

TCU has lost 2 straight
TCU has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

TCU Notes
(7/13) WR McAlister, Dwyer good duo. Have depth
(5/19) OL returns 3/5, not good LY. 2 FCS portals?
(5/19) RBs Palmer & Payne top duo in spring ball
(5/19) LB core could be best in B12 led by Obiazor
(5/19) OC Briles has QB Hoover for a 3rd year
(5/2) S Bud Clark led all CFB S in coverage, big talent
(3/24) WR Dwyer (Idaho) a great find/weapon
(3/19) QB Hoover a top in CFB, can depth play?
(3/19) RB rebuild, added Barnes (UTSA), we'll see
(3/19) Def OK LY, lacked playmakers. Some exp.

TCU Highlights
TCU in Undefeated
TCU is Undefeated at Home

TCU offense is efficent (#9)
TCU offense is good in red zone (#29)
TCU offense is good on 3rd downs
TCU Front 7 is disruptive (#15)
TCU has a great TO Margin (#28)
TCU commits very few Penalties (#6)

TCU Deficiencies
TCU gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#121)
TCU Does Not Stuff Runs (#113)
TCU has a bad defensive line (#106)


  
Colorado's OC Pat Shurmur
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Staub264558%361328.0
Kaidon Salter (Tr)304468%261105.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Simeon Price (Tr)1913617.238
Micah Welch237613.322
Kaidon Salter (Tr)226823.121
Dekalon Taylor (Tr)106106.123
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sincere Brown (Tr)6135122.571
Joseph Williams (Tr)8117114.637
Dekalon Taylor (Tr)10106210.622
Omarion Miller493023.339

View Colorado's Full Roster
Colorado's DC Robert Livingston
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)182101
Reginald Hughes (Tr)160020
Martavius French (Tr)153100
Carter Stoutmire130003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Martavius French (Tr)153100
Keaten Wade113120
Quency Wiggins21120
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)182101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Carter Stoutmire130003
Preston Hodge100002
Tawfiq Byard (Tr)182101

TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover486376%621619.9
Ken Seals4667%24014.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevorian Barnes (Tr)2115617.475
Nate Palmer138806.826
Jeremy Payne115705.229
Trent Battle54829.628
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer (Tr)14225216.133
Joseph Manjack6138023.051
Eric McAlister566013.233
D'Andre Rogers65118.514

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson141000
Namdi Obiazor121110
Devean Deal101010
Kaleb Elarms-Orr100000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ansel Din-Mbuh (Tr)63200
Namdi Obiazor121110
Jonathan Bax52100
Zachary Chapman21100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jevon McIver Jr.31002
Austin Jordan20001
Gil Jackson10001