TCU at Kansas - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#24)TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas Jayhawks

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Kansas -1.5 (58.5) (-118) Open: -1.0
TCU 38 - Kansas: 27 (Big 12)

Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.2 MPH
TCU 2nd straight Road Game
KU is playing their 5th straight game
TCU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: TCU -6 (SP+ TCU -6)
Projected Score: TCU: 32 - KU: 26 (57)
KU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
TCU Travel: 448 miles

Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (30 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TCU Players
KU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

TCU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	TCU at Stanford	-8.0	58.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/7	TCU vs Long Island University	-45.5	56.5	W 45 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/14	TCU vs UCF	-1.5	61.5	L 34 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/21	TCU at SMU	-1.0	58.5	L 42 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/28	TCU vs Kansas	+1.5	58.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Fri 10/4	TCU vs Houston	-16.5	52.0	L 19 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	TCU at Utah	+3.0	52.0	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	TCU vs Texas Tech	-5.0	66.0	W 35 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/2	TCU at Baylor	+2.5	64.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/9	TCU vs Oklahoma State	-10.5	68.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	TCU vs Arizona	-10.5	60.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/30	TCU at Cincinnati	-2.5	58.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/28	TCU vs Louisiana	-9.5	61.0	W 34 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Kansas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Kansas vs Lindenwood	-48.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/7	Kansas at Illinois	-4.5	58.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Fri 9/13	Kansas vs UNLV	-7.0	57.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/21	Kansas at West Virginia	+1.5	56.0	L 28 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/28	Kansas vs TCU	-1.5	58.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/5	Kansas at Arizona State	+2.5	50.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Kansas vs Houston	-4.5	45.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas at Kansas State	+10.0	56.5	L 27 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Kansas vs Iowa State	+2.5	50.5	W 45 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Kansas at BYU	+3.0	55.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kansas vs Colorado	+2.5	59.0	W 37 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas at Baylor	-2.5	62.5	L 17 - 45	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	#18 (.3)	47% (20)	33.5	45% (53)	2.95 (85)	106	49% (9)	293	4.46 (20)	#82 (.19)	42% (67)	24.6	46% (102)	36% (18)	3.82 (72)	49.7	1.6	1.1
KU	#9 (.32)	48% (16)	29.7	49% (15)	3.6 (3)	213	48% (11)	209	4.68 (11)	#108 (.23)	45% (99)	26	46% (104)	43% (95)	3.83 (73)	38.4	1.4	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	#18 (.3)	47% (20)		45% (53)	2.95 (85)	106	49% (9)	293	4.46 (20)	#82 (.19)	42% (67)		46% (102)	36% (18)	3.82 (72)	49.7	1.6	1.1
KU	#9 (.32)	48% (16)		49% (15)	3.6 (3)	213	48% (11)	209	4.68 (11)	#108 (.23)	45% (99)		46% (104)	43% (95)	3.83 (73)	38.4	1.4	1.4

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Offense	13	33.5	28.6	47.1%	4.46	1.6	21	400	106	293	3.9	42%	58%	45%	49%	13%	.3
KU Defense	12	26	26	44.5%	3.83	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	46%	43%	17%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Defense	13	24.6	30	41.5%	3.82	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	46%	36%	14%	.19
KU Offense	12	29.7	29.7	48.1%	4.68	1.4	22	421	213	209	5.6	58%	41%	49%	48%	12%	.32

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
TCU	13	26:11	21	44%	80%	5.2	49.7	1.6	1.1	4.5	1.8	1	31.7
Kansas	12	30:54	21.5	51%	67%	4.5	38.4	1.4	1.4	5.8	2.3	2	25.3

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Offense	13	42% (119)	45% (53)	27.6	106.4	3.9	26 (36)	.08 (95)	2.95 (85)	73% (70)	8% (36)	0.94 (85)
KU Defense	12	50% (58)	46% (104)	-	-	-	-	.22 (117)	3.4 (124)	82% (117)	10% (62)	1 (78)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Defense	13	53% (95)	46% (102)	-	-	-	-	.22 (118)	3.26 (104)	89% (134)	9% (105)	1.02 (87)
KU Offense	12	58% (19)	49% (15)	37.8	212.7	5.6	29 (18)	.33 (4)	3.6 (3)	83% (8)	7% (20)	1.08 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Offense	13	58% (19)	49% (9)	23.5	34.9	293.2	8.4	12.5	25 (31)	10 (63)	.47 (5)	1.6 (75)	31% (57)	33% (47)	.4 (39)	5% (38)	2.1 (55)
KU Defense	12	50% (72)	43% (95)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (39)	.3 (101)	1.7 (110)	32% (60)	33% (104)	.29 (61)	7% (31)	2.1 (80)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Defense	13	47% (41)	36% (18)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.18 (40)	1.5 (57)	34% (42)	27% (19)	.19 (22)	6% (81)	1.8 (26)
KU Offense	12	41% (122)	48% (11)	14.7	25.5	208.8	8.2	14.2	15 (98)	12 (85)	.38 (17)	1.6 (62)	30% (38)	36% (26)	.38 (51)	5% (31)	1.9 (117)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 12.40 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 12.40 Kansas: 5.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 10.8 Kansas: 4.9

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 5.47 #41
Kansas's Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Kansas's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 32
Kansas 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas 30
TCU 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
TCU 29
Kansas 28

Total Points: 57

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Kansas's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Kansas	27	TCU	38	Kansas -1.5	TCU	58.5	Over
2022	10/08	Kansas	31	TCU	38	TCU -7	NA	70.0	Under
2021	11/20	TCU	31	Kansas	28	TCU -21	Kansas	64.0	Under
2020	11/28	Kansas	23	TCU	59	TCU -23.5	TCU	51.5	Over
2019	09/28	TCU	51	Kansas	14	TCU -14.5	TCU	48.0	Over
2018	10/27	Kansas	27	TCU	26	TCU -13	Kansas	46.5	Over
2017	10/21	TCU	43	Kansas	0	TCU -37.5	TCU	61.5	Under
2016	10/08	Kansas	23	TCU	24	TCU -29.5	Kansas	61.0	Under
2015	11/14	TCU	23	Kansas	17	TCU -43	Kansas	71.0	Under
2014	11/15	Kansas	30	TCU	34	TCU -24.5	Kansas	0
2013	10/12	TCU	27	Kansas	17	TCU -24	Kansas	0
2012	09/15	Kansas	6	TCU	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas	1	6	4 Overs
TCU	11	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	5 - 5	2 - 4	3 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 6	5 - 5	1 - 3	4 - 2

(#21) TCU at (#41) KU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TCU	KU
Power RatePwr	#21	#41
SP+SP+	#25	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#32	#31
OffenseOff	#31	#8
DefenseDef	#55	#95
Spec TeamsST	#14	#8
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#38	#65

TCU Notes(11/25) 2 str W's, Rgame good, Hoover good vs TCU
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great
(9/23) Rgame awful vs SMU, 2.0 ypc. Off 5 TOs
(8/31) Hoover is non-mobile JAG, run game poor vs Stan
(8/30) D moved to 4-2-5 then best NT portaled (OU)
(7/30) Briles 2nd yr at OC, New DC Avalos (Boise HC)
TCU Injury Report

Kansas Notes(12/7) Elevated Jim Zebrowski to OC (Co-OC/QB's)
(12/6) OC Jeff Grimes left for Wisc OC job
(11/23) Killed CU. 1st losing team w/ 3 str top 25 wins
(11/18) Off awful (242 yds), outplayed @ BYU but found W
(11/13) Daniels great in ISU W, KU turning corner?
(11/13) Pass D torched, Run Def great vs ISU, Rgame great
(9/28) Pass D torched by TCU, Daniels awful. Sad team
(9/16) QB Daniels is electric but can't read Def. Big issue
(9/13) D OK vs UNLV, Off was awful, 2 TOs cost game
(9/8) Bad L @ Ill, 4 TOs. Run D played great though
(7/30) OL 2/5 return, big ??, RB has depth
(7/30) 6 win floor, game 2 vs Illinois very interesting
Kansas Injury Report

TCU on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	KU Def
Perf GradePerf	#31	#95
SuccessSuc	#20	#99
ExplosiveExp	#45	#101
PPAPPA	#18	#108
PowerPwr	#24	#98
SP+SP+	#19	#68
Pts POPPO	#20	#73
HavocHav	#28	#54

TCU Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#97	#93
Run SuccessRSuc	#53	#104
Run ExplRExp	#85	#78
PPAExp	#95	#117
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	#85	#124
Stuff RateStuff	#82	#118
TackleTak	-	#101

TCU Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat	TCU Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#17	#86
Pass SuccessPSuc	#9	#95
Pass ExplPExl	#75	#110
PPAExp	#5	#101
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#51	#102
F7 HavocF7	#36	#62
DB HavocDB	#38	#31

Kansas on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KU Off	TCU Def
Perf GradePerf	#8	#55
SuccessSuc	#16	#67
ExplosiveExp	#63	#52
PPAPPA	#9	#82
PowerPwr	#3	#53
SP+SP+	#32	#38
Pts POPPO	#11	#72
HavocHav	#19	#102

Kansas Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KU Off	TCU Def
Run GameRun	#11	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	#15	#102
Run ExplRExp	#29	#87
PPAExp	#4	#118
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	#3	#104
Stuff RateStuff	#5	#87
TackleTak	-	#22

Kansas Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	KU Off	TCU Def
Pass GamePass	#51	#14
Pass SuccessPSuc	#11	#18
Pass ExplPExl	#62	#57
PPAExp	#17	#40
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#14	#124
F7 HavocF7	#20	#105
DB HavocDB	#31	#81

Program Comparison
KU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arrowhead Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 84° - Wind: 16 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Kansas -1.5 (58.5)
TCU won at Kansas this year (38-27)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Kansas last year (38-27)
TCU beat Kansas in 2022 (38-31)

TCU's OC Kendal Briles (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Josh Hoover	313	471	67%	3949	27	11	8.4
Ken Seals (Tr)	10	13	77%	97	1	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Cook	119	460	9	3.9	19
Savion Williams	51	322	6	6.3	35
Jeremy Payne	54	239	3	4.4	32
Trent Battle	44	186	2	4.2	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jack Bech	62	1034	9	16.7	52
Eric McAlister (Tr)	39	762	5	19.5	84
John Paul Richardson	57	733	2	12.9	38
Savion Williams	60	611	6	10.2	75

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Hodges	89	5	1	2	0
Namdi Obiazor	81	7	3	2	1
Jamel Johnson	72	2	0	0	3
Bud Clark	68	0	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devean Deal (Tr)	46	10	6	3	1
Cooper McDonald (Tr)	25	5	3	2	1
Nana Osafo-Mensah (Tr)	38	9	3	5	1
Zachary Chapman	24	3	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Lamareon James (Tr)	34	0	0	12
Abraham Camara	55	6	1	6
Jevon McIver Jr. (Tr)	12	0	0	4

KU's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalon Daniels	171	300	57%	2454	14	12	8.2
Cole Ballard	5	6	83%	51	1	0	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Neal	219	1266	16	5.8	54
Jalon Daniels	93	447	6	4.8	33
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	65	376	3	5.8	32
Sevion Morrison	27	164	2	6.1	38

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Grimm	51	690	6	13.5	70
Quentin Skinner	25	557	4	22.3	62
Lawrence Arnold	26	360	1	13.8	40
Devin Neal	24	254	1	10.6	51

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
JB Brown	74	10	5	5	2
Cornell Wheeler	65	5	0	0	4
O.J. Burroughs	64	4	0	0	6
Marvin Grant	59	4	3	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jereme Robinson	21	9	6	5	0
JB Brown	74	10	5	5	2
Dean Miller	32	10	5	4	3
Marvin Grant	59	4	3	1	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacobee Bryant	37	4	1	0	7
O.J. Burroughs	64	4	0	0	6
Marvin Grant	59	4	3	1	6