TCU at Kansas - 2024 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 28th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Kansas -1.5 (58.5) (-118) Open: -1.0
TCU 38 - Kansas: 27 (Big 12)

Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.2 MPH
TCU 2nd straight Road Game
KU is playing their 5th straight game
TCU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: TCU -6 (SP+ TCU -6)
Projected Score: TCU: 32 - KU: 26 (57)
KU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
TCU Travel: 448 miles

Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (17 - 21)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (30 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TCU Players
KU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

TCU's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	TCU at Stanford	-8.0	58.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/7	TCU vs Long Island University	-45.5	56.5	W 45 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/14	TCU vs UCF	-1.5	61.5	L 34 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/21	TCU at SMU	-1.0	58.5	L 42 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/28	TCU vs Kansas	+1.5	58.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
Fri 10/4	TCU vs Houston	-16.5	52.0	L 19 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	TCU at Utah	+3.0	52.0	W 13 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/26	TCU vs Texas Tech	-5.0	66.0	W 35 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/2	TCU at Baylor	+2.5	64.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/9	TCU vs Oklahoma State	-10.5	68.5	W 38 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	TCU vs Arizona	-10.5	60.0	W 49 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/30	TCU at Cincinnati	-2.5	58.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 12/28	TCU vs Louisiana	-9.5	61.0	W 34 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Kansas's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Kansas vs Lindenwood	-48.5	62.5	W 48 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/7	Kansas at Illinois	-4.5	58.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Fri 9/13	Kansas vs UNLV	-7.0	57.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/21	Kansas at West Virginia	+1.5	56.0	L 28 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/28	Kansas vs TCU	-1.5	58.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/5	Kansas at Arizona State	+2.5	50.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Kansas vs Houston	-4.5	45.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Kansas at Kansas State	+10.0	56.5	L 27 - 29	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Kansas vs Iowa State	+2.5	50.5	W 45 - 36	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Kansas at BYU	+3.0	55.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Kansas vs Colorado	+2.5	59.0	W 37 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Kansas at Baylor	-2.5	62.5	L 17 - 45	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU	#25 (.28)	47% (16)	33.5	49% (18)	3.35 (23)	155	47% (20)	312	3.91 (69)	#96 (.23)	44% (89)	24.6	43% (70)	45% (112)	3.91 (78)	53.6	1.6	1
KU	#5 (.4)	48% (13)	29.7	47% (28)	3.42 (10)	206	51% (9)	240	4.43 (27)	#83 (.2)	45% (108)	26	46% (101)	44% (102)	4.15 (102)	56.9	1.3	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TCU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Offense	12	33.5	28.6	47.4%	3.91	1.6	25	467	155	312	4.6	42%	57%	49%	47%	13%	.28
KU Defense	13	26	26	44.9%	4.15	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	44%	15%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TCU Defense	12	24.6	30	43.6%	3.91	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	43%	45%	13%	.23
KU Offense	13	29.7	29.7	48.1%	4.43	1.3	21	446	206	240	5.4	59%	40%	47%	51%	13%	.4

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
TCU	12	27:21	25	46%	50%	6.2	53.6	1.6	1	5	1.8	2	29.9
Kansas	13	30:55	21.5	48%	37%	5.6	56.9	1.3	1.5	4.6	1.8	4	28.4

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Offense	12	42% (119)	49% (18)	33.8	154.5	4.6	19 (69)	.22 (29)	3.35 (23)	79% (26)	7% (6)	0.96 (93)
KU Defense	13	52% (95)	46% (101)	-	-	-	-	.2 (101)	3.23 (99)	78% (98)	8% (111)	1 (73)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TCU Defense	12	51% (76)	43% (70)	-	-	-	-	.16 (81)	3.16 (82)	78% (100)	8% (117)	1 (72)
KU Offense	13	59% (13)	47% (28)	38.4	206	5.4	32 (10)	.24 (20)	3.42 (10)	75% (52)	8% (30)	1.06 (36)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Offense	12	57% (16)	47% (20)	26.6	41.9	312.2	7.5	11.7	27 (25)	15 (116)	.4 (27)	1.6 (63)	31% (54)	42% (4)	.61 (6)	7% (94)	2 (73)
KU Defense	13	48% (43)	44% (102)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (21)	.23 (47)	1.5 (23)	31% (75)	30% (59)	.29 (51)	7% (48)	2 (50)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TCU Defense	12	49% (59)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.35 (106)	1.6 (86)	31% (95)	35% (122)	.37 (98)	5% (119)	2 (34)
KU Offense	13	40% (122)	51% (9)	15.4	23.9	240.1	10	15.6	24 (41)	11 (68)	.67 (1)	1.9 (4)	31% (52)	35% (24)	.5 (18)	5% (26)	2.2 (20)

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 12.40 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU: 12.40 Kansas: 5.47

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: 10.8 Kansas: 4.9

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 5.47 #41
Kansas's Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
2024 Talent Rating: 686.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Kansas's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
TCU 32
Kansas 26

Projected Total Points: 57

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Kansas's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Kansas	27	TCU	38	TCU	Kansas -1.5	TCU	58.5	Over
2022	10/08	Kansas	31	TCU	38	TCU	TCU -7	NA	70.0	Under
2021	11/20	TCU	31	Kansas	28	TCU	TCU -21	Kansas	64.0	Under
2020	11/28	Kansas	23	TCU	59	TCU	TCU -23.5	TCU	51.5	Over
2019	09/28	TCU	51	Kansas	14	TCU	TCU -14.5	TCU	48.0	Over
2018	10/27	Kansas	27	TCU	26	Kansas	TCU -13	Kansas	46.5	Over
2017	10/21	TCU	43	Kansas	0	TCU	TCU -37.5	TCU	61.5	Under
2016	10/08	Kansas	23	TCU	24	TCU	TCU -29.5	Kansas	61.0	Under
2015	11/14	TCU	23	Kansas	17	TCU	TCU -43	Kansas	71.0	Under
2014	11/15	Kansas	30	TCU	34	TCU	TCU -24.5	Kansas	0
2013	10/12	TCU	27	Kansas	17	TCU	TCU -24	Kansas	0
2012	09/15	Kansas	6	TCU	20	TCU

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas	1	6	4 Overs
TCU	11	4	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	5 - 5	2 - 4	3 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 6	5 - 5	1 - 3	4 - 2

(#21) TCU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.40 #21
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

TCU Notes
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great
(9/23) Rgame awful vs SMU, 2.0 ypc. Off 5 TOs
(8/31) Hoover is non-mobile JAG, run game poor vs Stan
(8/30) D moved to 4-2-5 then best NT portaled (OU)

TCU Ratings Matchup Kansas

Power #21

#41

Off #24

Def #53

#98

Talent #32

#60

SP+ #25

#50

SP+ Off #19

#32

SP+ Def #38

#68

Rematch from Week 5
Kansas -1.5 (58.5)
TCU won at Kansas this year (38-27)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Kansas last year (38-27)
TCU beat Kansas in 2022 (38-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arrowhead Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 84° - Wind: 16 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TCU | KU
Depth Chart: TCU | KU
Rosters: TCU | KU

(#41) Kansas Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.47 #41
Offense Rating: 29.66 #3
Defense Rating: 12.87 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.4 #32
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #68
Talent Rating: 686.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #65
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 49%
Great Pass Success 48%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Kansas Notes
(12/6) OC Jeff Grimes left for Wisc OC job
(11/23) Killed CU. 1st losing team w/ 3 str top 25 wins
(11/18) Off awful (242 yds), outplayed @ BYU but found W
(11/13) Daniels great in ISU W, KU turning corner?
(11/13) Pass D torched, Run Def great vs ISU, Rgame great
(9/28) Pass D torched by TCU, Daniels awful. Sad team
(9/16) QB Daniels is electric but can't read Def. Big issue
(9/13) D OK vs UNLV, Off was awful, 2 TOs cost game
(9/8) Bad L @ Ill, 4 TOs. Run D played great though
(7/30) OL 2/5 return, big ??, RB has depth

TCU's OC Kendal Briles

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Josh Hoover	313	471	67%	3949	27	11	8.4
Ken Seals (Tr)	10	13	77%	97	1	0	7.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Cook	119	460	9	3.9	19
Jeremy Payne	54	239	3	4.4	32
Trent Battle	44	186	2	4.2	24
Jordyn Bailey	3	74	1	24.7	59

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric McAlister (Tr)	39	762	5	19.5	84
Drake Dabney (Tr)	19	193	0	10.2	44
D'Andre Rogers	12	142	2	11.8	40
Jeremy Payne	12	99	0	8.3	21

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Namdi Obiazor	81	7	3	2	1
Jamel Johnson	72	2	0	0	3
Bud Clark	68	0	0	0	3
Kaleb Elarms-Orr (Tr)	54	5	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devean Deal (Tr)	46	10	6	3	1
Cooper McDonald (Tr)	25	5	3	2	1
Zachary Chapman	24	3	3	1	0
Nana Osafo-Mensah (Tr)	38	9	3	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Lamareon James (Tr)	34	0	12
Jamel Johnson	47	3	9
Jevon McIver Jr. (Tr)	12	0	4

Kansas's OC Jeff Grimes

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalon Daniels	171	300	57%	2454	14	12	8.2
Cole Ballard	5	6	83%	51	1	0	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jalon Daniels	93	447	6	4.8	33
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	65	376	3	5.8	32
Sevion Morrison	27	164	2	6.1	38
Cole Ballard	5	42	0	8.4	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	3	33	0	11.0	17
Douglas Emilien	3	20	1	6.7	8
Sevion Morrison	1	18	0	18.0	18
Mack Moeller	1	7	0	7.0	7

View Kansas's Full Roster

Kansas's DC Brian Borland

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Taylor Davis	33	1	0	0	1
Dean Miller	32	10	5	4	3
Dylan Wudke (Tr)	23	4	1	2	0
D.J. Withers	21	4	3	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dean Miller	32	10	5	4	3
D.J. Withers	21	4	3	0	1
Tommy Dunn	16	4	2	0	0
Dylan Wudke (Tr)	23	4	1	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dean Miller	32	10	5	4	3
Jalen Todd	9	0	0	0	2
Taylor Davis	33	1	0	0	1