Texas Tech Red Raiders at TCU Horned Frogs
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
TCU -5.0 (66.0) (-230) Open: -6.0 | 67.5
TCU 35 - Texas Tech: 34 (Big 12)
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (31 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (31 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: TCU -11 (SP+ TCU -7)
Projected Score: TTU: 27 - TCU: 38 (65)
TCU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
TTU Travel: 268 miles
Projected Score: TTU: 27 - TCU: 38 (65)
TCU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
TTU Travel: 268 miles
Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
| Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian | -34.5 | 58.5 | W 52 - 51 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Texas Tech at Washington State | -2.5 | 64.5 | L 16 - 37 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Texas Tech vs North Texas | -10.5 | 70.5 | W 66 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Texas Tech vs Arizona State | -4.5 | 58.5 | W 30 - 22 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Texas Tech vs Cincinnati | -3.0 | 60.0 | W 44 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Texas Tech at Arizona | +6.0 | 64.0 | W 28 - 22 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Texas Tech vs Baylor | -4.5 | 56.0 | L 35 - 59 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Texas Tech at TCU | +5.0 | 66.0 | L 34 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Texas Tech at Iowa State | +13.5 | 55.0 | W 23 - 22 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Texas Tech vs Colorado | +5.0 | 62.0 | L 27 - 41 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Texas Tech at Oklahoma State | -5.0 | 63.5 | W 56 - 48 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Texas Tech vs West Virginia | -2.5 | 61.5 | W 52 - 15 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/27 | Texas Tech vs Arkansas | -3.5 | 52.5 | L 26 - 39 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| TCU's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | TCU at Stanford | -8.0 | 58.5 | W 34 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | TCU vs Long Island University | -45.5 | 56.5 | W 45 - 0 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | TCU vs UCF | -1.5 | 61.5 | L 34 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | TCU at SMU | -1.0 | 58.5 | L 42 - 66 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | TCU vs Kansas | +1.5 | 58.5 | W 38 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/4 | TCU vs Houston | -16.5 | 52.0 | L 19 - 30 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | TCU at Utah | +3.0 | 52.0 | W 13 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | TCU vs Texas Tech | -5.0 | 66.0 | W 35 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | TCU at Baylor | +2.5 | 64.0 | L 34 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | TCU vs Oklahoma State | -10.5 | 68.5 | W 38 - 13 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | TCU vs Arizona | -10.5 | 60.0 | W 49 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | TCU at Cincinnati | -2.5 | 58.5 | W 20 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/28 | TCU vs Louisiana | -9.5 | 61.0 | W 34 - 3 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | #92 (.15) | 42% (59) | 37.6 | 47% (26) | 3.36 (17) | 163 | 39% (97) | 224 | 3.91 (70) | #51 (.16) | 41% (54) | 34.8 | 42% (63) | 40% (51) | 3.46 (42) | 49.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| TCU | #25 (.28) | 47% (16) | 33.5 | 49% (18) | 3.35 (23) | 155 | 47% (20) | 312 | 3.91 (69) | #96 (.23) | 44% (89) | 24.6 | 43% (70) | 45% (112) | 3.91 (78) | 53.6 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| TCU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTU Offense | 13 | 37.6 | 31.4 | 42.5% | 3.91 | 1.8 | 22 | 387 | 163 | 224 | 4.5 | 47% | 51% | 47% | 39% | 15% | .15 |
| TCU Defense | 12 | 24.6 | 23.3 | 43.6% | 3.91 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 49% | 43% | 45% | 13% | .23 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTU Defense | 13 | 34.8 | 32.8 | 40.9% | 3.46 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 51% | 42% | 40% | 15% | .16 |
| TCU Offense | 12 | 33.5 | 36.7 | 47.4% | 3.91 | 1.6 | 25 | 467 | 155 | 312 | 4.6 | 42% | 57% | 49% | 47% | 13% | .28 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 13 | 28:45 | 21.9 | 40% | 65% | 5.4 | 49.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 3 | 30 |
| TCU | 12 | 27:21 | 25 | 46% | 50% | 6.2 | 53.6 | 1.6 | 1 | 5 | 1.8 | 2 | 29.9 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTU Offense | 13 | 47% (90) | 47% (26) | 36.5 | 162.8 | 4.5 | 17 (81) | .21 (32) | 3.36 (17) | 76% (47) | 7% (12) | 0.99 (69) |
| TCU Defense | 12 | 51% (76) | 43% (70) | - | - | - | - | .16 (81) | 3.16 (82) | 78% (100) | 8% (117) | 1 (72) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTU Defense | 13 | 48% (42) | 42% (63) | - | - | - | - | .15 (73) | 3.14 (76) | 61% (11) | 9% (101) | 1 (74) |
| TCU Offense | 12 | 42% (119) | 49% (18) | 33.8 | 154.5 | 4.6 | 19 (69) | .22 (29) | 3.35 (23) | 79% (26) | 7% (6) | 0.96 (93) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTU Offense | 13 | 51% (46) | 39% (97) | 21.8 | 36.2 | 223.8 | 6.2 | 10.2 | 24 (41) | 18 (128) | .16 (111) | 1.5 (116) | 30% (44) | 27% (94) | .24 (97) | 8% (118) | 1.9 (120) |
| TCU Defense | 12 | 49% (59) | 45% (112) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (100) | .35 (106) | 1.6 (86) | 31% (95) | 35% (122) | .37 (98) | 5% (119) | 2 (34) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTU Defense | 13 | 51% (88) | 40% (51) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (26) | .21 (37) | 1.5 (22) | 30% (100) | 28% (42) | .32 (74) | 6% (71) | 2.2 (108) |
| TCU Offense | 12 | 57% (16) | 47% (20) | 26.6 | 41.9 | 312.2 | 7.5 | 11.7 | 27 (25) | 15 (116) | .4 (27) | 1.6 (63) | 31% (54) | 42% (4) | .61 (6) | 7% (94) | 2 (73) |
Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 2.09 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 2.09 #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
2024 Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 2.09 TCU: 14.1
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 4.3 TCU: 10.8
Texas Tech: 2.09 TCU: 14.1
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 4.3 TCU: 10.8
TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 14.1 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
TCU's Power Rating: 14.1 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 719.13
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.4
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.4
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8
Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 38
Texas Tech 27
Projected Total Points: 65
TCU 38
Texas Tech 27
Projected Total Points: 65
TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | TCU | 35 | Texas Tech | 34 | TCU | TCU -5.0 | Texas Tech | 66.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/02 | Texas Tech | 35 | TCU | 28 | Texas Tech | Texas Tech -2.5 | Texas Tech | 59.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 11/05 | TCU | 34 | Texas Tech | 24 | TCU | TCU -8.5 | TCU | 69.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/09 | Texas Tech | 31 | TCU | 52 | TCU | TCU -2.5 | TCU | 60.0 | Over |
| 2020 | 11/07 | TCU | 34 | Texas Tech | 18 | TCU | TCU -9.5 | TCU | 60.0 | Under |
| 2019 | 11/16 | Texas Tech | 31 | TCU | 33 | TCU | TCU -3.5 | Texas Tech | 53.0 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/11 | TCU | 14 | Texas Tech | 17 | Texas Tech | TCU -7.5 | Texas Tech | 57.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Texas Tech | 3 | TCU | 27 | TCU | TCU -6.5 | TCU | 53.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/29 | TCU | 24 | Texas Tech | 27 | Texas Tech | TCU -8.5 | Texas Tech | 87.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 09/26 | Texas Tech | 52 | TCU | 55 | TCU | TCU -9.5 | Texas Tech | 83.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/25 | TCU | 82 | Texas Tech | 27 | TCU | TCU -20 | TCU | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/12 | Texas Tech | 20 | TCU | 10 | Texas Tech | TCU -6 | Texas Tech | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/20 | TCU | 53 | Texas Tech | 56 | Texas Tech | ||||
| 2006 | 09/16 | TCU | 12 | Texas Tech | 3 | TCU | ||||
| 2004 | 09/18 | Texas Tech | 70 | TCU | 35 | Texas Tech |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 9 | 5 | 5 Overs |
| Texas Tech | 6 | 7 | 5 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 7 | 7 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 3 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 7 - 8 | 5 - 7 | 2 - 3 | 3 - 4 |
(#55) Texas Tech Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.09 #55
Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.73 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Texas Tech Notes
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.09 #55
Offense Rating: 22.17 #49
Defense Rating: 13.59 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #95
Talent Rating: 844.00 #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.73 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.97 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Texas Tech Notes
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
Power #55
#21Off #49
#24Def #99
#53Talent #23
#32SP+ #54
#25SP+ Off #25
#19SP+ Def #95
#38Rematch from Week 9
TCU -5.0 (66.0)
TCU won vs Texas Tech this year (35-34)
Previous Matchups
TCU beat Texas Tech last year (35-34)
Texas Tech beat TCU in 2023 (35-28)
TCU beat Texas Tech in 2022 (34-24)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 7 mph
Team Information
Injuries: TTU | TCU
Depth Chart: TTU | TCU
Rosters: TTU | TCU
(#21) TCU Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.1 #21
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
TCU Notes
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great
(9/23) Rgame awful vs SMU, 2.0 ypc. Off 5 TOs
(8/31) Hoover is non-mobile JAG, run game poor vs Stan
(8/30) D moved to 4-2-5 then best NT portaled (OU)
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.1 #21
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 794.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
TCU Notes
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great
(9/23) Rgame awful vs SMU, 2.0 ypc. Off 5 TOs
(8/31) Hoover is non-mobile JAG, run game poor vs Stan
(8/30) D moved to 4-2-5 then best NT portaled (OU)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Behren Morton | 293 | 463 | 63% | 3300 | 27 | 8 | 7.1 |
| Will Hammond | 15 | 23 | 65% | 191 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Dickey | 25 | 150 | 1 | 6.0 | 37 |
| J'Koby Williams | 26 | 113 | 1 | 4.3 | 13 |
| Cameran Brown (Tr) | 8 | 83 | 0 | 10.4 | 22 |
| Cam'Ron Valdez | 9 | 40 | 0 | 4.4 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Kelly (Tr) | 89 | 1023 | 5 | 11.5 | 41 |
| Caleb Douglas (Tr) | 55 | 765 | 6 | 13.9 | 57 |
| Coy Eakin | 45 | 605 | 6 | 13.4 | 70 |
| Jalin Conyers (Tr) | 25 | 271 | 5 | 10.8 | 36 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rodriguez | 104 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Ben Roberts | 74 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| Maurion Horn | 46 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Chapman Lewis | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rodriguez | 104 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Terrell Tilmon | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaac Smith | 31 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jayden Cofield | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurion Horn | 46 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Jacob Rodriguez | 104 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Chapman Lewis | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hoover | 313 | 471 | 67% | 3949 | 27 | 11 | 8.4 |
| Ken Seals (Tr) | 10 | 13 | 77% | 97 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cook | 119 | 460 | 9 | 3.9 | 19 |
| Jeremy Payne | 54 | 239 | 3 | 4.4 | 32 |
| Trent Battle | 44 | 186 | 2 | 4.2 | 24 |
| Jordyn Bailey | 3 | 74 | 1 | 24.7 | 59 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric McAlister (Tr) | 39 | 762 | 5 | 19.5 | 84 |
| Drake Dabney (Tr) | 19 | 193 | 0 | 10.2 | 44 |
| D'Andre Rogers | 12 | 142 | 2 | 11.8 | 40 |
| Jeremy Payne | 12 | 99 | 0 | 8.3 | 21 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namdi Obiazor | 81 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Jamel Johnson | 72 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Bud Clark | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Kaleb Elarms-Orr (Tr) | 54 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devean Deal (Tr) | 46 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Cooper McDonald (Tr) | 25 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Zachary Chapman | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Nana Osafo-Mensah (Tr) | 38 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamareon James (Tr) | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| Jamel Johnson | 47 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Jevon McIver Jr. (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |