Texas Tech at TCU - 2024 Matchup Preview
Texas Tech logo (#14)Texas Tech Red Raiders at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
TCU -5.0 (66.0) (-230)  Open: -6.0 | 67.5
TCU 35 - Texas Tech: 34  (Big 12)

 
Red Raiders (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Joey McGuire (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 38 - 35 (31 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: TCU -11  (SP+ TCU -7)
Projected Score: TTU: 26 - TCU: 37 (63)
TCU Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
TTU Travel: 268 miles
Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas Tech vs Abilene Christian-34.558.5W 52 - 51ON
Sat 9/7 Texas Tech at Washington State-2.564.5L 16 - 37UN
Sat 9/14 Texas Tech vs North Texas-10.570.5W 66 - 21OY
Sat 9/21 Texas Tech vs Arizona State-4.558.5W 30 - 22UY
Sat 9/28 Texas Tech vs Cincinnati-3.060.0W 44 - 41ON
Sat 10/5 Texas Tech at Arizona+6.064.0W 28 - 22UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Texas Tech vs Baylor-4.556.0L 35 - 59ON
Sat 10/26 Texas Tech at TCU+5.066.0L 34 - 35OY
Sat 11/2 Texas Tech at Iowa State+13.555.0W 23 - 22UY
Sat 11/9 Texas Tech vs Colorado+5.062.0L 27 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Texas Tech at Oklahoma State-5.063.5W 56 - 48OY
Sat 11/30 Texas Tech vs West Virginia-2.561.5W 52 - 15OY
Fri 12/27 Texas Tech vs Arkansas-3.552.5L 26 - 39ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas Tech's Schedule
TCU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 TCU at Stanford-8.058.5W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/7 TCU vs Long Island University-45.556.5W 45 - 0UN
Sat 9/14 TCU vs UCF-1.561.5L 34 - 35ON
Sat 9/21 TCU at SMU-1.058.5L 42 - 66ON
Sat 9/28 TCU vs Kansas+1.558.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 10/4 TCU vs Houston-16.552.0L 19 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 TCU at Utah+3.052.0W 13 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 TCU vs Texas Tech-5.066.0W 35 - 34ON
Sat 11/2 TCU at Baylor+2.564.0L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/9 TCU vs Oklahoma State-10.568.5W 38 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 TCU vs Arizona-10.560.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 TCU at Cincinnati-2.558.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 12/28 TCU vs Louisiana-9.561.0W 34 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)37.645% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)34.844% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)33.545% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)24.646% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TTU#33 (.25)44% (50)45% (49)3.17 (45)15043% (51)2754.73 (7)#104 (.23)44% (93)44% (76)44% (101)3.97 (83)59.41.51.6
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Offense1337.631.444.2%4.731.5234251502754.545%55%45%43%14%.25
TCU Defense1324.623.341.5%3.821.1 - - - - - 53%47%46%36%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TTU Defense1334.832.843.6%3.971.6 - - - - - 45%54%44%44%13%.23
TCU Offense1333.536.747.1%4.461.6214001062933.942%58%45%49%13%.3

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas Tech1327:5022.849%52%759.41.51.64.61.5231
TCU1326:112144%80%5.249.71.61.14.51.8131.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Offense1345% (104)45% (49)33.2149.64.524 (45).17 (46)3.17 (45)72% (81)8% (38)1.05 (42)
TCU Defense1353% (95)46% (102) - - - - .22 (118)3.26 (104)89% (134)9% (105)1.02 (87)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TTU Defense1345% (16)44% (76) - - - - .12 (69)2.75 (30)62% (14)8% (108)1.08 (111)
TCU Offense1342% (119)45% (53)27.6106.43.926 (36).08 (95)2.95 (85)73% (70)8% (36)0.94 (85)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Offense1355% (27)43% (51)24.338.6275.47.111.330 (9)9 (48).31 (44)1.6 (77)32% (81)34% (39).39 (45)6% (66)2 (89)
TCU Defense1347% (41)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (40)1.5 (57)34% (42)27% (19).19 (22)6% (81)1.8 (26)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TTU Defense1354% (120)44% (101) - - - - - - 14 (23).33 (108)1.7 (106)31% (91)36% (120).45 (116)4% (124)2.1 (94)
TCU Offense1358% (19)49% (9)23.534.9293.28.412.525 (31)10 (63).47 (5)1.6 (75)31% (57)33% (47).4 (39)5% (38)2.1 (55)

Texas Tech's Power Ratings
Texas Tech's Power Rating: 2.09  #55
Texas Tech's Offense Rating: 22.17  #49
Texas Tech's Defense Rating: 13.59  #99
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14%  #33
Texas Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Texas Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3  #54
Texas Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #25
Texas Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #95

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 2.09   TCU: 14.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas Tech: 4.3   TCU: 10.8




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 14.1  #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52  #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72  #53
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11  #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8  #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6  #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #38

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Texas Tech Scoring
Offense: 37.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.4
Defense: 34.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 37
Texas Tech 26


Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Texas Tech 31
TCU 26

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
TCU 34
Texas Tech 29

Total Points: 63
TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26TCU35Texas Tech34TCU -5.0Texas Tech66.0Over
202311/02Texas Tech35TCU28Texas Tech -2.5Texas Tech59.5Over
202211/05TCU34Texas Tech24TCU -8.5TCU69.0Under
202110/09Texas Tech31TCU52TCU -2.5TCU60.0Over
202011/07TCU34Texas Tech18TCU -9.5TCU60.0Under
201911/16Texas Tech31TCU33TCU -3.5Texas Tech53.0Over
201810/11TCU14Texas Tech17TCU -7.5Texas Tech57.5Under
201711/18Texas Tech3TCU27TCU -6.5TCU53.5Under
201610/29TCU24Texas Tech27TCU -8.5Texas Tech87.0Under
201509/26Texas Tech52TCU55TCU -9.5Texas Tech83.5Over
201410/25TCU82Texas Tech27TCU -20TCU0
201309/12Texas Tech20TCU10TCU -6Texas Tech0
201210/20TCU53Texas Tech56
200609/16TCU12Texas Tech3
200409/18Texas Tech70TCU35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU955 Overs
Texas Tech675 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 77 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams7 - 85 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#55) TTU at (#21) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTTUTCU
Power RatePwr #55 #21
SP+SP+ #54 #25
Perf GradeGrade #84 #32
OffenseOff #40 #31
DefenseDef #122 #55
Spec TeamsST #24 #14
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #33 #38
Texas Tech Notes
(12/5) Hired Tex St OC Mack Leftwich
(11/23) Morton torched bad Pokes. Pass Def was awful
(11/13) 10-0 lead gone vs CU, Rgame bad, Morton OK
(11/2) Big W @ ISU, still had 10 flags, 2 TOs, outgained
(10/30) QB Morton to start vs Iowa State
(10/30) Gagged 31-14 lead vs TCU, backup QB TOs cost
(10/27) QB Morton inj, Fr Hammond took over vs TCU
(10/19) Typical Tech, killed by Baylor. Shit coach/team
(10/7) 3 big W's. Morton is hot, Pass & Run game decent
(9/23) QB Morton meh, Def better in W vs ASU
(9/8) D allowed 301 yds rushing vs Wazzu. 4 TOs. Woof
(9/1) Def Awful, Abl Chris 506 yds passing, 51 pts in OT W,
Texas Tech Injury Report
TCU Notes
(11/25) 2 str W's, Rgame good, Hoover good vs TCU
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great
(9/23) Rgame awful vs SMU, 2.0 ypc. Off 5 TOs
(8/31) Hoover is non-mobile JAG, run game poor vs Stan
(8/30) D moved to 4-2-5 then best NT portaled (OU)
(7/30) Briles 2nd yr at OC, New DC Avalos (Boise HC)
TCU Injury Report
Texas Tech on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
TTU OffTCU Def
Perf GradePerf #40 #55
SuccessSuc #50 #67
ExplosiveExp #40 #52
PPAPPA #33 #82
PowerPwr #49 #53
SP+SP+ #25 #38
Pts POPPO #7 #72
HavocHav #36 #102
Texas Tech Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
TTU OffTCU Def
Run GameRun #46 #68
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #102
Run ExplRExp #42 #87
PPAExp #46 #118
Run BlockR Blk #51 -
OL YdsOLY #45 #104
Stuff RateStuff #51 #87
TackleTak -  #22
Texas Tech Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
TTU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePass #34 #14
Pass SuccessPSuc #51 #18
Pass ExplPExl #77 #57
PPAExp #44 #40
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #24 #124
F7 HavocF7 #38 #105
DB HavocDB #66 #81
TCU on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatTCU OffTTU Def
Perf GradePerf #31 #122
SuccessSuc #20 #93
ExplosiveExp #45 #120
PPAPPA #18 #104
PowerPwr #24 #99
SP+SP+ #19 #95
Pts POPPO #20 #83
HavocHav #28 #123
TCU Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCat
TCU OffTTU Def
Run GameRun #97 #105
Run SuccessRSuc #53 #76
Run ExplRExp #85 #111
PPAExp #95 #69
Run BlockR Blk #79 -
OL YdsOLY #85 #30
Stuff RateStuff #82 #35
TackleTak -  #133
TCU Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
CategoryCatTCU OffTTU Def
Pass GamePass #17 #127
Pass SuccessPSuc #9 #101
Pass ExplPExl #75 #106
PPAExp #5 #108
Pass Block/RushP Blk #51 #108
F7 HavocF7 #36 #108
DB HavocDB #38 #124
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

TTU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 83° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 9
TCU -5.0 (66.0)
TCU won vs Texas Tech this year (35-34)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Texas Tech last year (35-34)
Texas Tech beat TCU in 2023 (35-28)
TCU beat Texas Tech in 2022 (34-24)

  
TTU's OC Zach Kittley (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Behren Morton29346363%33002787.1
Will Hammond152365%191108.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tahj Brooks2861505175.340
Cameron Dickey2515016.037
J'Koby Williams2611314.313
Cameran Brown (Tr)883010.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Kelly (Tr)891023511.541
Caleb Douglas (Tr)55765613.957
Coy Eakin45605613.470
Jalin Conyers (Tr)25271510.836

View Texas Tech's Full Roster

TTU's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Ben Roberts745040
C.J. Baskerville603003
Maurion Horn462014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
Terrell Tilmon84400
Isaac Smith314310
Harvey Dyson III103241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Maurion Horn462014
Jacob Rodriguez1049543
C.J. Baskerville603003

TCU's OC Kendal Briles (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals (Tr)101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook11946093.919
Savion Williams5132266.335
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Trent Battle4418624.224
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Bech621034916.752
Eric McAlister (Tr)39762519.584
John Paul Richardson57733212.938
Savion Williams60611610.275

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Hodges895120
Namdi Obiazor817321
Jamel Johnson722003
Bud Clark680003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devean Deal (Tr)4610631
Cooper McDonald (Tr)255321
Nana Osafo-Mensah (Tr)389351
Zachary Chapman243310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lamareon James (Tr)3400012
Abraham Camara556016
Jevon McIver Jr. (Tr)120004