Kansas State at TCU - 2026 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, November 14th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Amon G. Carter Stadium - Fort Worth, TX

 
Wildcats (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Collin Klein (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#80)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TCU is playing their 5th straight game
KSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: TCU -4.5  (SP+ TCU -1)

Projected Score: KSU: 26 - TCU: 31 (57)
TCU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 451 miles
Horned Frogs (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (36 - 17)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 4.7 (#50)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kansas State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Kansas State vs Nicholls-30
Sat 9/12 Kansas State vs Washington State-9
Sat 9/19 Kansas State vs Tulane-11
Sat 9/26 Kansas State at Cincinnati-0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Kansas State vs Houston-2.5
Sat 10/17 Kansas State vs Kansas-7.5
Sat 10/24 Kansas State at Arizona State+0
Sat 10/31 Kansas State at Colorado-11.5
Sat 11/7 Kansas State vs Oklahoma State-17
Sat 11/14 Kansas State at TCU+4.5
Sat 11/21 Kansas State vs Arizona-0.5
Sat 11/28 Kansas State at Iowa State+0.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
TCU's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 TCU vs North Carolina-11.5
Sat 9/12 TCU vs Grambling-31.5
Sat 9/19 TCU vs Arkansas State-21.5
Sat 9/26 TCU at UCF-8
Sat 10/3 TCU vs BYU+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 TCU at Baylor-3.5
Sat 10/24 TCU vs West Virginia-13
Sat 10/31 TCU vs Kansas-9
Sat 11/7 TCU at Arizona+2.5
Sat 11/14 TCU vs Kansas State-4.5
Sat 11/21 TCU vs Utah+6
Sat 11/28 TCU at Texas Tech+21

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#45 (.2)41% (92)29.441% (94)2.82 (93)17241% (82)1984.15 (32)#56 (.13)39% (45)26.741% (61)38% (30)3.45 (49)38.31.32.2
TCU#36 (.21)44% (48)30.743% (79)2.7 (113)13247% (24)2904.14 (34)#59 (.15)40% (53)25.338% (23)43% (86)3.49 (54)621.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1229.430.840.8%4.151.3173711721985.251%47%41%41%18%.2
TCU Defense1325.324.240.3%3.491.6 - - - - - 48%50%38%43%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1226.726.439.5%3.452.2 - - - - - 52%47%41%38%17%.13
TCU Offense1330.73644.3%4.141.522422132290445%53%43%47%15%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1229:0017.237%56%4.138.31.32.262.3230.2
TCU1328:5122.247%64%6.8621.51.65.21.8130
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1251% (50)41% (94)33.2172.35.223 (88).18 (40)2.82 (93)67% (101)11% (114)1.2 (3)
TCU Defense1348% (51)38% (23) - - - - .06 (44)2.84 (58)68% (48)9% (84)0.88 (26)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1252% (92)41% (61) - - - - .12 (81)2.73 (38)70% (56)10% (49)1.12 (129)
TCU Offense1345% (104)43% (79)33.3131.8420 (60).04 (109)2.7 (113)77% (35)9% (71)0.83 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1247% (86)41% (82)1728.5198.3711.718 (42)7 (20).25 (65)1.6 (39)34% (120)31% (65).28 (79)7% (92)1.8 (121)
TCU Defense1350% (85)43% (86) - - - - - - 14 (22).3 (92)1.7 (111)32% (66)32% (94).35 (96)6% (75)2.1 (102)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1247% (55)38% (30) - - - - - - 13 (38).15 (27)1.6 (87)33% (37)28% (53).24 (50)7% (38)2.1 (95)
TCU Offense1353% (34)47% (24)23.535.4290.18.212.330 (3)15 (108).41 (20)1.6 (35)33% (89)34% (23).45 (20)6% (72)2.1 (26)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 5.61  #41
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 13.71  #46
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 13.10  #38
2026 Talent Rating: 838.00  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Kansas State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Kansas State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.0  #42
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #46
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 5.61   TCU: 10.67

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 7.0   TCU: 8.3




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 10.67  #32
TCU's Offense Rating: 13.74  #45
TCU's Defense Rating: 10.70  #30
2026 Talent Rating: 866.00  #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 16  #31
TCU's 2026 Expected Record: 8.3 - 4.7
TCU's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #37
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9  #30
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9  #50

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 796.63
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 31
Kansas State 26


Projected Total Points: 57
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Kansas State41TCU28TCU -3Kansas State54.5Over
202310/21Kansas State41TCU3Kansas State -5.5Kansas State60.0Under
202212/03TCU28Kansas State31TCU -1Kansas State60.5Under
202210/22TCU38Kansas State28TCU -3.5TCU54.5Over
202110/30Kansas State31TCU12Kansas State -3.5Kansas State58.5Under
202010/10TCU14Kansas State21TCU -10.5Kansas State49.5Under
201910/19Kansas State24TCU17TCU -4.5Kansas State43.5Under
201811/03TCU14Kansas State13TCU -10Kansas State44.5Under
201710/14Kansas State6TCU26TCU -7.5TCU49.5Under
201612/03TCU6Kansas State30TCU -4.5Kansas State50.0Under
201510/10Kansas State45TCU52TCU -7NA61.5Over
201411/08TCU41Kansas State20TCU -6TCU0
201311/16Kansas State33TCU31Kansas State -10.5TCU0
201211/10TCU10Kansas State23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU543 Overs
Kansas State988 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 66 - 64 - 52 - 1
Road Teams6 - 86 - 61 - 25 - 4

(#41) KSU at (#32) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #41 #32
SP+SP+ #42 #37
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #38 #32
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #31
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #92 #53
ExplosiveExp #8 #92
PPAPPA #45 #59
PowerPwr #46 #30
SP+SP+ #46 #50
Pts POPPO #32 #54
HavocHav #108 #86
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #94 #23
Run ExplRExp #3 #26
PPAExp #40 #44
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #93 #58
Stuff RateStuff #119 #95
TackleTak - NR
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #82 #86
Pass ExplPExl #39 #111
PPAExp #65 #92
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #114 #84
DB HavocDB #92 #75
TCU on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatTCU OffKSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #48 #45
ExplosiveExp #46 #113
PPAPPA #36 #56
PowerPwr #45 #38
SP+SP+ #30 #58
Pts POPPO #34 #49
HavocHav #64 #46
TCU Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
TCU OffKSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #79 #61
Run ExplRExp #121 #129
PPAExp #109 #81
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #113 #38
Stuff RateStuff #114 #56
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatTCU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #24 #30
Pass ExplPExl #35 #87
PPAExp #20 #27
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #71 #49
DB HavocDB #72 #38
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'26 Profile: Remains Average P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat TCU last year (41-28)
Kansas State beat TCU in 2023 (41-3)

  
KSU's OC Sean Gleeson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson20434160%23801867.0
Linkon Cure010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Jackson16991185.480
Rodney Fields Jr. (Tr)12461415.041
Avery Johnson10947784.458
Jay Harris (Tr)4215123.616
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaron Tibbs47595312.738
Brandon White (Tr)38399210.546
Garrett Oakley38389610.235
Joshua Manning (Tr)29318211.034

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Jordan Peterson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mekhi Mason (Tr)6215434
Zashon Rich5731010
Koy Beasley (Tr)402006
Wesley Fair361003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Hill (Tr)2212960
Wendell Gregory (Tr)2712471
Mekhi Mason (Tr)6215434
Jordan Allen165301
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zashon Rich5731010
Koy Beasley (Tr)402006
Ja'Son Prevard (Tr)241015

TCU's OC Gordon Sammis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaden Craig (Tr)20433162%28292578.5
John Hoyet Chance010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremy Payne11062355.751
Jon Denman5017833.616
Jaden Craig (Tr)487831.626
Major Everhart5701.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Dwyer54730713.569
Jeremy Scott (Tr)24417417.474
Jeremy Payne2220729.444
Ed Small16186211.641

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Andy Avalos (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamel Johnson963003
Jacob Fields (Tr)903015
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014
Vernon Glover411006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Koron Hayward (Tr)194321
Kylin Jackson265321
Ansel Din-Mbuh247220
Zachary Chapman283240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vernon Glover411006
Jacob Fields (Tr)903015
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014