Arizona at TCU - 2024 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo Arizona Wildcats at TCU Horned FrogsTCU logo
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (3:00 PM EST)
TCU -10.5 (60.0) (-425)  Open: -9.5
TCU 49 - Arizona: 28  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (4 - 8) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (18 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
TCU coming off BYE
Our Line: TCU -19.5   (SP+ TCU -14)

Projected Score: ARIZ: 20 - TCU: 39 (59)
TCU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
ARIZ Travel: 792 miles, 2 hrs behind
Horned Frogs (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sonny Dykes (18 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Arizona's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Arizona vs New Mexico-28.060.0W 61 - 39ON
Sat 9/7 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-43.065.0W 22 - 10UN
Fri 9/13 Arizona at Kansas State+7.058.0L 7 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Arizona at Utah+7.547.0W 23 - 10UY
Sat 10/5 Arizona vs Texas Tech-6.064.0L 22 - 28UN
Sat 10/12 Arizona at BYU+3.048.5L 19 - 41ON
Sat 10/19 Arizona vs Colorado-2.557.5L 7 - 34UN
Sat 10/26 Arizona vs West Virginia-5.551.5L 26 - 31ON
Sat 11/2 Arizona at UCF+6.555.0L 12 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/15 Arizona vs Houston-1.046.5W 27 - 3UY
Sat 11/23 Arizona at TCU+10.560.0L 28 - 49ON
Sat 11/30 Arizona vs Arizona State+7.552.5L 7 - 49ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
TCU's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 TCU at Stanford-8.058.5W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/7 TCU vs Long Island University-45.556.5W 45 - 0UN
Sat 9/14 TCU vs UCF-1.561.5L 34 - 35ON
Sat 9/21 TCU at SMU-1.058.5L 42 - 66ON
Sat 9/28 TCU vs Kansas+1.558.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 10/4 TCU vs Houston-16.552.0L 19 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 TCU at Utah+3.052.0W 13 - 7UY
Sat 10/26 TCU vs Texas Tech-5.066.0W 35 - 34ON
Sat 11/2 TCU at Baylor+2.564.0L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/9 TCU vs Oklahoma State-10.568.5W 38 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 TCU vs Arizona-10.560.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/30 TCU at Cincinnati-2.558.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 12/28 TCU vs Louisiana-9.561.0W 34 - 3UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for TCU's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)21.837% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)31.845% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)33.545% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)24.646% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2
TCU#18 (.3)47% (20)45% (53)2.95 (85)10649% (9)2934.46 (20)#82 (.19)42% (67)46% (102)36% (18)3.82 (72)49.71.61.1



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense1221.817.838.5%3.531.7193551072483.939%61%37%40%16%.15
TCU Defense1324.623.341.5%3.821.1 - - - - - 53%47%46%36%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense1231.837.444.6%4.551.2 - - - - - 51%48%45%44%14%.24
TCU Offense1333.536.747.1%4.461.6214001062933.942%58%45%49%13%.3

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona1229:4518.543%42%6.557.61.71.24.81.7027.6
TCU1326:112144%80%5.249.71.61.14.51.8131.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense1239% (127)37% (126)27.4106.73.911 (116).03 (112)2.64 (123)55% (134)9% (59)1.21 (6)
TCU Defense1353% (95)46% (102) - - - - .22 (118)3.26 (104)89% (134)9% (105)1.02 (87)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense1251% (73)45% (90) - - - - .18 (100)3.32 (115)78% (99)9% (94)1.08 (109)
TCU Offense1342% (119)45% (53)27.6106.43.926 (36).08 (95)2.95 (85)73% (70)8% (36)0.94 (85)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense1261% (8)40% (91)21.836.4247.96.811.418 (68)13 (103).22 (88)1.6 (44)36% (124)31% (70).33 (71)6% (88)2.1 (35)
TCU Defense1347% (41)36% (18) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (40)1.5 (57)34% (42)27% (19).19 (22)6% (81)1.8 (26)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense1248% (61)44% (109) - - - - - - 6 (109).31 (103)1.6 (66)31% (88)32% (95).39 (101)5% (93)2.2 (105)
TCU Offense1358% (19)49% (9)23.534.9293.28.412.525 (31)10 (63).47 (5)1.6 (75)31% (57)33% (47).4 (39)5% (38)2.1 (55)

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Arizona's Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Arizona's Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Arizona's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Arizona's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -7.71   TCU: 14.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -2.8   TCU: 10.8




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 14.1 #21
TCU's Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
TCU's Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
TCU's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
TCU's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

Arizona's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
TCU 39
Arizona 20


Total Points: 59

TCU Scoring
Offense: 33.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3

TCU's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23TCU49Arizona28TCUTCU -10.5TCU60.0Over
200309/27Arizona10TCU13TCU
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU211 Overs
Arizona000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#90) Arizona Info
Power Rating: -7.71 #90
Offense Rating: 17.72 #87
Defense Rating: 14.40 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 39%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.53 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.55 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Arizona has won 1 straight
Arizona has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Arizona Notes
(12/13) OC Babers lost playcalling in Nov/not renewed
(12/1) 1-7 finish, killed by ASU, Off was awful, Def worse
(11/25) Killed by TCU, Rgame/Def abysmal, Fifita meh
(11/18) Off the mat W vs Hou, stats even but forced 3 TOs
(11/2) 5 Straight L's, Off awful, Def awful. Sinking
(10/28) -6.25 pgg via TOs, bottom 10 in CFB thru 8 gms
(10/27) Four straight L's, Rgame awful, D bad vs WVU
(10/19) Unserious FB team. Just 245 yds vs Colorado?
(10/12) 4 TOs and bad defense = killed by BYU
(10/7) Scoring Opp Off/Def awful. 6 FG att @ TT (L)

Arizona Highlights
Arizona offense is explosive (#8)

Arizona Deficiencies
Arizona Can Not Run the Ball (#40)
Arizona throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Arizona offense is really bad (#96)
Arizona Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#87)
Arizona offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#118)
Arizona run game is really bad (#113)
Arizona Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Arizona has a bad defense (#11)
Arizona Does Not Stuff Runs (#19)
Arizona has a bad defensive line (#24)
Arizona has a bad red zone defense (#3)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTCUARIZ
OverallOver#25#71
OffenseOff#27#67
DefenseDef#40#97
Special TeamsST#13#45
PassingPass#15#45
RushingRush#68#66
Run BlockRBLK#62#77
Pass BlockPBLK#48#16
Route RunningWR Rt#8#54
TacklingTkl#20#111
Run DefenseR Def#53#91
Pass Rush DefPRush#104#66
Coverage DefCov#12#92

Rematch from Week 13
TCU -10.5 (60.0)
TCU won vs Arizona this year (49-28)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat Arizona last year (49-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ARIZ | TCU
Depth Chart: ARIZ | TCU
Rosters: ARIZ | TCU
(#21) TCU Info
Power Rating: 14.1 #21
Offense Rating: 24.52 #24
Defense Rating: 7.72 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #25
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 11 #38
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.46 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

TCU has won 1 straight
TCU has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

TCU Notes
(11/13) Killed quit Pokes, Hoover good, Rgame good
(11/3) Even w/ Baylor, Hoover great, Def torched 500+
(10/28) -6.9 ppg via TOs, near last in CFB thru 8 weeks
(10/27) QB Hoover torched T Tech, 3 TOs nearly cost them
(10/16) Into Utah wk, Dykes 5-8 in last 13 games
(10/4) Off good/Def bad. Red Zone awful hurts Overs
(9/28) Good W over KU, Hoover great, Pass Def great
(9/23) Rgame awful vs SMU, 2.0 ypc. Off 5 TOs
(8/31) Hoover is non-mobile JAG, run game poor vs Stan
(8/30) D moved to 4-2-5 then best NT portaled (OU)

TCU Highlights
TCU offense is efficent (#9)
TCU offense is good in red zone (#29)
TCU has a good pass defense (#104)

TCU Deficiencies
TCU has a bad TO Margin (#28)
TCU Fumbles a Lot (#1)
TCU Can Not Run the Ball (#97)
TCU has a bad defensive line (#106)


  
Arizona's OC Dino Babers
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Fifita26043061%295818126.9
Cole Tannenbaum1520%3010.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quali Conley (Tr)15074585.058
Kedrick Reescano (Tr)7835914.656
Jacory Merritt1310618.236
Kayden Luke52004.011
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tetairoa Mcmillan841319815.778
Chris Hunter3532339.245
Quali Conley (Tr)3924516.316
Keyan Burnett18217112.135

View Arizona's Full Roster
Arizona's DC Duane Akina
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dalton Johnson785002
Taye Brown644312
Genesis Smith604006
Owen Goss (Tr)494112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tre Smith (Tr)487520
Taye Brown644312
Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei337331
Chase Kennedy (Tr)174221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Genesis Smith604006
Tacario Davis392016
Emmanuel Karnley140005

TCU's OC Kendal Briles
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Hoover31347167%394927118.4
Ken Seals (Tr)101377%97107.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Cook11946093.919
Savion Williams5132266.335
Jeremy Payne5423934.432
Trent Battle4418624.224
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jack Bech621034916.752
Eric McAlister (Tr)39762519.584
John Paul Richardson57733212.938
Savion Williams60611610.275

View TCU's Full Roster
TCU's DC Andy Avalos
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Hodges895120
Namdi Obiazor817321
Jamel Johnson722003
Bud Clark680003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devean Deal (Tr)4610631
Cooper McDonald (Tr)255321
Nana Osafo-Mensah (Tr)389351
Zachary Chapman243310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lamareon James (Tr)3400012
Abraham Camara556016
Jevon McIver Jr. (Tr)120004