TCU at Iowa State - 2021 Matchup Preview
TCU logo   TCU Horned Frogs at Iowa State Cyclones  Iowa State logo
Friday, November 26th 2021 (4:30 PM EST)
Iowa State -16 (61.5)
Iowa State 48 - TCU: 14  (Big 12)

 
Horned Frogs (5 - 7) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Gary Patterson (180 - 74)
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (26 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ISU is playing their 7th straight game
TCU is playing their 10th straight game
Our Line: -10  (SP+ ISU -15)
Projected Score: TCU: 24 - ISU: 28 (52)
ISU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
TCU Travel: 675 miles
Cyclones (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Matt Campbell (37 - 29)
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (32 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
TCU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 TCU vs Duquesne-42.054.5W 45 - 3UN
Sat 9/11 TCU vs California-11.546.5W 34 - 32ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 TCU vs SMU-8.066.0L 34 - 42ON
Sat 10/2 TCU vs Texas+3.565.5L 27 - 32UN
Sat 10/9 TCU at Texas Tech-2.560.0W 52 - 31OY
Sat 10/16 TCU at Oklahoma+12.564.5L 31 - 52ON
Sat 10/23 TCU vs West Virginia-5.058.0L 17 - 29UN
Sat 10/30 TCU at Kansas State+3.558.5L 12 - 31UN
Sat 11/6 TCU vs Baylor+7.557.0W 30 - 28OY
Sat 11/13 TCU at Oklahoma State+11.053.5L 17 - 63ON
Sat 11/20 TCU vs Kansas-21.064.0W 31 - 28UN
Fri 11/26 TCU at Iowa State+16.061.5L 14 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Iowa State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Iowa State vs Northern Iowa-28.550.0W 16 - 10UN
Sat 9/11 Iowa State vs Iowa-4.045.0L 17 - 27UN
Sat 9/18 Iowa State at UNLV-32.053.0W 48 - 3UY
Sat 9/25 Iowa State at Baylor-7.046.0L 29 - 31ON
Sat 10/2 Iowa State vs Kansas-34.557.5W 59 - 7OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Iowa State at Kansas State-6.551.0W 33 - 20OY
Sat 10/23 Iowa State vs Oklahoma State-7.547.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/30 Iowa State at West Virginia-7.549.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/6 Iowa State vs Texas-6.059.5W 30 - 7UY
Sat 11/13 Iowa State at Texas Tech-13.055.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 11/20 Iowa State at Oklahoma+3.059.0L 21 - 28UN
Fri 11/26 Iowa State vs TCU-16.061.5W 48 - 14OY
Wed 12/29 Iowa State vs Clemson+1.544.0L 13 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU.1541%30.746%2.9521535%1932.91.1132%25.331%33%3.262.81.41.2
ISU.2749%27.450%3.0919548%2414.51.1139%20.237%41%2.7342.71.21.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ISU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Offense1030.725.540.9%2.911.4194082151935.356%44%46%35%17%.15
ISU Defense1220.218.839%2.731.4 - - - - - 47%53%37%41%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TCU Defense1025.326.232.4%3.21.2 - - - - - 50%50%31%33%21%.11
ISU Offense1227.432.348.7%4.511.2234371952415.253%47%50%48%14%.27

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
TCU1030:0519.236%57%7.662.81.41.27.72.3329.1
Iowa State1233:0222.845%69%5.242.71.21.46.82.3031
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Offense1056%46%41215.15.323.192.9577%12%1.09
ISU Defense1247%37% - - - - -.012.6569%12%0.88
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TCU Defense1050%31% - - - - -.012.3865%13%1.15
ISU Offense1253%50%37.8195.35.231.213.0972%8%0.99

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Offense1044%35%16.327.2193.37.111.9105.111.631%29%.235%2
ISU Defense1253%41% - - - - - - 9.221.635%30%.36%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TCU Defense1050%33% - - - - - - 8.231.938%21%.188%2.3
ISU Offense1247%48%20.831241.37.811.6209.341.427%31%.326%2

TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
TCU's 2021 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2  #38
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #110

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
TCU:    Iowa State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
TCU: -0.6   Iowa State: 14.3




Iowa State's Power Ratings
Iowa State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Iowa State's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3  #19
Iowa State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #34
Iowa State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.2  #19

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.5
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

TCU's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa State 28
TCU 24

Projected Total Points: 52
Iowa State Scoring
Offense: 27.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Iowa State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08TCU17Iowa State20TCU -7.5Iowa State58.5Under
202310/07Iowa State27TCU14TCU -6.5Iowa State52.5Under
202211/26TCU62Iowa State14TCU -9.5TCU46.0Over
202111/26Iowa State48TCU14Iowa State -16Iowa State61.5Over
202009/26TCU34Iowa State37Iowa State -4.5TCU43.5Over
201910/05Iowa State49TCU24Iowa State -3Iowa State45.0Over
201809/29TCU17Iowa State14TCU -11Iowa State44.5Under
201710/28Iowa State14TCU7TCU -7Iowa State48.5Under
201609/17TCU41Iowa State20TCU -23.5Iowa State60.5Over
201510/17Iowa State21TCU45TCU -18TCU68.0Under
201412/06TCU55Iowa State3TCU -33TCU0
201311/09Iowa State17TCU21TCU -8Iowa State0
201210/06TCU23Iowa State37
200512/31Iowa State24TCU27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa State785 Overs
TCU745 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 68 - 44 - 34 - 1
Road Teams6 - 84 - 81 - 43 - 4

(#) TCU at (#) ISU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTCUISU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #19
Perf GradeGrade #95 #35
OffenseOff #41 #53
DefenseDef #126 #24
Spec TeamsST #115 #57
TalentTal #35 #55
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCat
TCU OffISU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #41 #24
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #38 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffISU Def
Run GameRun #58 #29
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #57
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffISU Def
Pass GamePass #38 #47
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #10 #46
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Iowa State on Offense
CategoryCatISU OffTCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #126
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Iowa State Run Game
CategoryCat
ISU OffTCU Def
Run GameRun #60 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #69 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #133
Iowa State Pass Game
CategoryCatISU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePass #48 #126
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #58 #97
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ISU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

TCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jack Trice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Iowa State -16.0 (61.5)
Iowa State won vs TCU this year (48-14)

Previous Matchups
Iowa State beat TCU last year (20-17)
Iowa State beat TCU in 2023 (27-14)

  
TCU's OC Doug Meacham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC Chad Glasgow (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ISU's OC Tom Manning (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Iowa State's Full Roster

ISU's DC Jon Heacock (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD