Virginia Team Profile
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(#19) Virginia Cavaliers (@UVAFootball)
Tony Elliott (4th year) (22-26)
Record: 11 - 3 (7 - 2)  |  Proj: 11 - 4 (#16)  |  SOS: (#67)
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Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+3.053.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-30.554.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-16.548.5W 48 - 20OY
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+7.059.5W 46 - 38OY
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+6.559.5W 30 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-16.556.5W 22 - 20UN
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina-12.551.5W 17 - 16UN
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California-6.552.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-7.048.5L 9 - 16UN
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke+5.559.5W 34 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-9.553.5W 27 - 7UY
Sat 12/6 Virginia vs Duke-3.558.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 12/27 Virginia vs Missouri+4.043.5W 13 - 7UY

Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5  #16
Schedule Rating:  #67
Record: 11 - 3( ACC: 7 - 2)
Spread Record 9 - 5 - 0 | O/U 4 - 10
Future 2026 Schedule

Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia vs Richmond W 34 - 13
Sat 9/7 Virginia at Wake Forest-1.555.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Maryland-2.555.5L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/21 Virginia at Coastal Carolina-3.552.0W 43 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Virginia vs Boston College-2.052.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Virginia vs Louisville+7.054.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Virginia at Clemson+20.057.5L 31 - 48OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia vs North Carolina-3.558.5L 14 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Virginia at Pittsburgh+7.556.5W 24 - 19UY
Sat 11/16 Virginia at Notre Dame+20.551.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs SMU+11.554.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/30 Virginia at Virginia Tech+4.544.5L 17 - 37ON

2024 Schedule Rating:  #43
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (ACC: 3 - 5)
Spread Record 5 - 6 - 0 | O/U 4 - 8


Opponents: 0 Elite, 2 Good, 5 Avg, 4 Bad, 2 Poor
Played: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 5 Avg, 4 Bad, 2 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 171 points   #91
2025 class: 196 points   #57
2024 class: 160 points   #87
2023 class: 181 points   #64
2022 class: 167 points   #66

Average Class Ranking:   #73
Average Recruiting Points: 175

Four Year Crootin Profile
Improving Below Avg P4
4 Year Class:  #69 - Best:  #57 Worst:  #87



CFB Crootin Averages
ACC Class: 211  #42
Power 4 Class: 225  #42
FBS Class: 179  #69


2021 class: 205 points   #31
2020 class: 186 points   #48
2019 class: 201 points   #39
2018 class: 179 points   #59
2017 class: 173 points   #58

Average Class Ranking:   #47
Average Recruiting Points: 189
 

2025 Portal Class  #22 - 28 players, 86 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #46 - 11 players, 86 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #49 - 9 players, 87 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #48 - 7 players, 87 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Des Kitchings (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)28243665%30001696.9
Daniel Kaelin (Tr)305258%339116.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
J'mari Taylor (Tr)2221062144.878
Harrison Waylee (Tr)11855664.797
Chandler Morris (Tr)6424553.842
Xavier Brown5124114.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trell Harris59847514.475
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)46564112.337
Cameron Ross53543210.246
J'mari Taylor (Tr)4325315.925
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator John Rudzinski (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Neal (Tr)882127
James Jackson663053
Kamren Robinson644221
Maddox Marcellus (Tr)493211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Rickert (Tr)369791
Mitchell Melton (Tr)4510573
Fisher Camac (Tr)446424
Jacob Holmes (Tr)336340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)262008
Devin Neal (Tr)882127
Christian Charles (Tr)431026
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 61%  #41
Offense Returning Production: 60%  #57
Defense Returning Production: 62%  #33

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #22
28 Commits, 86.3 Avg Rating
34% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 30% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00  #21
Offense Talent  #17 | Defense Talent  #39
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #59 | 2021  #53


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 11 - 3
2025 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 9 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 10

2024 Record: 5 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8

2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 8 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4

2022 Record: 3 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 1 - 6
Spread: 4 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 2 - 8

Four Year Record: 22 - 26
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 26 - 21 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 13 - 19
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 6 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8

2020 Record: 5 - 5
2020 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 7 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 5

2019 Record: 9 - 5
2019 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 7 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 10 - 4

2018 Record: 8 - 5
2018 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

Eight Year Record: 50 - 47
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 56 - 39 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 32 - 36

Virginia Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Gator Bowl Virginia vs Missouri+4.043.5W 13 - 7
2019Orange Bowl Virginia vs Florida+16.055.5L 28 - 36
2018N/A Virginia vs South Carolina+3.554.0W 28 - 0
2017Military Bowl Virginia vs Navy+2.551.0L 7 - 49
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.18 (64)1.29 (43)42% (82)3.56 (82)30.7 (31)50%47%.06 (17)1.19 (35)37% (20)3.01 (17)26.7 (17)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.13 (102)1.21 (105)40% (103)3.47 (106)29.5 (61)34%52%.27 (116)1.3 (87)43% (80)4.04 (94)29.9 (94)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251432:1621.650%47%5.344.111.44.82.13
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241229:5319.334%52%5.245.31.61.34.81.80



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense1430.836.428.641.6% (82)3.56 (82)1224191802394.650% (66)49% (71)44% (63)41% (79)14% (39).18 (64)
2025 Defense1419.617.723.237.4% (20)3.01 (17)1.4 - - - - - 51% (77)47% (53)39% (30)37% (22)18% (23).06 (17)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1222.718.726.740% (103)3.47 (106)1.6193621332293.748% (84)52% (52)43% (77)37% (113)18% (109).13 (102)
2024 Defense1228.825.332.242.6% (80)4.04 (94)1.3 - - - - - 49% (53)50% (83)44% (77)42% (77)15% (91).27 (116)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1450% (66)44% (63)38.9179.94.629 (11).19 (31)3.04 (53)81% (11)8% (23)1.06 (31)
2025 Defense1451% (77)39% (30) - - - - .04 (33)2.75 (42)71% (70)9% (77)0.92 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1248% (84)43% (77)35.9132.83.714 (98).16 (50)3.29 (25)73% (77)11% (96)0.91 (92)
2024 Defense1249% (53)44% (77) - - - - .17 (91)3.29 (112)77% (89)9% (104)0.99 (69)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1449% (71)41% (79)22.535.1239.16.810.618 (50)10 (60).24 (76)1.5 (73)32% (85)33% (34).36 (46)6% (66)1.9 (114)
2025 Defense1447% (53)37% (22) - - - - - - 14 (38).15 (24)1.5 (44)32% (59)23% (3).11 (8)9% (5)1.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1252% (52)37% (113)20.533.42296.911.216 (87)14 (115).11 (122)1.5 (86)33% (101)26% (115).17 (120)7% (100)1.7 (129)
2024 Defense1250% (83)42% (77) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (121)1.6 (84)32% (67)32% (84).43 (110)6% (67)2.1 (82)




Overall
Power Rating  #18 | SP+ Rating  #28
Performance Grade  #20
Special Teams Grade  #51
Record Prediction 10.5 - 3.5  #16
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10

5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

Offense
Power  #26 | SP+  #49 | Grade  #50
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
Off Success  #82 | Explosivness  #43
Rush Grade  #52 | Pass Grade  #45
Rush Success  #63 | Explosiveness  #31
Pass Success  #79 | Explosiveness  #73
Run Block  #61 | Pass Block  #90
OL YDS  #53 | Stuff Rate  #32
Scoring Zone Off:  #82

Defense
Power  #19 | SP+  #23 | Grade  #12
Def Success  #20 | Explosivness  #35
Rush Success  #30 | Explosiveness  #46
Tackling  #37 | Run Def  #33
Pass Success  #22 | Explosiveness  #44
Pass Rush  #31 | Coverage  #10
F7 Havoc  #77 | DB Havoc  #5
DL YDS  #42 | Def Stuff Rate  #68
Scoring Zone Def  #17


Roster
Team Talent  #21 Blue Chips: 3%  #65
Offense Talent  #17 Defense Talent  #39
Crootin: '25 Class  #91 - 4 YR Class:  #69
Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
Portal Class  #22 - 28 players, 86 Avg
34% of Roster from Portal, 30% TY
54 New Players, 51% of '25 Roster  #34

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 30.8 - 19.6 | Scoring Margin: (11.2)
Home: 36 - 18 (18.7) | Road: 29 - 23 (5.4)
OC: Des Kitchings - been OC for 3 years
DC: John Rudzinski - been DC for 3 years

2025 Record: 11 - 3 (9 - 5 - 0) (ACC: 7 - 2)
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (5 - 6 - 0) (ACC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (8 - 4 - 0) (ACC: 2 - 6)
4 Yr Record: (22 - 26) | 8 Yr Record: (50 - 47)


Notes
Star LB Kam Robinson out for season (ACL)
Killed Duke, Hoos incredible story. ACC threat
3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
Box score L vs NC. Great story, but badly overrated
Huge W over FSU, Run Off good, Morris tough/clutch
Off 3rd in CFB in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
Off on a tear, QB Morris playing great. Good start
Off #'s are incredible during 3-1 start, eyes on
20 of 23 listed on two deep are Sr or Gr.
Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Good Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Good when off Schedule 32%

'25 Defense
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good at Forcing Turnovers
Good Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Great when Opp is off Schedule 24%

Returning Prod
UVA lost their '24 starting QB (62%)  #67
Returning Production: 61%  #41
Offense: 60%  #57 | Defense: 62%  #33
OL Prod: 71%  #33, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 4138  #15 | From Portal: 2373  #12
Rush Prod: 67%  #48 | Rec Prod: 54%  #62
Def Front Seven: 75% - Secondary: 52%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 6.5 - 5.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #28 - Power Rating:  #18
2024 SP+ Overall:  #91 - Power Rating:  #69
2023 SP+ Overall:  #106 - Power Rating:  #93
2022 SP+ Overall:  #96

#96 #100 #80 #23

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #49 - Power Rating:  #26
2024 SP+ Offense:  #95 - Power Rating:  #84
2023 SP+ Offense:  #95 - Power Rating:  #84
2022 SP+ Offense:  #117

#117 #90 #90 #38

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #23 - Power Rating:  #19
2024 SP+ Defense:  #86 - Power Rating:  #96
2023 SP+ Defense:  #99 - Power Rating:  #114
2022 SP+ Defense:  #47

#47 #107 #91 #21