Virginia Cavaliers (@UVAFootball)
Tony Elliott (4th year) (11-23)
Record: 0 - 0 | Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 (#73) | SOS: (#68)
Power (#70) | Off (#72) | Def (#71) | Roster | Portals | Croots
Record: 0 - 0 | Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 (#73) | SOS: (#68)
| Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Virginia vs Coastal Carolina | -13.5 | |||||
| Fri 9/5 | Virginia at NC State | +9 | |||||
| Fri 9/12 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -22.5 | |||||
| Fri 9/19 | Virginia vs Stanford | -7.5 | |||||
| Thu 9/25 | Virginia vs Florida State | +4 | |||||
| Fri 10/3 | Virginia at Louisville | +15.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | Virginia vs Washington State | -12 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | Virginia at North Carolina | +6.5 | |||||
| Fri 10/31 | Virginia at California | +1.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/7 | Virginia vs Wake Forest | -9 | |||||
| Fri 11/14 | Virginia at Duke | +10 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/28 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | +4.5 | |||||
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 #73
Schedule Rating: #68
Future 2026 Schedule
| Virginia's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Virginia vs Richmond | W 34 - 13 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Virginia at Wake Forest | -1.5 | 55.5 | W 31 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Virginia vs Maryland | -2.5 | 55.5 | L 13 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Virginia at Coastal Carolina | -3.5 | 52.0 | W 43 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Virginia vs Boston College | -2.0 | 52.5 | W 24 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Virginia vs Louisville | +7.0 | 54.0 | L 20 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Virginia at Clemson | +20.0 | 57.5 | L 31 - 48 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Virginia vs North Carolina | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 14 - 41 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Virginia at Pittsburgh | +7.5 | 56.5 | W 24 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Virginia at Notre Dame | +20.5 | 51.0 | L 14 - 35 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Virginia vs SMU | +11.5 | 54.5 | L 7 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Virginia at Virginia Tech | +4.5 | 44.5 | L 17 - 37 | O | N | |
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (ACC: 3 - 5)
Spread Record 5 - 6 - 0 | O/U 4 - 8
2025 class: 196 points #57
2024 class: 160 points #87
2023 class: 181 points #64
2022 class: 167 points #66
2021 class: 205 points #31
Average Class Ranking: #61
Average Recruiting Points: 182
2024 class: 160 points #87
2023 class: 181 points #64
2022 class: 167 points #66
2021 class: 205 points #31
Average Class Ranking: #61
Average Recruiting Points: 182
Class Averages
ACC Class: 211 #42
Power 4 Class: 225 #42
FBS Class: 179 #69
ACC Class: 211 #42
Power 4 Class: 225 #42
FBS Class: 179 #69
2020 class: 186 points #48
2019 class: 201 points #39
2018 class: 179 points #59
2017 class: 173 points #58
2016 class: 165 points #63
Average Class Ranking: #53
Average Recruiting Points: 181
2019 class: 201 points #39
2018 class: 179 points #59
2017 class: 173 points #58
2016 class: 165 points #63
Average Class Ranking: #53
Average Recruiting Points: 181
Offensive Coordinator Des Kitchings
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 322 | 509 | 63% | 3774 | 31 | 12 | 7.4 |
| Suderian Harrison | 1 | 1 | 100% | 27 | 0 | 0 | 27.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Brown | 80 | 488 | 1 | 6.1 | 75 |
| Isaiah Augustave (Tr) | 85 | 384 | 4 | 4.5 | 37 |
| Harrison Waylee (Tr) | 63 | 323 | 1 | 5.1 | 36 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 60 | 242 | 4 | 4.0 | 49 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Ross | 37 | 443 | 3 | 12.0 | 43 |
| Jahmal Edrine (Tr) | 23 | 365 | 2 | 15.9 | 53 |
| Trell Harris | 15 | 221 | 2 | 14.7 | 45 |
| Jayden Thomas (Tr) | 18 | 167 | 2 | 9.3 | 23 |
Defensive Coordinator John Rudzinski
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da'Marcus Crosby (Tr) | 81 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Trey McDonald | 57 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jermarian Jackson | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fisher Camac (Tr) | 46 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5 |
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| James Jackson | 45 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermarian Jackson | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Fisher Camac (Tr) | 46 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 5 |
| Emmanuel Karnley (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 61% #41
Offense Returning Production: 60% #57
Defense Returning Production: 62% #33
Overall Returning Production: 61% #41
Offense Returning Production: 60% #57
Defense Returning Production: 62% #33
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #22
28 Commits, 86.3 Avg Rating
32% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 30% TY
2025 Portal Class #22
28 Commits, 86.3 Avg Rating
32% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 30% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 842.00 #35
Offense Talent #14 | Defense Talent #63
2024 #50 | 2023 #60 | 2022 #59 | 2021 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 842.00 #35
Offense Talent #14 | Defense Talent #63
2024 #50 | 2023 #60 | 2022 #59 | 2021 #53
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 0 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0
2024 Record: 5 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8
2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 8 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4
2022 Record: 3 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 1 - 6
Spread: 4 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 2 - 8
Four Year Record: 11 - 23
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 17 - 16 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 6 - 17
2025 Record: 0 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0
2024 Record: 5 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8
2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 8 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4
2022 Record: 3 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 1 - 6
Spread: 4 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 2 - 8
Four Year Record: 11 - 23
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 17 - 16 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 6 - 17
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 6 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8
2020 Record: 5 - 5
2020 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 7 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 5
2019 Record: 9 - 5
2019 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 7 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 10 - 4
2018 Record: 8 - 5
2018 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
Eight Year Record: 39 - 44
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 47 - 34 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 25 - 34
2021 Record: 6 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8
2020 Record: 5 - 5
2020 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 7 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 5
2019 Record: 9 - 5
2019 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 7 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 10 - 4
2018 Record: 8 - 5
2018 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
Eight Year Record: 39 - 44
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 47 - 34 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 25 - 34
| Virginia Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2019 | Orange Bowl | Virginia vs Florida | +16.0 | 55.5 | L 28 - 36 |
| 2018 | N/A | Virginia vs South Carolina | +3.5 | 54.0 | W 28 - 0 |
| 2017 | Military Bowl | Virginia vs Navy | +2.5 | 51.0 | L 7 - 49 |
Power Ranking Stats (2024)
More Stats (2024)
Overall Stats (2024)
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .13 (102) | 40% (103) | 3.47 (106) | 29.5 (61) | 34% | 52% | .27 (116) | 43% (80) | 4.04 (94) | 29.9 (94) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | .15 (88) | 41% (84) | 3.68 (85) | 28.1 (105) | 36% | 60% | .26 (117) | 45% (113) | 4.15 (103) | 29.6 (76) |
More Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12 | 29:53 (84) | 19.3 (97) | 34% | 52% | 5.2 (26) | 45.3 (28) | 1.6 (83) | 1.3 | 4.8 (101) | 1.8 (83) | 0 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 12 | 31:24 (74) | 21 (71) | 36% | 60% | 6.5 (80) | 55.3 (75) | 1.7 (87) | 1.2 | 4.8 (105) | 0.9 (130) | 1 |
Overall Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 12 | 22.7 | 18.7 | 26.7 | 40% (103) | 3.47 (106) | 1.6 | 19 | 362 | 133 | 229 | 3.7 | 48% (84) | 52% (52) | 43% (77) | 37% (113) | 18% (109) | .13 (102) |
| 2024 Defense | 12 | 28.8 | 25.3 | 32.2 | 42.6% (80) | 4.04 (94) | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% (53) | 50% (83) | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 15% (91) | .27 (116) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 12 | 23.3 | 24.5 | 23.8 | 41% (84) | 3.68 (85) | 1.7 | 21 | 369 | 118 | 251 | 3.1 | 49% (76) | 50% (62) | 42% (82) | 41% (76) | 19% (109) | .15 (88) |
| 2023 Defense | 12 | 33.8 | 33.3 | 31.2 | 45.2% (113) | 4.15 (103) | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% (87) | 48% (48) | 48% (118) | 43% (90) | 15% (96) | .26 (117) |
Run Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 12 | 48% (84) | 43% (77) | 35.9 | 132.8 | 3.7 | 14 (98) | .16 (50) | 3.29 (25) | 73% (77) | 11% (96) | 0.91 (92) |
| 2024 Defense | 12 | 49% (53) | 44% (77) | - | - | - | - | .17 (91) | 3.29 (112) | 77% (89) | 9% (104) | 0.99 (69) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 12 | 49% (76) | 42% (82) | 37.8 | 117.9 | 3.1 | 12 (116) | .11 (91) | 3 (89) | 70% (98) | 13% (123) | 0.89 (113) |
| 2023 Defense | 12 | 51% (87) | 48% (118) | - | - | - | - | .26 (124) | 3.36 (116) | 76% (92) | 9% (108) | 1.03 (84) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 12 | 52% (52) | 37% (113) | 20.5 | 33.4 | 229 | 6.9 | 11.2 | 16 (87) | 14 (115) | .11 (122) | 1.5 (86) | 33% (101) | 26% (115) | .17 (120) | 7% (100) | 1.7 (129) |
| 2024 Defense | 12 | 50% (83) | 42% (77) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .37 (121) | 1.6 (84) | 32% (67) | 32% (84) | .43 (110) | 6% (67) | 2.1 (82) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Offense | 12 | 50% (62) | 41% (76) | 20.7 | 33 | 250.8 | 7.6 | 12.1 | 19 (78) | 14 (107) | .29 (67) | 1.6 (66) | 32% (83) | 29% (79) | .21 (105) | 6% (79) | 1.8 (126) |
| 2023 Defense | 12 | 48% (48) | 43% (90) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (100) | .32 (97) | 1.6 (54) | 28% (127) | 30% (62) | .33 (76) | 6% (57) | 2.1 (85) |
Team Notes (5/11) OL has to 20 exp but 57% via portals ❌
(4/30) RBs Brown can play, Taylor (NC Cen) good add ❌
(3/19) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it ❌
(3/19) Watch QB Kaelin (Neb Tr), could make move ❌
(3/19) WR rebuild, took 3 portals (JMU/PUR/ND) ❌
(3/19) OL 4/5 back, took 3 portals. Could be good ❌
(3/19) Def pretty bad LY. Took 5 portals. New DC? ❌
(4/30) RBs Brown can play, Taylor (NC Cen) good add ❌
(3/19) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it ❌
(3/19) Watch QB Kaelin (Neb Tr), could make move ❌
(3/19) WR rebuild, took 3 portals (JMU/PUR/ND) ❌
(3/19) OL 4/5 back, took 3 portals. Could be good ❌
(3/19) Def pretty bad LY. Took 5 portals. New DC? ❌
Injury Notes
Staff/Schedule Notes (3/19) Both OC/DC hires lack inspiration ❌
Power Ratings Overall: 3.11 #58
Offense: 16.37 #53
Defense: 13.26 #61
SP+ Overall: -4.8 #82
SP+ Offense: 24.3 #91
SP+ Defense: 29.1 #80
Offense: 16.37 #53
Defense: 13.26 #61
SP+ Overall: -4.8 #82
SP+ Offense: 24.3 #91
SP+ Defense: 29.1 #80
Returning Prod UVA lost their '24 starting QB (62%) #79
Returning Production: 61% #41
Offense: 60% #57 | Defense: 62% #33
OL Prod: 71% #35, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 4138 #16 | From Portal: 2373 #11
Rush Prod: 81% #29 | Rec Prod: 55% #55
Def Front Seven: 58% - Secondary: 62%
Returning Production: 61% #41
Offense: 60% #57 | Defense: 62% #33
OL Prod: 71% #35, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 4138 #16 | From Portal: 2373 #11
Rush Prod: 81% #29 | Rec Prod: 55% #55
Def Front Seven: 58% - Secondary: 62%
Roster Team Talent #35 Blue Chips: 3% #61
Offense Talent #14 Defense Talent #63
Crootin Class #57 - 4 YR Rank #61
Portal Class #22 - 28 players, 86 Avg
32% of Roster from Portal, 30% TY
49 New Players, 49% of '25 Roster #114
Offense Talent #14 Defense Talent #63
Crootin Class #57 - 4 YR Rank #61
Portal Class #22 - 28 players, 86 Avg
32% of Roster from Portal, 30% TY
49 New Players, 49% of '25 Roster #114
2025 Schedule Record Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 #73
Vegas Win Total Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Schedule Rating: -5 #68
View Schedule & Predicted Results
Opps: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 4, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Vegas Win Total Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Schedule Rating: -5 #68
View Schedule & Predicted Results
Opps: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 4, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Scoring Scoring: 22.7 - 28.8 (23 - 34) in '24
Scoring at Home: 19 - 25 | Road: 27 - 32
OC: Des Kitchings - been OC for 3 years
DC: John Rudzinski - been DC for 3 years
Scoring at Home: 19 - 25 | Road: 27 - 32
OC: Des Kitchings - been OC for 3 years
DC: John Rudzinski - been DC for 3 years
Records 2024 Record: 5 - 7 (5 - 6 - 0) (ACC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (8 - 4 - 0) (ACC: 2 - 6)
2022 Record: 3 - 7 (4 - 6 - 0) (ACC: 1 - 6)
4 Yr Record: (11 - 23) | 8 Yr Record: (39 - 44)
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (8 - 4 - 0) (ACC: 2 - 6)
2022 Record: 3 - 7 (4 - 6 - 0) (ACC: 1 - 6)
4 Yr Record: (11 - 23) | 8 Yr Record: (39 - 44)
'24 OffenseBalanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Awful when off Schedule 26%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Awful when off Schedule 26%
'24 DefenseAvg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Good Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 32%
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Good Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 32%
Team NotesOL has to 20 exp but 57% via portals
RBs Brown can play, Taylor (NC Cen) good add
Both OC/DC hires lack inspiration
QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it
Watch QB Kaelin (Neb Tr), could make move
WR rebuild, took 3 portals (JMU/PUR/ND)
OL 4/5 back, took 3 portals. Could be good
Def pretty bad LY. Took 5 portals. New DC?
RBs Brown can play, Taylor (NC Cen) good add
Both OC/DC hires lack inspiration
QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it
Watch QB Kaelin (Neb Tr), could make move
WR rebuild, took 3 portals (JMU/PUR/ND)
OL 4/5 back, took 3 portals. Could be good
Def pretty bad LY. Took 5 portals. New DC?