Virginia at BYU - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (10:15 PM EDT)
BYU -2.5 (66.5)
BYU 66 - Virginia: 49

Cavaliers (6 - 6) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (32 - 33)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BYU is playing their 9th straight game
UVA is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ BYU -2)
Projected Score: UVA: 23 - BYU: 29 (52)
BYU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 1772 miles, 2 hrs ahead

Cougars (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (41 - 26)
Avg Score : 31 - 19 (41 - 14 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UVA Players
BYU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Virginia vs William & Mary	-30.5	52.5	W 43 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Virginia vs Illinois	-10.5	57.0	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Virginia at North Carolina	+7.5	67.0	L 39 - 59	O	N
Fri 9/24	Virginia vs Wake Forest	-3.5	71.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 9/30	Virginia at Miami	+3.5	63.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Virginia at Louisville	+2.5	69.5	W 34 - 33	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Virginia vs Duke	-10.5	69.5	W 48 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	-6.5	66.0	W 48 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Virginia at BYU	+2.5	66.5	L 49 - 66	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Virginia vs Notre Dame	+7.5	62.5	L 3 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/20	Virginia at Pittsburgh	+12.5	69.0	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	-7.0	63.5	L 24 - 29	U	N
Wed 12/29	Virginia vs SMU	-2.5	71.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

BYU's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	BYU vs Arizona	-13.5	54.0	W 24 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/11	BYU vs Utah	+7.0	50.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/18	BYU vs Arizona State	+3.5	50.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/25	BYU vs South Florida	-23.5	54.5	W 35 - 27	O	N
Fri 10/1	BYU at Utah State	-9.0	66.0	W 34 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/9	BYU vs Boise State	-6.0	58.0	L 17 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/16	BYU at Baylor	+5.5	52.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/23	BYU at Washington State	-3.5	56.5	W 21 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/30	BYU vs Virginia	-2.5	66.5	W 66 - 49	O	Y
Sat 11/6	BYU vs Idaho State	-36.5	55.0	W 59 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20	BYU at Georgia Southern	-20.0	57.0	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/27	BYU at USC	-8.5	65.5	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 12/18	BYU vs UAB	-7.0	54.5	L 28 - 31	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA	.19	44%	30.8	48%	3.42	163	40%	261	4.05	.2	41%	19.6	37%	44%	3.04	48.3	1.9	1.8
BYU	.48	54%	31.4	51%	3.21	190	56%	332	4.89	.08	38%	19.1	36%	40%	2.83	35.8	0.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BYU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Offense	10	30.8	28.6	44%	4.05	1.9	24	423	163	261	4.5	46%	54%	48%	40%	14%	.19
BYU Defense	12	19.1	13.7	38.2%	2.83	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	36%	40%	15%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Defense	10	19.6	23.2	40.6%	3.04	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	37%	44%	18%	.2
BYU Offense	12	31.4	40.5	53.5%	4.89	0.8	26	522	190	332	5.4	46%	54%	51%	56%	12%	.48

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia	10	31:04	23.6	37%	64%	5.3	48.3	1.9	1.8	7.2	3.2	2	29.2
BYU	12	29:54	25.7	49%	59%	4.2	35.8	0.8	1.3	4.9	2.3	1	29.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Offense	10	46%	48%	36.6	162.9	4.5	16	.2	3.42	77%	7%	0.93
BYU Defense	12	51%	36%	-	-	-	-	-.08	2.93	73%	9%	0.72

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Defense	10	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.6	76%	12%	0.92
BYU Offense	12	46%	51%	35.3	190.3	5.4	35	.35	3.21	65%	8%	1.21

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Offense	10	54%	40%	22.1	37.9	260.5	6.9	11.8	22	14	.17	1.6	29%	31%	.33	8%	1.9
BYU Defense	12	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.24	1.6	33%	28%	.28	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Defense	10	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.35	1.9	34%	32%	.35	6%	2.3
BYU Offense	12	54%	56%	22.7	31.3	332	10.6	14.7	33	4	.59	1.6	26%	42%	.61	4%	1.9

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2021 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #55
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #100

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: BYU: 6.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 7.2 BYU: 8.9

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: 6.95 NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
BYU's 2021 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #44
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2 #14
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #78

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
BYU 29
Virginia 23

Projected Total Points: 52

BYU Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 19.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

BYU's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	10/30	BYU	66	Virginia	49	BYU -2.5	BYU	66.5	Over
2014	09/20	BYU	41	Virginia	33	BYU -13.5	Virginia	0
2013	08/31	Virginia	19	BYU	16	BYU -4	Virginia	0
2000	09/01	Virginia	35	BYU	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
BYU	3	1	1 Overs
Virginia	1	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#) UVA at (#) BYU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UVA	BYU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#55	#44
Perf GradeGrade	#69	#21
OffenseOff	#19	#3
DefenseDef	#121	#85
Spec TeamsST	#63	#32
TalentTal	#53	#94
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Injury Report

BYU Injury Report

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	BYU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#19	#85
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#8	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	BYU Def
Run GameRun	#32	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#30	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#103

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	BYU Def
Pass GamePass	#11	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#34	#120
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

BYU on Offense


CategoryCat	BYU Off	UVA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#3	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#14	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

BYU Run Game


CategoryCat	BYU Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	#42	#132
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

BYU Pass Game


CategoryCat	BYU Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	#21	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#2	#128
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BYU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in LaVell Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
BYU -2.5 (66.5)
BYU won vs Virginia this year (66-49)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UVA's OC Robert Anae (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC Kelly Poppinga (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Ilaisa Tuiaki (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD