Boston College at Virginia - 2024 Matchup Preview
Boston College logo   Boston College Eagles at Virginia Cavaliers  Virginia logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -2 (52.5) (-122)  Open: -2.5
Virginia 24 - Boston College: 14  (ACC)

 
Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA coming off BYE
BC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Boston College -3  (SP+ BC -6.5)

Projected Score: BC: 29 - UVA: 26 (54)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BC Travel: 488 miles
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boston College's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/2 Boston College at Florida State+16.550.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Boston College vs Duquesne-33.552.5W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Boston College at Missouri+14.551.5L 21 - 27UY
Sat 9/21 Boston College vs Michigan State-4.545.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/28 Boston College vs Western Kentucky-7.548.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 10/5 Boston College at Virginia+2.052.5L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 Boston College at Virginia Tech+8.547.5L 21 - 42ON
Fri 10/25 Boston College vs Louisville+7.054.0L 27 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Boston College vs Syracuse-5.551.5W 37 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Boston College at SMU+19.054.5L 28 - 38OY
Sat 11/23 Boston College vs North Carolina+2.050.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/30 Boston College vs Pittsburgh-3.550.5W 34 - 23OY
Sat 12/28 Boston College vs Nebraska+3.047.5L 15 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia vs Richmond-21
Sat 9/7 Virginia at Wake Forest-1.555.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Maryland-2.555.5L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/21 Virginia at Coastal Carolina-3.552.0W 43 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Virginia vs Boston College-2.052.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Virginia vs Louisville+7.054.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Virginia at Clemson+20.057.5L 31 - 48OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia vs North Carolina-3.558.5L 14 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Virginia at Pittsburgh+7.556.5W 24 - 19UY
Sat 11/16 Virginia at Notre Dame+20.551.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs SMU+11.554.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/30 Virginia at Virginia Tech+4.544.5L 17 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#62 (.21)42% (63)25.446% (35)3.31 (29)19737% (106)1843.92 (66)#113 (.26)43% (82)32.843% (66)44% (106)4.41 (120)55.21.51.1
UVA#88 (.15)41% (84)30.842% (82)3 (89)11841% (76)2513.68 (85)#117 (.26)45% (113)19.648% (118)43% (90)4.15 (103)55.31.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense1325.42542.3%3.921.5213811971844.761%38%46%37%13%.21
UVA Defense1219.617.745.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense1332.83443.1%4.411.1 - - - - - 55%44%43%44%12%.26
UVA Offense1230.836.441%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College1331:0721.541%76%6.555.21.51.12.90.8128.7
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense1361% (9)46% (35)42196.74.725 (37).26 (17)3.31 (29)88% (1)7% (17)1.12 (18)
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (92)9% (108)1.03 (84)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense1355% (118)43% (66) - - - - .15 (77)3.09 (65)82% (113)7% (128)1.08 (107)
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (98)13% (123)0.89 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense1338% (125)37% (106)15.727.8184.26.611.715 (96)14 (107).17 (103)1.6 (71)29% (18)28% (89).39 (45)6% (56)2.4 (2)
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense1344% (16)44% (106) - - - - - - 8 (100).43 (125)1.7 (105)31% (84)32% (98).37 (99)4% (123)2.1 (82)
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.59  #51
Boston College's Offense Rating: 19.12  #75
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.62  #58
2024 Talent Rating: 368.00  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #82
Boston College's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Boston College's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2  #70
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #62
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7  #56

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.59   Virginia: -1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 1.2   Virginia: -5.1




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -1.05  #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13  #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62  #96
2024 Talent Rating: 366.00  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1  #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 29
Virginia 26


Projected Total Points: 54
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Virginia24Boston College14Virginia -2Virginia52.5Under
202309/30Boston College27Virginia24Boston College -5Virginia52.5Under
202012/05Virginia43Boston College32Virginia -6.5Virginia53.0Over
201710/21Virginia10Boston College41Virginia -6.5Boston College48.5Over
201011/20Boston College17Virginia13
200911/14Virginia10Boston College14
200510/08Boston College28Virginia17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia232 Overs
Boston College512 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 22 - 22 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 52 - 20 - 02 - 2

(#51) BC at (#69) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBCUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #51 #69
SP+SP+ #70 #91
Perf GradeGrade #56 #115
OffenseOff #64 #109
DefenseDef #33 #109
Spec TeamsST #114 #44
TalentTal #50 #54
Blue ChipsBC% #82 #82
Boston College Notes
(11/25) Rgame mauled NC, James OK, Def great in W
(11/18) Good fight @ SMU, QB James/Rgame meh, Def OK
(11/14) QB Castellanos entering the portal
(11/13) Rgame 321 yds, 6.7 ypc, att only 13 pass in Cuse W
(11/12) QB Cast. benched, James to start vs SMU
(11/8) No Kicking game, att only 1 FG, missed XPs
(10/17) Run D mauled by VT 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Rgame bad
(10/6) Off bad, Rgame awful, 3 TO's in L @ UVA
(9/28) OG by WKU, Off awful w/ QB James. 3 TOs to W
(9/27) QB Castellanos out vs WKU (und inj)
(9/23) QB Cast. much improved. 10 TDs, 2 Ints so far
(9/23) Outgained by MSU but 4 TOs in big W
Boston College Injury Report
Virginia Notes
(12/17) Signed QB C Morris (N Tex/OU/TCU)
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good
(8/19) QB Colandrea good find LY, portal WRs decent
Virginia Injury Report
Boston College on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BC OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #64 #109
SuccessSuc #63 #113
ExplosiveExp #79 #55
PPAPPA #62 #117
PowerPwr #75 #96
SP+SP+ #62 #86
Pts POPPO #66 #103
HavocHav #20 #96
Boston College Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BC OffUVA Def
Run GameRun #104 #104
Run SuccessRSuc #35 #118
Run ExplRExp #18 #84
PPAExp #17 #124
Run BlockR Blk #31 -
OL YdsOLY #29 #116
Stuff RateStuff #47 #96
TackleTak -  #112
Boston College Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
BC OffUVA Def
Pass GamePass #49 #113
Pass SuccessPSuc #106 #90
Pass ExplPExl #71 #54
PPAExp #103 #97
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #35 #72
F7 HavocF7 #17 #108
DB HavocDB #56 #57
Virginia on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatUVA OffBC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109 #33
SuccessSuc #84 #82
ExplosiveExp #96 #105
PPAPPA #88 #113
PowerPwr #84 #58
SP+SP+ #95 #56
Pts POPPO #85 #120
HavocHav #109 #130
Virginia Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
UVA OffBC Def
Run GameRun #84 #30
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #66
Run ExplRExp #113 #107
PPAExp #91 #77
Run BlockR Blk #57 -
OL YdsOLY #89 #65
Stuff RateStuff #46 #76
TackleTak -  #39
Virginia Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatUVA OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #120 #61
Pass SuccessPSuc #76 #106
Pass ExplPExl #66 #105
PPAExp #67 #125
Pass Block/RushP Blk #120 #62
F7 HavocF7 #123 #128
DB HavocDB #79 #123
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Remains Average G5

BC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'24 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Virginia -2.0 (52.5)
Virginia won vs Boston College this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Boston College in 2024 (24-14)
Boston College beat Virginia in 2023 (27-24)

  
BC's OC Will Lawing (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson James (Tr)10616664%1202627.2
Thomas Castellanos9916162%13661858.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kye Robichaux175744104.341
Treshaun Ward (Tr)7740625.336
Jordan Mcdonald (Tr)5336136.841
Turbo Richard5527825.130
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond67689310.349
Reed Harris17486428.672
Kamari Morales (Tr)28325611.654
Jeremiah Franklin27311311.534

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Donovan Ezeiruaku761914141
Daveon Crouch747233
Carter Davis431003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Ezeiruaku761914141
Quintayvious Hutchins296480
Owen Stoudmire294320
Daveon Crouch747233
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Ryan Turner (Tr)132104
Amari Jackson180004

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea19832062%212513116.6
Tony Muskett457659%545337.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Pace11449934.443
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Anthony Colandrea12827722.235
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Fields55808514.745
Tyler Neville (Tr)37394210.639
Trell Harris (Tr)15221214.745
Kobe Pace2118909.052

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker989214
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
Kameron Butler433382
Jonas Sanker989214
James Jackson455220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kempton Shine (Tr)372007
Jermarian Jackson551106
Jonas Sanker989214