Boston College at Virginia - 2024 Matchup Preview
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, October 5th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -2 (52.5) (-122)  Open: -2.5
Virginia 24 - Boston College: 14  (ACC)

 
Eagles (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
UVA coming off BYE
BC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Boston College -3   (SP+ BC -6.5)

Projected Score: BC: 27 - UVA: 24 (51)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
BC Travel: 488 miles
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
 
Boston College's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/2 Boston College at Florida State+16.550.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 9/7 Boston College vs Duquesne-33.552.5W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/14 Boston College at Missouri+14.551.5L 21 - 27UY
Sat 9/21 Boston College vs Michigan State-4.545.5W 23 - 19UN
Sat 9/28 Boston College vs Western Kentucky-7.548.0W 21 - 20UN
Sat 10/5 Boston College at Virginia+2.052.5L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 Boston College at Virginia Tech+8.547.5L 21 - 42ON
Fri 10/25 Boston College vs Louisville+7.054.0L 27 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Boston College vs Syracuse-5.551.5W 37 - 31OY
Sat 11/16 Boston College at SMU+19.054.5L 28 - 38OY
Sat 11/23 Boston College vs North Carolina+2.050.5W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/30 Boston College vs Pittsburgh-3.550.5W 34 - 23OY
Sat 12/28 Boston College vs Nebraska+3.047.5L 15 - 20UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia vs Richmond-21
Sat 9/7 Virginia at Wake Forest-1.555.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Maryland-2.555.5L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/21 Virginia at Coastal Carolina-3.552.0W 43 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Virginia vs Boston College-2.052.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Virginia vs Louisville+7.054.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Virginia at Clemson+20.057.5L 31 - 48OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia vs North Carolina-3.558.5L 14 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Virginia at Pittsburgh+7.556.5W 24 - 19UY
Sat 11/16 Virginia at Notre Dame+20.551.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs SMU+11.554.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/30 Virginia at Virginia Tech+4.544.5L 17 - 37ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)28.241% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)23.840% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)22.743% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)28.844% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense1328.222.440.9%41.2183401641764.356%44%41%41%13%.16
UVA Defense1228.825.342.6%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%50%44%42%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense1323.828.842.2%3.641.8 - - - - - 45%55%40%44%16%.15
UVA Offense1222.718.740%3.471.6193621332293.748%52%43%37%18%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College1329:2517.843%50%4.2401.21.84.72330.3
Virginia1229:5319.334%52%5.245.31.61.34.81.8029.5
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense1356% (26)41% (96)38.2164.24.322 (55).01 (120)2.87 (99)72% (79)9% (53)0.86 (120)
UVA Defense1249% (53)44% (77) - - - - .17 (91)3.29 (112)77% (89)9% (104)0.99 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense1345% (12)40% (40) - - - - .05 (33)2.84 (43)82% (120)9% (96)0.92 (40)
UVA Offense1248% (84)43% (77)35.9132.83.714 (98).16 (50)3.29 (25)73% (77)11% (96)0.91 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense1344% (108)41% (78)13.922.2176.27.912.724 (38)7 (26).34 (29)1.9 (7)30% (50)32% (68).34 (68)4% (12)2.3 (11)
UVA Defense1250% (83)42% (77) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (121)1.6 (84)32% (67)32% (84).43 (110)6% (67)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense1355% (123)44% (104) - - - - - - 16 (10).23 (67)1.4 (12)32% (71)29% (43).2 (26)7% (36)1.8 (22)
UVA Offense1252% (52)37% (113)20.533.42296.911.216 (87)14 (115).11 (122)1.5 (86)33% (101)26% (115).17 (120)7% (100)1.7 (129)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.59 #51
Boston College's Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Boston College's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Boston College's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.59   Virginia: -1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 1.2   Virginia: -5.1




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -1.05 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Boston College's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 27
Virginia 24


Total Points: 51

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Virginia24Boston College14VirginiaVirginia -2Virginia52.5Under
202309/30Boston College27Virginia24Boston CollegeBoston College -5Virginia52.5Under
202012/05Virginia43Boston College32VirginiaVirginia -6.5Virginia53.0Over
201710/21Virginia10Boston College41Boston CollegeVirginia -6.5Boston College48.5Over
201011/20Boston College17Virginia13Boston College
200911/14Virginia10Boston College14Boston College
200510/08Boston College28Virginia17Boston College
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia232 Overs
Boston College512 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 22 - 22 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 52 - 20 - 02 - 2

(#51) Boston College Info
Power Rating: 2.59 #51
Offense Rating: 19.12 #75
Defense Rating: 8.62 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #70
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #62
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #56
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Boston College has won 2 straight
Boston College has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Boston College Notes
(11/18) Good fight @ SMU, QB James/Rgame meh, Def OK
(11/14) QB Castellanos entering the portal
(11/13) Rgame 321 yds, 6.7 ypc, att only 13 pass in Cuse W
(11/12) QB Cast. benched, James to start vs SMU
(11/8) No Kicking game, att only 1 FG, missed XPs
(10/17) Run D mauled by VT 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Rgame bad
(10/6) Off bad, Rgame awful, 3 TO's in L @ UVA
(9/28) OG by WKU, Off awful w/ QB James. 3 TOs to W
(9/27) QB Castellanos out vs WKU (und inj)
(9/23) QB Cast. much improved. 10 TDs, 2 Ints so far

Boston College Highlights
Boston College defense does not give up big plays (#74)
Boston College commits very few Penalties (#38)
Boston College defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Boston College Deficiencies

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUVABC
OverallOver#82#40
OffenseOff#87#54
DefenseDef#89#26
Special TeamsST#38#93
PassingPass#97#39
RushingRush#62#74
Run BlockRBLK#46#25
Pass BlockPBLK#104#35
Route RunningWR Rt#81#80
TacklingTkl#97#35
Run DefenseR Def#81#23
Pass Rush DefPRush#63#55
Coverage DefCov#91#49

Rematch from Week 6
Virginia -2.0 (52.5)
Virginia won vs Boston College this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Boston College last year (24-14)
Boston College beat Virginia in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BC | UVA
Depth Chart: BC | UVA
Rosters: BC | UVA
(#69) Virginia Info
Power Rating: -1.05 #69
Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Virginia has won 1 straight
Virginia has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Notes
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good

Virginia Highlights
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)

Virginia commits very few Penalties (#49)

Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a really bad Offense at Home
Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Virginia offense is really bad (#26)
Virginia offense is not Explosive (#22)
Virginia offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#54)
Virginia pass game is really bad (#45)
Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Virginia Does Not Stuff Runs (#32)
Virginia has a bad defensive line (#63)


  
Boston College's OC Will Lawing
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Grayson James (Tr)10616664%1202627.2
Thomas Castellanos9916162%13661858.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kye Robichaux175744104.341
Treshaun Ward (Tr)7740625.336
Jordan Mcdonald (Tr)5336136.841
Turbo Richard5527825.130
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond67689310.349
Reed Harris17486428.672
Kamari Morales (Tr)28325611.654
Jeremiah Franklin27311311.534

View Boston College's Full Roster
Boston College's DC Tim Lewis
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Donovan Ezeiruaku761914141
Daveon Crouch747233
Carter Davis431003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Ezeiruaku761914141
Quintayvious Hutchins296480
Owen Stoudmire294320
Daveon Crouch747233
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price812115
Ryan Turner (Tr)132104
Amari Jackson180004

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea19832062%212513116.6
Tony Muskett457659%545337.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Pace11449934.443
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Anthony Colandrea12827722.235
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Fields55808514.745
Tyler Neville (Tr)37394210.639
Trell Harris (Tr)15221214.745
Kobe Pace2118909.052

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker989214
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
Kameron Butler433382
Jonas Sanker989214
James Jackson455220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kempton Shine (Tr)372007
Jermarian Jackson551106
Jonas Sanker989214