Virginia at Pittsburgh - 2021 Matchup Preview

Virginia Cavaliers at Pittsburgh Panthers

Saturday, November 20th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -12.5 (69.0)
Pittsburgh 48 - Virginia: 38 (ACC)

Cavaliers (6 - 6) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (32 - 33)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PITT 2nd straight Home Game
PITT is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ PITT -10)
Projected Score: UVA: 27 - PITT: 28 (55)
PITT Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
UVA Travel: 185 miles

Panthers (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (44 - 35)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 25 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UVA Players
PITT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Virginia vs William & Mary	-30.5	52.5	W 43 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Virginia vs Illinois	-10.5	57.0	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Virginia at North Carolina	+7.5	67.0	L 39 - 59	O	N
Fri 9/24	Virginia vs Wake Forest	-3.5	71.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 9/30	Virginia at Miami	+3.5	63.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Virginia at Louisville	+2.5	69.5	W 34 - 33	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Virginia vs Duke	-10.5	69.5	W 48 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	-6.5	66.0	W 48 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Virginia at BYU	+2.5	66.5	L 49 - 66	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Virginia vs Notre Dame	+7.5	62.5	L 3 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/20	Virginia at Pittsburgh	+12.5	69.0	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	-7.0	63.5	L 24 - 29	U	N
Wed 12/29	Virginia vs SMU	-2.5	71.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Pittsburgh's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Pittsburgh vs Massachusetts	-38.0	56.0	W 51 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Pittsburgh at Tennessee	-3.5	56.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Pittsburgh vs Western Michigan	-14.0	59.0	L 41 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/25	Pittsburgh vs New Hampshire	-29.0	53.0	W 77 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech	-3.0	57.5	W 52 - 21	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech	-6.0	55.5	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Pittsburgh vs Clemson	-3.5	47.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Pittsburgh vs Miami	-9.5	61.0	L 34 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/6	Pittsburgh at Duke	-21.0	64.5	W 54 - 29	O	Y
Thu 11/11	Pittsburgh vs North Carolina	-6.5	72.0	W 30 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Pittsburgh vs Virginia	-12.5	69.0	W 48 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/27	Pittsburgh at Syracuse	-12.0	58.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 12/4	Pittsburgh vs Wake Forest	-3.5	72.5	W 45 - 21	U	Y
Thu 12/30	Pittsburgh vs Michigan State	+3.5	55.0	L 21 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA	.19	44%	30.8	48%	3.42	163	40%	261	4.05	.2	41%	19.6	37%	44%	3.04	48.3	1.9	1.8
PITT	.14	41%	33.7	42%	2.29	122	40%	260	3.41	.13	37%	24.8	37%	38%	3.16	68.5	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Offense	10	30.8	28.6	44%	4.05	1.9	24	423	163	261	4.5	46%	54%	48%	40%	14%	.19
PITT Defense	11	24.8	25.1	37.3%	3.16	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	37%	38%	23%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Defense	10	19.6	23.2	40.6%	3.04	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	37%	44%	18%	.2
PITT Offense	11	33.7	36.6	40.6%	3.41	1.5	21	382	122	260	3.5	44%	55%	42%	40%	20%	.14

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia	10	31:04	23.6	37%	64%	5.3	48.3	1.9	1.8	7.2	3.2	2	29.2
Pittsburgh	11	31:08	20.5	36%	50%	7.8	68.5	1.5	1.7	10	4.1	2	29.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Offense	10	46%	48%	36.6	162.9	4.5	16	.2	3.42	77%	7%	0.93
PITT Defense	11	44%	37%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.26	69%	16%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Defense	10	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.6	76%	12%	0.92
PITT Offense	11	44%	42%	35.3	122.1	3.5	20	.03	2.29	69%	13%	0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Offense	10	54%	40%	22.1	37.9	260.5	6.9	11.8	22	14	.17	1.6	29%	31%	.33	8%	1.9
PITT Defense	11	56%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.22	1.8	37%	30%	.33	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Defense	10	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.35	1.9	34%	32%	.35	6%	2.3
PITT Offense	11	55%	40%	22.4	38.7	259.7	6.7	11.6	14	12	.25	1.6	34%	31%	.29	7%	1.9

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2021 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #55
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #100

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: Pittsburgh: 11.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 7.2 Pittsburgh: 17.6

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 11.3 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2021 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.6 #9
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2 #9
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4 #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Pittsburgh 28
Virginia 27

Projected Total Points: 55

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Pittsburgh's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Pittsburgh	19	Virginia	24	Pittsburgh -7.5	Virginia	56.5	Under
2022	11/12	Virginia	7	Pittsburgh	37	Pittsburgh -5.5	Pittsburgh	41.5	Over
2021	11/20	Pittsburgh	48	Virginia	38	Pittsburgh -12.5	Virginia	69.0	Over
2019	08/31	Pittsburgh	14	Virginia	30	Virginia -2.5	Virginia	46.5	Under
2018	11/02	Virginia	13	Pittsburgh	23	Virginia -7	Pittsburgh	45.5	Under
2017	10/28	Pittsburgh	31	Virginia	14	Pittsburgh -1	Pittsburgh	49.0	Under
2016	10/15	Virginia	31	Pittsburgh	45	Pittsburgh -5	Pittsburgh	60.5	Over
2015	10/10	Pittsburgh	26	Virginia	19	Pittsburgh -10	Virginia	45.0	Push
2014	10/04	Virginia	24	Pittsburgh	19	Virginia -4	Virginia	0
2013	09/28	Pittsburgh	14	Virginia	3	Pittsburgh -6.5	Pittsburgh	0
2007	09/29	Virginia	44	Pittsburgh	14
2006	09/02	Pittsburgh	38	Virginia	13
2003	12/27	Virginia	23	Pittsburgh	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Pittsburgh	8	5	3 Overs
Virginia	5	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 5	3 - 7	3 - 4	0 - 3
Road Teams	5 - 8	7 - 3	3 - 0	4 - 3

(#) UVA at (#) PITT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UVA	PITT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#55	#9
Perf GradeGrade	#69	#29
OffenseOff	#19	#21
DefenseDef	#121	#50
Spec TeamsST	#63	#38
TalentTal	#53	#37
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Injury Report

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	PITT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#19	#50
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#8	#29
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#32	#21
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#30	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#47

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#11	#75
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#34	#65
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UVA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#9	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	#24	#132
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#96	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	#1	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#38	#128
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Pittsburgh -12.5 (69.0)
Pittsburgh won vs Virginia this year (48-38)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Pittsburgh in 2024 (24-19)

UVA's OC Robert Anae (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC Kelly Poppinga (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PITT's OC Mark Whipple (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD