Virginia Cavaliers at Pittsburgh Panthers
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -7.5 (56.5) (-275) Open: -7.0 | 57.5
Virginia 24 - Pittsburgh: 19 (ACC)
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
UVA coming off BYE
Our Line: Pittsburgh -9.5 (SP+ PITT -10)
Projected Score: UVA: 24 - PITT: 33 (57)
PITT Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 185 miles
Our Line: Pittsburgh -9.5 (SP+ PITT -10)
Projected Score: UVA: 24 - PITT: 33 (57)
PITT Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 185 miles
Panthers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (65 - 50)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (38 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
| Virginia's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Virginia vs Richmond | -21 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Virginia at Wake Forest | -1.5 | 55.5 | W 31 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Virginia vs Maryland | -2.5 | 55.5 | L 13 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Virginia at Coastal Carolina | -3.5 | 52.0 | W 43 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Virginia vs Boston College | -2.0 | 52.5 | W 24 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Virginia vs Louisville | +7.0 | 54.0 | L 20 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Virginia at Clemson | +20.0 | 57.5 | L 31 - 48 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Virginia vs North Carolina | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 14 - 41 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Virginia at Pittsburgh | +7.5 | 56.5 | W 24 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Virginia at Notre Dame | +20.5 | 51.0 | L 14 - 35 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Virginia vs SMU | +11.5 | 54.5 | L 7 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Virginia at Virginia Tech | +4.5 | 44.5 | L 17 - 37 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Pittsburgh's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Pittsburgh vs Kent State | -23.5 | 55.5 | W 55 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Pittsburgh at Cincinnati | -2.5 | 62.5 | W 28 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Pittsburgh vs West Virginia | +2.5 | 60.5 | W 38 - 34 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Pittsburgh vs Youngstown State | -29.5 | 59.5 | W 73 - 17 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Pittsburgh at North Carolina | -2.5 | 63.0 | W 34 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Pittsburgh vs California | -3.5 | 57.5 | W 17 - 15 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/24 | Pittsburgh vs Syracuse | -5.0 | 62.5 | W 41 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Pittsburgh at SMU | +7.0 | 55.5 | L 25 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Pittsburgh vs Virginia | -7.5 | 56.5 | L 19 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Pittsburgh vs Clemson | +12.0 | 52.0 | L 20 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Pittsburgh at Louisville | +7.0 | 57.0 | L 9 - 37 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Pittsburgh at Boston College | +3.5 | 50.5 | L 23 - 34 | O | N | |
| Thu 12/26 | Pittsburgh vs Toledo | -6.5 | 48.5 | L 46 - 48 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 5, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 22.7 | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 28.8 | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| PITT | #91 (.15) | 42% (85) | 32.9 | 45% (56) | 3.1 (53) | 119 | 39% (97) | 256 | 4.11 (49) | #35 (.12) | 38% (25) | 28.4 | 38% (20) | 38% (38) | 3.68 (57) | 58.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | ||
| PITT | #91 (.15) | 42% (85) | 45% (56) | 3.1 (53) | 119 | 39% (97) | 256 | 4.11 (49) | #35 (.12) | 38% (25) | 38% (20) | 38% (38) | 3.68 (57) | 58.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 12 | 22.7 | 26.7 | 40% | 3.47 | 1.6 | 19 | 362 | 133 | 229 | 3.7 | 48% | 52% | 43% | 37% | 18% | .13 |
| PITT Defense | 13 | 28.4 | 21.6 | 38.1% | 3.68 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 45% | 55% | 38% | 38% | 18% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 12 | 28.8 | 32.2 | 42.6% | 4.04 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 44% | 42% | 15% | .27 |
| PITT Offense | 13 | 32.9 | 37.6 | 41.6% | 4.11 | 1.3 | 21 | 375 | 119 | 256 | 4.3 | 42% | 58% | 45% | 39% | 21% | .15 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 12 | 29:53 | 19.3 | 34% | 52% | 5.2 | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 29.5 |
| Pittsburgh | 13 | 24:01 | 20.7 | 38% | 52% | 6.4 | 58.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 3 | 6 | 27.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 12 | 48% (84) | 43% (77) | 35.9 | 132.8 | 3.7 | 14 (98) | .16 (50) | 3.29 (25) | 73% (77) | 11% (96) | 0.91 (92) |
| PITT Defense | 13 | 45% (13) | 38% (20) | - | - | - | - | - (13) | 2.36 (2) | 48% (1) | 12% (25) | 0.98 (67) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 12 | 49% (53) | 44% (77) | - | - | - | - | .17 (91) | 3.29 (112) | 77% (89) | 9% (104) | 0.99 (69) |
| PITT Offense | 13 | 42% (116) | 45% (56) | 27.3 | 118.6 | 4.3 | 14 (98) | .18 (42) | 3.1 (53) | 77% (40) | 12% (119) | 1.05 (41) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 12 | 52% (52) | 37% (113) | 20.5 | 33.4 | 229 | 6.9 | 11.2 | 16 (87) | 14 (115) | .11 (122) | 1.5 (86) | 33% (101) | 26% (115) | .17 (120) | 7% (100) | 1.7 (129) |
| PITT Defense | 13 | 55% (122) | 38% (38) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .23 (70) | 1.8 (123) | 37% (3) | 31% (82) | .33 (82) | 6% (50) | 2.2 (113) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 12 | 50% (83) | 42% (77) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .37 (121) | 1.6 (84) | 32% (67) | 32% (84) | .43 (110) | 6% (67) | 2.1 (82) |
| PITT Offense | 13 | 58% (18) | 39% (97) | 21.8 | 35.9 | 256.2 | 7.1 | 11.7 | 27 (20) | 13 (103) | .13 (112) | 1.6 (55) | 32% (85) | 35% (30) | .36 (60) | 8% (126) | 2.1 (40) |
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -2.00 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Virginia's Power Rating: -2.00 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -2.00 Pittsburgh: 5.915
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.1 Pittsburgh: 4.9
Virginia: -2.00 Pittsburgh: 5.915
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.1 Pittsburgh: 4.9
Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 5.915 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 5.915 #56
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Pittsburgh's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Pittsburgh's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2
Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2
Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 33
Virginia 24
Total Points: 57
Pittsburgh 33
Virginia 24
Total Points: 57
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6
Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6
Pittsburgh's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/09 | Pittsburgh | 19 | Virginia | 24 | Virginia | Pittsburgh -7.5 | Virginia | 56.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 11/12 | Virginia | 7 | Pittsburgh | 37 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -5.5 | Pittsburgh | 41.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 11/20 | Pittsburgh | 48 | Virginia | 38 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -12.5 | Virginia | 69.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 08/31 | Pittsburgh | 14 | Virginia | 30 | Virginia | Virginia -2.5 | Virginia | 46.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/02 | Virginia | 13 | Pittsburgh | 23 | Pittsburgh | Virginia -7 | Pittsburgh | 45.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/28 | Pittsburgh | 31 | Virginia | 14 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -1 | Pittsburgh | 49.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/15 | Virginia | 31 | Pittsburgh | 45 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -5 | Pittsburgh | 60.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/10 | Pittsburgh | 26 | Virginia | 19 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -10 | Virginia | 45.0 | Push |
| 2014 | 10/04 | Virginia | 24 | Pittsburgh | 19 | Virginia | Virginia -4 | Virginia | 0 | |
| 2013 | 09/28 | Pittsburgh | 14 | Virginia | 3 | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh -6.5 | Pittsburgh | 0 | |
| 2007 | 09/29 | Virginia | 44 | Pittsburgh | 14 | Virginia | ||||
| 2006 | 09/02 | Pittsburgh | 38 | Virginia | 13 | Pittsburgh | ||||
| 2003 | 12/27 | Virginia | 23 | Pittsburgh | 16 | Virginia |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 8 | 5 | 3 Overs |
| Virginia | 5 | 5 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 5 | 3 - 7 | 3 - 4 | 0 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 8 | 7 - 3 | 3 - 0 | 4 - 3 |
(#69) Virginia Info
Power Rating: -2.00 #69
Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has lost 3 straight
Virginia has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Virginia Notes
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good
Virginia Highlights
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia commits very few Penalties (#49)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Virginia offense is really bad (#26)
Virginia offense is not Explosive (#22)
Virginia offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#54)
Virginia pass game is really bad (#45)
Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Virginia Does Not Stuff Runs (#32)
Virginia has a bad defensive line (#63)
Power Rating: -2.00 #69
Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has lost 3 straight
Virginia has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
Virginia Notes
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good
Virginia Highlights
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia commits very few Penalties (#49)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Virginia offense is really bad (#26)
Virginia offense is not Explosive (#22)
Virginia offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#54)
Virginia pass game is really bad (#45)
Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Virginia Does Not Stuff Runs (#32)
Virginia has a bad defensive line (#63)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | PITT | UVA |
| OverallOver | #62 | #82 |
| OffenseOff | #93 | #87 |
| DefenseDef | #30 | #89 |
| Special TeamsST | #33 | #38 |
| PassingPass | #80 | #97 |
| RushingRush | #61 | #62 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #79 | #46 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #108 | #104 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #84 | #81 |
| TacklingTkl | #30 | #97 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #33 | #81 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #41 | #63 |
| Coverage DefCov | #38 | #91 |
Rematch from Week 11
Pittsburgh -7.5 (56.5)
Virginia won at Pittsburgh this year (24-19)
Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Pittsburgh last year (24-19)
Pittsburgh beat Virginia in 2022 (37-7)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: UVA | PITT
Depth Chart: UVA | PITT
Rosters: UVA | PITT
(#56) Pittsburgh Info
Power Rating: 5.915 #56
Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Pittsburgh has lost 1 straight
Pittsburgh has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)
Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Pittsburgh gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#99)
Power Rating: 5.915 #56
Offense Rating: 18.73 #78
Defense Rating: 7.13 #45
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.9 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Poor OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Pittsburgh has lost 1 straight
Pittsburgh has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Pittsburgh Notes
(11/13) 2 bad L's, QB's awful (14-35, 2 Int), Rgame meh
(11/2) Fraud, Rgame awful, Holstein garbage @ SMU
(10/24) Pass rush great, forced 5 INTs, 217 yds Off/41 Pts
(10/12) Off was awful vs Cal, 1-12 3rd down, lucky to W
(10/4) Pass good, Run great. Top 10 OL yds, success
(9/12) Pitt is top 5 plays per minute through 2 games
(9/8) Holstein great vs Cin in comeback. Rgame good
(9/1) Holstein QB, Off torched Kent, balanced. Def big ?
(8/19) Off was near worst in P4 & OL worst in P4 LY
(8/19) Bowl poss only if Off improves vs. light sched
Pittsburgh Highlights
Pittsburgh offense is explosive (#25)
Pittsburgh Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Pittsburgh has a really good defense (#13)
Pittsburgh has a good run defense (#12)
Pittsburgh Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#14)
Pittsburgh Defensive Line is very good (#13)
Pittsburgh Front 7 is disruptive (#8)
Pittsburgh Deficiencies
Pittsburgh Can Not Run the Ball (#114)
Pittsburgh Commits a Lot of Penalties (#109)
Pittsburgh throws a Lot of Interceptions (#92)
Pittsburgh gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#99)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Colandrea | 198 | 320 | 62% | 2125 | 13 | 11 | 6.6 |
| Tony Muskett | 45 | 76 | 59% | 545 | 3 | 3 | 7.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Pace | 114 | 499 | 3 | 4.4 | 43 |
| Xavier Brown | 80 | 488 | 1 | 6.1 | 75 |
| Anthony Colandrea | 128 | 277 | 2 | 2.2 | 35 |
| Noah Vaughn | 36 | 120 | 0 | 3.3 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Fields | 55 | 808 | 5 | 14.7 | 45 |
| Tyler Neville (Tr) | 37 | 394 | 2 | 10.6 | 39 |
| Trell Harris (Tr) | 15 | 221 | 2 | 14.7 | 45 |
| Kobe Pace | 21 | 189 | 0 | 9.0 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Sanker | 98 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Trey McDonald | 57 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jermarian Jackson | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Kameron Butler | 43 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| Jonas Sanker | 98 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| James Jackson | 45 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton Shine (Tr) | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Jermarian Jackson | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Jonas Sanker | 98 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Holstein (Tr) | 179 | 290 | 62% | 2225 | 17 | 7 | 7.7 |
| Nate Yarnell | 98 | 167 | 59% | 1056 | 10 | 5 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Reid (Tr) | 184 | 966 | 5 | 5.3 | 72 |
| Eli Holstein (Tr) | 81 | 328 | 3 | 4.0 | 49 |
| Daniel Carter | 22 | 208 | 4 | 9.5 | 43 |
| Julian Dugger | 21 | 88 | 1 | 4.2 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konata Mumpfield | 52 | 813 | 5 | 15.6 | 46 |
| Desmond Reid (Tr) | 52 | 579 | 4 | 11.1 | 72 |
| Kenny Johnson | 46 | 537 | 3 | 11.7 | 46 |
| Raphael Williams | 36 | 419 | 6 | 11.6 | 35 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan McMillon | 115 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Kyle Louis | 100 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| Brandon George | 80 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Rasheem Biles | 80 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Louis | 100 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 3 |
| Jimmy Scott | 30 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Nate Matlack (Tr) | 23 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Rasheem Biles | 80 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheem Biles | 80 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| Rashad Battle | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
| Donovan McMillon | 115 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |