Virginia at West Virginia - 2026 Matchup Preview

Virginia Cavaliers at West Virginia Mountaineers

Saturday, September 19th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Bank of America Stadium - Charlotte, NC

Cavaliers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (22 - 26)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 3 (#14)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)

WVU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Virginia -8.5 (SP+ UVA -18)
Projected Score: UVA: 30 - WVU: 22 (52)
UVA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
UVA Travel: 233 miles

Mountaineers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (64 - 34)
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (23 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#71)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
UVA Players
WVU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/29	Virginia vs NC State	-5
Sat 9/12	Virginia vs Norfolk State	-34.5
Sat 9/19	Virginia at West Virginia	-8.5
Sat 9/26	Virginia vs Delaware	-22.5
Sat 10/3	Virginia at Florida State	-0.5
Sat 10/10	Virginia vs Syracuse	-18.5
Sat 10/17	Virginia at SMU	+5.5
Fri 10/23	Virginia vs Duke	-6.5
Sat 10/31	Virginia at Wake Forest	-1
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	Virginia vs California	-10.5
Sat 11/21	Virginia vs North Carolina	-14
Sat 11/28	Virginia at Virginia Tech	-9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

West Virginia's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	West Virginia vs Coastal Carolina	-17
Sat 9/12	West Virginia vs UT Martin	-24
Sat 9/19	West Virginia vs Virginia	+8.5
Sat 9/26	West Virginia vs Oklahoma State	-5.5
Sat 10/3	West Virginia at Iowa State	+9.5
Sat 10/10	West Virginia vs Arizona	+6.5
Sat 10/17	West Virginia vs Cincinnati	-0
Sat 10/24	West Virginia at TCU	+11.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	West Virginia at Texas Tech	+29.5
Sat 11/14	West Virginia vs Kansas	+1
Sat 11/21	West Virginia vs Houston	+5
Sat 11/28	West Virginia at Utah	+20

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA	#64 (.18)	42% (82)	30.8	44% (63)	3.04 (53)	180	41% (79)	239	3.56 (82)	#17 (.06)	37% (20)	19.6	39% (30)	37% (22)	3.01 (17)	44.1	1	1.4
WVU	#118 (.07)	37% (121)	21.8	39% (113)	2.66 (118)	161	34% (130)	189	3.53 (86)	#63 (.16)	40% (54)	30.8	39% (36)	43% (80)	3.9 (91)	56	1.5	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WVU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Offense	14	30.8	28.6	41.6%	3.56	1	22	419	180	239	4.6	50%	49%	44%	41%	14%	.18
WVU Defense	12	30.8	28.2	40.5%	3.9	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	39%	43%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Defense	14	19.6	23.2	37.4%	3.01	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	39%	37%	18%	.06
WVU Offense	12	21.8	22.7	36.8%	3.53	1.5	19	350	161	189	3.7	57%	42%	39%	34%	16%	.07

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia	14	32:16	21.6	50%	47%	5.3	44.1	1	1.4	4.8	2.1	3	30.7
West Virginia	12	26:18	18.8	30%	45%	5.8	56	1.5	1.7	6.7	2.4	1	28.3

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Offense	14	50% (66)	44% (63)	38.9	179.9	4.6	29 (11)	.19 (30)	3.04 (53)	81% (11)	8% (23)	1.06 (31)
WVU Defense	12	49% (60)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.02 (25)	2.42 (8)	73% (80)	12% (12)	0.95 (64)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Defense	14	51% (77)	39% (30)	-	-	-	-	.04 (33)	2.75 (42)	71% (70)	9% (77)	0.92 (46)
WVU Offense	12	57% (20)	39% (113)	43.6	160.7	3.7	22 (36)	-.02 (126)	2.66 (118)	62% (121)	10% (103)	0.89 (101)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Offense	14	49% (71)	41% (79)	22.5	35.1	239.1	6.8	10.6	18 (50)	10 (60)	.24 (76)	1.5 (73)	32% (85)	33% (34)	.36 (46)	6% (65)	1.9 (114)
WVU Defense	12	49% (82)	43% (80)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (22)	.33 (104)	1.7 (125)	34% (27)	33% (112)	.42 (121)	6% (69)	2.1 (110)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Defense	14	47% (53)	37% (22)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (38)	.15 (24)	1.5 (44)	32% (59)	23% (3)	.11 (8)	9% (5)	1.9 (25)
WVU Offense	12	42% (116)	34% (130)	16	27.3	188.9	6.9	11.8	10 (128)	11 (88)	.2 (99)	1.7 (24)	30% (53)	26% (116)	.21 (99)	6% (55)	2.1 (52)

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 11.13 #34
Virginia's Offense Rating: 15.05 #57
Virginia's Defense Rating: 8.92 #28
2026 Talent Rating: 920.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #73
Virginia's 2026 Expected Record: 9.0 - 3.0
Virginia's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #31
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 11.13 West Virginia: 2.835

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 11.1 West Virginia: -6.8

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 2.835 #49
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.78 #59
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.31 #45
2026 Talent Rating: 926.00 #27
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #64
West Virginia's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
West Virginia's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.8 #93
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #102
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #91

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 824
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia 30
West Virginia 22

Projected Total Points: 52

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 30.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

West Virginia's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2002	12/28	Virginia	48	West Virginia	22

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
West Virginia	0	0	0 Overs
Virginia	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#34) UVA at (#49) WVU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UVA	WVU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#34	#49
SP+SP+	#31	#93
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#29	#27
Blue ChipsBC%	#73	#64

Virginia Notes(2/15) Vibes: Hopeful, '25 was big boost, want more
(2/6) WR Edrine (#2 LY) arrested, no longer w team
(2/6) QB Pribula (Miz) is good, mobile, rec from injury
(2/6) RB 3 portals, good unit w depth & rotation
(2/6) WR counting on 3 portals & depth w limited exp
(2/6) OL good LY & has 3 back and decent depth
(2/6) DL added 7 portals, lots of G5 risers. Unclear
(2/6) LB corp strong that can go at least 6 deep
(2/6) CB & Saf each 4 portal adds. CB looks like big ?
(2/4) Overall talent #'s back to normal after '25 jump
(2/2) HC Elliott saved job LY, but now has to rebuild
Virginia Injury Report

West Virginia Notes(2/17) Vibes: Eers love RichRod, portals provide hope
(1/29) 2nd year staff brought in 80 new players
(1/29) QB Fox back, Hawkins (OU) in to challenge QB1
(1/29) RB Cam Cook brings 1.6K yds & 16 TDs. Huge add
(1/29) WR adds are OK, not great. 6 Fr need to contribute
(1/29) OL 4 portal starters added. #2 most exp'd OLine
(1/29) DL is thin and lacks dudes. Glaring weakness
(1/29) LB added 3 portal starters + 3 more w good exp
(1/29) DBs same. Added exp but G5 avg players.
(1/29) Should improve TY but limited ceiling w this talent
West Virginia Injury Report

Virginia on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	UVA Off	WVU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#82	#54
ExplosiveExp	#43	#125
PPAPPA	#64	#63
PowerPwr	#57	#45
SP+SP+	#56	#91
Pts POPPO	#82	#91
HavocHav	#39	#26

Virginia Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	UVA Off	WVU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#63	#36
Run ExplRExp	#31	#64
PPAExp	#30	#25
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#53	#8
Stuff RateStuff	#32	#18
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	UVA Off	WVU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#79	#80
Pass ExplPExl	#73	#125
PPAExp	#76	#104
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#23	#12
DB HavocDB	#65	#69

West Virginia on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	UVA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#121	#20
ExplosiveExp	#79	#35
PPAPPA	#118	#17
PowerPwr	#59	#28
SP+SP+	#102	#19
Pts POPPO	#86	#17
HavocHav	#80	#23

West Virginia Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#113	#30
Run ExplRExp	#101	#46
PPAExp	#126	#33
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#118	#42
Stuff RateStuff	#104	#68
TackleTak	-	NR

West Virginia Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	WVU Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#130	#22
Pass ExplPExl	#24	#44
PPAExp	#99	#24
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#103	#77
DB HavocDB	#55	#5

Program Comparison
WVU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'26 Profile: Down to Average G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bank of America Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)	182	270	67%	1946	11	9	7.2
Eli Holstein (Tr)	77	125	62%	1081	12	6	8.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jekail Middlebrook (Tr)	140	752	4	5.4	72
Solomon Beebe (Tr)	56	338	6	6.0	81
Beau Pribula (Tr)	95	297	6	3.1	49
Peyton Lewis (Tr)	70	290	7	4.1	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacquon Gibson (Tr)	63	616	0	9.8	50
Dashawn Martin	33	507	4	15.4	75
Jekail Middlebrook (Tr)	40	412	3	10.3	48
Tyson Davis (Tr)	25	323	2	12.9	36

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Jones (Tr)	66	5	0	0	1
Kamren Robinson	64	4	2	2	1
Jalen McNair (Tr)	50	2	0	1	4
Maddox Marcellus	49	3	2	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zion Wilson (Tr)	42	10	6	4	1
Nnanna Anyanwu (Tr)	21	7	5	4	1
Fisher Camac	44	6	4	2	4
Jason Hammond	33	3	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donavon Platt	34	2	0	0	6
Jalen McNair (Tr)	50	2	0	1	4
Fisher Camac	44	6	4	2	4

WVU's OC Rich Rodriguez (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Scotty Fox Jr.	101	170	59%	1276	7	6	7.5
Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tr)	15	27	56%	167	3	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Cook (Tr)	296	1666	16	5.6	73
Scotty Fox Jr.	84	201	3	2.4	59
Michael Hawkins Jr. (Tr)	15	58	1	3.9	27
Armoni Weaver	1	29	0	29.0	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DJ Epps (Tr)	46	498	5	10.8	48
John Neider (Tr)	27	422	2	15.6	45
Cam Cook (Tr)	30	286	0	9.5	54
Josh Sapp (Tr)	11	150	0	13.6	32

View West Virginia's Full Roster

WVU's DC Zac Alley (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Stolsky (Tr)	86	2	1	1	2
Kamari Wilson (Tr)	78	7	1	1	4
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)	63	2	0	2	5
Jaire Rawlison (Tr)	52	2	1	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ezekiel Durham-Campbell (Tr)	40	8	6	8	1
David Afogho (Tr)	37	4	3	6	1
Harper Holloman (Tr)	39	6	2	6	4
Jason Hall (Tr)	13	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaire Rawlison (Tr)	52	2	1	0	6
Andrew Powdrell (Tr)	63	2	0	2	5
Harper Holloman (Tr)	39	6	2	6	4