Notre Dame at Virginia - 2021 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo   Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Virginia Cavaliers  Virginia logo
Saturday, November 13th 2021 (7:30 PM EST)
Notre Dame -7.5 (62.5)
Notre Dame 28 - Virginia: 3  (ACC)

 
Fighting Irish (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (84 - 38)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (38 - 17 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA coming off BYE
ND is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ ND -10)
Projected Score: ND: 30 - UVA: 25 (55)
ND Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ND Travel: 481 miles
Cavaliers (6 - 6) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (32 - 33)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/5 Notre Dame at Florida State-7.053.5W 41 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 Notre Dame vs Toledo-16.555.0W 32 - 29ON
Sat 9/18 Notre Dame vs Purdue-7.558.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/25 Notre Dame vs Wisconsin+6.043.5W 41 - 13OY
Sat 10/2 Notre Dame vs Cincinnati+2.550.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 Notre Dame at Virginia Tech+1.046.5W 32 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Notre Dame vs USC-8.059.5W 31 - 16UY
Sat 10/30 Notre Dame vs North Carolina-3.563.0W 44 - 34OY
Sat 11/6 Notre Dame vs Navy-21.047.5W 34 - 6UY
Sat 11/13 Notre Dame at Virginia-7.562.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/20 Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech-18.057.5W 55 - 0UY
Sat 11/27 Notre Dame at Stanford-20.553.0W 45 - 14OY
Sat 1/1 Notre Dame vs Oklahoma State+1.545.5L 35 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Virginia's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Virginia vs William & Mary-30.552.5W 43 - 0UY
Sat 9/11 Virginia vs Illinois-10.557.0W 42 - 14UY
Sat 9/18 Virginia at North Carolina+7.567.0L 39 - 59ON
Fri 9/24 Virginia vs Wake Forest-3.571.0L 17 - 37UN
Thu 9/30 Virginia at Miami+3.563.5W 30 - 28UY
Sat 10/9 Virginia at Louisville+2.569.5W 34 - 33UY
Sat 10/16 Virginia vs Duke-10.569.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 10/23 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-6.566.0W 48 - 40OY
Sat 10/30 Virginia at BYU+2.566.5L 49 - 66ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 Virginia vs Notre Dame+7.562.5L 3 - 28UN
Sat 11/20 Virginia at Pittsburgh+12.569.0L 38 - 48OY
Sat 11/27 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-7.063.5L 24 - 29UN
Wed 12/29 Virginia vs SMU-2.571.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND.2547%4248%3.2621147%2373.84.1339%17.639%40%2.83380.91.4
UVA.1944%30.848%3.4216340%2614.05.241%19.637%44%3.0448.31.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense124238.247.2%3.840.924449211237556%44%48%47%13%.25
UVA Defense1019.617.740.6%3.041.8 - - - - - 50%50%37%44%18%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1217.61739.4%2.831.4 - - - - - 44%55%39%40%22%.13
UVA Offense1030.836.444%4.051.9244231632614.546%54%48%40%14%.19

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1233:4924.249%65%4.4380.91.47.32.4229
Virginia1031:0423.637%64%5.348.31.91.87.23.2229.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1256%48%42.2211.4533.163.2688%10%0.91
UVA Defense1050%37% - - - - .042.676%12%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1244%39% - - - - .042.4371%14%1.04
UVA Offense1046%48%36.6162.94.516.23.4277%7%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1244%47%19.330.2237.47.912.3153.371.629%36%.423%1.9
UVA Defense1050%44% - - - - - - 11.351.934%32%.356%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1255%40% - - - - - - 7.221.637%30%.348%2.1
UVA Offense1054%40%22.137.9260.56.911.82214.171.629%31%.338%1.9

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Notre Dame's 2021 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4  #11
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #20
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9  #15

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame:    Virginia: 6.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 17.4   Virginia: 7.2




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 6.1 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2021 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2  #55
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3  #8
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #100

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Notre Dame's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 30
Virginia 25

Projected Total Points: 55
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Notre Dame35Virginia14Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame51.0Under
202111/13Virginia3Notre Dame28Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame62.5Under
201909/28Notre Dame35Virginia20Notre Dame -10.5Notre Dame46.5Over
201509/12Virginia27Notre Dame34Notre Dame -11.5Virginia47.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia012 Overs
Notre Dame432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 23 - 12 - 01 - 1
Road Teams2 - 21 - 31 - 10 - 2

(#) ND at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #55
Perf GradeGrade #12 #69
OffenseOff #24 #19
DefenseDef #13 #121
Spec TeamsST #14 #63
TalentTal #12 #53
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCat
ND OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #24 #121
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #100
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffUVA Def
Run GameRun #51 #132
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #59
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCat
ND OffUVA Def
Pass GamePass #40 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #15 #128
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #19 #13
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffND Def
Run GameRun #32 #25
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #30 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #7
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffND Def
Pass GamePass #11 #17
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #34 #52
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Notre Dame 7.5 (62.5)
Notre Dame won at Virginia this year (28-3)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Virginia in 2024 (35-14)

  
ND's OC Tommy Rees (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ND's DC Marcus Freeman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC Robert Anae (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UVA's DC Kelly Poppinga (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD