Virginia at Miami - 2021 Matchup Preview

Thursday, September 30th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Miami -3.5 (63.5)
Virginia 30 - Miami: 28 (ACC)

Cavaliers (6 - 6) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (32 - 33)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MIAMI is playing their 5th straight game
UVA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ MIAMI -4)
Projected Score: UVA: 22 - MIAMI: 27 (49)
MIAMI Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 840 miles

Hurricanes (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (36 - 12 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UVA Players
MIAMI Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Virginia vs William & Mary	-30.5	52.5	W 43 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Virginia vs Illinois	-10.5	57.0	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Virginia at North Carolina	+7.5	67.0	L 39 - 59	O	N
Fri 9/24	Virginia vs Wake Forest	-3.5	71.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 9/30	Virginia at Miami	+3.5	63.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Virginia at Louisville	+2.5	69.5	W 34 - 33	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Virginia vs Duke	-10.5	69.5	W 48 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	-6.5	66.0	W 48 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Virginia at BYU	+2.5	66.5	L 49 - 66	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Virginia vs Notre Dame	+7.5	62.5	L 3 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/20	Virginia at Pittsburgh	+12.5	69.0	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	-7.0	63.5	L 24 - 29	U	N
Wed 12/29	Virginia vs SMU	-2.5	71.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Miami's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Miami vs Alabama	+19.5	61.5	L 13 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/11	Miami vs App State	-7.5	55.0	W 25 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/18	Miami vs Michigan State	-7.0	57.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/25	Miami vs Central Connecticut	-46.0	55.5	W 69 - 0	O	Y
Thu 9/30	Miami vs Virginia	-3.5	63.5	L 28 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Miami at North Carolina	+7.5	63.5	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Miami vs NC State	+3.5	54.5	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Miami at Pittsburgh	+9.5	61.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Miami vs Georgia Tech	-10.0	63.0	W 33 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/13	Miami at Florida State	-2.5	61.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/20	Miami vs Virginia Tech	-7.0	55.5	W 38 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Miami at Duke	-20.5	67.0	W 47 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA	.19	44%	30.8	48%	3.42	163	40%	261	4.05	.2	41%	19.6	37%	44%	3.04	48.3	1.9	1.8
MIAMI	.24	42%	30.9	41%	2.75	164	43%	277	4.27	.2	43%	14.8	46%	40%	3.79	72.2	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIAMI		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Offense	10	30.8	28.6	44%	4.05	1.9	24	423	163	261	4.5	46%	54%	48%	40%	14%	.19
MIAMI Defense	11	14.8	11.8	42.9%	3.79	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	46%	40%	20%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Defense	10	19.6	23.2	40.6%	3.04	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	37%	44%	18%	.2
MIAMI Offense	11	30.9	36.1	42.2%	4.27	1.1	23	441	164	277	4.3	49%	51%	41%	43%	20%	.24

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia	10	31:04	23.6	37%	64%	5.3	48.3	1.9	1.8	7.2	3.2	2	29.2
Miami	11	27:11	22.7	40%	68%	7.8	72.2	1.1	1.5	8.5	2.8	0	27.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Offense	10	46%	48%	36.6	162.9	4.5	16	.2	3.42	77%	7%	0.93
MIAMI Defense	11	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.72	76%	14%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Defense	10	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.6	76%	12%	0.92
MIAMI Offense	11	49%	41%	38.1	163.6	4.3	18	.14	2.75	77%	13%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Offense	10	54%	40%	22.1	37.9	260.5	6.9	11.8	22	14	.17	1.6	29%	31%	.33	8%	1.9
MIAMI Defense	11	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.21	1.5	33%	29%	.25	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Defense	10	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.35	1.9	34%	32%	.35	6%	2.3
MIAMI Offense	11	51%	43%	21.7	34.6	277.3	8	12.8	26	6	.35	1.7	34%	34%	.44	8%	2.1

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2021 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #55
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #100

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: Miami: 7.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 7.2 Miami: 10.8

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 7.9 NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami's 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #32
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #25
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 27
Virginia 22

Projected Total Points: 49

Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.8

Miami's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/28	Miami	29	Virginia	26	Miami -18.5	Virginia	48.0	Over
2022	10/29	Virginia	12	Miami	14	Miami -3	Virginia	48.5	Under
2021	09/30	Miami	28	Virginia	30	Miami -3.5	Virginia	63.5	Under
2020	10/24	Miami	19	Virginia	14	Miami -13.5	Virginia	54.5	Under
2019	10/11	Miami	17	Virginia	9	Miami -2.5	Miami	44.5	Under
2018	10/13	Virginia	16	Miami	13	Miami -7	Virginia	46.5	Under
2017	11/18	Miami	44	Virginia	28	Miami -20	Virginia	50.5	Over
2016	11/12	Virginia	14	Miami	34	Miami -11	Miami	55.5	Under
2015	11/07	Miami	27	Virginia	21	Miami -7.5	Virginia	53.0	Under
2014	11/22	Virginia	30	Miami	13	Miami -7	Virginia	0
2013	11/23	Miami	45	Virginia	26	Miami -19.5	Virginia	0
2012	11/10	Virginia	41	Miami	40
2011	10/27	Miami	21	Virginia	28
2010	10/30	Virginia	24	Miami	19
2009	11/07	Miami	52	Virginia	17
2008	11/01	Virginia	17	Miami	24
2007	11/10	Miami	0	Virginia	48
2006	11/18	Virginia	17	Miami	7
2005	11/26	Miami	25	Virginia	17
2004	11/13	Virginia	21	Miami	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami	12	2	2 Overs
Virginia	8	9	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 7	4 - 7	1 - 6	3 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 13	7 - 4	1 - 3	6 - 1

(#) UVA at (#) MIAMI

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UVA	MIAMI
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#55	#32
Perf GradeGrade	#69	#91
OffenseOff	#19	#65
DefenseDef	#121	#102
Spec TeamsST	#63	#120
TalentTal	#53	#13
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Injury Report

Miami Injury Report

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	MIAMI Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#19	#102
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#8	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	#32	#87
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#30	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#134

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	#11	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#34	#108
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Miami on Offense


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	UVA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#65	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami Run Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	#97	#132
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

Miami Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	#36	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#7	#128
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Miami -3.5 (63.5)
Virginia won at Miami this year (30-28)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Virginia in 2023 (29-26)

UVA's OC Robert Anae (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC Kelly Poppinga (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIAMI's OC Rhett Lashlee (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD