James Madison at Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview

James Madison Dukes at Virginia Cavaliers

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
James Madison -6 (40.0) (0) Open: 0.0
James Madison 36 - Virginia: 35

Dukes (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (44 - 8)
Avg Score : 34 - 20 (36 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: James Madison -13.5 (SP+ JMU -23.5)
Projected Score: JMU: 28 - UVA: 15 (43)
JMU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
JMU Travel: 34 miles

Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
JMU Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

James Madison's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	James Madison vs Bucknell	-47.0	53.5	W 38 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	James Madison at Virginia	-6.0	40.0	W 36 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/16	James Madison at Troy	+2.5	46.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/23	James Madison at Utah State	-5.5	53.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/30	James Madison vs South Alabama	-1.0	48.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	James Madison vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	60.0	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Thu 10/19	James Madison at Marshall	-5.0	49.0	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/28	James Madison vs Old Dominion	-19.5	48.0	W 30 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/4	James Madison at Georgia State	-6.0	53.0	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/11	James Madison vs UConn	-24.5	47.5	W 44 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/18	James Madison vs App State	-10.0	56.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	James Madison at Coastal Carolina	-9.5	50.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/23	James Madison vs Air Force	+2.5	44.5	L 21 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule

Virginia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia vs Tennessee	+27.5	56.0	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/9	Virginia vs James Madison	+6.0	40.0	L 35 - 36	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Virginia at Maryland	+16.5	48.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Fri 9/22	Virginia vs NC State	+8.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Virginia at Boston College	+5.0	52.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Virginia vs William & Mary	-10.0	42.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Virginia at North Carolina	+24.0	58.0	W 31 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Virginia at Miami	+18.5	48.0	L 26 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	-2.0	57.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Thu 11/9	Virginia at Louisville	+20.5	49.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Virginia vs Duke	+4.0	48.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	52.5	L 17 - 55	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU	#44 (.24)	46% (27)	34.1	40% (102)	2.75 (121)	133	52% (7)	286	3.92 (64)	#14 (.09)	33% (4)	19.5	29% (1)	37% (19)	2.86 (9)	40.1	1.2	1.6
UVA	#88 (.15)	41% (84)	23.3	42% (82)	3 (89)	118	41% (76)	251	3.68 (85)	#117 (.26)	45% (113)	33.8	48% (118)	43% (90)	4.15 (103)	55.3	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU	#88 (.16)	44% (61)		47% (29)	3.28 (30)	194	40% (87)	216	3.93 (66)	#4 (.03)	34% (1)		34% (5)	34% (3)	3.64 (53)	54.8	0.7	2.5
UVA	#102 (.13)	40% (103)		43% (77)	3.29 (25)	133	37% (113)	229	3.47 (106)	#116 (.27)	43% (80)		44% (77)	42% (77)	4.04 (94)	45.3	1.6	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Offense	13	34.1	35.8	45.6%	3.92	1.2	21	419	133	286	3.9	47%	52%	40%	52%	17%	.24
UVA Defense	12	33.8	33.3	45.2%	4.15	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	48%	43%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Defense	13	19.5	20.7	33.2%	2.86	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	29%	37%	24%	.09
UVA Offense	12	23.3	24.5	41%	3.68	1.7	21	369	118	251	3.1	49%	50%	42%	41%	19%	.15

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
James Madison	13	31:15	21.2	37%	50%	5.5	40.1	1.2	1.6	8.5	3.4	3	33.4
Virginia	12	31:24	21	36%	60%	6.5	55.3	1.7	1.2	4.8	0.9	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Offense	13	47% (94)	40% (102)	34.2	133.2	3.9	17 (81)	.03 (121)	2.75 (121)	57% (131)	10% (69)	0.89 (114)
UVA Defense	12	51% (87)	48% (118)	-	-	-	-	.26 (124)	3.36 (116)	76% (92)	9% (108)	1.03 (84)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Defense	13	42% (6)	29% (1)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (8)	2.18 (1)	61% (10)	15% (2)	1.13 (117)
UVA Offense	12	49% (76)	42% (82)	37.8	117.9	3.1	12 (116)	.11 (91)	3 (89)	70% (98)	13% (123)	0.89 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Offense	13	52% (43)	52% (7)	22.2	33	285.8	8.7	12.9	36 (5)	11 (68)	.48 (13)	1.5 (90)	29% (25)	33% (51)	.38 (51)	7% (98)	2 (74)
UVA Defense	12	48% (48)	43% (90)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.32 (97)	1.6 (54)	28% (127)	30% (62)	.33 (76)	6% (57)	2.1 (85)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Defense	13	57% (127)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (26)	.24 (51)	1.7 (115)	38% (5)	27% (24)	.28 (48)	9% (4)	2.1 (77)
UVA Offense	12	50% (62)	41% (76)	20.7	33	250.8	7.6	12.1	19 (78)	14 (107)	.29 (67)	1.6 (66)	32% (83)	29% (79)	.21 (105)	6% (79)	1.8 (126)

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 3.26 #48
James Madison's Offense Rating: 17.90 #55
James Madison's Defense Rating: -1.23 #4
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
James Madison's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
James Madison's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #18
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #19
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 3.26 Virginia: -5.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 13.3 Virginia: -10.3

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.385 #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.8
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

James Madison's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
James Madison 28
Virginia 15

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
James Madison 24
Virginia 13

Total Points: 37

Based on Entire Season
James Madison 34
Virginia 22

Total Points: 56

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Virginia	35	James Madison	36	James Madison -6	Virginia	40.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	0	1	1 Overs
James Madison	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#48) JMU at (#93) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	JMU	UVA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#48	#93
SP+SP+	#18	#106
Perf GradeGrade	#23	#116
OffenseOff	#46	#97
DefenseDef	#14	#128
Spec TeamsST	#17	#112
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#59

James Madison Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

James Madison on Offense


CategoryCat	JMU Off	UVA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#128
SuccessSuc	#27	#113
ExplosiveExp	#82	#55
PPAPPA	#44	#117
PowerPwr	#55	#114
SP+SP+	#19	#99
Pts POPPO	#64	#103
HavocHav	#84	#96

James Madison Run Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	#110	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	#102	#118
Run ExplRExp	#114	#84
PPAExp	#121	#124
Run BlockR Blk	#69	-
OL YdsOLY	#121	#116
Stuff RateStuff	#132	#96
TackleTak	-	#96

James Madison Pass Game


CategoryCat	JMU Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	#31	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	#7	#90
Pass ExplPExl	#90	#54
PPAExp	#13	#97
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#99	#127
F7 HavocF7	#69	#108
DB HavocDB	#98	#57

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	JMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#97	#14
SuccessSuc	#84	#4
ExplosiveExp	#96	#128
PPAPPA	#88	#14
PowerPwr	#84	#4
SP+SP+	#95	#37
Pts POPPO	#85	#9
HavocHav	#109	#1

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	JMU Def
Run GameRun	#115	#20
Run SuccessRSuc	#82	#1
Run ExplRExp	#113	#117
PPAExp	#91	#8
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	#89	#1
Stuff RateStuff	#46	#2
TackleTak	-	#84

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	JMU Def
Pass GamePass	#58	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	#76	#19
Pass ExplPExl	#66	#115
PPAExp	#67	#51
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#133	#14
F7 HavocF7	#123	#2
DB HavocDB	#79	#4

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

JMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 86°

Rematch from Week 2
James Madison 6.0 (40.0)
James Madison won at Virginia this year (36-35)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat Virginia in 2023 (36-35)

JMU's OC Mike Shanahan (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jordan McCloud (Tr)	282	413	68%	3670	35	10	8.9
Alonza Barnett	3	11	27%	15	0	1	1.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaelon Black	142	637	1	4.5	57
Ty Son Lawton	126	568	5	4.5	28
Jordan McCloud (Tr)	96	276	8	2.9	47
Latrele Palmer	32	119	1	3.7	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Sarratt	82	1191	8	14.5	48
Reggie Brown	53	1054	9	19.9	80
Phoenix Sproles	52	442	5	8.5	32
Zach Horton	27	275	6	10.2	66

View James Madison's Full Roster

JMU's DC Bryant Haines (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Fisher	107	5	2	5	6
Jailin Walker	61	6	2	1	4
Jamree Kromah	58	20	9	4	0
Jacob Thomas	54	1	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Green	50	22	16	7	1
Jamree Kromah	58	20	9	4	0
Mikail Kamara	51	19	8	5	2
James Carpenter	53	10	4	7	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Angelo Ponds	51	2	0	0	11
Aiden Fisher	107	5	2	5	6
Jacob Thomas	54	1	0	0	6

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Anthony Colandrea	154	246	63%	1958	13	9	8.0
Tony Muskett (Tr)	93	147	63%	1031	6	5	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Perris Jones	76	393	2	5.2	43
Kobe Pace (Tr)	125	382	1	3.1	22
Mike Hollins	80	274	7	3.4	22
Anthony Colandrea	73	225	0	3.1	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malik Washington	110	1426	9	13.0	64
Malachi Fields	58	811	5	14.0	39
Kobe Pace (Tr)	19	176	3	9.3	75
Sackett Wood Jr.	9	141	0	15.7	28

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	107	4	0	1	11
James Jackson	80	4	1	7	5
Kamren Robinson	71	5	1	4	1
Coen King	60	3	0	1	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Butler	22	5	3	1	0
Ben Smiley III	15	4	2	1	1
Paul Akere	15	3	1	4	0
Kamren Robinson	71	5	1	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	107	4	1	11
Dre Walker	11	0	0	5
Coen King	60	3	1	5