James Madison at Virginia Game Matchup

James Madison Dukes at Virginia Cavaliers

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
James Madison -6 (40.0) (0) Open: 0.0
James Madison 36 - Virginia: 35

Dukes (11 - 2) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (44 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 21 (31 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#22)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: James Madison -13.5 (SP+ JMU -23.5)
Projected Score: JMU: 30 - UVA: 17 (53)
JMU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
JMU Travel: 34 miles

Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
JMU Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

James Madison's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	James Madison vs Bucknell	-47.0	53.5	W 38 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/9	James Madison at Virginia	-6.0	40.0	W 36 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/16	James Madison at Troy	+2.5	46.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/23	James Madison at Utah State	-5.5	53.5	W 45 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/30	James Madison vs South Alabama	-1.0	48.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	James Madison vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	60.0	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Thu 10/19	James Madison at Marshall	-5.0	49.0	W 20 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/28	James Madison vs Old Dominion	-19.5	48.0	W 30 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/4	James Madison at Georgia State	-6.0	53.0	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/11	James Madison vs UConn	-24.5	47.5	W 44 - 6	O	Y
Sat 11/18	James Madison vs App State	-10.0	56.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/25	James Madison at Coastal Carolina	-9.5	50.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 12/23	James Madison vs Air Force	+2.5	44.5	L 21 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for James Madison's Schedule

Virginia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia vs Tennessee	+27.5	56.0	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/9	Virginia vs James Madison	+6.0	40.0	L 35 - 36	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Virginia at Maryland	+16.5	48.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Fri 9/22	Virginia vs NC State	+8.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Virginia at Boston College	+5.0	52.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Virginia vs William & Mary	-10.0	42.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Virginia at North Carolina	+24.0	58.0	W 31 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Virginia at Miami	+18.5	48.0	L 26 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	-2.0	57.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Thu 11/9	Virginia at Louisville	+20.5	49.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Virginia vs Duke	+4.0	48.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	52.5	L 17 - 55	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU	.21	46%	33.3	45%	3.26	187	48%	265	4.4	.04	29%	20.5	27%	32%	3.53	39.9	1.8	2.8
UVA	.08	40%	22.7	44%	3.2	123	37%	221	2.81	.13	41%	28.8	40%	41%	3.54	62.2	2.2	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Offense	11	33.3	31.3	45.8%	4.4	1.8	23	452	187	265	4.3	54%	44%	45%	48%	16%	.21
UVA Defense	10	28.8	25.3	40.8%	3.54	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	41%	15%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JMU Defense	11	20.5	28.7	29.4%	3.53	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	27%	32%	25%	.04
UVA Offense	10	22.7	18.7	39.7%	2.81	2.2	19	344	123	221	3.7	45%	54%	44%	37%	22%	.08

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
James Madison	11	33:38	22.6	40%	45%	5.1	39.9	1.8	2.8	8.7	3.5	2	33.1
Virginia	10	27:30	19	32%	39%	7	62.2	2.2	1.7	5.1	3	0	28.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Offense	11	54%	45%	43.5	187.2	4.3	24	.09	3.26	72%	10%	0.88
UVA Defense	10	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.26	67%	9%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JMU Defense	11	45%	27%	-	-	-	-	-.07	2.06	58%	17%	1.19
UVA Offense	10	45%	44%	32.9	123	3.7	13	.17	3.2	72%	12%	1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Offense	11	44%	48%	18.2	29.7	265.3	8.9	14.6	27	10	.44	1.6	30%	34%	.37	6%	2
UVA Defense	10	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.19	1.4	30%	29%	.31	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JMU Defense	11	54%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.17	1.9	41%	23%	.25	8%	2.4
UVA Offense	10	54%	37%	18.5	34.2	221	6.5	12	7	12	.04	1.5	36%	33%	.42	10%	2

James Madison's Power Ratings
James Madison's Power Rating: 3.26 #48
James Madison's Offense Rating: 17.90 #55
James Madison's Defense Rating: -1.23 #4
2023 Talent Rating: 98.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
James Madison's 2023 Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80
James Madison's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #18
James Madison's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #19
James Madison's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 3.26 Virginia: -5.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
James Madison: 13.3 Virginia: -10.3

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.385 #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

James Madison Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.7

James Madison's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
James Madison 30
Virginia 17

Projected Total Points: 53

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Virginia	35	James Madison	36	James Madison	James Madison -6	Virginia	40.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	0	1	1 Overs
James Madison	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

(#48) James Madison Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.26 #48
Offense Rating: 17.90 #55
Defense Rating: -1.23 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #18
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.9 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #37
Talent Rating: 98.00 #132
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 9.20 - 3.80

Team Profile

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James Madison Ratings Matchup Virginia

Power #48

#93

Off #55

#84

Def #4

#114

Talent #132

#60

SP+ #18

#106

SP+ Off #19

#95

SP+ Def #37

#99

Rematch from Week 2
James Madison 6.0 (40.0)
James Madison won at Virginia this year (36-35)

Previous Matchups
James Madison beat Virginia in 2023 (36-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 86°

Team Information
Injuries: JMU | UVA
Depth Chart: JMU | UVA
Rosters: JMU | UVA

(#93) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.385 #93
Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30

Team Profile

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James Madison's OC Mike Shanahan

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jordan McCloud (Tr)	272	389	70%	3222	30	13	8.3
Taji Hudson (Tr)	1	1	100%	23	0	0	23.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ty Son Lawton	141	668	12	4.7	29
Jordan McCloud (Tr)	74	278	7	3.8	42
Kaelon Black	46	251	2	5.5	21
Sammy Malignaggi	42	138	0	3.3	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Sarratt	53	957	8	18.1	84
Omarion Dollison	37	633	6	17.1	73
Taylor Thompson	33	448	6	13.6	36
Zach Horton	21	189	4	9.0	18

View James Madison's Full Roster

James Madison's DC Bryant Haines

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aiden Fisher	118	6	2	3	4
Jailin Walker	82	10	2	5	8
D'Angelo Ponds	55	5	0	0	9
Brent Austin	48	0	0	0	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mikail Kamara	46	14	9	6	1
James Carpenter	37	11	5	5	2
Tyrique Tucker	24	5	3	4	1
Jailin Walker	82	10	2	5	8

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brent Austin	48	0	0	0	10
D'Angelo Ponds	55	5	0	0	9
Jailin Walker	82	10	2	5	8

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tony Muskett (Tr)	45	76	59%	545	3	3	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kobe Pace (Tr)	114	499	3	4.4	43
Tony Muskett (Tr)	27	98	4	3.6	18
Donte Hawthorne	1	12	0	12.0	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kobe Pace (Tr)	21	189	0	9.0	52
Demick Starling	3	56	0	18.7	27
Sackett Wood Jr.	3	18	1	6.0	8
Donte Hawthorne	1	2	0	2.0	2

View Virginia's Full Roster

Virginia's DC John Rudzinski

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4
Antonio Clary	48	3	1	1	3
Kameron Butler	43	3	3	8	2
Chico Bennett Jr.	39	8	1	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Butler	43	3	3	8	2
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4
Antonio Clary	48	3	1	1	3
Chico Bennett Jr.	39	8	1	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4
Antonio Clary	48	3	1	1	3
Kameron Butler	43	3	3	8	2