Virginia at Clemson - 2024 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers at Clemson TigersClemson logo
Saturday, October 19th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Clemson -20 (57.5) (-1350)  Open: -21.0
Clemson 48 - Virginia: 31  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
CLEM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Clemson -19.5   (SP+ CLEM -18)

Projected Score: UVA: 19 - CLEM: 39 (55)
CLEM Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
UVA Travel: 334 miles
Tigers (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (170 - 43)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (43 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia vs Richmond-21
Sat 9/7 Virginia at Wake Forest-1.555.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Maryland-2.555.5L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/21 Virginia at Coastal Carolina-3.552.0W 43 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Virginia vs Boston College-2.052.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Virginia vs Louisville+7.054.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Virginia at Clemson+20.057.5L 31 - 48OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia vs North Carolina-3.558.5L 14 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Virginia at Pittsburgh+7.556.5W 24 - 19UY
Sat 11/16 Virginia at Notre Dame+20.551.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs SMU+11.554.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/30 Virginia at Virginia Tech+4.544.5L 17 - 37ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Clemson's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Clemson vs Georgia+10.549.0L 3 - 34UN
Sat 9/7 Clemson vs App State-13.553.5W 66 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Clemson vs NC State-17.044.0W 59 - 35OY
Sat 9/28 Clemson vs Stanford-24.058.0W 40 - 14UY
Sat 10/5 Clemson at Florida State-16.547.0W 29 - 13UN
Sat 10/12 Clemson at Wake Forest-21.063.0W 49 - 14UY
Sat 10/19 Clemson vs Virginia-20.057.5W 48 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Clemson vs Louisville-11.062.5L 21 - 33UN
Sat 11/9 Clemson at Virginia Tech-6.554.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 11/16 Clemson at Pittsburgh-12.052.0W 24 - 20UN
Sat 11/23 Clemson vs The Citadel-49.558.5W 51 - 14ON
Sat 11/30 Clemson vs South Carolina-2.548.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 12/7 Clemson vs SMU+2.556.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 12/21 Clemson at Texas+13.549.5L 24 - 38ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Clemson's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#88 (.15)41% (84)22.742% (82)3 (89)11841% (76)2513.68 (85)#117 (.26)45% (113)28.848% (118)43% (90)4.15 (103)55.31.71.2
CLEM#87 (.16)45% (38)34.747% (25)3.22 (47)17443% (56)2293.62 (90)#9 (.07)33% (2)23.435% (10)32% (2)4.04 (91)42.21.72
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CLEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1222.726.741%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15
CLEM Defense1323.423.433%4.042 - - - - - 46%54%35%32%22%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1228.832.245.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26
CLEM Offense1334.742.745%3.621.7234031742294.349%51%47%43%16%.16

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
Clemson1333:0423.140%52%4.942.21.726.52.3432.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (98)13% (123)0.89 (113)
CLEM Defense1346% (19)35% (10) - - - - .13 (62)2.9 (33)83% (117)13% (10)1.22 (128)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (92)9% (108)1.03 (84)
CLEM Offense1349% (77)47% (25)40.2174.34.324 (41).17 (55)3.22 (47)79% (25)9% (55)0.91 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)
CLEM Defense1354% (116)32% (2) - - - - - - 15 (15).05 (3)1.6 (51)40% (1)23% (2).13 (4)9% (1)1.9 (17)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)
CLEM Offense1351% (53)43% (56)23.236.5228.66.39.820 (70)9 (40).16 (104)1.3 (133)29% (20)29% (85).18 (109)6% (85)1.9 (117)

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -2.00 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -2.00   Clemson: 16.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.1   Clemson: 13.3




Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 16.1 #17
Clemson's Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Clemson's Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
2024 Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Clemson's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Clemson's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Clemson 39
Virginia 19


Projected Total Points: 55
Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.7
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.4

Clemson's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Clemson48Virginia31ClemsonClemson -20Virginia57.5Over
202010/03Clemson41Virginia23ClemsonClemson -28Virginia55.0Over
201912/07Clemson62Virginia17ClemsonClemson -29Clemson56.5Over
201311/02Virginia10Clemson59ClemsonClemson -20Clemson0
200911/21Clemson34Virginia21Clemson
200811/22Virginia3Clemson13Clemson
200410/07Virginia30Clemson10Virginia
200310/11Clemson30Virginia27Clemson
200210/12Virginia22Clemson17Virginia
200109/22Clemson24Virginia26Virginia
200009/22Virginia10Clemson31Clemson
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Clemson823 Overs
Virginia320 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 41 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams4 - 73 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#69) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.00 #69
Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Virginia Notes
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good
Virginia     Ratings Matchup     Clemson
Power #69
#17
Off #84
#15
Def #96
#47
Talent #50
#9
SP+ #91
#22
SP+ Off #95
#16
SP+ Def #86
#26

Rematch from Week 8
Clemson -20.0 (57.5)
Clemson won vs Virginia this year (48-31)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Virginia last year (48-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 68° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UVA | CLEM
Depth Chart: UVA | CLEM
Rosters: UVA | CLEM
(#17) Clemson Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 16.1 #17
Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26
Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.33 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position



  
Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea19832062%212513116.6
Malachi Fields2367%510017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Anthony Colandrea12827722.235
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Jack Griese155503.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Fields55808514.745
Tyler Neville (Tr)37394210.639
Trell Harris (Tr)15221214.745
Chris Tyree (Tr)2413605.725

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
Corey Thomas Jr. (Tr)471002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
James Jackson455220
Anthony Britton383221
Billy Koudelka41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kempton Shine (Tr)372007
Jermarian Jackson551106
Kendren Smith (Tr)392014

Clemson's OC Garrett Riley
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cade Klubnik30848663%36393667.5
Christopher Vizzina193456%190005.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Klubnik11946273.955
Jay Haynes4329536.970
Keith Adams Jr.3012214.118
Antonio Williams7101114.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Antonio Williams749021112.257
Bryant Wesco Jr.41708517.376
T.J. Moore45651514.541
Troy Stellato26266110.234

View Clemson's Full Roster
Clemson's DC Wes Goodwin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wade Woodaz759394
Sammy Brown6612522
Khalil Barnes571034
T.J. Parker50171151
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Parker50171151
Sammy Brown6612522
Wade Woodaz759394
Peter Woods267320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Avieon Terrell4951011
Jeadyn Lukus321006
Wade Woodaz759394