Virginia at Clemson - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#18)Virginia Cavaliers at Clemson Tigers

Saturday, October 19th 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Clemson -20 (57.5) (-1350) Open: -21.0
Clemson 48 - Virginia: 31 (ACC)

Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CLEM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Clemson -19.5 (SP+ CLEM -18)
Projected Score: UVA: 20 - CLEM: 39 (59)
CLEM Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
UVA Travel: 334 miles

Tigers (10 - 4) (6 - 8 - 0)
Coach Dabo Swinney (170 - 43)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (43 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 4 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UVA Players
CLEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Virginia vs Richmond	-21
Sat 9/7	Virginia at Wake Forest	-1.5	55.5	W 31 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/14	Virginia vs Maryland	-2.5	55.5	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/21	Virginia at Coastal Carolina	-3.5	52.0	W 43 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Virginia vs Boston College	-2.0	52.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Virginia vs Louisville	+7.0	54.0	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Virginia at Clemson	+20.0	57.5	L 31 - 48	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Virginia vs North Carolina	-3.5	58.5	L 14 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Virginia at Pittsburgh	+7.5	56.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Virginia at Notre Dame	+20.5	51.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/23	Virginia vs SMU	+11.5	54.5	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/30	Virginia at Virginia Tech	+4.5	44.5	L 17 - 37	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Clemson's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Clemson vs Georgia	+10.5	49.0	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/7	Clemson vs App State	-13.5	53.5	W 66 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Clemson vs NC State	-17.0	44.0	W 59 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Clemson vs Stanford	-24.0	58.0	W 40 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Clemson at Florida State	-16.5	47.0	W 29 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/12	Clemson at Wake Forest	-21.0	63.0	W 49 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/19	Clemson vs Virginia	-20.0	57.5	W 48 - 31	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Clemson vs Louisville	-11.0	62.5	L 21 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/9	Clemson at Virginia Tech	-6.5	54.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Clemson at Pittsburgh	-12.0	52.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/23	Clemson vs The Citadel	-49.5	58.5	W 51 - 14	O	N
Sat 11/30	Clemson vs South Carolina	-2.5	48.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 12/7	Clemson vs SMU	+2.5	56.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 12/21	Clemson at Texas	+13.5	49.5	L 24 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA	#102 (.13)	40% (103)	22.7	43% (77)	3.29 (25)	133	37% (113)	229	3.47 (106)	#116 (.27)	43% (80)	28.8	44% (77)	42% (77)	4.04 (94)	45.3	1.6	1.3
CLEM	#21 (.27)	47% (24)	34.7	50% (12)	3.28 (29)	174	45% (36)	279	4.33 (29)	#52 (.14)	40% (48)	23.4	43% (68)	38% (36)	3.64 (48)	47.6	0.7	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA	#102 (.13)	40% (103)		43% (77)	3.29 (25)	133	37% (113)	229	3.47 (106)	#116 (.27)	43% (80)		44% (77)	42% (77)	4.04 (94)	45.3	1.6	1.3
CLEM	#21 (.27)	47% (24)		50% (12)	3.28 (29)	174	45% (36)	279	4.33 (29)	#52 (.14)	40% (48)		43% (68)	38% (36)	3.64 (48)	47.6	0.7	1.9

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Offense	12	22.7	26.7	40%	3.47	1.6	19	362	133	229	3.7	48%	52%	43%	37%	18%	.13
CLEM Defense	14	23.4	23.4	40.1%	3.64	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	43%	38%	19%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Defense	12	28.8	32.2	42.6%	4.04	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	44%	42%	15%	.27
CLEM Offense	14	34.7	42.7	46.7%	4.33	0.7	24	452	174	279	5.2	43%	56%	50%	45%	13%	.27

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia	12	29:53	19.3	34%	52%	5.2	45.3	1.6	1.3	4.8	1.8	0	29.5
Clemson	14	30:29	23.9	44%	59%	4.9	47.6	0.7	1.9	6.1	2.5	2	30.1

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Offense	12	48% (84)	43% (77)	35.9	132.8	3.7	14 (98)	.16 (50)	3.29 (25)	73% (77)	11% (96)	0.91 (92)
CLEM Defense	14	46% (20)	43% (68)	-	-	-	-	.15 (84)	2.93 (54)	59% (8)	11% (38)	1.12 (119)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Defense	12	49% (53)	44% (77)	-	-	-	-	.17 (91)	3.29 (112)	77% (89)	9% (104)	0.99 (69)
CLEM Offense	14	43% (113)	50% (12)	33.6	173.8	5.2	23 (52)	.24 (19)	3.28 (29)	72% (78)	8% (40)	0.96 (69)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Offense	12	52% (52)	37% (113)	20.5	33.4	229	6.9	11.2	16 (87)	14 (115)	.11 (122)	1.5 (86)	33% (101)	26% (115)	.17 (120)	7% (100)	1.7 (129)
CLEM Defense	14	53% (114)	38% (36)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.15 (28)	1.6 (60)	35% (26)	32% (90)	.3 (66)	8% (20)	2 (64)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Defense	12	50% (83)	42% (77)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.37 (121)	1.6 (84)	32% (67)	32% (84)	.43 (110)	6% (67)	2.1 (82)
CLEM Offense	14	56% (23)	45% (36)	23.6	37.8	278.5	7.4	11.8	37 (2)	7 (26)	.33 (38)	1.5 (79)	30% (39)	38% (6)	.58 (4)	5% (21)	2.1 (39)

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -2.00 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -2.00 Clemson: 16.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.1 Clemson: 13.3

Clemson's Power Ratings
Clemson's Power Rating: 16.1 #17
Clemson's Offense Rating: 25.96 #15
Clemson's Defense Rating: 7.50 #47
2024 Talent Rating: 950.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #6
Clemson's 2024 Expected Record: 10.0 - 4.0
Clemson's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3 #22
Clemson's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #16
Clemson's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #26

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Clemson 39
Virginia 20

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Clemson 35
Virginia 28

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Clemson 35
Virginia 24

Total Points: 59

Clemson Scoring
Offense: 34.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.7
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.4

Clemson's 2024 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Clemson	48	Virginia	31	Clemson -20	Virginia	57.5	Over
2020	10/03	Clemson	41	Virginia	23	Clemson -28	Virginia	55.0	Over
2019	12/07	Clemson	62	Virginia	17	Clemson -29	Clemson	56.5	Over
2013	11/02	Virginia	10	Clemson	59	Clemson -20	Clemson	0
2009	11/21	Clemson	34	Virginia	21
2008	11/22	Virginia	3	Clemson	13
2004	10/07	Virginia	30	Clemson	10
2003	10/11	Clemson	30	Virginia	27
2002	10/12	Virginia	22	Clemson	17
2001	09/22	Clemson	24	Virginia	26
2000	09/22	Virginia	10	Clemson	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Clemson	8	2	3 Overs
Virginia	3	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 4	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 7	3 - 1	1 - 0	2 - 1

(#69) UVA at (#17) CLEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UVA	CLEM
Power RatePwr	#69	#17
SP+SP+	#91	#22
Perf GradeGrade	#115	#32
OffenseOff	#109	#37
DefenseDef	#109	#33
Spec TeamsST	#44	#38
TalentTal	#50	#9
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#6

Virginia Notes
(12/17) Signed QB C Morris (N Tex/OU/TCU)
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good

Virginia on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	UVA Off	CLEM Def
Perf GradePerf	#109	#33
SuccessSuc	#103	#48
ExplosiveExp	#105	#106
PPAPPA	#102	#52
PowerPwr	#84	#47
SP+SP+	#95	#26
Pts POPPO	#106	#48
HavocHav	#109	#20

Virginia Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	UVA Off	CLEM Def
Run GameRun	#84	#43
Run SuccessRSuc	#77	#68
Run ExplRExp	#92	#119
PPAExp	#50	#84
Run BlockR Blk	#57	-
OL YdsOLY	#25	#54
Stuff RateStuff	#6	#44
TackleTak	-	#93

Virginia Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	UVA Off	CLEM Def
Pass GamePass	#120	#44
Pass SuccessPSuc	#113	#36
Pass ExplPExl	#86	#60
PPAExp	#122	#28
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#120	#40
F7 HavocF7	#96	#38
DB HavocDB	#100	#20

Clemson on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	UVA Def
Perf GradePerf	#37	#109
SuccessSuc	#24	#80
ExplosiveExp	#70	#87
PPAPPA	#21	#116
PowerPwr	#15	#96
SP+SP+	#16	#86
Pts POPPO	#29	#94
HavocHav	#25	#91

Clemson Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	#42	#104
Run SuccessRSuc	#12	#77
Run ExplRExp	#69	#69
PPAExp	#19	#91
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	#29	#112
Stuff RateStuff	#53	#121
TackleTak	-	#112

Clemson Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
CategoryCat	CLEM Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#113
Pass SuccessPSuc	#36	#77
Pass ExplPExl	#79	#84
PPAExp	#38	#121
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#72
F7 HavocF7	#40	#104
DB HavocDB	#21	#67

Program Comparison
CLEM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 68° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 8
Clemson -20.0 (57.5)
Clemson won vs Virginia this year (48-31)

Previous Matchups
Clemson beat Virginia last year (48-31)

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Anthony Colandrea	198	320	62%	2125	13	11	6.6
Tony Muskett	45	76	59%	545	3	3	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kobe Pace	114	499	3	4.4	43
Xavier Brown	80	488	1	6.1	75
Anthony Colandrea	128	277	2	2.2	35
Noah Vaughn	36	120	0	3.3	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malachi Fields	55	808	5	14.7	45
Tyler Neville (Tr)	37	394	2	10.6	39
Trell Harris (Tr)	15	221	2	14.7	45
Kobe Pace	21	189	0	9.0	52

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4
Kamren Robinson	64	6	5	2	1
Trey McDonald	57	3	1	1	1
Jermarian Jackson	55	1	1	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamren Robinson	64	6	5	2	1
Kameron Butler	43	3	3	8	2
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4
James Jackson	45	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kempton Shine (Tr)	37	2	0	0	7
Jermarian Jackson	55	1	1	0	6
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4

CLEM's OC Garrett Riley (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Cade Klubnik	308	486	63%	3639	36	6	7.5
Christopher Vizzina	19	34	56%	190	0	0	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Phil Mafah	216	1115	8	5.2	83
Cade Klubnik	119	462	7	3.9	55
Jay Haynes	43	295	3	6.9	70
Keith Adams Jr.	30	122	1	4.1	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antonio Williams	74	902	11	12.2	57
Bryant Wesco Jr.	41	708	5	17.3	76
T.J. Moore	45	651	5	14.5	41
Jake Briningstool	49	530	7	10.8	41

View Clemson's Full Roster

CLEM's DC Wes Goodwin (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Wade Woodaz	75	9	3	9	4
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7
Sammy Brown	66	12	5	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
T.J. Parker	50	17	11	5	1
Sammy Brown	66	12	5	2	2
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6
Peter Woods	26	7	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Avieon Terrell	49	5	1	0	11
R.J. Mickens	68	6	0	2	7
Barrett Carter	74	10	4	7	6