Virginia Tech at Virginia - 2021 Matchup Preview

Virginia Tech Hokies at Virginia Cavaliers

Saturday, November 27th 2021 (3:45 PM EST)
Virginia -7 (63.5)
Virginia Tech 29 - Virginia: 24 (ACC)

Hokies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Justin Fuente (40 - 27)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (16 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

VT 2nd straight Road Game
VT is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ UVA -5)
Projected Score: VT: 19 - UVA: 32 (51)
UVA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
VT Travel: 118 miles

Cavaliers (6 - 6) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bronco Mendenhall (32 - 33)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
VT Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Virginia Tech vs North Carolina	+5.5	63.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Virginia Tech vs Middle Tennessee	-20.0	55.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Virginia Tech at West Virginia	+2.0	49.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/25	Virginia Tech vs Richmond	-29.0	50.0	W 21 - 10	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Virginia Tech vs Notre Dame	-1.0	46.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 10/16	Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh	+6.0	55.5	L 7 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/23	Virginia Tech vs Syracuse	-3.5	45.5	L 36 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/30	Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech	+3.0	55.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Fri 11/5	Virginia Tech at Boston College	-1.0	51.0	L 3 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/13	Virginia Tech vs Duke	-13.5	50.5	W 48 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Virginia Tech at Miami	+7.0	55.5	L 26 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/27	Virginia Tech at Virginia	+7.0	63.5	W 29 - 24	U	Y
Wed 12/29	Virginia Tech vs Maryland	+4.0	55.0	L 10 - 54	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Virginia's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Virginia vs William & Mary	-30.5	52.5	W 43 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Virginia vs Illinois	-10.5	57.0	W 42 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Virginia at North Carolina	+7.5	67.0	L 39 - 59	O	N
Fri 9/24	Virginia vs Wake Forest	-3.5	71.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Thu 9/30	Virginia at Miami	+3.5	63.5	W 30 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Virginia at Louisville	+2.5	69.5	W 34 - 33	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Virginia vs Duke	-10.5	69.5	W 48 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	-6.5	66.0	W 48 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Virginia at BYU	+2.5	66.5	L 49 - 66	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Virginia vs Notre Dame	+7.5	62.5	L 3 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/20	Virginia at Pittsburgh	+12.5	69.0	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	-7.0	63.5	L 24 - 29	U	N
Wed 12/29	Virginia vs SMU	-2.5	71.0

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT	.26	48%	21.4	51%	3.17	241	45%	201	3.68	.26	47%	30.2	51%	43%	4.21	46.7	1.3	1.5
UVA	.19	44%	30.8	48%	3.42	163	40%	261	4.05	.2	41%	19.6	37%	44%	3.04	48.3	1.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
VT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Offense	11	21.4	16	48.3%	3.68	1.3	22	442	241	201	5.6	62%	38%	51%	45%	15%	.26
UVA Defense	10	19.6	17.7	40.6%	3.04	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	37%	44%	18%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
VT Defense	11	30.2	29.3	46.8%	4.21	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	51%	43%	17%	.26
UVA Offense	10	30.8	36.4	44%	4.05	1.9	24	423	163	261	4.5	46%	54%	48%	40%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia Tech	11	30:08	22.4	38%	58%	5.3	46.7	1.3	1.5	6.8	3.3	0	30.2
Virginia	10	31:04	23.6	37%	64%	5.3	48.3	1.9	1.8	7.2	3.2	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Offense	11	62%	51%	42.9	240.7	5.6	27	.22	3.17	68%	11%	1.03
UVA Defense	10	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.6	76%	12%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
VT Defense	11	47%	51%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.35	77%	11%	1.01
UVA Offense	10	46%	48%	36.6	162.9	4.5	16	.2	3.42	77%	7%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Offense	11	38%	45%	14.3	23	201.1	8.7	14.1	13	6	.31	1.6	26%	29%	.19	4%	1.9
UVA Defense	10	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.35	1.9	34%	32%	.35	6%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
VT Defense	11	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.28	1.6	30%	36%	.45	6%	2.1
UVA Offense	10	54%	40%	22.1	37.9	260.5	6.9	11.8	22	14	.17	1.6	29%	31%	.33	8%	1.9

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Virginia Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.4 #70
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #86
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: Virginia: 6.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 2.4 Virginia: 7.2

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 6.1 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2021 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #55
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #8
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #100

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Virginia Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia 32
Virginia Tech 19

Projected Total Points: 51

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Virginia	27	Virginia Tech	7	Virginia -9.5	Virginia	53.5	Under
2024	11/30	Virginia Tech	37	Virginia	17	Virginia Tech -4.5	Virginia Tech	44.5	Over
2023	11/25	Virginia	17	Virginia Tech	55	Virginia Tech -2.5	Virginia Tech	52.5	Over
2021	11/27	Virginia	24	Virginia Tech	29	Virginia -7	Virginia Tech	63.5	Under
2020	12/12	Virginia Tech	33	Virginia	15	Virginia Tech -3	Virginia Tech	64.0	Under
2019	11/29	Virginia	39	Virginia Tech	30	Virginia Tech -1.5	Virginia	48.0	Over
2018	11/23	Virginia Tech	34	Virginia	31	Virginia -5	Virginia Tech	49.5	Over
2017	11/24	Virginia	0	Virginia Tech	10	Virginia Tech -7	Virginia Tech	48.0	Under
2016	11/26	Virginia Tech	52	Virginia	10	Virginia Tech -18.5	Virginia Tech	53.5	Over
2015	11/28	Virginia	20	Virginia Tech	23	Virginia Tech -3.5	Virginia	48.0	Under
2014	11/28	Virginia Tech	24	Virginia	20	Virginia -2	Virginia Tech	38.5	Over
2013	11/30	Virginia	6	Virginia Tech	16	Virginia Tech -13	Virginia	0
2012	11/24	Virginia Tech	17	Virginia	14
2011	11/26	Virginia	0	Virginia Tech	38
2010	11/27	Virginia Tech	37	Virginia	7
2009	11/28	Virginia	13	Virginia Tech	42
2008	11/29	Virginia Tech	17	Virginia	14
2007	11/24	Virginia	21	Virginia Tech	33
2006	11/25	Virginia Tech	17	Virginia	0
2005	11/19	Virginia	14	Virginia Tech	52
2004	11/27	Virginia Tech	24	Virginia	10
2003	11/29	Virginia	35	Virginia Tech	21
2001	11/17	Virginia	17	Virginia Tech	31
2000	11/24	Virginia Tech	42	Virginia	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	3	4	6 Overs
Virginia Tech	21	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	9 - 3	4 - 1	5 - 2
Road Teams	10 - 14	3 - 9	2 - 5	1 - 4

(#) VT at (#) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	VT	UVA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#70	#55
Perf GradeGrade	#83	#69
OffenseOff	#59	#19
DefenseDef	#106	#121
Spec TeamsST	#97	#63
TalentTal	#39	#53
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

Virginia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	VT Off	UVA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#86	#100
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	#57	#132
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#38	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#59

Virginia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	VT Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	#108	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#12	#128
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	VT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#19	#106
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#8	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	VT Def
Run GameRun	#32	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#30	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#110

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	VT Def
Pass GamePass	#11	#107
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#34	#79
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Virginia -7.0 (63.5)
Virginia Tech won at Virginia this year (29-24)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Virginia Tech last year (27-7)
Virginia Tech beat Virginia in 2024 (37-17)
Virginia Tech beat Virginia in 2023 (55-17)

VT's OC Brad Cornelsen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Justin Hamilton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UVA's OC Robert Anae (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC Kelly Poppinga (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD