Virginia at Maryland Game Matchup
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers at Maryland TerrapinsMaryland logo
Friday, September 15th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Maryland -16.5 (48.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Maryland 42 - Virginia: 14

 
Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MD 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Maryland -18.5   (SP+ MD -20)
Projected Score: UVA: 17 - MD: 35 (53)
MD Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
UVA Travel: 108 miles
Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs Tennessee+27.556.0L 13 - 49ON
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs James Madison+6.040.0L 35 - 36OY
Fri 9/15 Virginia at Maryland+16.548.5L 14 - 42ON
Fri 9/22 Virginia vs NC State+8.547.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/30 Virginia at Boston College+5.052.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs William & Mary-10.042.0W 27 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Virginia at North Carolina+24.058.0W 31 - 27UY
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Miami+18.548.0L 26 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-2.057.5L 17 - 45ON
Thu 11/9 Virginia at Louisville+20.549.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia vs Duke+4.048.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 11/25 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+2.552.5L 17 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Maryland's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Maryland vs Towson-38.555.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/9 Maryland vs Charlotte-24.550.0W 38 - 20ON
Fri 9/15 Maryland vs Virginia-16.548.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Maryland at Michigan State-7.052.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 9/30 Maryland vs Indiana-14.550.0W 44 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Maryland at Ohio State+17.056.5L 17 - 37UN
Sat 10/14 Maryland vs Illinois-13.552.0L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Maryland at Northwestern-14.048.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Maryland vs Penn State+8.550.5L 15 - 51ON
Sat 11/11 Maryland at Nebraska-1.541.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Maryland vs Michigan+17.550.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Maryland at Rutgers-2.045.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 12/30 Maryland vs Auburn+4.047.5W 31 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0840%22.744%3.212337%2212.81.1341%28.840%41%3.5462.22.21.7
MD.1941%23.742%2.9514141%2604.19.140%30.441%40%3.4471.11.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1022.726.739.7%2.812.2193441232213.745%54%44%37%22%.08
MD Defense1330.425.640.2%3.441.6 - - - - - 49%50%41%40%15%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1028.832.240.8%3.541.7 - - - - - 51%49%40%41%15%.13
MD Offense1323.725.941%4.191.2204021412603.946%53%42%41%17%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1027:301932%39%762.22.21.75.13028.2
Maryland1331:0620.242%61%7.871.11.21.64.81.8028.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1045%44%32.91233.713.173.272%12%1.01
MD Defense1349%41% - - - - .092.9476%9%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1051%40% - - - - .083.2667%9%0.87
MD Offense1346%42%36.1141.33.923.132.9566%12%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1054%37%18.534.22216.512712.041.536%33%.4210%2
MD Defense1350%40% - - - - - - 9.161.432%28%.26%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1049%41% - - - - - - 5.191.430%29%.316%2
MD Offense1353%41%22.634.3260.27.611.5218.251.632%25%.235%2.2

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.47   Maryland: 10.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -10.3   Maryland: 9.2




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 10.43 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 860.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Maryland 35
Virginia 17

Projected Total Points: 53
Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Virginia13Maryland27MarylandVirginia -2.5Maryland55.5Under
202309/15Maryland42Virginia14MarylandMaryland -16.5Maryland48.5Over
201310/12Maryland27Virginia26MarylandMaryland -5.5Virginia0
201210/13Virginia20Maryland27Maryland
201111/05Maryland13Virginia31Virginia
201011/13Virginia23Maryland42Maryland
200910/17Maryland9Virginia20Virginia
200810/04Virginia31Maryland0Virginia
200710/20Maryland17Virginia18Virginia
200610/14Virginia26Maryland28Maryland
200510/01Maryland45Virginia33Maryland
200411/06Virginia16Maryland0Virginia
200311/13Maryland27Virginia17Maryland
200110/06Maryland41Virginia21Maryland
200010/06Virginia31Maryland23Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland921 Overs
Virginia611 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 71 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams7 - 82 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#93) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30

Team Profile






,
,







Virginia     Ratings Matchup     Maryland
Power #93
#31
Off #84
#48
Def #114
#40
Talent #60
#18
SP+ #106
#33
SP+ Off #95
#50
SP+ Def #99
#20

Rematch from Week 3
Maryland -16.5 (48.5)
Maryland won vs Virginia this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
Maryland beat Virginia last year (27-13)
Maryland beat Virginia in 2023 (42-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 72° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UVA | MD
Depth Chart: UVA | MD
Rosters: UVA | MD
(#31) Maryland Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.43 #31
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20
Talent Rating: 860.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10

Team Profile






,
,









  
Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tony Muskett (Tr)457659%545337.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Pace (Tr)11449934.443
Tony Muskett (Tr)279843.618
Donte Hawthorne112012.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Pace (Tr)2118909.052
Demick Starling356018.727
Sackett Wood Jr.31816.08
Donte Hawthorne1202.02

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker989214
Antonio Clary483113
Kameron Butler433382
Chico Bennett Jr.398150
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Butler433382
Jonas Sanker989214
Antonio Clary483113
Chico Bennett Jr.398150
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker989214
Antonio Clary483113
Kameron Butler433382

Maryland's OC Josh Gattis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antwain Littleton II9330513.337
Colby McDonald2915005.222
Tai Felton223011.519
Kaden Prather (Tr)1-10-1.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tai Felton961124911.775
Kaden Prather (Tr)56624411.133
Corey Dyches17181110.628
Antwain Littleton II1613418.420

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ruben Hyppolite II667012
Jaishawn Barham664152
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Gavin Gibson527013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quashon Fuller284201
Taizse Johnson123200
Jaishawn Barham664152
Tamarcus Cooley393126
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarcus Cooley393126
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Gavin Gibson527013