Virginia Tech at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Virginia Tech logo Virginia Tech Hokies at Virginia Cavaliers(#18)Virginia logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (7:00 PM EST)
Virginia -9.5 (53.5) (-360)  Open: -11.5 | 52.5
Virginia 27 - Virginia Tech: 7  (ACC)

 
Hokies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (16 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
UVA coming off BYE
Our Line: Virginia -22  (SP+ UVA -22)

Projected Score: VT: 14 - UVA: 36 (50)
UVA Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
VT Travel: 118 miles
Cavaliers (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Virginia Tech vs South Carolina+8.548.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/6 Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt-2.546.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-5.550.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/20 Virginia Tech vs Wofford-35.551.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/27 Virginia Tech at NC State+10.057.5W 23 - 21UY
Sat 10/4 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-4.551.5L 23 - 30ON
Sat 10/11 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech+14.055.5L 20 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24 Virginia Tech vs California-6.550.5W 42 - 34OY
Sat 11/1 Virginia Tech vs Louisville+10.552.5L 16 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Virginia Tech at Florida State+13.553.5L 14 - 34UN
Sat 11/22 Virginia Tech vs Miami+18.549.0L 17 - 34OY
Sat 11/29 Virginia Tech at Virginia+9.553.5L 7 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+3.053.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-30.554.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-16.548.5W 48 - 20OY
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+7.059.5W 46 - 38OY
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+6.559.5W 30 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-16.556.5W 22 - 20UN
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina-12.551.5W 17 - 16UN
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California-6.552.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-7.048.5L 9 - 16UN
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke+5.559.5W 34 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-9.553.5W 27 - 7UY
Sat 12/6 Virginia vs Duke-3.558.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 12/27 Virginia vs Missouri+4.043.5W 13 - 7UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#69 (.17)42% (81)21.448% (25)3.33 (13)18334% (131)1663.68 (72)#130 (.28)46% (123)30.245% (102)47% (123)4.34 (126)64.31.30.5
UVA#64 (.18)42% (82)30.844% (66)3.04 (51)17241% (79)2253.49 (91)#18 (.06)37% (21)19.639% (30)37% (25)3.01 (19)420.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Offense1221.41641.6%3.681.319350183166555%43%48%34%17%.17
UVA Defense1419.617.737.4%3.011.4 - - - - - 51%47%39%37%18%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Defense1230.229.345.6%4.340.5 - - - - - 52%46%45%47%13%.28
UVA Offense1430.836.441.6%3.490.9203971722254.850%49%44%41%14%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia Tech1229:1318.939%48%7.264.31.30.54.91.6026.8
Virginia1429:3120.349%46%5420.91.44.62.1330.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Offense1255% (28)48% (25)36.9183.2513 (107).2 (31)3.33 (13)70% (81)10% (94)0.97 (64)
UVA Defense1451% (78)39% (30) - - - - .04 (31)2.75 (43)71% (69)9% (75)0.92 (47)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Defense1252% (98)45% (102) - - - - .18 (112)3.01 (95)80% (122)9% (103)0.98 (77)
UVA Offense1450% (65)44% (66)36172.14.828 (11).19 (34)3.04 (51)81% (13)8% (25)1.06 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Offense1243% (110)34% (131)1526.6166.36.311.117 (61)9 (60).15 (113)1.7 (20)33% (95)26% (109).33 (60)7% (94)2.1 (36)
UVA Defense1447% (50)37% (25) - - - - - - 13 (38).15 (29)1.5 (44)32% (60)23% (3).11 (8)9% (6)1.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Defense1246% (40)47% (123) - - - - - - 4 (100).42 (129)1.5 (58)28% (119)34% (121).51 (135)5% (119)2.1 (100)
UVA Offense1449% (73)41% (79)20.732.42256.910.918 (50)10 (60).24 (74)1.5 (74)32% (84)33% (34).36 (47)6% (68)1.9 (111)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 0.56  #69
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 12.15  #50
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 11.59  #90
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5%  #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #106
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #108
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #97

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 0.56   Virginia: 17.305

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: -10.2   Virginia: 12.1




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 17.305  #25
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.28  #32
Virginia's Defense Rating: -1.23  #27
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1  #28
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #49
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #23

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 36
Virginia Tech 14


Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 25
Virginia Tech 17

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Virginia 32
Virginia Tech 19

Total Points: 51
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Virginia27Virginia Tech7Virginia -9.5Virginia53.5Under
202411/30Virginia Tech37Virginia17Virginia Tech -4.5Virginia Tech44.5Over
202311/25Virginia17Virginia Tech55Virginia Tech -2.5Virginia Tech52.5Over
202111/27Virginia24Virginia Tech29Virginia -7Virginia Tech63.5Under
202012/12Virginia Tech33Virginia15Virginia Tech -3Virginia Tech64.0Under
201911/29Virginia39Virginia Tech30Virginia Tech -1.5Virginia48.0Over
201811/23Virginia Tech34Virginia31Virginia -5Virginia Tech49.5Over
201711/24Virginia0Virginia Tech10Virginia Tech -7Virginia Tech48.0Under
201611/26Virginia Tech52Virginia10Virginia Tech -18.5Virginia Tech53.5Over
201511/28Virginia20Virginia Tech23Virginia Tech -3.5Virginia48.0Under
201411/28Virginia Tech24Virginia20Virginia -2Virginia Tech38.5Over
201311/30Virginia6Virginia Tech16Virginia Tech -13Virginia0
201211/24Virginia Tech17Virginia14
201111/26Virginia0Virginia Tech38
201011/27Virginia Tech37Virginia7
200911/28Virginia13Virginia Tech42
200811/29Virginia Tech17Virginia14
200711/24Virginia21Virginia Tech33
200611/25Virginia Tech17Virginia0
200511/19Virginia14Virginia Tech52
200411/27Virginia Tech24Virginia10
200311/29Virginia35Virginia Tech21
200111/17Virginia17Virginia Tech31
200011/24Virginia Tech42Virginia21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia346 Overs
Virginia Tech2185 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 109 - 34 - 15 - 2
Road Teams10 - 143 - 92 - 51 - 4

(#69) VT at (#25) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVTUVA
Power RatePwr #69 #25
SP+SP+ #106 #28
Perf GradeGrade #115 #16
OffenseOff #123 #46
DefenseDef #95 #15
Spec TeamsST #125 #33
TalentTal #33 #21
Blue ChipsBC% #54 #65
Virginia Tech Notes
(11/1) Playing hard, but Run def mauled by Louisville
(9/30) Ran all over NC St, 229 yds vs 59 allowed, huge W
(9/26) LB Michael Short opting out after Pry fired, redshirt
(9/14) HC Pry fired, OC Philip Montgomery interim
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
Virginia Tech Injury Report
Virginia Notes
(11/26) Star LB Kam Robinson out for season (ACL)
(11/16) Killed Duke, Hoos incredible story. ACC threat
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/25) Box score L vs NC. Great story, but badly overrated
(9/26) Huge W over FSU, Run Off good, Morris tough/clutch
(9/22) Off 3rd in CFB in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/21) Off on a tear, QB Morris playing great. Good start
(9/21) Off #'s are incredible during 3-1 start, eyes on
(8/26) 20 of 23 listed on two deep are Sr or Gr.
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
Virginia Injury Report
Virginia Tech on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffUVA Def
Perf GradePerf #123 #15
SuccessSuc #81 #21
ExplosiveExp #69 #35
PPAPPA #69 #18
PowerPwr #50 #27
SP+SP+ #108 #23
Pts POPPO #72 #19
HavocHav #95 #23
Virginia Tech Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffUVA Def
Run GameRun #44 #39
Run SuccessRSuc #25 #30
Run ExplRExp #64 #47
PPAExp #31 #31
Run BlockR Blk #115 -
OL YdsOLY #13 #43
Stuff RateStuff #19 #70
TackleTak -  #39
Virginia Tech Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
VT OffUVA Def
Pass GamePass #94 #18
Pass SuccessPSuc #131 #25
Pass ExplPExl #20 #44
PPAExp #113 #29
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #133 #32
F7 HavocF7 #94 #75
DB HavocDB #94 #6
Virginia on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatUVA OffVT Def
Perf GradePerf #46 #95
SuccessSuc #82 #123
ExplosiveExp #45 #67
PPAPPA #64 #130
PowerPwr #32 #90
SP+SP+ #49 #97
Pts POPPO #91 #126
HavocHav #38 #116
Virginia Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
UVA OffVT Def
Run GameRun #58 #41
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #102
Run ExplRExp #33 #77
PPAExp #34 #112
Run BlockR Blk #44 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #95
Stuff RateStuff #35 #109
TackleTak -  #107
Virginia Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatUVA OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #42 #126
Pass SuccessPSuc #79 #123
Pass ExplPExl #74 #58
PPAExp #74 #129
Pass Block/RushP Blk #78 #49
F7 HavocF7 #25 #103
DB HavocDB #68 #119
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

VT 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 36°
Rematch from Week 14
Virginia -9.5 (53.5)
Virginia won vs Virginia Tech this year (27-7)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Virginia last year (37-17)
Virginia Tech beat Virginia in 2023 (55-17)
Virginia beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (0-0)

  
VT's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones17831557%19191796.1
William Watson III2450%770019.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)11874916.340
Kyron Drones17064493.833
Terion Stewart (Tr)8246905.785
Jeffrey Overton Jr.2514615.838
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ayden Greene31516316.667
Donavon Greene (Tr)16267216.737
Takye Heath2220039.144
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)14194013.938

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Sam Siefkes (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaleb Spencer679101
Caleb Woodson573011
Jaden Keller503101
Kemari Copeland488510
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kemari Copeland488510
Ben Bell (Tr)406360
Elhadj Fall (Tr)254320
Kelvin Gilliam343241
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thomas Williams321006
Isaiah Brown-Murray (Tr)392005
Christian Ellis (Tr)71003

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)28243665%30001696.9
Daniel Kaelin (Tr)305258%339116.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
J'mari Taylor (Tr)2221062144.878
Harrison Waylee (Tr)11855664.797
Chandler Morris (Tr)6424553.842
Xavier Brown5124114.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trell Harris59847514.475
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)46564112.337
Cameron Ross53543210.246
J'mari Taylor (Tr)4325315.925

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Neal (Tr)882127
James Jackson663053
Kamren Robinson644221
Maddox Marcellus (Tr)493211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Rickert (Tr)369791
Mitchell Melton (Tr)4510573
Fisher Camac (Tr)446424
Jacob Holmes (Tr)336340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)262008
Devin Neal (Tr)882127
Christian Charles (Tr)431026