Virginia Tech at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Virginia Tech logo Virginia Tech Hokies at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Scott Stadium - Charlottesville, VA  (ACC)

 
Hokies (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (19 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
UVA coming off BYE
Our Line: Virginia -16   (SP+ UVA -8)

Projected Score: VT: 22 - UVA: 38 (60)
UVA Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
VT Travel: 118 miles
Cavaliers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (52 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
Virginia Tech's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Virginia Tech vs South Carolina+8.548.5L 11 - 24UN
Sat 9/6 Virginia Tech vs Vanderbilt-2.546.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-5.550.5L 26 - 45ON
Sat 9/20 Virginia Tech vs Wofford-18.5
Sat 9/27 Virginia Tech at NC State+16
Sat 10/4 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest+4.5
Sat 10/11 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech+20
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/24 Virginia Tech vs California+11
Sat 11/1 Virginia Tech vs Louisville+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Virginia Tech at Florida State+27
Sat 11/22 Virginia Tech vs Miami+28.5
Sat 11/29 Virginia Tech at Virginia+16

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+3.053.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-30.554.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-15.549.5
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+8.5
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-19
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina-4.5
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California+2.5
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-9
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-16

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#113 (.07)43% (72)1955% (21)2.97 (70)13232% (123)2073.86 (77)#134 (.45)52% (131)37.749% (115)58% (133)5.81 (134)6120.7
UVA#10 (.47)51% (26)44.756% (17)3.69 (17)27147% (45)2894.24 (54)#75 (.14)37% (51)19.337% (52)37% (48)4.45 (104)350.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Offense3191943.2%3.862203391322073.950%50%55%32%19%.07
UVA Defense319.311.536.7%4.451 - - - - - 55%45%37%37%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Defense337.737.751.6%5.810.7 - - - - - 62%37%49%58%14%.45
UVA Offense344.751.551.1%4.240.7265602712896.549%50%56%47%11%.47

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia Tech330:4219.744%25%6.36120.74.71.7025.6
Virginia334:3125.758%44%5350.7141.3133.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Offense350% (73)55% (21)341323.92 (109).15 (64)2.97 (70)65% (95)11% (107)0.79 (109)
UVA Defense355% (106)37% (52) - - - - .1 (91)2.71 (63)50% (19)8% (99)1.16 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Defense362% (128)49% (115) - - - - .26 (120)3.03 (95)89% (119)10% (61)1.11 (101)
UVA Offense349% (77)56% (17)422716.512 (3).55 (2)3.69 (17)86% (22)6% (21)1.31 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Offense350% (60)32% (123)19.334.3207610.74 (72)3 (92) (128)1.5 (85)29% (53)27% (102).11 (115)7% (115)1.5 (123)
UVA Defense345% (34)37% (48) - - - - - - 1 (87).19 (62)1.5 (51)33% (68)19% (24).08 (30)9% (18)1.6 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Defense337% (8)58% (133) - - - - - - 1 (87).86 (135)2 (125)32% (77)46% (132).82 (133)4% (115)2.3 (116)
UVA Offense350% (62)47% (45)2538289.37.611.64 (72)2 (60).45 (34)1.5 (68)30% (62)46% (11).63 (25)6% (79)1.6 (117)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: -5.27 #93
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Virginia Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Virginia Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: -5.27   Virginia: 11.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: -4.4   Virginia: 3.8




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 37.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.7

Virginia Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 38
Virginia Tech 22


Total Points: 60

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.5
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.5

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Virginia Tech37Virginia17Virginia TechVirginia Tech -4.5Virginia Tech44.5Over
202311/25Virginia17Virginia Tech55Virginia TechVirginia Tech -2.5Virginia Tech52.5Over
202111/27Virginia24Virginia Tech29Virginia TechVirginia -7Virginia Tech63.5Under
202012/12Virginia Tech33Virginia15Virginia TechVirginia Tech -3Virginia Tech64.0Under
201911/29Virginia39Virginia Tech30VirginiaVirginia Tech -1.5Virginia48.0Over
201811/23Virginia Tech34Virginia31Virginia TechVirginia -5Virginia Tech49.5Over
201711/24Virginia0Virginia Tech10Virginia TechVirginia Tech -7Virginia Tech48.0Under
201611/26Virginia Tech52Virginia10Virginia TechVirginia Tech -18.5Virginia Tech53.5Over
201511/28Virginia20Virginia Tech23Virginia TechVirginia Tech -3.5Virginia48.0Under
201411/28Virginia Tech24Virginia20Virginia TechVirginia -2Virginia Tech38.5Over
201311/30Virginia6Virginia Tech16Virginia TechVirginia Tech -13Virginia0
201211/24Virginia Tech17Virginia14Virginia Tech
201111/26Virginia0Virginia Tech38Virginia Tech
201011/27Virginia Tech37Virginia7Virginia Tech
200911/28Virginia13Virginia Tech42Virginia Tech
200811/29Virginia Tech17Virginia14Virginia Tech
200711/24Virginia21Virginia Tech33Virginia Tech
200611/25Virginia Tech17Virginia0Virginia Tech
200511/19Virginia14Virginia Tech52Virginia Tech
200411/27Virginia Tech24Virginia10Virginia Tech
200311/29Virginia35Virginia Tech21Virginia
200111/17Virginia17Virginia Tech31Virginia Tech
200011/24Virginia Tech42Virginia21Virginia Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia236 Overs
Virginia Tech2184 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 108 - 33 - 15 - 2
Road Teams10 - 133 - 82 - 51 - 3

(#93) Virginia Tech Info
Power Rating: -5.27 #93
Offense Rating: 12.12 #73
Defense Rating: 17.39 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.4 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #92
Talent Rating: 870.00 #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 5% #54
Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.86 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 52%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.81 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 58%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Virginia Tech has lost 11 straight
Virginia Tech has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Virginia Tech Notes
(9/14) Team has quit. Drones is bad but has zero help
(9/14) Defense is atrocious, new DC Siefkes a disaster
(8/28) New DC Siefkes is a big upgrade for staff
(7/30) OL 0/5 back, lost 3 starters to portal. 6 OL adds
(7/30) OG Tomas Rimac (WVU) a top G via PFF
(7/28) Losing portals, added 31 in yr 4? Not much hope
(7/15) VT is 1-12 in 1 score games under Pry (0-5 LY)
(7/5) DL & LBs are ?, 2ndary built from 7 portal adds
(7/5) RB rebuild, 4 portals w/ Stewart/Bennett good
(7/5) WR lost top 3, 2 meh portal adds, some talent

Virginia Tech Highlights

Virginia Tech Deficiencies
Virginia Tech has a really bad Offense
Virginia Tech has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Virginia Tech Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Virginia Tech offense is not Explosive (#123)
Virginia Tech pass game is really bad (#123)
Virginia Tech Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Virginia Tech has a bad defense (#131)
Virginia Tech gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#116)
Virginia Tech Does Not Stuff Runs (#103)
Virginia Tech has a bad red zone defense (#134)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUVAVT
OverallOver#22#90
OffenseOff#24#87
DefenseDef#37#96
Special TeamsST#6#106
PassingPass#25#78
RushingRush#21#35
Run BlockRBLK#40#104
Pass BlockPBLK#56#106
Route RunningWR Rt#29#75
TacklingTkl#82#76
Run DefenseR Def#56#71
Pass Rush DefPRush#28#32
Coverage DefCov#34#116

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Virginia last year (37-17)
Virginia Tech beat Virginia in 2023 (55-17)
Virginia beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (0-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: VT | UVA
Depth Chart: VT | UVA
Rosters: VT | UVA
(#42) Virginia Info
Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Virginia has lost 8 straight
Virginia has lost 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl

Virginia Highlights
Virginia is Undefeated at Home
Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)

Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)

Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)


  
Virginia Tech's OC Philip Montgomery
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones5810356%621436.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyron Drones4312723.032
Marcellous Hawkins (Tr)2710804.011
Terion Stewart (Tr)116505.931
Jeremiah Coney64106.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donavon Greene (Tr)9193221.437
Ayden Greene8148018.567
Isaiah Spencer (Tr)565013.028
Tucker Holloway348016.033

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster
Virginia Tech's DC Sam Siefkes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Woodson242010
Michael Short (Tr)173001
Quentin Reddish150000
Isaiah Cash (Tr)110000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elhadj Fall (Tr)41100
Emmett Laws51100
Kelvin Gilliam81100
Kemari Copeland111100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Short (Tr)173001
Caleb Brown (Tr)20001
Krystian Williams20001

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)628970%670417.5
Daniel Kaelin (Tr)112348%190018.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
J'mari Taylor (Tr)3321366.566
Noah Vaughn2217007.754
Harrison Waylee (Tr)1716949.997
Chandler Morris (Tr)9113012.642
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trell Harris14176012.648
Cameron Ross12164113.746
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)11123111.218
Kameron Courtney794013.430

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Danley171010
James Jackson140010
Devin Neal (Tr)112111
Mitchell Melton (Tr)103100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Koudelka21110
Maddox Marcellus (Tr)81101
Devin Neal (Tr)112111
Mitchell Melton (Tr)103100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donavon Platt (Tr)60003
McKale Boley10011
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)40001