Virginia at Navy - 2017 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo   Virginia Cavaliers at Navy Midshipmen  Navy logo
Thursday, December 28th 2017 (1:30 PM EST)
Navy -2.5 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Navy 49 - Virginia: 7  (MILITARY BOWL PRESENTED BY NORTHROP GRUMMAN)

 
Cavaliers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Midshipmen (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs William & Mary-28.0
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs Indiana+3.556.0L 17 - 34UN
Sat 9/16 Virginia vs UConn-11.051.0W 38 - 18OY
Fri 9/22 Virginia at Boise State+13.550.0W 42 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs Duke+1.553.0W 28 - 21UY
Sat 10/14 Virginia at North Carolina-3.054.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 Virginia vs Boston College-6.548.5L 10 - 41ON
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Pittsburgh+1.049.0L 14 - 31UN
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech+8.550.0W 40 - 36OY
Sat 11/11 Virginia at Louisville+14.066.5L 21 - 38UN
Sat 11/18 Virginia at Miami+20.050.5L 28 - 44OY
Fri 11/24 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+7.048.0L 0 - 10UN
Thu 12/28 Virginia at Navy+2.551.0L 7 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Navy's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Navy at Florida Atlantic-9.064.0W 42 - 19UY
Sat 9/9 Navy vs Tulane-8.549.5W 23 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Navy vs Cincinnati-8.552.5W 42 - 32OY
Sat 9/30 Navy at Tulsa-7.570.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/7 Navy vs Air Force-8.553.5W 48 - 45ON
Sat 10/14 Navy at Memphis+3.573.0L 27 - 30UY
Sat 10/21 Navy vs UCF+9.565.5L 21 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/2 Navy at Temple-6.551.5L 26 - 34ON
Sat 11/11 Navy vs SMU-1.566.0W 43 - 40OY
Sat 11/18 Navy at Notre Dame+20.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Fri 11/24 Navy at Houston+6.555.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/9 Navy vs Army-2.544.5L 13 - 14UN
Thu 12/28 Navy vs Virginia-2.551.0W 49 - 7OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0441%30.843%2.7511438%2393.21.2345%19.640%48%3.4557.92.21.1
NAVY.3352%31.554%3.4631044%1284.57.2848%2545%49%4.0924.41.11.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1230.828.640.6%3.212.2203531142393.640%60%43%38%17%.04
NAVY Defense142524.247.8%4.091.3 - - - - - 54%44%45%49%14%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1219.623.244.8%3.451.1 - - - - - 53%45%40%48%16%.23
NAVY Offense1431.53852.1%4.571.1214383101285.978%21%54%44%11%.33

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1229:0019.834%52%6.357.92.21.15.52031.2
Navy1431:1121.154%61%2.824.41.11.34.11.4231.8
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1240%43%32113.63.613.062.7568%10%0.93
NAVY Defense1454%45% - - - - .163.1879%8%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1253%40% - - - - .072.8673%10%0.96
NAVY Offense1478%54%53310.15.961.323.4682%9%1.06

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1260%38%22.240.6239.35.910.82316.031.434%26%.057%1.8
NAVY Defense1444%49% - - - - - - 7.461.730%41%.516%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1245%48% - - - - - - 9.441.732%34%.426%2.2
NAVY Offense1421%44%6.611.3128.111.419.397.41.924%38%.512%1.9

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2017 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8  #69
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #91
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Navy: 2.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 0.8   Navy: -0.7




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: 2.15 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2017 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7  #73
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.5  #39
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #92

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 28
Virginia 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201712/28Navy49Virginia7Navy -2.5Navy51.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy111 Overs
Virginia000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

Virginia Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2017Military Bowl Virginia vs Navy+2.551.0L 7 - 49
2011A Bowl Virginia vs Auburn  L 24 - 43
Navy Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2017Military Bowl Navy vs Virginia-2.551.0W 49 - 7
2016Forces Bowl Navy vs Louisiana Tech-1.067.0L 45 - 48
2015Military Bowl Navy vs Pittsburgh-5.0W 44 - 28
2014Poinsettia Bowl Navy vs San Diego State+3.551.0W 17 - 16
2013Forces Bowl Navy vs Middle Tennessee-7.057.5W 24 - 6
2012Hunger Bowl Navy vs Arizona State  L 28 - 62
  
(#) UVA at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVANAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #73
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #47 #91
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #92
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #39 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Navy -2.5 (51.0)
Navy won vs Virginia this year (49-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD