Florida at Virginia - 2019 Matchup Preview

Monday, December 30th 2019 (8:00 PM EST)
Florida -16 (55.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida 36 - Virginia: 28 (CAPITAL ONE ORANGE BOWL)

Gators (11 - 2) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -9 (SP+ FLA -17.5)
Projected Score: FLA: 18 - UVA: 30 (48)
FLA Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
FLA Travel: 286 miles

Cavaliers (9 - 5) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
FLA Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/24	Florida vs Miami	-7.0	46.0	W 24 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/7	Florida vs UT Martin	-44.5	59.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Florida at Kentucky	-10.0	46.5	W 29 - 21	O	N
Sat 9/21	Florida vs Tennessee	-12.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Florida vs Towson	-37.0	62.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Florida vs Auburn	+2.5	48.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Florida at LSU	+14.0	55.5	L 28 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Florida at South Carolina	-3.5	44.5	W 38 - 27	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Florida vs Georgia	+6.5	47.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/9	Florida vs Vanderbilt	-26.5	50.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Florida at Missouri	-7.0	51.0	W 23 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Florida vs Florida State	-16.5	55.0	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Mon 12/30	Florida vs Virginia	-16.0	55.5	W 36 - 28	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Virginia's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Virginia at Pittsburgh	-2.5	46.5	W 30 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/6	Virginia vs William & Mary	-32.5	52.5	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Virginia vs Florida State	-7.0	54.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/21	Virginia vs Old Dominion	-27.0	47.5	W 28 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/28	Virginia at Notre Dame	+10.5	46.5	L 20 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11	Virginia at Miami	+2.5	44.5	L 9 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/19	Virginia vs Duke	-3.5	45.0	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Virginia at Louisville	-4.5	51.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/2	Virginia at North Carolina	-1.0	48.0	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	-16.0	45.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Virginia vs Liberty	-16.5	58.0	W 55 - 27	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	+1.5	48.0	W 39 - 30	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Virginia vs Clemson	+29.0	56.5	L 17 - 62	O	N
Mon 12/30	Virginia vs Florida	+16.0	55.5	L 28 - 36	O	Y

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	.24	48%	21.6	50%	3.39	212	43%	214	4.46	.1	38%	24	39%	35%	2.94	60.6	1.1	2
UVA	.2	46%	30.8	45%	3.26	173	45%	212	3.76	.12	39%	19.6	39%	36%	3.04	40.7	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	13	21.6	13	48.1%	4.46	1.1	22	426	212	214	5.3	54%	44%	50%	43%	13%	.24
UVA Defense	13	19.6	17.7	38.8%	3.04	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	39%	36%	19%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	13	24	30.4	38.2%	2.94	2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	46%	39%	35%	19%	.1
UVA Offense	13	30.8	36.4	45.9%	3.76	1.4	21	384	173	212	4.5	52%	46%	45%	45%	15%	.2

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	13	29:48	21.9	41%	58%	7.3	60.6	1.1	2	6.8	2.8	6	30.8
Virginia	13	34:48	21.2	49%	62%	4.5	40.7	1.4	1.6	4.7	1.8	1	32.6

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	13	54%	50%	40.2	212.3	5.3	23	.24	3.39	71%	8%	0.99
UVA Defense	13	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.86	67%	9%	1.07

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	13	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.85	62%	12%	0.97
UVA Offense	13	52%	45%	38.2	172.7	4.5	19	.17	3.26	82%	11%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	13	44%	43%	16.7	28	213.5	7.6	12.8	28	6	.29	1.6	27%	36%	.46	5%	1.8
UVA Defense	13	46%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.14	1.6	34%	30%	.24	10%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	13	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.12	1.6	34%	30%	.3	7%	1.9
UVA Offense	13	46%	45%	17.5	27.5	211.5	7.7	12.1	26	9	.28	1.5	28%	29%	.29	5%	1.7

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2019 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.0 #7
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #11
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: Virginia: 3.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 24.0 Virginia: 6.3

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 3.15 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2019 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3 #43
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #47
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia 30
Florida 18

Projected Total Points: 48

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2019 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	12/30	Virginia	28	Florida	36	Florida -16	Virginia	55.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	0	1	1 Overs
Florida	1	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0

Florida Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2019	Orange Bowl	Florida vs Virginia	-16.0	55.5	W 36 - 28
2018	Peach Bowl	Florida vs Michigan	+4.0	51.0	W 41 - 15
2016	Outback Bowl	Florida vs Iowa	-2.0	41.0	W 30 - 3
2015	Citrus Bowl	Florida vs Michigan	+4.0		L 7 - 41
2014	Birmingham Bowl	Florida vs East Carolina	-6.5	54.0	W 28 - 20

Virginia Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2019	Orange Bowl	Virginia vs Florida	+16.0	55.5	L 28 - 36
2018	N/A	Virginia vs South Carolina	+3.5	54.0	W 28 - 0
2017	Military Bowl	Virginia vs Navy	+2.5	51.0	L 7 - 49

(#) FLA at (#) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FLA	UVA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#7	#43
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#15	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	UVA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#11	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	FLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Florida 16.0 (55.5)
Florida won at Virginia this year (36-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FLA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UVA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD