Georgia Tech at Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#8)Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Virginia Cavaliers(#15)

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -2 (57.5) (-115) Open: -1.5
Georgia Tech 45 - Virginia: 17 (ACC)

Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (5 - 6)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (28 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Georgia Tech -5.5 (SP+ GT -9)
Projected Score: GT: 31 - UVA: 25 (56)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
GT Travel: 441 miles

Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GT Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Tech's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Georgia Tech vs Louisville	+7.0	49.5	L 34 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Georgia Tech vs South Carolina State	-44.0	53.5	W 48 - 13	O	N
Sat 9/16	Georgia Tech at Ole Miss	+17.0	61.5	L 23 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/23	Georgia Tech at Wake Forest	+3.5	58.5	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Georgia Tech vs Bowling Green	-21.0	49.5	L 27 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/7	Georgia Tech at Miami	+19.0	57.0	W 23 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Georgia Tech vs Boston College	-5.5	57.0	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/28	Georgia Tech vs North Carolina	+12.0	65.5	W 46 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Georgia Tech at Virginia	+2.0	57.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Georgia Tech at Clemson	+17.5	55.5	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/18	Georgia Tech vs Syracuse	-6.5	51.5	W 31 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Georgia Tech vs Georgia	+23.0	59.5	L 23 - 31	U	Y
Fri 12/22	Georgia Tech vs UCF	+6.0	66.5	W 30 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule

Virginia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia vs Tennessee	+27.5	56.0	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/9	Virginia vs James Madison	+6.0	40.0	L 35 - 36	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Virginia at Maryland	+16.5	48.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Fri 9/22	Virginia vs NC State	+8.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Virginia at Boston College	+5.0	52.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Virginia vs William & Mary	-10.0	42.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Virginia at North Carolina	+24.0	58.0	W 31 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Virginia at Miami	+18.5	48.0	L 26 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	-2.0	57.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Thu 11/9	Virginia at Louisville	+20.5	49.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Virginia vs Duke	+4.0	48.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	52.5	L 17 - 55	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	#32 (.28)	45% (36)	31.1	49% (19)	3.53 (6)	204	42% (62)	221	4.27 (31)	#100 (.23)	46% (119)	29.5	48% (120)	44% (100)	3.83 (72)	44.8	1.6	1.9
UVA	#88 (.15)	41% (84)	23.3	42% (82)	3 (89)	118	41% (76)	251	3.68 (85)	#117 (.26)	45% (113)	33.8	48% (118)	43% (90)	4.15 (103)	55.3	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GT	#36 (.24)	46% (29)		45% (47)	2.85 (100)	172	46% (25)	222	4.25 (35)	#65 (.16)	42% (77)		41% (50)	44% (99)	3.97 (85)	35.6	0.6	0.8
UVA	#102 (.13)	40% (103)		43% (77)	3.29 (25)	133	37% (113)	229	3.47 (106)	#116 (.27)	43% (80)		44% (77)	42% (77)	4.04 (94)	45.3	1.6	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Offense	13	31.1	28.4	45.1%	4.27	1.6	22	425	204	221	5.4	55%	43%	49%	42%	17%	.28
UVA Defense	12	33.8	33.3	45.2%	4.15	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	48%	43%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GT Defense	13	29.5	28.6	45.7%	3.83	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	48%	44%	18%	.23
UVA Offense	12	23.3	24.5	41%	3.68	1.7	21	369	118	251	3.1	49%	50%	42%	41%	19%	.15

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Tech	13	28:39	22.2	43%	52%	5.2	44.8	1.6	1.9	4.4	1.7	0	31.2
Virginia	12	31:24	21	36%	60%	6.5	55.3	1.7	1.2	4.8	0.9	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Offense	13	55% (30)	49% (19)	37.8	203.8	5.4	24 (41)	.27 (12)	3.53 (6)	75% (52)	11% (78)	1.03 (49)
UVA Defense	12	51% (87)	48% (118)	-	-	-	-	.26 (124)	3.36 (116)	76% (92)	9% (108)	1.03 (84)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GT Defense	13	57% (128)	48% (120)	-	-	-	-	.24 (116)	3.49 (128)	87% (129)	10% (81)	0.97 (52)
UVA Offense	12	49% (76)	42% (82)	37.8	117.9	3.1	12 (116)	.11 (91)	3 (89)	70% (98)	13% (123)	0.89 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Offense	13	43% (107)	42% (62)	17.8	29.2	220.8	7.6	12.4	27 (25)	17 (127)	.37 (31)	1.8 (10)	30% (40)	32% (58)	.43 (36)	7% (102)	2.3 (8)
UVA Defense	12	48% (48)	43% (90)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.32 (97)	1.6 (54)	28% (127)	30% (62)	.33 (76)	6% (57)	2.1 (85)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GT Defense	13	42% (5)	44% (100)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.29 (86)	1.5 (41)	29% (124)	31% (88)	.32 (73)	8% (8)	2 (65)
UVA Offense	12	50% (62)	41% (76)	20.7	33	250.8	7.6	12.1	19 (78)	14 (107)	.29 (67)	1.6 (66)	32% (83)	29% (79)	.21 (105)	6% (79)	1.8 (126)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 1.93 #50
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 20.16 #35
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 12.77 #100
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Georgia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Georgia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #93

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 1.93 Virginia: -5.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: -1.3 Virginia: -10.3

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.385 #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.6

Georgia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Georgia Tech 31
Virginia 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 27
Georgia Tech 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Georgia Tech 32
Virginia 26

Total Points: 58

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Virginia	17	Georgia Tech	45	Virginia -2	Georgia Tech	57.5	Over
2022	10/20	Georgia Tech	9	Virginia	16	Georgia Tech -3.5	Virginia	48.0	Under
2021	10/23	Virginia	48	Georgia Tech	40	Virginia -6.5	Virginia	66.0	Over
2019	11/09	Virginia	33	Georgia Tech	28	Virginia -16	Georgia Tech	45.5	Over
2018	11/17	Georgia Tech	30	Virginia	27	Georgia Tech -6	Virginia	52.5	Over
2017	11/04	Virginia	40	Georgia Tech	36	Georgia Tech -8.5	Virginia	50.0	Over
2016	11/19	Georgia Tech	31	Virginia	17	Georgia Tech -10.5	Georgia Tech	54.0	Under
2015	10/31	Virginia	27	Georgia Tech	21	Georgia Tech -2.5	Virginia	51.5	Under
2014	11/01	Georgia Tech	35	Virginia	10	Georgia Tech -2.5	Georgia Tech	0
2013	10/26	Virginia	25	Georgia Tech	35	Georgia Tech -8.5	Georgia Tech	0
2012	09/15	Georgia Tech	56	Virginia	20
2011	10/15	Virginia	24	Georgia Tech	21
2010	10/09	Georgia Tech	33	Virginia	21
2009	10/24	Virginia	9	Georgia Tech	34
2008	10/25	Georgia Tech	17	Virginia	24
2007	09/22	Virginia	28	Georgia Tech	23
2006	09/21	Georgia Tech	24	Virginia	7
2005	11/12	Virginia	27	Georgia Tech	17
2004	11/20	Georgia Tech	10	Virginia	30
2003	11/22	Virginia	29	Georgia Tech	17
2002	10/26	Georgia Tech	23	Virginia	15
2001	11/10	Virginia	39	Georgia Tech	38
2000	11/08	Georgia Tech	35	Virginia	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	12	5	5 Overs
Georgia Tech	11	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	17 - 6	5 - 5	3 - 4	2 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 17	5 - 5	1 - 2	4 - 3

(#50) GT at (#93) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GT	UVA
Power RatePwr	#50	#93
SP+SP+	#69	#106
Perf GradeGrade	#69	#116
OffenseOff	#51	#97
DefenseDef	#94	#128
Spec TeamsST	#64	#112
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#41	#59

Georgia Tech Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

Georgia Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	GT Off	UVA Def
Perf GradePerf	#51	#128
SuccessSuc	#36	#113
ExplosiveExp	#29	#55
PPAPPA	#32	#117
PowerPwr	#35	#114
SP+SP+	#45	#99
Pts POPPO	#31	#103
HavocHav	#92	#96

Georgia Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	#22	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	#19	#118
Run ExplRExp	#49	#84
PPAExp	#12	#124
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	#6	#116
Stuff RateStuff	#20	#96
TackleTak	-	#96

Georgia Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	GT Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	#57	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	#62	#90
Pass ExplPExl	#10	#54
PPAExp	#31	#97
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#127
F7 HavocF7	#78	#108
DB HavocDB	#102	#57

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	GT Def
Perf GradePerf	#97	#94
SuccessSuc	#84	#119
ExplosiveExp	#96	#18
PPAPPA	#88	#100
PowerPwr	#84	#100
SP+SP+	#95	#93
Pts POPPO	#85	#72
HavocHav	#109	#34

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	GT Def
Run GameRun	#115	#114
Run SuccessRSuc	#82	#120
Run ExplRExp	#113	#52
PPAExp	#91	#116
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	#89	#128
Stuff RateStuff	#46	#106
TackleTak	-	#46

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	GT Def
Pass GamePass	#58	#38
Pass SuccessPSuc	#76	#100
Pass ExplPExl	#66	#41
PPAExp	#67	#86
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#133	#80
F7 HavocF7	#123	#81
DB HavocDB	#79	#8

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

GT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 74° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Virginia -2.0 (57.5)
Georgia Tech won at Virginia this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Virginia in 2023 (45-17)
Virginia beat Georgia Tech in 2022 (16-9)

GT's OC Buster Faulkner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Haynes King (Tr)	226	367	62%	2842	27	16	7.7
Zach Pyron	4	8	50%	21	0	1	2.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jamal Haynes	174	1059	7	6.1	67
Haynes King (Tr)	120	737	10	6.1	71
Dontae Smith	100	504	4	5.0	70
Trevion Cooley (Tr)	64	274	3	4.3	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eric Singleton Jr.	44	664	5	15.1	58
Malik Rutherford	46	502	4	10.9	55
Dominick Blaylock (Tr)	21	337	2	16.0	53
Christian Leary (Tr)	25	309	2	12.4	44

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster

GT's DC Kevin Sherrer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Efford	76	1	1	2	0
Miles Brooks	65	1	0	0	6
Clayton Powell-Lee	62	1	0	0	2
Jaylon King	59	0	0	0	9

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyle Kennard	49	11	6	1	0
Paul Moala	57	10	3	4	2
Andre White	21	3	3	0	0
D'Quan Douse	32	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylon King	59	0	0	0	9
KJ Wallace	39	2	1	1	7
Miles Brooks	65	1	0	0	6

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Anthony Colandrea	154	246	63%	1958	13	9	8.0
Tony Muskett (Tr)	93	147	63%	1031	6	5	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Perris Jones	76	393	2	5.2	43
Kobe Pace (Tr)	125	382	1	3.1	22
Mike Hollins	80	274	7	3.4	22
Anthony Colandrea	73	225	0	3.1	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malik Washington	110	1426	9	13.0	64
Malachi Fields	58	811	5	14.0	39
Kobe Pace (Tr)	19	176	3	9.3	75
Sackett Wood Jr.	9	141	0	15.7	28

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	107	4	0	1	11
James Jackson	80	4	1	7	5
Kamren Robinson	71	5	1	4	1
Coen King	60	3	0	1	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Butler	22	5	3	1	0
Ben Smiley III	15	4	2	1	1
Paul Akere	15	3	1	4	0
Kamren Robinson	71	5	1	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	107	4	1	11
Dre Walker	11	0	0	5
Coen King	60	3	1	5