Georgia Tech at Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview
Georgia Tech logo (#18)Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -2 (57.5) (-115)  Open: -1.5
Georgia Tech 45 - Virginia: 17  (ACC)

 
Yellow Jackets (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Key (5 - 6)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (28 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 6.9 (#73)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Georgia Tech -5.5   (SP+ GT -9)
Projected Score: GT: 32 - UVA: 26 (58)
UVA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
GT Travel: 441 miles
Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Georgia Tech vs Louisville+7.049.5L 34 - 39OY
Sat 9/9 Georgia Tech vs South Carolina State-44.053.5W 48 - 13ON
Sat 9/16 Georgia Tech at Ole Miss+17.061.5L 23 - 48ON
Sat 9/23 Georgia Tech at Wake Forest+3.558.5W 30 - 16UY
Sat 9/30 Georgia Tech vs Bowling Green-21.049.5L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/7 Georgia Tech at Miami+19.057.0W 23 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Georgia Tech vs Boston College-5.557.0L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/28 Georgia Tech vs North Carolina+12.065.5W 46 - 42OY
Sat 11/4 Georgia Tech at Virginia+2.057.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/11 Georgia Tech at Clemson+17.555.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 11/18 Georgia Tech vs Syracuse-6.551.5W 31 - 22OY
Sat 11/25 Georgia Tech vs Georgia+23.059.5L 23 - 31UY
Fri 12/22 Georgia Tech vs UCF+6.066.5W 30 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Tech's Schedule
Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs Tennessee+27.556.0L 13 - 49ON
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs James Madison+6.040.0L 35 - 36OY
Fri 9/15 Virginia at Maryland+16.548.5L 14 - 42ON
Fri 9/22 Virginia vs NC State+8.547.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/30 Virginia at Boston College+5.052.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs William & Mary-10.042.0W 27 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Virginia at North Carolina+24.058.0W 31 - 27UY
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Miami+18.548.0L 26 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-2.057.5L 17 - 45ON
Thu 11/9 Virginia at Louisville+20.549.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia vs Duke+4.048.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 11/25 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+2.552.5L 17 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT#32 (.28)45% (36)31.149% (19)3.53 (6)20442% (62)2214.27 (31)#100 (.23)46% (119)29.548% (120)44% (100)3.83 (72)44.81.61.9
UVA#88 (.15)41% (84)23.342% (82)3 (89)11841% (76)2513.68 (85)#117 (.26)45% (113)33.848% (118)43% (90)4.15 (103)55.31.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GT#36 (.24)46% (29)45% (47)2.85 (100)17246% (25)2224.25 (35)#65 (.16)42% (77)41% (50)44% (99)3.97 (85)35.60.60.8
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Offense1331.128.445.1%4.271.6224252042215.455%43%49%42%17%.28
UVA Defense1233.833.345.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GT Defense1329.528.645.7%3.831.9 - - - - - 57%42%48%44%18%.23
UVA Offense1223.324.541%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia Tech1328:3922.243%52%5.244.81.61.94.41.7031.2
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Offense1355% (30)49% (19)37.8203.85.424 (41).27 (12)3.53 (6)75% (52)11% (78)1.03 (49)
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (92)9% (108)1.03 (84)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GT Defense1357% (128)48% (120) - - - - .24 (116)3.49 (128)87% (129)10% (81)0.97 (52)
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (98)13% (123)0.89 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Offense1343% (107)42% (62)17.829.2220.87.612.427 (25)17 (127).37 (31)1.8 (10)30% (40)32% (58).43 (36)7% (102)2.3 (8)
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GT Defense1342% (5)44% (100) - - - - - - 15 (15).29 (86)1.5 (41)29% (124)31% (88).32 (73)8% (8)2 (65)
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)

Georgia Tech's Power Ratings
Georgia Tech's Power Rating: 1.93 #50
Georgia Tech's Offense Rating: 20.16 #35
Georgia Tech's Defense Rating: 12.77 #100
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Georgia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90
Georgia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Georgia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Georgia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #93

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: 1.93   Virginia: -5.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Tech: -1.3   Virginia: -10.3




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.385 #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Georgia Tech Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 29.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.6

Georgia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Georgia Tech 32
Virginia 26


Total Points: 58

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Virginia17Georgia Tech45Georgia TechVirginia -2Georgia Tech57.5Over
202210/20Georgia Tech9Virginia16VirginiaGeorgia Tech -3.5Virginia48.0Under
202110/23Virginia48Georgia Tech40VirginiaVirginia -6.5Virginia66.0Over
201911/09Virginia33Georgia Tech28VirginiaVirginia -16Georgia Tech45.5Over
201811/17Georgia Tech30Virginia27Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -6Virginia52.5Over
201711/04Virginia40Georgia Tech36VirginiaGeorgia Tech -8.5Virginia50.0Over
201611/19Georgia Tech31Virginia17Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -10.5Georgia Tech54.0Under
201510/31Virginia27Georgia Tech21VirginiaGeorgia Tech -2.5Virginia51.5Under
201411/01Georgia Tech35Virginia10Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -2.5Georgia Tech0
201310/26Virginia25Georgia Tech35Georgia TechGeorgia Tech -8.5Georgia Tech0
201209/15Georgia Tech56Virginia20Georgia Tech
201110/15Virginia24Georgia Tech21Virginia
201010/09Georgia Tech33Virginia21Georgia Tech
200910/24Virginia9Georgia Tech34Georgia Tech
200810/25Georgia Tech17Virginia24Virginia
200709/22Virginia28Georgia Tech23Virginia
200609/21Georgia Tech24Virginia7Georgia Tech
200511/12Virginia27Georgia Tech17Virginia
200411/20Georgia Tech10Virginia30Virginia
200311/22Virginia29Georgia Tech17Virginia
200210/26Georgia Tech23Virginia15Georgia Tech
200111/10Virginia39Georgia Tech38Virginia
200011/08Georgia Tech35Virginia0Georgia Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia1255 Overs
Georgia Tech1153 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams17 - 65 - 53 - 42 - 1
Road Teams6 - 175 - 51 - 24 - 3

(#50) Georgia Tech Info
Power Rating: 1.93 #50
Offense Rating: 20.16 #35
Defense Rating: 12.77 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #45
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #93
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Expected Record: 6.10 - 6.90


Georgia Tech has won 1 straight
Georgia Tech has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Georgia Tech Highlights
Georgia Tech has Really Good Running Game (#17)
Georgia Tech offense is explosive (#106)
Georgia Tech has a top Offensive Line (#26)
Georgia Tech does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#23)

Georgia Tech defense does not give up big plays (#39)
Georgia Tech Secondary is very good (#120)
Georgia Tech defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#87)

Georgia Tech Deficiencies
Georgia Tech throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Georgia Tech has a bad defense (#73)
Georgia Tech Does Not Stuff Runs (#112)
Georgia Tech has a bad defensive line (#92)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUVAGT
OverallOver#97#55
OffenseOff#83#48
DefenseDef#101#72
Special TeamsST#90#52
PassingPass#45#44
RushingRush#82#15
Run BlockRBLK#61#52
Pass BlockPBLK#116#61
Route RunningWR Rt#46#58
TacklingTkl#83#41
Run DefenseR Def#110#97
Pass Rush DefPRush#94#63
Coverage DefCov#78#32

Rematch from Week 10
Virginia -2.0 (57.5)
Georgia Tech won at Virginia this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
Georgia Tech beat Virginia in 2023 (45-17)
Virginia beat Georgia Tech in 2022 (16-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: GT | UVA
Depth Chart: GT | UVA
Rosters: GT | UVA
(#93) Virginia Info
Power Rating: -5.385 #93
Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30


Virginia has lost 1 straight
Virginia has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Highlights

Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia Can Not Run the Ball (#4)
Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Virginia does not Sack the QB (#97)
Virginia has a bad defense (#51)
Virginia has a bad defensive line (#63)
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)


  
Georgia Tech's OC Buster Faulkner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Haynes King (Tr)22636762%284227167.7
Zach Pyron4850%21012.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamal Haynes174105976.167
Haynes King (Tr)120737106.171
Dontae Smith10050445.070
Trevion Cooley (Tr)6427434.323
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Singleton Jr.44664515.158
Malik Rutherford46502410.955
Dominick Blaylock (Tr)21337216.053
Christian Leary (Tr)25309212.444

View Georgia Tech's Full Roster
Georgia Tech's DC Kevin Sherrer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Efford761120
Miles Brooks651006
Clayton Powell-Lee621002
Jaylon King590009
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyle Kennard4911610
Paul Moala5710342
Andre White213300
D'Quan Douse323200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylon King590009
KJ Wallace392117
Miles Brooks651006

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea15424663%19581398.0
Tony Muskett (Tr)9314763%1031657.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Perris Jones7639325.243
Kobe Pace (Tr)12538213.122
Mike Hollins8027473.422
Anthony Colandrea7322503.130
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Washington1101426913.064
Malachi Fields58811514.039
Kobe Pace (Tr)1917639.375
Sackett Wood Jr.9141015.728

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker10740111
James Jackson804175
Kamren Robinson715141
Coen King603015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Butler225310
Ben Smiley III154211
Paul Akere153140
Kamren Robinson715141
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker10740111
Dre Walker110005
Coen King603015