Washington State at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo Washington State Cougars at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Scott Stadium - Charlottesville, VA

 
Cougars (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 37 - 30 (30 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
WSU 3rd straight Road Game
UVA coming off BYE
Our Line: Virginia -12.5   (SP+ UVA -1)

Projected Score: WSU: 22 - UVA: 34 (59)
UVA Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
WSU Travel: 2039 miles, 3 hrs behind
Cavaliers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#70)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
 
Washington State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington State vs Idaho-13.5
Sat 9/6 Washington State vs San Diego State-5
Sat 9/13 Washington State at North Texas+4.5
Sat 9/20 Washington State vs Washington+16
Sat 9/27 Washington State at Colorado State+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Washington State at Ole Miss+30.5
Sat 10/18 Washington State at Virginia+12.5
Sat 10/25 Washington State vs Toledo+6
Sat 11/1 Washington State at Oregon State+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Washington State vs Louisiana Tech-8.5
Sat 11/22 Washington State at James Madison+14.5
Sat 11/29 Washington State vs Oregon State+4.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+8.5
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-23
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-7.5
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+5.5
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+15
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-12.5
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina+4.5
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California+0.5
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-9
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+3

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)36.647% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)29.951% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)22.743% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)28.844% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1336.630.248.1%4.430.8214071592484.751%49%47%49%14%.29
UVA Defense1228.825.342.6%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%50%44%42%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1329.933.446%4.181.7 - - - - - 44%55%51%43%15%.22
UVA Offense1222.718.740%3.471.6193621332293.748%52%43%37%18%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1326:1921.141%54%5.954.80.81.74.61.5330.1
Virginia1229:5319.334%52%5.245.31.61.34.81.8029.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1351% (66)47% (27)33.6158.84.727 (30).23 (22)3.1 (54)67% (108)10% (72)1.12 (14)
UVA Defense1249% (53)44% (77) - - - - .17 (91)3.29 (112)77% (89)9% (104)0.99 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1344% (7)51% (129) - - - - .25 (123)3.28 (110)69% (45)9% (102)1.03 (89)
UVA Offense1248% (84)43% (77)35.9132.83.714 (98).16 (50)3.29 (25)73% (77)11% (96)0.91 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1349% (69)49% (8)17.827.4248.29.113.930 (9)7 (26).37 (20)1.6 (68)27% (13)37% (14).43 (27)4% (19)2.1 (44)
UVA Defense1250% (83)42% (77) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (121)1.6 (84)32% (67)32% (84).43 (110)6% (67)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1355% (126)43% (91) - - - - - - 14 (23).24 (74)1.5 (54)30% (98)32% (93).35 (87)6% (64)2.2 (114)
UVA Offense1252% (52)37% (113)20.533.42296.911.216 (87)14 (115).11 (122)1.5 (86)33% (101)26% (115).17 (120)7% (100)1.7 (129)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -15.40 #109
Washington State's Offense Rating: 10.26 #91
Washington State's Defense Rating: 25.66 #122
2025 Talent Rating: 580.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.8 #82
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #43
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 669
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -15.40   Virginia: 2.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -4.8   Virginia: -4.3




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 2.19 #57
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.34 #50
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.66 #57
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #55
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #79
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #70

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.18
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 36.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 34
Washington State 22


Projected Total Points: 59
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia000 Overs
Washington State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#109) Washington State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.40 #109
Offense Rating: 10.26 #91
Defense Rating: 25.66 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.8 #82
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #43
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116
Talent Rating: 580.00 #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 48%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Great Pass Success 49%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 51%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Washington State Notes
(3/22) 15 (of 23) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
(3/22) QB rebuild, SO Potter looks like the starter
(3/22) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SD portals
(3/22) WR rebuild, #'s look rough, very young
(3/22) OL returns 3/5, OK LY. Only 1 portal add.
(3/22) Def complete rebuild. 16 portals. Looks bad
(3/22) OC/DC both from S Dakota. Looks rough
Washington State     Ratings Matchup     Virginia
Power #109
#57
Off #91
#50
Def #122
#57
Talent #86
#29
SP+ #82
#79
SP+ Off #43
#90
SP+ Def #116
#70

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WSU | UVA
Depth Chart: WSU | UVA
Rosters: WSU | UVA
(#57) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.19 #57
Offense Rating: 16.34 #50
Defense Rating: 12.66 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #70
Talent Rating: 856.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #55
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Virginia Notes
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
(4/30) RBs Brown can play, Taylor (NC Cen) good add


  
Washington State's OC Danny Freund
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zevi Eckhaus375074%424428.5
Julian Dugger (Tr)71354%72215.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Leo Pulalasi6530224.622
Julian Dugger (Tr)218814.220
Dylan Paine94024.415
Zevi Eckhaus112812.513
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Meredith39477212.239
Jeremiah Noga (Tr)23266011.630
Cooper Mathers13196615.150
Tony Freeman8125015.638

View Washington State's Full Roster
Washington State's DC Jesse Bobbit
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tanner Moku480001
Tyson Durant452026
Parker McKenna371111
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)332152
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Raam Stevenson153270
Mike Yoan Sandjo-Njiki31100
Parker McKenna371111
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)332152
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyson Durant452026
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)332152
Tanner Moku480001

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)32250963%377431127.4
Suderian Harrison11100%270027.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Harrison Waylee (Tr)6332315.136
Chandler Morris (Tr)6024244.049
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Ross37443312.043
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)23365215.953
Trell Harris15221214.745
Jayden Thomas (Tr)1816729.323

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Da'Marcus Crosby (Tr)812003
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac (Tr)4615815
Kamren Robinson646521
James Jackson455220
Mitchell Melton (Tr)124210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermarian Jackson551106
Fisher Camac (Tr)4615815
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)140005