Washington State at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo Washington State Cougars at Virginia Cavaliers(#18)Virginia logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (6:30 PM EDT)
Virginia -16.5 (56.5) (-800)  Open: -19.5
Virginia 22 - Washington State: 20

 
Cougars (7 - 6) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 6.3 (#71)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
WSU 3rd straight Road Game
UVA coming off BYE
Our Line: Virginia -16.5  (SP+ UVA -9)

Projected Score: WSU: 19 - UVA: 36 (55)
UVA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
WSU Travel: 2039 miles, 3 hrs behind
Cavaliers (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Washington State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington State vs Idaho-16.550.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Washington State vs San Diego State-2.046.5W 36 - 13OY
Sat 9/13 Washington State at North Texas+6.557.5L 10 - 59ON
Sat 9/20 Washington State vs Washington+21.051.5L 24 - 59ON
Sat 9/27 Washington State at Colorado State+4.548.5W 20 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Washington State at Ole Miss+33.558.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/18 Washington State at Virginia+16.556.5L 20 - 22UY
Sat 10/25 Washington State vs Toledo+1.544.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 11/1 Washington State at Oregon State-3.547.5L 7 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Washington State vs Louisiana Tech-10.043.5W 28 - 3UY
Sat 11/22 Washington State at James Madison+15.044.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/29 Washington State vs Oregon State-14.042.5W 32 - 8UY
Mon 12/22 Washington State vs Utah State+1.050.0W 34 - 21OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+3.053.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-30.554.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-16.548.5W 48 - 20OY
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+7.059.5W 46 - 38OY
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+6.559.5W 30 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-16.556.5W 22 - 20UN
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina-12.551.5W 17 - 16UN
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California-6.552.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-7.048.5L 9 - 16UN
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke+5.559.5W 34 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-9.553.5W 27 - 7UY
Sat 12/6 Virginia vs Duke-3.558.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 12/27 Virginia vs Missouri+4.043.5W 13 - 7UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#92 (.13)42% (74)22.543% (69)2.82 (95)11041% (74)1823.93 (50)#24 (.07)40% (55)20.244% (93)37% (30)3.14 (28)50.51.40.8
UVA#64 (.18)42% (82)30.844% (66)3.04 (51)17241% (79)2253.49 (91)#18 (.06)37% (21)19.639% (30)37% (25)3.01 (19)420.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)47% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)51% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense1322.516.341.9%3.931.4172921101823.649%50%43%41%16%.13
UVA Defense1419.617.737.4%3.011.4 - - - - - 51%47%39%37%18%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense1320.223.740.5%3.140.8 - - - - - 51%47%44%37%15%.07
UVA Offense1430.836.441.6%3.490.9203971722254.850%49%44%41%14%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State1329:3817.237%74%6.250.51.40.84.82.2029
Virginia1429:3120.349%46%5420.91.44.62.1330.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense1349% (76)43% (69)30.4109.83.615 (122).09 (78)2.82 (95)68% (94)9% (60)0.85 (118)
UVA Defense1451% (78)39% (30) - - - - .04 (31)2.75 (43)71% (69)9% (75)0.92 (47)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense1351% (88)44% (93) - - - - .08 (56)2.96 (80)71% (69)10% (53)0.83 (14)
UVA Offense1450% (65)44% (66)36172.14.828 (11).19 (34)3.04 (51)81% (13)8% (25)1.06 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense1350% (63)41% (74)17.927.7181.76.610.116 (61)12 (108).21 (93)1.4 (121)32% (77)27% (100).15 (122)7% (91)1.9 (114)
UVA Defense1447% (50)37% (25) - - - - - - 13 (38).15 (29)1.5 (44)32% (60)23% (3).11 (8)9% (6)1.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense1347% (43)37% (30) - - - - - - 5.11 (19)1.4 (18)31% (68)23% (8).06 (2)5% (115)1.9 (28)
UVA Offense1449% (73)41% (79)20.732.42256.910.918 (50)10 (60).24 (74)1.5 (74)32% (84)33% (34).36 (47)6% (68)1.9 (111)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -1.04  #72
Washington State's Offense Rating: 2.59  #109
Washington State's Defense Rating: 3.63  #37
2025 Talent Rating: 724.00  #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 6.3
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1  #60
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #97
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #28

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -1.04   Virginia: 17.305

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 3.1   Virginia: 12.1




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 17.305  #25
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.28  #32
Virginia's Defense Rating: -1.23  #27
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1  #28
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #49
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #23

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 36
Washington State 19


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 40
Washington State 21

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Virginia 28
Washington State 19

Total Points: 47
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Virginia22Washington State20Virginia -16.5Washington State56.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia100 Overs
Washington State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#72) WSU at (#25) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWSUUVA
Power RatePwr #72 #25
SP+SP+ #60 #28
Perf GradeGrade #99 #16
OffenseOff #105 #46
DefenseDef #72 #15
Spec TeamsST #101 #33
TalentTal #70 #21
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #65
Washington State Notes
(12/13) Hired Kirby Moore (Mizzu OC) as HC ijn '26
(12/6) HC Rogers leaving for Iowa St. Another 1 yr HC
(10/19) 2 straight close L's @ Ole Miss & UVA. Improving
(10/7) Sched has been sneaky brutal and gets worse in Oct
(9/3) QB1 Potter, but Ekhaus didn't play as #2?
(8/5) QB Dugger (Pitt) very mobile, played bowl vs Tol
(7/31) 18 (of 36) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(7/31) QB ?, Ekhaus is mobile vs So. Potter
(7/31) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SDSt portals
(7/31) Moving to a ground & pound offense w/ Rogers
(7/31) 70+ new players, 27 FCS, 1/2 starters via SDSt
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
Washington State Injury Report
Virginia Notes
(11/26) Star LB Kam Robinson out for season (ACL)
(11/16) Killed Duke, Hoos incredible story. ACC threat
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/25) Box score L vs NC. Great story, but badly overrated
(9/26) Huge W over FSU, Run Off good, Morris tough/clutch
(9/22) Off 3rd in CFB in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/21) Off on a tear, QB Morris playing great. Good start
(9/21) Off #'s are incredible during 3-1 start, eyes on
(8/26) 20 of 23 listed on two deep are Sr or Gr.
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
Virginia Injury Report
Washington State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffUVA Def
Perf GradePerf #105 #15
SuccessSuc #74 #21
ExplosiveExp #132 #35
PPAPPA #92 #18
PowerPwr #109 #27
SP+SP+ #97 #23
Pts POPPO #50 #19
HavocHav #72 #23
Washington State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffUVA Def
Run GameRun #93 #39
Run SuccessRSuc #69 #30
Run ExplRExp #118 #47
PPAExp #78 #31
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLY #95 #43
Stuff RateStuff #97 #70
TackleTak -  #39
Washington State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
WSU OffUVA Def
Pass GamePass #81 #18
Pass SuccessPSuc #74 #25
Pass ExplPExl #121 #44
PPAExp #93 #29
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #132 #32
F7 HavocF7 #60 #75
DB HavocDB #91 #6
Virginia on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatUVA OffWSU Def
Perf GradePerf #46 #72
SuccessSuc #82 #55
ExplosiveExp #45 #6
PPAPPA #64 #24
PowerPwr #32 #37
SP+SP+ #49 #28
Pts POPPO #91 #28
HavocHav #38 #91
Virginia Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
UVA OffWSU Def
Run GameRun #58 #87
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #93
Run ExplRExp #33 #14
PPAExp #34 #56
Run BlockR Blk #44 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #80
Stuff RateStuff #35 #75
TackleTak -  #135
Virginia Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatUVA OffWSU Def
Pass GamePass #42 #75
Pass SuccessPSuc #79 #30
Pass ExplPExl #74 #18
PPAExp #74 #19
Pass Block/RushP Blk #78 #59
F7 HavocF7 #25 #53
DB HavocDB #68 #115
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 64° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Virginia -16.5 (56.5)
Virginia won vs Washington State this year (22-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WSU's OC Danny Freund (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zevi Eckhaus19230663%209215126.8
Jaxon Potter679571%604436.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kirby Vorhees (Tr)13857654.246
Zevi Eckhaus11437183.322
Angel Johnson (Tr)7525213.450
Maxwell Woods (Tr)3622506.348
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Meredith57725312.748
Tony Freeman54588310.948
Jeremiah Noga (Tr)20221111.135
Trey Leckner2317437.632

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jesse Bobbit (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker McKenna835211
Caleb Francl (Tr)826253
Tucker Large (Tr)713006
Anthony Palano (Tr)651142
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Terrell2812761
Buddha Peleti (Tr)227450
Soni Finau (Tr)124430
Malaki Ta'ase (Tr)174332
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tucker Large (Tr)713006
Jamorri Colson221003
Caleb Francl (Tr)826253

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)28243665%30001696.9
Daniel Kaelin (Tr)305258%339116.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
J'mari Taylor (Tr)2221062144.878
Harrison Waylee (Tr)11855664.797
Chandler Morris (Tr)6424553.842
Xavier Brown5124114.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trell Harris59847514.475
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)46564112.337
Cameron Ross53543210.246
J'mari Taylor (Tr)4325315.925

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Neal (Tr)882127
James Jackson663053
Kamren Robinson644221
Maddox Marcellus (Tr)493211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Rickert (Tr)369791
Mitchell Melton (Tr)4510573
Fisher Camac (Tr)446424
Jacob Holmes (Tr)336340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)262008
Devin Neal (Tr)882127
Christian Charles (Tr)431026