Washington State at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Washington State logo Washington State Cougars at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Scott Stadium - Charlottesville, VA

 
Cougars (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Rogers (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (10 - 59 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#108)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
WSU 3rd straight Road Game
UVA coming off BYE
Our Line: Virginia -19   (SP+ UVA -14)

Projected Score: WSU: 21 - UVA: 40 (61)
UVA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
WSU Travel: 2039 miles, 3 hrs behind
Cavaliers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (52 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
Washington State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Washington State vs Idaho-16.550.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Washington State vs San Diego State-2.046.5W 36 - 13OY
Sat 9/13 Washington State at North Texas+6.557.5L 10 - 59ON
Sat 9/20 Washington State vs Washington+19.552.5
Sat 9/27 Washington State at Colorado State+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Washington State at Ole Miss+33
Sat 10/18 Washington State at Virginia+19
Sat 10/25 Washington State vs Toledo+13
Sat 11/1 Washington State at Oregon State+7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Washington State vs Louisiana Tech-2
Sat 11/22 Washington State at James Madison+14
Sat 11/29 Washington State vs Oregon State+2.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+3.053.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-30.554.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-15.549.5
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+8.5
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-19
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina-4.5
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California+2.5
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-9
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-16

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#106 (.1)38% (107)19.732% (127)1.96 (131)7142% (75)2254.07 (65)#80 (.16)43% (99)27.349% (112)37% (52)4.88 (117)52.320.7
UVA#10 (.47)51% (26)44.756% (17)3.69 (17)27147% (45)2894.24 (54)#75 (.14)37% (51)19.337% (52)37% (48)4.45 (104)350.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WSU#19 (.29)48% (15)47% (27)3.1 (54)15949% (8)2484.43 (23)#99 (.22)46% (112)51% (129)43% (91)4.18 (107)54.80.81.7
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Offense319.71038.1%4.07216296712252.641%59%32%42%16%.1
UVA Defense319.311.536.7%4.451 - - - - - 55%45%37%37%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WSU Defense327.35943.4%4.880.7 - - - - - 55%44%49%37%13%.16
UVA Offense344.751.551.1%4.240.7265602712896.549%50%56%47%11%.47

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington State330:2716.336%83%752.320.74.71.3027
Virginia334:3125.758%44%5350.7141.3133.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Offense341% (122)32% (127)27.770.72.62 (109)-.08 (126)1.96 (131)58% (109)11% (105)0.73 (123)
UVA Defense355% (106)37% (52) - - - - .1 (91)2.71 (63)50% (19)8% (99)1.16 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WSU Defense355% (107)49% (112) - - - - .14 (101)3.05 (99)73% (77)9% (84)0.85 (46)
UVA Offense349% (77)56% (17)422716.512 (3).55 (2)3.69 (17)86% (22)6% (21)1.31 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Offense359% (15)42% (75)24.736225.36.39.14 (72)3 (92).22 (84)1.2 (122)32% (80)17% (129)-.02 (125)5% (54)1.4 (125)
UVA Defense345% (34)37% (48) - - - - - - 1 (87).19 (62)1.5 (51)33% (68)19% (24).08 (30)9% (18)1.6 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WSU Defense344% (29)37% (52) - - - - - - 0.2 (65)1.5 (66)29% (110)30% (74).08 (29)4% (110)1.4 (12)
UVA Offense350% (62)47% (45)2538289.37.611.64 (72)2 (60).45 (34)1.5 (68)30% (62)46% (11).63 (25)6% (79)1.6 (117)

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: -5.73 #94
Washington State's Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
Washington State's Defense Rating: 12.60 #94
2025 Talent Rating: 724.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Washington State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Washington State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #103
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #81
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -5.73   Virginia: 11.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: -9.8   Virginia: 3.8




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Washington State Scoring
Offense: 19.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 59

Washington State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 40
Washington State 21


Total Points: 61

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.5
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.5

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia000 Overs
Washington State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#94) Washington State Info
Power Rating: -5.73 #94
Offense Rating: 6.87 #93
Defense Rating: 12.60 #94
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8 #103
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #81
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 724.00 #70
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.07 PPO
Awful Run Success 32%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.88 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Washington State has lost 4 straight
Washington State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Washington State Notes
(8/5) QB Dugger (Pitt) very mobile, played bowl vs Tol
(7/31) 18 (of 36) portals from S Dakota w/ staff
(7/31) QB ?, Ekhaus is mobile vs So. Potter
(7/31) RB rebuild, Pulalasi has exp, 3 SDSt portals
(7/31) Moving to a ground & pound offense w/ Rogers
(7/31) 70+ new players, 27 FCS, 1/2 starters via SDSt
(3/22) HC Rogers was 27-3 @ S Dakota
(3/22) WR rebuild, #'s look rough, very young
(3/22) OL returns 3/5, OK LY. Only 1 portal add.
(3/22) Def complete rebuild. 16 portals. Looks bad

Washington State Highlights
Washington State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Washington State Deficiencies
Washington State has a really bad Offense
Washington State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Washington State Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Washington State Can Not Run the Ball (#131)
Washington State offense is really bad (#107)
Washington State offense is not Explosive (#121)
Washington State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#128)
Washington State run game is really bad (#127)
Washington State Does Not Stuff Runs (#104)
Washington State has a bad red zone defense (#117)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUVAWSU
OverallOver#22#70
OffenseOff#24#88
DefenseDef#37#61
Special TeamsST#6#91
PassingPass#25#74
RushingRush#21#105
Run BlockRBLK#40#83
Pass BlockPBLK#56#49
Route RunningWR Rt#29#64
TacklingTkl#82#108
Run DefenseR Def#56#65
Pass Rush DefPRush#28#43
Coverage DefCov#34#79

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WSU | UVA
Depth Chart: WSU | UVA
Rosters: WSU | UVA
(#42) Virginia Info
Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Virginia has lost 3 straight
Virginia has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl

Virginia Highlights
Virginia is Undefeated at Home
Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)

Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)

Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)


  
Washington State's OC Danny Freund
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaxon Potter679571%604436.4
Zevi Eckhaus71070%72007.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kirby Vorhees (Tr)2511904.831
Leo Pulalasi124703.920
Angel Johnson (Tr)233201.412
Jaxon Potter5801.65
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tony Freeman1615409.623
Josh Meredith12125110.434
Carter Pabst499024.843
Jeremiah Noga (Tr)76609.417

View Washington State's Full Roster
Washington State's DC Jesse Bobbit
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew Durrance (Tr)181000
Parker McKenna170000
Caleb Francl (Tr)171110
Colby Humphrey (Tr)141001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaac Terrell63231
Max Baloun (Tr)32100
Caleb Francl (Tr)171110
Buddha Peleti (Tr)61120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tucker Large (Tr)131002
Michael Hughes31001
Kenny Worthy III30001

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)628970%670417.5
Daniel Kaelin (Tr)112348%190018.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
J'mari Taylor (Tr)3321366.566
Noah Vaughn2217007.754
Harrison Waylee (Tr)1716949.997
Chandler Morris (Tr)9113012.642
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trell Harris14176012.648
Cameron Ross12164113.746
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)11123111.218
Kameron Courtney794013.430

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Danley171010
James Jackson140010
Devin Neal (Tr)112111
Mitchell Melton (Tr)103100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Koudelka21110
Maddox Marcellus (Tr)81101
Devin Neal (Tr)112111
Mitchell Melton (Tr)103100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donavon Platt (Tr)60003
McKale Boley10011
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)40001