Virginia at Coastal Carolina - 2024 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo   Virginia Cavaliers at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers  Coastal Carolina logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (2:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -3.5 (52.0) (-175)  Open: 0.0
Virginia 43 - Coastal Carolina: 24

 
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CCU is playing their 4th straight game
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Virginia -4  (SP+ UVA -2)

Projected Score: UVA: 28 - CCU: 24 (52)
UVA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 294 miles
Chanticleers (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck* (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 22 - 33 (22 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia vs Richmond-21
Sat 9/7 Virginia at Wake Forest-1.555.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Maryland-2.555.5L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/21 Virginia at Coastal Carolina-3.552.0W 43 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Virginia vs Boston College-2.052.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Virginia vs Louisville+7.054.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Virginia at Clemson+20.057.5L 31 - 48OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia vs North Carolina-3.558.5L 14 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Virginia at Pittsburgh+7.556.5W 24 - 19UY
Sat 11/16 Virginia at Notre Dame+20.551.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs SMU+11.554.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/30 Virginia at Virginia Tech+4.544.5L 17 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Coastal Carolina's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Coastal Carolina at Jacksonville State+3.554.5W 55 - 27OY
Sat 9/7 Coastal Carolina vs William & Mary-17.50.0W 40 - 21OY
Sat 9/14 Coastal Carolina at Temple-17.551.5W 28 - 20UN
Sat 9/21 Coastal Carolina vs Virginia+3.552.0L 24 - 43ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Coastal Carolina vs Old Dominion-4.051.5W 45 - 37OY
Thu 10/10 Coastal Carolina at James Madison+7.059.0L 7 - 39UN
Sat 10/19 Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana+6.057.0L 24 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 Coastal Carolina at Troy-4.052.0L 24 - 38ON
Thu 11/7 Coastal Carolina vs App State+1.562.5W 38 - 24UY
Sat 11/16 Coastal Carolina at Marshall+7.557.0L 19 - 31UN
Sat 11/23 Coastal Carolina vs Georgia Southern-2.059.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 11/30 Coastal Carolina at Georgia State+0.552.5W 48 - 27OY
Mon 12/23 Coastal Carolina at UTSA+12.556.5L 15 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#88 (.15)41% (84)30.842% (82)3 (89)11841% (76)2513.68 (85)#117 (.26)45% (113)19.648% (118)43% (90)4.15 (103)55.31.71.2
CCU#53 (.22)42% (75)22.240% (100)2.91 (106)15543% (52)2623.45 (99)#53 (.16)44% (94)33.147% (114)41% (56)3.77 (67)57.61.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1230.828.641%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15
CCU Defense1333.126.543.8%3.771.8 - - - - - 52%48%47%41%15%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1219.623.245.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26
CCU Offense1322.221.741.5%3.451.3214161552624.349%50%40%43%14%.22

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
Coastal Carolina1331:4421.244%38%5.657.61.31.84.21.5227.4
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (98)13% (123)0.89 (113)
CCU Defense1352% (91)47% (114) - - - - .21 (105)3.4 (118)83% (118)8% (120)0.97 (47)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (92)9% (108)1.03 (84)
CCU Offense1349% (75)40% (100)35.7154.84.317 (81).09 (100)2.91 (106)67% (109)10% (70)1.01 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)
CCU Defense1348% (44)41% (56) - - - - - - 14 (21).13 (12)1.5 (38)32% (72)33% (109).23 (27)7% (52)1.9 (18)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)
CCU Offense1350% (57)43% (52)2131.5261.68.312.524 (41)9 (40).37 (32)1.7 (37)32% (66)34% (31).55 (12)4% (10)2.3 (10)

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -2.00  #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13  #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62  #96
2024 Talent Rating: 366.00  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1  #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -2.00   Coastal Carolina: -7.73

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.1   Coastal Carolina: -6.9




Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -7.73  #110
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: 17.50  #90
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 13.88  #101
2024 Talent Rating: 236.00  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #82
Coastal Carolina's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Coastal Carolina's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9  #98
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #82
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #108

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 235.21
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 28
Coastal Carolina 24


Projected Total Points: 52
Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.5

Coastal Carolina's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Virginia48Coastal Carolina7Virginia -12.5Virginia57.5Under
202409/21Coastal Carolina24Virginia43Virginia -3.5Virginia52.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Coastal Carolina001 Overs
Virginia221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#69) UVA at (#110) CCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVACCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #69 #110
SP+SP+ #91 #98
Perf GradeGrade #115 #100
OffenseOff #109 #79
DefenseDef #109 #114
Spec TeamsST #44 #94
TalentTal #54 #103
Blue ChipsBC% #82 #82
Virginia Notes
(12/17) Signed QB C Morris (N Tex/OU/TCU)
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good
(8/19) QB Colandrea good find LY, portal WRs decent
Virginia Injury Report
Coastal Carolina Notes
(11/25) 4 TO's, Pass Def torched in bad L vs GaSo
(11/18) 3 TOs cost @ Marsh, Off OK, Run Def great in L
(11/8) Rgame good vs App St, 200+ yds, 5 ypc, 4 TD in W
(11/3) Run D torched by Troy? 3 straight L's, getting sad
(11/3) Beck called plays (Trickett) vs Troy, meh
(10/20) Pass D torched by ULL, all 17 4th Q pts in L
(10/10) Run Def all 200 yds (5.4 ypc) vs Old D. Vasko good
(10/10) Feasted on shit teams. Not competitive vs goods
(9/23) Run Def destroyed by UVA. Regroup after Bye?
(9/20) 1st 3 games, Run 2/3 time and good, pass bad
(7/30) HC Beck (bad IMO), OC & DC all in 2nd year
(7/30) QB battle Vasko (J w/ legs), Kim (MSU)/Hudson (NC)
Coastal Carolina Injury Report
Virginia on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
UVA OffCCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109 #114
SuccessSuc #84 #94
ExplosiveExp #96 #25
PPAPPA #88 #53
PowerPwr #84 #101
SP+SP+ #95 #108
Pts POPPO #85 #67
HavocHav #109 #104
Virginia Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
UVA OffCCU Def
Run GameRun #84 #122
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #114
Run ExplRExp #113 #47
PPAExp #91 #105
Run BlockR Blk #57 -
OL YdsOLY #89 #118
Stuff RateStuff #46 #114
TackleTak -  #109
Virginia Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
UVA OffCCU Def
Pass GamePass #120 #105
Pass SuccessPSuc #76 #56
Pass ExplPExl #66 #38
PPAExp #67 #12
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #120 #78
F7 HavocF7 #123 #120
DB HavocDB #79 #52
Coastal Carolina on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatCCU OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #79 #109
SuccessSuc #75 #113
ExplosiveExp #27 #55
PPAPPA #53 #117
PowerPwr #90 #96
SP+SP+ #82 #86
Pts POPPO #99 #103
HavocHav #43 #96
Coastal Carolina Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUVA Def
Run GameRun #45 #104
Run SuccessRSuc #100 #118
Run ExplRExp #60 #84
PPAExp #100 #124
Run BlockR Blk #85 -
OL YdsOLY #106 #116
Stuff RateStuff #124 #96
TackleTak -  #112
Coastal Carolina Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatCCU OffUVA Def
Pass GamePass #43 #113
Pass SuccessPSuc #52 #90
Pass ExplPExl #37 #54
PPAExp #32 #97
Pass Block/RushP Blk #85 #72
F7 HavocF7 #70 #108
DB HavocDB #10 #57
Program Comparison
CCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brooks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Virginia 3.5 (52.0)
Virginia won at Coastal Carolina this year (43-24)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Coastal Carolina last year (48-7)
Virginia beat Coastal Carolina in 2024 (43-24)

  
UVA's OC Des Kitchings (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea19832062%212513116.6
Tony Muskett457659%545337.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Pace11449934.443
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Anthony Colandrea12827722.235
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Fields55808514.745
Tyler Neville (Tr)37394210.639
Trell Harris (Tr)15221214.745
Kobe Pace2118909.052

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker989214
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
Kameron Butler433382
Jonas Sanker989214
James Jackson455220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kempton Shine (Tr)372007
Jermarian Jackson551106
Jonas Sanker989214

CCU's OC Travis Trickett (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Vasko14827155%21201487.8
Noah Kim (Tr)305654%333415.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braydon Bennett134781115.867
Christian Washington (Tr)10253755.368
Ethan Vasko10744754.229
Simeon Price (Tr)4413603.118
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jameson Tucker33574617.447
Bryson Graves27327212.150
Senika McKie (Tr)24319413.341
Cameron Wright19314216.558

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Craig Naivar (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Bruce685021
Tobias Fletcher590000
Barry Brown585110
Juan Powell572013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Clev Lubin43111073
Deamontae Diggs (Tr)347562
Tray Brown346341
Will Whitson204220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matthew McDoom3630010
Cristian Conyer (Tr)90003
Juan Powell572013