Wake Forest at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wake Forest logo Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Scott Stadium - Charlottesville, VA  (ACC)

 
Demon Deacons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 33 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6 (#111)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
WAKE 2nd straight Road Game
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Virginia -9   (SP+ UVA -0)
Projected Score: WAKE: 22 - UVA: 31 (55)
UVA Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
WAKE Travel: 163 miles
Cavaliers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#70)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
 
Wake Forest's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Wake Forest vs Kennesaw State-17.553.5
Sat 9/6 Wake Forest vs Western Carolina-16.5
Thu 9/11 Wake Forest vs NC State+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech+11.5
Sat 10/4 Wake Forest at Virginia Tech+15
Sat 10/11 Wake Forest at Oregon State+6
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Wake Forest vs SMU+17.5
Sat 11/1 Wake Forest at Florida State+17
Sat 11/8 Wake Forest at Virginia+9
Sat 11/15 Wake Forest vs North Carolina+6.5
Sat 11/22 Wake Forest vs Delaware-12.5
Sat 11/29 Wake Forest at Duke+15

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+8.5
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-23
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-7.5
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+5.5
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+15
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-12.5
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina+4.5
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California+0.5
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-9
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+3

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE#104 (.13)42% (81)25.743% (79)3 (79)13141% (75)2403.2 (121)#118 (.27)51% (134)32.548% (110)53% (133)4.12 (99)45.91.81.4
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)22.743% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)28.844% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Offense1225.724.441.9%3.21.8223721312403.648%52%43%41%16%.13
UVA Defense1228.825.342.6%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%50%44%42%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Defense1232.529.450.7%4.121.4 - - - - - 44%56%48%53%12%.27
UVA Offense1222.718.740%3.471.6193621332293.748%52%43%37%18%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wake Forest1228:5121.839%64%5.145.91.81.44.91.7229
Virginia1229:5319.334%52%5.245.31.61.34.81.8029.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense1248% (86)43% (79)36.4131.43.618 (78).05 (106)3 (79)81% (18)10% (70)0.92 (88)
UVA Defense1249% (53)44% (77) - - - - .17 (91)3.29 (112)77% (89)9% (104)0.99 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense1244% (6)48% (110) - - - - .18 (101)3.13 (88)80% (112)8% (110)0.96 (58)
UVA Offense1248% (84)43% (77)35.9132.83.714 (98).16 (50)3.29 (25)73% (77)11% (96)0.91 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense1252% (50)41% (75)20.733.6240.17.211.617 (79)13 (103).23 (83)1.5 (115)31% (63)28% (102).15 (125)7% (93)1.9 (103)
UVA Defense1250% (83)42% (77) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (121)1.6 (84)32% (67)32% (84).43 (110)6% (67)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense1256% (129)53% (133) - - - - - - 11 (52).36 (116)1.3 (2)26% (130)40% (132).41 (106)4% (131)1.8 (18)
UVA Offense1252% (52)37% (113)20.533.42296.911.216 (87)14 (115).11 (122)1.5 (86)33% (101)26% (115).17 (120)7% (100)1.7 (129)

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: -9.20 #91
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 10.88 #88
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 20.08 #97
2025 Talent Rating: 750.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Wake Forest's 2025 Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6
Wake Forest's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #81
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #78
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 828.59
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -9.20   Virginia: 2.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -4.6   Virginia: -4.3




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 2.19 #57
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.34 #50
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.66 #57
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #55
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #79
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #70

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 828.59
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74


Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.4

Wake Forest's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 31
Wake Forest 22

Projected Total Points: 55
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Wake Forest30Virginia31VirginiaVirginia -1.5Wake Forest55.5Over
202109/24Virginia17Wake Forest37Wake ForestVirginia -3.5Wake Forest71.0Under
202010/17Wake Forest40Virginia23Wake ForestWake Forest -2.5Wake Forest57.5Over
201611/05Wake Forest27Virginia20Wake ForestWake Forest -2.5Wake Forest45.0Over
201210/20Virginia10Wake Forest16Wake Forest
200811/08Wake Forest28Virginia17Wake Forest
200711/03Virginia17Wake Forest16Virginia
200309/27Virginia27Wake Forest24Virginia
200209/28Wake Forest34Virginia38Virginia
200111/03Virginia30Wake Forest34Wake Forest
200009/29Wake Forest10Virginia27Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia503 Overs
Wake Forest641 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 63 - 12 - 11 - 0
Road Teams6 - 51 - 30 - 11 - 2

(#91) Wake Forest Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -9.20 #91
Offense Rating: 10.88 #88
Defense Rating: 20.08 #97
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #78
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #87
Talent Rating: 750.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #61
Expected Record: 4.4 - 7.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.12 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 53%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Wake Forest Notes
(5/15) 50% of DL exp is from G5 portals.
(5/15) Can L Webb (UTSA) be a lockdown CB?
(3/22) Added 16 players that started LY via portal
(3/22) QBs likely Ashford (SC), #2 Purdie (Char)
(3/22) Def awful LY. Lots of portals Looks rough
(3/19) RBs top 2 back, Claiborne 1K good baller
(3/19) WRs rebuild. 2 Portal adds (Wazzu) help
(3/19) OL complete rebuild. 6 portals, 4 from Wazzu
(3/19) New OC Ezell only 1 yr exp (LY @ S Al)
(3/19) New DC Hazelton was good until MSU/Tucker
Wake Forest     Ratings Matchup     Virginia
Power #91
#57
Off #88
#50
Def #97
#57
Talent #60
#29
SP+ #81
#79
SP+ Off #78
#90
SP+ Def #87
#70

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Wake Forest last year (31-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WAKE | UVA
Depth Chart: WAKE | UVA
Rosters: WAKE | UVA
(#57) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.19 #57
Offense Rating: 16.34 #50
Defense Rating: 12.66 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #70
Talent Rating: 856.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #55
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Virginia Notes
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
(4/30) RBs Brown can play, Taylor (NC Cen) good add


  
Wake Forest's OC Rob Ezell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Deshawn Purdie (Tr)10020050%18021069.0
Robby Ashford (Tr)233272%3242010.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2281048114.660
Tate Carney8233564.118
Robby Ashford (Tr)4122725.538
EJ Reid1303.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Carlos Hernandez (Tr)31397512.842
Demond Claiborne23254211.044
Micah Mays Jr.16218213.641
Sterling Berkhalter (Tr)11191117.461

View Wake Forest's Full Roster
Wake Forest's DC Scottie Hazelton
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Hazen786130
Davaughn Patterson744003
Quincy Bryant483020
Langston Hardy (Tr)447430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)4110682
Langston Hardy (Tr)447430
Zach Lohavichan123200
Dylan Hazen786130
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davaughn Patterson744003
Lardarius Webb Jr. (Tr)402003
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)4110682

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)32250963%377431127.4
Suderian Harrison11100%270027.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Harrison Waylee (Tr)6332315.136
Chandler Morris (Tr)6024244.049
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Ross37443312.043
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)23365215.953
Trell Harris15221214.745
Jayden Thomas (Tr)1816729.323

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Da'Marcus Crosby (Tr)812003
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac (Tr)4615815
Kamren Robinson646521
James Jackson455220
Mitchell Melton (Tr)124210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermarian Jackson551106
Fisher Camac (Tr)4615815
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)140005