Wake Forest at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wake Forest logo Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, November 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Scott Stadium - Charlottesville, VA  (ACC)

 
Demon Deacons (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 18 (25 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.1 - 5.9 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
WAKE 2nd straight Road Game
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Virginia -9   (SP+ UVA -6)

Projected Score: WAKE: 22 - UVA: 31 (53)
UVA Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
WAKE Travel: 163 miles
Cavaliers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (52 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
 
Wake Forest's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Wake Forest vs Kennesaw State-17.551.5W 10 - 9UN
Sat 9/6 Wake Forest vs Western Carolina-17.560.5W 42 - 10UY
Thu 9/11 Wake Forest vs NC State+7.552.5L 24 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech+7.5
Sat 10/4 Wake Forest at Virginia Tech-4.5
Sat 10/11 Wake Forest at Oregon State-2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Wake Forest vs SMU+6.5
Sat 11/1 Wake Forest at Florida State+20
Sat 11/8 Wake Forest at Virginia+9
Sat 11/15 Wake Forest vs North Carolina-3
Sat 11/22 Wake Forest vs Delaware-13.5
Sat 11/29 Wake Forest at Duke+5.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+3.053.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-30.554.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-15.549.5
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+8.5
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-19
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina-4.5
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California+2.5
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-9
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-16

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE#81 (.16)37% (112)25.338% (107)2.36 (118)15437% (107)2463 (116)#30 (.01)33% (20)17.733% (22)33% (34)2.94 (49)59.71.70.7
UVA#10 (.47)51% (26)44.756% (17)3.69 (17)27147% (45)2894.24 (54)#75 (.14)37% (51)19.337% (52)37% (48)4.45 (104)350.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE#104 (.13)42% (81)43% (79)3 (79)13141% (75)2403.2 (121)#118 (.27)51% (134)48% (110)53% (133)4.12 (99)45.91.81.4
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Offense325.325.337.1%31.7184001542464.648%51%38%37%16%.16
UVA Defense319.311.536.7%4.451 - - - - - 55%45%37%37%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Defense317.717.732.7%2.940.7 - - - - - 48%52%33%33%21%.01
UVA Offense344.751.551.1%4.240.7265602712896.549%50%56%47%11%.47

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wake Forest326:5917.738%40%6.359.71.70.79.32.7129.7
Virginia334:3125.758%44%5350.7141.3133.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense348% (85)38% (107)33.31544.67 (38).21 (44)2.36 (118)67% (86)11% (100)1.51 (7)
UVA Defense355% (106)37% (52) - - - - .1 (91)2.71 (63)50% (19)8% (99)1.16 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense348% (55)33% (22) - - - - -.06 (33)2.44 (39)62% (39)14% (21)1 (81)
UVA Offense349% (77)56% (17)422716.512 (3).55 (2)3.69 (17)86% (22)6% (21)1.31 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense351% (53)37% (107)1929.7246.38.3132 (102)3 (92).15 (100)1.6 (53)32% (82)15% (133)-.04 (127)5% (72)3.1 (2)
UVA Defense345% (34)37% (48) - - - - - - 1 (87).19 (62)1.5 (51)33% (68)19% (24).08 (30)9% (18)1.6 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense352% (83)33% (34) - - - - - - 1 (87).09 (36)1.6 (87)40% (6)28% (61).11 (34)7% (51)1.8 (47)
UVA Offense350% (62)47% (45)2538289.37.611.64 (72)2 (60).45 (34)1.5 (68)30% (62)46% (11).63 (25)6% (79)1.6 (117)

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 6.61 #65
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: 2.25 #36
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Wake Forest's 2025 Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9
Wake Forest's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #86
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #68

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: 6.61   Virginia: 11.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: -1.8   Virginia: 3.8




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.3
Defense: 17.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.7

Wake Forest's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 31
Wake Forest 22


Total Points: 53

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.5
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.5

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Wake Forest30Virginia31VirginiaVirginia -1.5Wake Forest55.5Over
202109/24Virginia17Wake Forest37Wake ForestVirginia -3.5Wake Forest71.0Under
202010/17Wake Forest40Virginia23Wake ForestWake Forest -2.5Wake Forest57.5Over
201611/05Wake Forest27Virginia20Wake ForestWake Forest -2.5Wake Forest45.0Over
201210/20Virginia10Wake Forest16Wake Forest
200811/08Wake Forest28Virginia17Wake Forest
200711/03Virginia17Wake Forest16Virginia
200309/27Virginia27Wake Forest24Virginia
200209/28Wake Forest34Virginia38Virginia
200111/03Virginia30Wake Forest34Wake Forest
200009/29Wake Forest10Virginia27Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia503 Overs
Wake Forest641 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 63 - 12 - 11 - 0
Road Teams6 - 51 - 30 - 11 - 2

(#65) Wake Forest Info
Power Rating: 6.61 #65
Offense Rating: 8.86 #85
Defense Rating: 2.25 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.8 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #86
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #68
Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 6.1 - 5.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 33%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.94 PPO
Great Run Def Success 33%
Good Pass Def Success 33%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wake Forest has lost 6 straight
Wake Forest has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Wake Forest Notes
(9/11) LBs are small, DL has to run fit well or busted
(9/11) Ashford 4 passes for 164, 32 others for 88 yds
(9/5) Def a bottom P5, Kenn St moved the ball
(8/30) Ashford decent #'s vs Kenn., but not an FBS QB
(8/24) QB1 Robby Ashford won starting job in camp
(7/31) HC Dickert good hire, but year 0, real bad
(7/30) OL 0/5 back. 5 portal starters added, all G5
(5/15) 89% of OL exp is from G5 portals
(5/15) 50% of DL exp is from G5 portals.
(5/15) Can L Webb (UTSA) be a lockdown CB?

Wake Forest Highlights
Wake Forest offense is explosive (#9)
Wake Forest has a really good defense (#20)
Wake Forest has a good run defense (#22)
Wake Forest Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#7)
Wake Forest Front 7 is disruptive (#21)

Wake Forest Deficiencies
Wake Forest has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Wake Forest offense is really bad (#112)
Wake Forest Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#103)
Wake Forest offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Wake Forest run game is really bad (#107)
Wake Forest pass game is really bad (#107)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUVAWAKE
OverallOver#22#61
OffenseOff#24#91
DefenseDef#37#46
Special TeamsST#6#42
PassingPass#25#68
RushingRush#21#99
Run BlockRBLK#40#103
Pass BlockPBLK#56#40
Route RunningWR Rt#29#69
TacklingTkl#82#68
Run DefenseR Def#56#72
Pass Rush DefPRush#28#13
Coverage DefCov#34#43

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Wake Forest last year (31-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WAKE | UVA
Depth Chart: WAKE | UVA
Rosters: WAKE | UVA
(#42) Virginia Info
Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Virginia has lost 6 straight
Virginia has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl

Virginia Highlights
Virginia is Undefeated at Home
Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)

Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)

Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)


  
Wake Forest's OC Rob Ezell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Robby Ashford (Tr)548564%697138.2
Deshawn Purdie (Tr)3475%421010.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne2524749.985
Robby Ashford (Tr)3412933.841
Ty Clark III185603.17
JaMario Clements (Tr)123002.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Barnes (Tr)12248020.770
Sterling Berkhalter (Tr)8149118.651
Eni Falayi (Tr)594018.842
Micah Mays Jr.459014.826

View Wake Forest's Full Roster
Wake Forest's DC Scottie Hazelton
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Andersen232002
Dylan Hazen194010
Aiden Hall172000
Davaughn Patterson161014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Langston Hardy (Tr)155330
Jayden Loving (Tr)105210
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)52110
Mateen Ibirogba72110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davaughn Patterson161014
Nick Andersen232002
Zach Lohavichan63012

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)628970%670417.5
Daniel Kaelin (Tr)112348%190018.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
J'mari Taylor (Tr)3321366.566
Noah Vaughn2217007.754
Harrison Waylee (Tr)1716949.997
Chandler Morris (Tr)9113012.642
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trell Harris14176012.648
Cameron Ross12164113.746
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)11123111.218
Kameron Courtney794013.430

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Danley171010
James Jackson140010
Devin Neal (Tr)112111
Mitchell Melton (Tr)103100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Koudelka21110
Maddox Marcellus (Tr)81101
Devin Neal (Tr)112111
Mitchell Melton (Tr)103100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donavon Platt (Tr)60003
McKale Boley10011
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)40001