Pittsburgh at Virginia - 2022 Matchup Preview

Pittsburgh Panthers at Virginia Cavaliers

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Pittsburgh -5.5 (41.5)
Pittsburgh 37 - Virginia: 7 (ACC)

Panthers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (53 - 37)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (33 - 25 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UVA 3rd straight Home Game
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
PITT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ PITT -17.5)
Projected Score: PITT: 26 - UVA: 29 (55)
PITT Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
PITT Travel: 185 miles

Cavaliers (3 - 7) (4 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PITT Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Pittsburgh's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Pittsburgh vs West Virginia	-7.5	50.0	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Pittsburgh vs Tennessee	+6.0	63.0	L 27 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/17	Pittsburgh at Western Michigan	-10.0	46.0	W 34 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Pittsburgh vs Rhode Island	-32.5	55.0	W 45 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/1	Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech	-21.5	47.0	L 21 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/8	Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech	-14.5	42.0	W 45 - 29	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Pittsburgh at Louisville	+1.5	55.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/29	Pittsburgh at North Carolina	+2.5	65.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/5	Pittsburgh vs Syracuse	-3.5	47.5	W 19 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Pittsburgh at Virginia	-5.5	41.5	W 37 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Pittsburgh vs Duke	-6.5	49.0	W 28 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/26	Pittsburgh at Miami	-5.5	43.0	W 42 - 16	O	Y
Fri 12/30	Pittsburgh vs UCLA	+9.0	55.0	W 37 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule

Virginia's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Virginia vs Richmond	-22.5	62.0	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/10	Virginia at Illinois	+4.0	55.0	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/17	Virginia vs Old Dominion	-8.0	52.5	W 16 - 14	U	N
Fri 9/23	Virginia at Syracuse	+9.5	53.5	L 20 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Virginia at Duke	+2.0	55.0	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/8	Virginia vs Louisville	-1.5	47.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/20	Virginia at Georgia Tech	+3.5	48.0	W 16 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Virginia vs Miami	+3.0	48.5	L 12 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Virginia vs North Carolina	+7.0	61.5	L 28 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Virginia vs Pittsburgh	+5.5	41.5	L 7 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/19	Virginia vs Coastal Carolina	-2.0	44.5
Sat 11/26	Virginia at Virginia Tech	+1.5	40.0

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT	.3	48%	33.7	48%	3.17	151	48%	337	4.59	.09	40%	24.8	38%	42%	3.72	63.9	1.1	1.9
UVA	.32	50%	30.8	51%	3.49	124	50%	392	4.33	.34	47%	19.6	49%	46%	3.8	56.8	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PITT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Offense	14	33.7	33	47.6%	4.59	1.1	26	488	151	337	4	44%	56%	48%	48%	15%	.3
UVA Defense	12	19.6	17.7	47%	3.8	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	49%	46%	14%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PITT Defense	14	24.8	24.6	39.9%	3.72	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	38%	42%	20%	.09
UVA Offense	12	30.8	36.4	50.3%	4.33	1.5	27	516	124	392	4.4	32%	67%	51%	50%	18%	.32

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Pittsburgh	14	30:55	25.9	44%	68%	6.7	63.9	1.1	1.9	8.1	3.9	5	30.1
Virginia	12	30:42	26.5	46%	40%	6.4	56.8	1.5	1.2	4.5	1.6	0	25.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Offense	14	44%	48%	37.5	150.5	4	26	.19	3.17	73%	9%	0.88
UVA Defense	12	53%	49%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.57	78%	8%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PITT Defense	14	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.58	56%	14%	0.89
UVA Offense	12	32%	51%	28.3	123.6	4.4	21	.26	3.49	83%	10%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Offense	14	56%	48%	26.2	38.9	337.4	8.7	12.9	44	8	.4	1.6	29%	32%	.42	5%	2.1
UVA Defense	12	46%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.44	1.6	29%	35%	.57	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PITT Defense	14	58%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.17	1.5	34%	29%	.26	6%	2.1
UVA Offense	12	67%	50%	29.3	46.2	392.2	8.5	13.4	31	12	.38	1.5	30%	41%	.59	8%	2

Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Pittsburgh's 2022 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.6 #40
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8 #43
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: Virginia: -2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Pittsburgh: 8.6 Virginia: -9.0

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -2 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2022 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.0 #96
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #117
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.6

Pittsburgh's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia 29
Pittsburgh 26

Projected Total Points: 55

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Pittsburgh	19	Virginia	24	Pittsburgh -7.5	Virginia	56.5	Under
2022	11/12	Virginia	7	Pittsburgh	37	Pittsburgh -5.5	Pittsburgh	41.5	Over
2021	11/20	Pittsburgh	48	Virginia	38	Pittsburgh -12.5	Virginia	69.0	Over
2019	08/31	Pittsburgh	14	Virginia	30	Virginia -2.5	Virginia	46.5	Under
2018	11/02	Virginia	13	Pittsburgh	23	Virginia -7	Pittsburgh	45.5	Under
2017	10/28	Pittsburgh	31	Virginia	14	Pittsburgh -1	Pittsburgh	49.0	Under
2016	10/15	Virginia	31	Pittsburgh	45	Pittsburgh -5	Pittsburgh	60.5	Over
2015	10/10	Pittsburgh	26	Virginia	19	Pittsburgh -10	Virginia	45.0	Push
2014	10/04	Virginia	24	Pittsburgh	19	Virginia -4	Virginia	0
2013	09/28	Pittsburgh	14	Virginia	3	Pittsburgh -6.5	Pittsburgh	0
2007	09/29	Virginia	44	Pittsburgh	14
2006	09/02	Pittsburgh	38	Virginia	13
2003	12/27	Virginia	23	Pittsburgh	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	5	5	3 Overs
Pittsburgh	8	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 5	3 - 7	3 - 4	0 - 3
Road Teams	5 - 8	7 - 3	3 - 0	4 - 3

(#) PITT at (#) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PITT	UVA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#40	#96
Perf GradeGrade	#12	#124
OffenseOff	#43	#127
DefenseDef	#10	#70
Spec TeamsST	#68	#120
TalentTal	#45	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

Pittsburgh on Offense


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UVA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#70
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Pittsburgh Run Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	#16	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#19

Pittsburgh Pass Game


CategoryCat	PITT Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	#60	#18
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#63	#109
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	PITT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#10
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	PITT Def
Run GameRun	#124	#17
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	PITT Def
Pass GamePass	#110	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#132	#22
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Pittsburgh 5.5 (41.5)
Pittsburgh won at Virginia this year (37-7)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Pittsburgh in 2024 (24-19)

PITT's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD