Virginia at California Game Matchup
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers at California Golden BearsCalifornia logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
California Memorial Stadium - Berkeley, CA  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#70)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
UVA 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: California -0.5   (SP+ CAL -4)

Projected Score: UVA: 26 - CAL: 26 (50)
CAL Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
UVA Travel: 2360 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Golden Bears (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 25 - 22 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#96)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
 
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.50.0
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+8.5
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-23
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-8
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+5.5
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+15
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-12.5
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina+4.5
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California+0.5
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-9
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+3.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
California's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 California at Oregon State+1.50.0
Sat 9/6 California vs Texas Southern-21.5
Sat 9/13 California vs Minnesota+9.5
Sat 9/20 California at San Diego State-7.5
Sat 9/27 California at Boston College+7
Sat 10/4 California vs Duke+5.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 California vs North Carolina+1.5
Fri 10/24 California at Virginia Tech+10.5
Sat 11/1 California vs Virginia-0.5
Sat 11/8 California at Louisville+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 California at Stanford-1
Sat 11/29 California vs SMU+13.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for California's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)22.743% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)28.844% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)25.140% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)22.341% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1222.726.740%3.471.6193621332293.748%52%43%37%18%.13
CAL Defense1322.32140.4%3.231.7 - - - - - 47%53%41%40%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1228.832.242.6%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%50%44%42%15%.27
CAL Offense1325.130.941.5%3.070.8213811222593.641%58%40%43%18%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1229:5319.334%52%5.245.31.61.34.81.8029.5
California1330:3620.737%44%7.459.70.81.75.42.5229.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1248% (84)43% (77)35.9132.83.714 (98).16 (50)3.29 (25)73% (77)11% (96)0.91 (92)
CAL Defense1347% (28)41% (53) - - - - .08 (44)2.99 (65)86% (129)10% (72)0.91 (37)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1249% (53)44% (77) - - - - .17 (91)3.29 (112)77% (89)9% (104)0.99 (69)
CAL Offense1341% (121)40% (104)33.7122.23.617 (84).07 (99)2.68 (120)69% (98)13% (126)1.1 (22)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1252% (52)37% (113)20.533.42296.911.216 (87)14 (115).11 (122)1.5 (86)33% (101)26% (115).17 (120)7% (100)1.7 (129)
CAL Defense1353% (103)40% (67) - - - - - - 17 (5).21 (52)1.7 (92)33% (44)30% (59).39 (102)8% (12)2.2 (111)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1250% (83)42% (77) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (121)1.6 (84)32% (67)32% (84).43 (110)6% (67)2.1 (82)
CAL Offense1358% (14)43% (57)23.235.7258.67.311.116 (87)7 (26).25 (72)1.4 (126)36% (128)30% (85).36 (58)5% (23)2.2 (23)

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 3.68 #58
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.34 #51
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.66 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #79
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #70

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 3.68   California: 0.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -4.3   California: -0.3




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 0.28 #79
California's Offense Rating: 9.97 #93
California's Defense Rating: 14.11 #64
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
California's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #65
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.31


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 26
Virginia 26


Projected Total Points: 50
California Scoring
Offense: 25.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

California's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California000 Overs
Virginia000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#58) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.68 #58
Offense Rating: 16.34 #51
Defense Rating: 12.66 #58
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #70
Talent Rating: 856.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Virginia Notes
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
(4/30) RBs Brown can play, Taylor (NC Cen) good add
(3/19) Both OC/DC hires lack inspiration
(3/19) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it
Virginia     Ratings Matchup     California
Power #58
#79
Off #51
#93
Def #58
#64
Talent #29
#57
SP+ #79
#65
SP+ Off #90
#79
SP+ Def #70
#51

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UVA | CAL
Depth Chart: UVA | CAL
Rosters: UVA | CAL
(#79) California Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 0.28 #79
Offense Rating: 9.97 #93
Defense Rating: 14.11 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.3 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #51
Talent Rating: 754.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 41%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.07 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Great in Scoring Position 3.23 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 41%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


California Notes
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
(4/4) Donors want Wilcox reporting to new GM Rivera
(3/21) QB Brown (OSU), Fr Sagapolutele huge add
(3/21) WR has pieces, talent. 5 portals past 2 yrs
(3/21) OL a huge issue LY. 2/5 back, 5 portal adds
(3/21) Def bad LY, replacing a lot. 6 portal adds
(3/21) DC Sirmon left for NFL.


  
Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)32250963%377431127.4
Suderian Harrison11100%270027.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Isaiah Augustave8538444.537
Harrison Waylee (Tr)6332315.136
Chandler Morris (Tr)6024244.049
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Ross37443312.043
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)23365215.953
Trell Harris15221214.745
Jayden Thomas (Tr)1816729.323

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Da'Marcus Crosby (Tr)812003
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac (Tr)4615815
Kamren Robinson646521
Mitchell Melton (Tr)124210
James Jackson455220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermarian Jackson551106
Fisher Camac (Tr)4615815
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)140005

California's OC Bryan Harsin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
CJ Harris193161%184015.9
Devin Brown (Tr)112055%114105.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brandon High9349585.366
Kendrick Raphael (Tr)7842535.440
LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr)7430354.135
Jacob De Jesus (Tr)1810105.643
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob De Jesus (Tr)36512314.243
Trond Grizzell27401114.951
Landon Morris (Tr)16251115.758
Dazmin James (Tr)3137145.794

View California's Full Roster
California's DC Vacant
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Buom Jock (Tr)973023
Harrison Taggart (Tr)693143
Cade Uluave683152
T.J. Bush (Tr)5810614
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
T.J. Bush (Tr)5810614
Ryan McCulloch185381
Nathan Burrell295311
Serigne Tounkara52220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brent Austin (Tr)4800010
T.J. Bush (Tr)5810614
Hezekiah Masses (Tr)381004