Virginia Cavaliers at California Golden Bears
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
California Memorial Stadium - Berkeley, CA (ACC)
Cavaliers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
UVA 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: California -2.5 (SP+ CAL -3)
Projected Score: UVA: 26 - CAL: 28 (54)
CAL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 2360 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Our Line: California -2.5 (SP+ CAL -3)
Projected Score: UVA: 26 - CAL: 28 (54)
CAL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 2360 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Golden Bears (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (31 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Coach Justin Wilcox (42 - 49)
Avg Score : 32 - 11 (31 - 9 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 3.5 (#35)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
| Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Virginia vs Coastal Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Virginia at NC State | +3.0 | 53.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -30.5 | 54.5 | W 55 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Virginia vs Stanford | -15.5 | 49.5 | ||||
| Fri 9/26 | Virginia vs Florida State | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Virginia at Louisville | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Virginia vs Washington State | -19 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Virginia at North Carolina | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Virginia at California | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Virginia vs Wake Forest | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Virginia at Duke | -1 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | -16 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| California's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | California at Oregon State | +3.0 | 51.5 | W 34 - 15 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | California vs Texas Southern | -44.5 | 54.5 | W 35 - 3 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | California vs Minnesota | +3.0 | 41.5 | W 27 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | California at San Diego State | -12.5 | 48.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | California at Boston College | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | California vs Duke | -5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | California vs North Carolina | -9 | |||||
| Fri 10/24 | California at Virginia Tech | -11 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | California vs Virginia | -2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | California at Louisville | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/22 | California at Stanford | -7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | California vs SMU | +0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for California's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #10 (.47) | 51% (26) | 44.7 | 56% (17) | 3.69 (17) | 271 | 47% (45) | 289 | 4.24 (54) | #75 (.14) | 37% (51) | 19.3 | 37% (52) | 37% (48) | 4.45 (104) | 35 | 0.7 | 1 |
| CAL | #85 (.16) | 42% (80) | 32 | 40% (93) | 3.05 (63) | 122 | 44% (68) | 266 | 3.58 (90) | #22 (-.02) | 35% (32) | 10.7 | 37% (54) | 34% (38) | 2.71 (41) | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | ||
| CAL | #79 (.17) | 42% (88) | 40% (104) | 2.68 (120) | 122 | 43% (57) | 259 | 3.07 (125) | #48 (.14) | 40% (52) | 41% (53) | 40% (67) | 3.23 (20) | 59.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 3 | 44.7 | 31 | 51.1% | 4.24 | 0.7 | 26 | 560 | 271 | 289 | 6.5 | 49% | 50% | 56% | 47% | 11% | .47 |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 10.7 | 8.5 | 34.8% | 2.71 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 42% | 57% | 37% | 34% | 19% | -.02 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 3 | 19.3 | 35 | 36.7% | 4.45 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 37% | 37% | 17% | .14 |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 32 | 31 | 42.2% | 3.58 | 0.7 | 19 | 388 | 122 | 266 | 4.1 | 42% | 57% | 40% | 44% | 13% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 3 | 34:31 | 25.7 | 58% | 44% | 5 | 35 | 0.7 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 | 1 | 33.4 |
| California | 3 | 29:09 | 18.7 | 37% | 50% | 7 | 59.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 1.7 | 0 | 33.2 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 3 | 49% (77) | 56% (17) | 42 | 271 | 6.5 | 12 (3) | .55 (2) | 3.69 (17) | 86% (22) | 6% (21) | 1.31 (17) |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 42% (18) | 37% (54) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (25) | 2.56 (48) | 67% (53) | 10% (61) | 0.76 (27) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 3 | 55% (106) | 37% (52) | - | - | - | - | .1 (91) | 2.71 (63) | 50% (19) | 8% (99) | 1.16 (108) |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 42% (117) | 40% (93) | 29.7 | 122 | 4.1 | 4 (79) | .13 (73) | 3.05 (63) | 58% (109) | 8% (58) | 1.14 (36) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 3 | 50% (62) | 47% (45) | 25 | 38 | 289.3 | 7.6 | 11.6 | 4 (72) | 2 (60) | .45 (34) | 1.5 (68) | 30% (62) | 46% (11) | .63 (25) | 6% (79) | 1.6 (117) |
| CAL Defense | 3 | 57% (117) | 34% (38) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .04 (25) | 1.3 (27) | 37% (31) | 16% (15) | -.09 (12) | 9% (17) | 2 (67) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 3 | 45% (34) | 37% (48) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .19 (62) | 1.5 (51) | 33% (68) | 19% (24) | .08 (30) | 9% (18) | 1.6 (24) |
| CAL Offense | 3 | 57% (22) | 44% (68) | 24 | 36 | 266.3 | 7.4 | 11.1 | 7 (23) | 1 (23) | .18 (96) | 1.4 (97) | 28% (41) | 27% (99) | .24 (91) | 5% (71) | 2.2 (39) |
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Virginia's Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 13.69 California: 11.02
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 3.8 California: 6.8
Virginia: 13.69 California: 11.02
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 3.8 California: 6.8
California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 11.02 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
California's Power Rating: 11.02 #53
California's Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
California's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
California's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
California's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
California 28
Virginia 26
Total Points: 54
California 28
Virginia 26
Total Points: 54
California Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 31
Defense: 10.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.5
California's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| California | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Virginia | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#42) Virginia Info
Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has lost 5 straight
Virginia has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
Virginia Highlights
Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)
Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has lost 5 straight
Virginia has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
Virginia Highlights
Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | CAL | UVA |
| OverallOver | #33 | #22 |
| OffenseOff | #51 | #24 |
| DefenseDef | #22 | #37 |
| Special TeamsST | #36 | #6 |
| PassingPass | #11 | #25 |
| RushingRush | #84 | #21 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #55 | #40 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #39 | #56 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #72 | #29 |
| TacklingTkl | #88 | #82 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #82 | #56 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #39 | #28 |
| Coverage DefCov | #4 | #34 |
(#53) California Info
Power Rating: 11.02 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
California has lost 5 straight
California has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California is Undefeated at Home
California is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
Power Rating: 11.02 #53
Offense Rating: 10.28 #81
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #64
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5 #35
Talent Rating: 794.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 8.5 - 3.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 35%
Good in Scoring Position 2.71 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Good Pass Def Success 34%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
California has lost 5 straight
California has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
California Notes
(8/31) QB Sagapolutele real deal, great in opener
(8/31) Def much improved? Great Run Def vs Oreg St
(8/18) QB1 Fr. Sagapolutele beat out Brown (OSU)
(6/4) RBs High (UTSA), Johnson (SMU), Raphel (NC St)
(6/4) OL bad LY. 2/5 back + 6 exp'd portal adds
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 64% from portals
(4/18) Losses 4/5 QB, 11/19 WR, 10/13 RB, 4/5 OL
(4/17) RB room decimated. 5 entered portal post spring
(4/17) TE Endries gone via portal post spring, big loss
(4/17) New OC Harsin a bad start, lead to portal mess
California Highlights
California in Undefeated
California is Undefeated at Home
California is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
California defense does not give up big plays (#23)
California Secondary is very good (#17)
California has a great TO Margin (#28)
California defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
California Deficiencies
California Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 62 | 89 | 70% | 670 | 4 | 1 | 7.5 |
| Daniel Kaelin (Tr) | 11 | 23 | 48% | 190 | 0 | 1 | 8.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 33 | 213 | 6 | 6.5 | 66 |
| Noah Vaughn | 22 | 170 | 0 | 7.7 | 54 |
| Harrison Waylee (Tr) | 17 | 169 | 4 | 9.9 | 97 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 9 | 113 | 0 | 12.6 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trell Harris | 14 | 176 | 0 | 12.6 | 48 |
| Cameron Ross | 12 | 164 | 1 | 13.7 | 46 |
| Jahmal Edrine (Tr) | 11 | 123 | 1 | 11.2 | 18 |
| Kameron Courtney | 7 | 94 | 0 | 13.4 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Danley | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| James Jackson | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Koudelka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Maddox Marcellus (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donavon Platt (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| McKale Boley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Emmanuel Karnley (Tr) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 70 | 105 | 67% | 772 | 6 | 1 | 7.4 |
| Devin Brown (Tr) | 2 | 2 | 100% | 27 | 1 | 0 | 13.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendrick Raphael (Tr) | 40 | 210 | 1 | 5.3 | 33 |
| Brandon High | 18 | 80 | 1 | 4.4 | 22 |
| LJ Johnson Jr. (Tr) | 11 | 38 | 1 | 3.5 | 12 |
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Tr) | 12 | 22 | 1 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trond Grizzell | 11 | 175 | 1 | 15.9 | 35 |
| Jacob De Jesus (Tr) | 16 | 141 | 1 | 8.8 | 27 |
| Mark Hamper (Tr) | 9 | 139 | 0 | 15.4 | 35 |
| Mason Mini (Tr) | 13 | 99 | 2 | 7.6 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ferrelli | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cade Uluave | 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Bush (Tr) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Ryan McCulloch | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Aaron Hampton | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Wayne (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hezekiah Masses (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Brent Austin (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Isaiah Crosby | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |