Virginia Cavaliers at Louisville Cardinals
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Papa John's Cardinal Stadium - Louisville, KY (ACC)
Cavaliers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
UVA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -10.5 (SP+ LOU -10)
Projected Score: UVA: 25 - LOU: 35 (60)
LOU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
UVA Travel: 394 miles
Our Line: Louisville -10.5 (SP+ LOU -10)
Projected Score: UVA: 25 - LOU: 35 (60)
LOU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
UVA Travel: 394 miles
Cardinals (2 - 0) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#20)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
| Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Virginia vs Coastal Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Virginia at NC State | +3.0 | 53.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -30.5 | 54.5 | W 55 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Virginia vs Stanford | -15.5 | 49.5 | ||||
| Fri 9/26 | Virginia vs Florida State | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Virginia at Louisville | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Virginia vs Washington State | -19 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Virginia at North Carolina | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Virginia at California | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Virginia vs Wake Forest | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Virginia at Duke | -1 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | -16 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Louisville's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Louisville vs James Madison | -15.0 | 57.0 | W 28 - 14 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Louisville vs Bowling Green | -26.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Louisville at Pittsburgh | -3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Louisville vs Virginia | -10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | Louisville at Miami | +12 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Louisville vs Boston College | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Louisville at Virginia Tech | -19 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Louisville vs California | -10.5 | |||||
| Fri 11/14 | Louisville vs Clemson | -3 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Louisville at SMU | -3 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Louisville vs Kentucky | -10 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #10 (.47) | 51% (26) | 44.7 | 56% (17) | 3.69 (17) | 271 | 47% (45) | 289 | 4.24 (54) | #75 (.14) | 37% (51) | 19.3 | 37% (52) | 37% (48) | 4.45 (104) | 35 | 0.7 | 1 |
| LOU | #59 (.22) | 42% (77) | 39.5 | 44% (77) | 2.36 (119) | 171 | 41% (83) | 232 | 4.64 (41) | #6 (-.12) | 32% (17) | 15.5 | 33% (25) | 30% (17) | 3 (50) | 77.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | ||
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 3 | 44.7 | 31 | 51.1% | 4.24 | 0.7 | 26 | 560 | 271 | 289 | 6.5 | 49% | 50% | 56% | 47% | 11% | .47 |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 32% | 3 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% | 44% | 33% | 30% | 16% | -.12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 3 | 19.3 | 35 | 36.7% | 4.45 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 37% | 37% | 17% | .14 |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 39.5 | 39.5 | 42.4% | 4.64 | 2 | 20 | 403 | 171 | 232 | 5.7 | 45% | 55% | 44% | 41% | 17% | .22 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 3 | 34:31 | 25.7 | 58% | 44% | 5 | 35 | 0.7 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 | 1 | 33.4 |
| Louisville | 2 | 26:36 | 20 | 48% | 50% | 8.5 | 77.5 | 2 | 1 | 6.5 | 5 | 1 | 30.7 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 3 | 49% (77) | 56% (17) | 42 | 271 | 6.5 | 12 (3) | .55 (2) | 3.69 (17) | 86% (22) | 6% (21) | 1.31 (17) |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 56% (109) | 33% (25) | - | - | - | - | .04 (60) | 2.79 (70) | 75% (80) | 12% (46) | 0.91 (66) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 3 | 55% (106) | 37% (52) | - | - | - | - | .1 (91) | 2.71 (63) | 50% (19) | 8% (99) | 1.16 (108) |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 45% (99) | 44% (77) | 30 | 171 | 5.7 | 5 (62) | .36 (21) | 2.36 (119) | 50% (124) | 8% (66) | 1.6 (4) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 3 | 50% (62) | 47% (45) | 25 | 38 | 289.3 | 7.6 | 11.6 | 4 (72) | 2 (60) | .45 (34) | 1.5 (68) | 30% (62) | 46% (11) | .63 (25) | 6% (79) | 1.6 (117) |
| LOU Defense | 2 | 44% (33) | 30% (17) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | -.33 (2) | 1.1 (7) | 36% (37) | 26% (43) | -.02 (17) | 5% (94) | 1.4 (6) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 3 | 45% (34) | 37% (48) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .19 (62) | 1.5 (51) | 33% (68) | 19% (24) | .08 (30) | 9% (18) | 1.6 (24) |
| LOU Offense | 2 | 55% (34) | 41% (83) | 19 | 30 | 232 | 7.7 | 12.2 | 3 (90) | 3 (92) | .12 (110) | 1.6 (60) | 25% (24) | 26% (103) | .34 (69) | 8% (129) | 2.2 (35) |
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Virginia's Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 13.69 Louisville: 19.045
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 3.8 Louisville: 13.7
Virginia: 13.69 Louisville: 19.045
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 3.8 Louisville: 13.7
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Louisville's Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Louisville's Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Louisville's Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 35
Virginia 25
Total Points: 60
Louisville 35
Virginia 25
Total Points: 60
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 39.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 15.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.5
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/12 | Virginia | 20 | Louisville | 24 | Louisville | Louisville -7 | Virginia | 54.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/09 | Louisville | 31 | Virginia | 24 | Louisville | Louisville -20.5 | Virginia | 49.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Virginia | 17 | Louisville | 34 | Louisville | Virginia -1.5 | Louisville | 47.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/09 | Louisville | 33 | Virginia | 34 | Virginia | Louisville -2.5 | Virginia | 69.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/14 | Virginia | 31 | Louisville | 17 | Virginia | Virginia -5.5 | Virginia | 64.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Louisville | 28 | Virginia | 21 | Louisville | Virginia -4.5 | Louisville | 51.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 09/22 | Virginia | 27 | Louisville | 3 | Virginia | Virginia -4.5 | Virginia | 51.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/11 | Louisville | 38 | Virginia | 21 | Louisville | Louisville -14 | Louisville | 66.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/29 | Virginia | 25 | Louisville | 32 | Louisville | Louisville -27 | Virginia | 69.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/14 | Louisville | 38 | Virginia | 31 | Louisville | Louisville -8.5 | Virginia | 48.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 09/13 | Virginia | 23 | Louisville | 21 | Virginia | Louisville -10 | Virginia | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 7 | 3 | 3 Overs |
| Virginia | 4 | 8 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 4 | 7 - 4 | 3 - 4 | 4 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 7 | 4 - 7 | 0 - 4 | 4 - 3 |
(#42) Virginia Info
Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has lost 2 straight
Virginia has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
Virginia Highlights
Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)
Power Rating: 13.69 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has lost 2 straight
Virginia has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
Virginia Highlights
Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LOU | UVA |
| OverallOver | #30 | #22 |
| OffenseOff | #41 | #24 |
| DefenseDef | #19 | #37 |
| Special TeamsST | #114 | #6 |
| PassingPass | #16 | #25 |
| RushingRush | #19 | #21 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #98 | #40 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #20 | #56 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #55 | #29 |
| TacklingTkl | #28 | #82 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #39 | #56 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #1 | #28 |
| Coverage DefCov | #74 | #34 |
(#31) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Louisville has lost 2 straight
Louisville has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville is Undefeated at Home
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)
Power Rating: 19.045 #31
Offense Rating: 17.96 #37
Defense Rating: -1.43 #24
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.7 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #45
Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 32%
Avg in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Good Run Def Success 33%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Louisville has lost 2 straight
Louisville has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Louisville Notes
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
(6/9) Stole UK AHC Marrow, best crooter in the state
(6/7) LB unit an ACC best, 4 multi year starters
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 67% from portals
(4/12) QB Moss (USC) starter, good add. B Allen #2
(4/9) RB Brown great, Watson as well. Great future
(4/9) OL 3/5 back. 5 portal OL starters added. Solid
(4/9) Upset masters, beat ND ('23), Clemson ('24)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville in Undefeated
Louisville is Undefeated at Home
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville offense is good on 3rd downs
Louisville Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Louisville has a really good defense (#17)
Louisville defense does not give up big plays (#11)
Louisville has a good run defense (#25)
Louisville has a good pass defense (#17)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville Can Not Run the Ball (#113)
Louisville Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#132)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 62 | 89 | 70% | 670 | 4 | 1 | 7.5 |
| Daniel Kaelin (Tr) | 11 | 23 | 48% | 190 | 0 | 1 | 8.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 33 | 213 | 6 | 6.5 | 66 |
| Noah Vaughn | 22 | 170 | 0 | 7.7 | 54 |
| Harrison Waylee (Tr) | 17 | 169 | 4 | 9.9 | 97 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 9 | 113 | 0 | 12.6 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trell Harris | 14 | 176 | 0 | 12.6 | 48 |
| Cameron Ross | 12 | 164 | 1 | 13.7 | 46 |
| Jahmal Edrine (Tr) | 11 | 123 | 1 | 11.2 | 18 |
| Kameron Courtney | 7 | 94 | 0 | 13.4 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Danley | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| James Jackson | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Koudelka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Maddox Marcellus (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donavon Platt (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| McKale Boley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Emmanuel Karnley (Tr) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Moss (Tr) | 30 | 48 | 63% | 374 | 2 | 2 | 7.8 |
| Brady Allen | 6 | 9 | 67% | 69 | 1 | 1 | 7.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 18 | 230 | 3 | 12.8 | 78 |
| Shaun Boykins | 5 | 40 | 0 | 8.0 | 16 |
| Braxton Jennings | 6 | 27 | 0 | 4.5 | 10 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 10 | 26 | 1 | 2.6 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bell | 9 | 146 | 1 | 16.2 | 64 |
| Caullin Lacy | 6 | 74 | 0 | 12.3 | 32 |
| Kris Hughes | 3 | 50 | 1 | 16.7 | 31 |
| Jaleel Skinner | 3 | 35 | 0 | 11.7 | 19 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Quinn | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Wesley Bailey (Tr) | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| D'Angelo Hutchinson | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 14 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Adonijah Green | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent Carter | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| TJ Quinn | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rene Konga | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Rodney Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antonio Watts | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |