(#24)Virginia Cavaliers at Louisville Cardinals
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Louisville -6.5 (59.5) (-250) Open: -7.5
Virginia 30 - Louisville: 27 (ACC)
Cavaliers (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
UVA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -0.5 (SP+ UVA -0.5)
Projected Score: UVA: 29 - LOU: 29 (58)
LOU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UVA Travel: 394 miles
Our Line: Louisville -0.5 (SP+ UVA -0.5)
Projected Score: UVA: 29 - LOU: 29 (58)
LOU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
UVA Travel: 394 miles
Cardinals (9 - 4) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jeff Brohm (18 - 8)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5 (#42)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 2)
| Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Virginia vs Coastal Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Virginia at NC State | +3.0 | 53.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -30.5 | 54.5 | W 55 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Virginia vs Stanford | -16.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/26 | Virginia vs Florida State | +7.0 | 59.5 | W 46 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Virginia at Louisville | +6.5 | 59.5 | W 30 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Virginia vs Washington State | -16.5 | 56.5 | W 22 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Virginia at North Carolina | -12.5 | 51.5 | W 17 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Virginia at California | -6.5 | 52.5 | W 31 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Virginia vs Wake Forest | -7.0 | 48.5 | L 9 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Virginia at Duke | +5.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | -9.5 | 53.5 | W 27 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/6 | Virginia vs Duke | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/27 | Virginia vs Missouri | +4.0 | 43.5 | W 13 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Louisville's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 51 - 17 | O | N | |
| Fri 9/5 | Louisville vs James Madison | -15.0 | 57.0 | W 28 - 14 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Louisville vs Bowling Green | -26.5 | 50.5 | W 40 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Louisville at Pittsburgh | -3.0 | 53.5 | W 34 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Louisville vs Virginia | -6.5 | 59.5 | L 27 - 30 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | Louisville at Miami | +10.5 | 49.5 | W 24 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Louisville vs Boston College | -25.5 | 54.5 | W 38 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Louisville at Virginia Tech | -10.5 | 52.5 | W 28 - 16 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Louisville vs California | -18.5 | 48.5 | L 26 - 29 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/14 | Louisville vs Clemson | -1.5 | 50.5 | L 19 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Louisville at SMU | +4.0 | 49.5 | L 6 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Louisville vs Kentucky | -1.0 | 45.5 | W 41 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/23 | Louisville vs Toledo | -12.5 | 44.5 | W 27 - 22 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 7, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #64 (.18) | 42% (82) | 30.8 | 44% (66) | 3.04 (51) | 172 | 41% (79) | 225 | 3.49 (91) | #18 (.06) | 37% (21) | 19.6 | 39% (30) | 37% (25) | 3.01 (19) | 42 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| LOU | #82 (.16) | 45% (45) | 29.9 | 50% (13) | 2.84 (85) | 150 | 41% (75) | 209 | 3.54 (84) | #15 (.05) | 37% (16) | 21.2 | 38% (18) | 37% (20) | 3.38 (45) | 59.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | ||
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 30.8 | 28.6 | 41.6% | 3.49 | 0.9 | 20 | 397 | 172 | 225 | 4.8 | 50% | 49% | 44% | 41% | 14% | .18 |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 21.2 | 18.9 | 36.7% | 3.38 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | - | 46% | 53% | 38% | 37% | 17% | .05 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 19.6 | 23.2 | 37.4% | 3.01 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 47% | 39% | 37% | 18% | .06 |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 29.9 | 33.8 | 44.6% | 3.54 | 1.2 | 18 | 359 | 150 | 209 | 5.1 | 44% | 53% | 50% | 41% | 17% | .16 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 14 | 29:31 | 20.3 | 49% | 46% | 5 | 42 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 30.7 |
| Louisville | 13 | 28:01 | 17.8 | 37% | 55% | 6.5 | 59.5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 2 | 32.4 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 50% (65) | 44% (66) | 36 | 172.1 | 4.8 | 28 (11) | .19 (34) | 3.04 (51) | 81% (13) | 8% (25) | 1.06 (33) |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 46% (17) | 38% (18) | - | - | - | - | .07 (52) | 2.74 (42) | 75% (99) | 11% (39) | 0.95 (66) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 51% (78) | 39% (30) | - | - | - | - | .04 (31) | 2.75 (43) | 71% (69) | 9% (75) | 0.92 (47) |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 44% (112) | 50% (13) | 29.5 | 150.2 | 5.1 | 23 (70) | .23 (17) | 2.84 (85) | 65% (111) | 10% (98) | 1.08 (27) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 49% (73) | 41% (79) | 20.7 | 32.4 | 225 | 6.9 | 10.9 | 18 (50) | 10 (60) | .24 (74) | 1.5 (74) | 32% (84) | 33% (34) | .36 (47) | 6% (68) | 1.9 (111) |
| LOU Defense | 13 | 53% (120) | 37% (20) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 (6) | .06 (6) | 1.4 (8) | 34% (25) | 24% (10) | .11 (9) | 7% (37) | 1.9 (23) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 47% (50) | 37% (25) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (38) | .15 (29) | 1.5 (44) | 32% (60) | 23% (3) | .11 (8) | 9% (6) | 1.9 (25) |
| LOU Offense | 13 | 53% (34) | 41% (75) | 19.4 | 30.3 | 208.8 | 6.9 | 10.8 | 16 (75) | 9 (60) | .13 (119) | 1.4 (130) | 28% (21) | 27% (104) | .14 (123) | 6% (89) | 1.9 (106) |
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 17.51 #25
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.28 #32
Virginia's Defense Rating: -1.23 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #28
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #49
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia's Power Rating: 17.51 #25
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.28 #32
Virginia's Defense Rating: -1.23 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #28
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #49
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 17.51 Louisville: 15.075
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 12.1 Louisville: 11.7
Virginia: 17.51 Louisville: 15.075
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 12.1 Louisville: 11.7
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 15.075 #35
Louisville's Offense Rating: 11.32 #57
Louisville's Defense Rating: -2.13 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #30
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #43
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #28
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Louisville's Power Rating: 15.075 #35
Louisville's Offense Rating: 11.32 #57
Louisville's Defense Rating: -2.13 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 788.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #46
Louisville's 2025 Expected Record: 8.5 - 4.5
Louisville's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 #30
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #43
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #28
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 29
Virginia 29
Total Points: 58
Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 32
Virginia 28
Total Points: 60
Based on Entire Season
Louisville 27
Virginia 25
Total Points: 52
Louisville 29
Virginia 29
Total Points: 58
Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 32
Virginia 28
Total Points: 60
Based on Entire Season
Louisville 27
Virginia 25
Total Points: 52
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9
Louisville's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10/04 | Louisville | 27 | Virginia | 30 | Louisville -6.5 | Virginia | 59.5 | Under |
| 2024 | 10/12 | Virginia | 20 | Louisville | 24 | Louisville -7 | Virginia | 54.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/09 | Louisville | 31 | Virginia | 24 | Louisville -20.5 | Virginia | 49.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Virginia | 17 | Louisville | 34 | Virginia -1.5 | Louisville | 47.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/09 | Louisville | 33 | Virginia | 34 | Louisville -2.5 | Virginia | 69.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/14 | Virginia | 31 | Louisville | 17 | Virginia -5.5 | Virginia | 64.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Louisville | 28 | Virginia | 21 | Virginia -4.5 | Louisville | 51.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 09/22 | Virginia | 27 | Louisville | 3 | Virginia -4.5 | Virginia | 51.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/11 | Louisville | 38 | Virginia | 21 | Louisville -14 | Louisville | 66.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/29 | Virginia | 25 | Louisville | 32 | Louisville -27 | Virginia | 69.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/14 | Louisville | 38 | Virginia | 31 | Louisville -8.5 | Virginia | 48.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 09/13 | Virginia | 23 | Louisville | 21 | Louisville -10 | Virginia | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 7 | 3 | 3 Overs |
| Virginia | 5 | 9 | 8 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 5 | 7 - 5 | 3 - 5 | 4 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 5 - 7 | 5 - 7 | 0 - 4 | 5 - 3 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UVA | LOU |
| Power RatePwr | #25 | #35 |
| SP+SP+ | #28 | #30 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #16 | #26 |
| OffenseOff | #46 | #55 |
| DefenseDef | #15 | #12 |
| Spec TeamsST | #33 | #102 |
| TalentTal | #21 | #57 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #65 | #46 |
(11/16) Killed Duke, Hoos incredible story. ACC threat
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/25) Box score L vs NC. Great story, but badly overrated
(9/26) Huge W over FSU, Run Off good, Morris tough/clutch
(9/22) Off 3rd in CFB in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/21) Off on a tear, QB Morris playing great. Good start
(9/21) Off #'s are incredible during 3-1 start, eyes on
(8/26) 20 of 23 listed on two deep are Sr or Gr.
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(11/16) Bad L vs Clemson, QB Moss culture comments??
(11/15) 3 losses as home favs in last 6 games
(11/4) RB1 I Brown out weeks, maybe SMU/UK (leg)
(11/1) Sluggish vs VT, Run Off 235 big w/ Moss off night
(10/17) Special teams all around one of the best in CFB
(10/17) Brohm special vs Miami, Run Off enough, Def great
(9/27) 17-0 comeback win at Pitt. Moss good, RBs/OL bad
(9/17) Starting LB S Clark likely out for season (leg)
(9/5) Good battle with JMU, Run Off needs work
(7/28) Def meh LY, added 17 via portal. DL & DB heavy
(7/17) DBs all new, starters come from 8 portals.
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | LOU Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #46 | #12 |
| SuccessSuc | #82 | #16 |
| ExplosiveExp | #45 | #24 |
| PPAPPA | #64 | #15 |
| PowerPwr | #32 | #25 |
| SP+SP+ | #49 | #28 |
| Pts POPPO | #91 | #45 |
| HavocHav | #38 | #35 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | LOU Def | |
| Run GameRun | #58 | #59 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #66 | #18 |
| Run ExplRExp | #33 | #66 |
| PPAExp | #34 | #52 | Run BlockR Blk | #44 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #51 | #42 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #35 | #52 |
| TackleTak | - | #60 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | LOU Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #42 | #22 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #79 | #20 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #74 | #8 |
| PPAExp | #74 | #6 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #78 | #3 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #25 | #39 |
| DB HavocDB | #68 | #37 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LOU Off | UVA Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #55 | #15 |
| SuccessSuc | #45 | #21 |
| ExplosiveExp | #87 | #35 |
| PPAPPA | #82 | #18 |
| PowerPwr | #57 | #27 |
| SP+SP+ | #43 | #23 |
| Pts POPPO | #84 | #19 |
| HavocHav | #94 | #23 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| LOU Off | UVA Def | |
| Run GameRun | #8 | #39 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #13 | #30 |
| Run ExplRExp | #27 | #47 |
| PPAExp | #17 | #31 | Run BlockR Blk | #61 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #85 | #43 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #123 | #70 |
| TackleTak | - | #39 |
| Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 43% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | LOU Off | UVA Def |
| Pass GamePass | #98 | #18 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #75 | #25 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #130 | #44 |
| PPAExp | #119 | #29 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #99 | #32 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #98 | #75 |
| DB HavocDB | #89 | #6 |
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'25 Profile: Remains Average P4
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 83°
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 83°
Louisville -6.5 (59.5)
Virginia won at Louisville this year (30-27)
Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Virginia last year (24-20)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2023 (31-24)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2022 (34-17)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 282 | 436 | 65% | 3000 | 16 | 9 | 6.9 |
| Daniel Kaelin (Tr) | 30 | 52 | 58% | 339 | 1 | 1 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 222 | 1062 | 14 | 4.8 | 78 |
| Harrison Waylee (Tr) | 118 | 556 | 6 | 4.7 | 97 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 64 | 245 | 5 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Xavier Brown | 51 | 241 | 1 | 4.7 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trell Harris | 59 | 847 | 5 | 14.4 | 75 |
| Jahmal Edrine (Tr) | 46 | 564 | 1 | 12.3 | 37 |
| Cameron Ross | 53 | 543 | 2 | 10.2 | 46 |
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 43 | 253 | 1 | 5.9 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| James Jackson | 66 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Maddox Marcellus (Tr) | 49 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rickert (Tr) | 36 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 45 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Fisher Camac (Tr) | 44 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Jacob Holmes (Tr) | 33 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Karnley (Tr) | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| Christian Charles (Tr) | 43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miller Moss (Tr) | 244 | 380 | 64% | 2679 | 16 | 7 | 7.1 |
| Deuce Adams | 15 | 21 | 71% | 112 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 101 | 884 | 7 | 8.8 | 78 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 96 | 704 | 6 | 7.3 | 67 |
| Braxton Jennings | 37 | 200 | 1 | 5.4 | 22 |
| Shaun Boykins | 37 | 190 | 1 | 5.1 | 26 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bell | 72 | 917 | 6 | 12.7 | 64 |
| Caullin Lacy | 60 | 635 | 2 | 10.6 | 48 |
| Dacari Collins (Tr) | 13 | 219 | 1 | 16.8 | 36 |
| Jaleel Skinner | 21 | 204 | 2 | 9.7 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Quinn | 95 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| D'Angelo Hutchinson | 84 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| JoJo Evans (Tr) | 64 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 59 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clev Lubin (Tr) | 59 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| Wesley Bailey (Tr) | 39 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| Adonijah Green | 31 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| TJ Quinn | 95 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rene Konga | 29 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| D'Angelo Hutchinson | 84 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| TJ Quinn | 95 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |