Virginia at Boston College - 2023 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers at Boston College EaglesBoston College logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Boston College -5 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Boston College 27 - Virginia: 24  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (24 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BC is playing their 5th straight game
UVA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Boston College -6   (SP+ BC -5)

Projected Score: UVA: 24 - BC: 30 (54)
BC Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
UVA Travel: 488 miles
Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 25 - 28 (25 - 31 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs Tennessee+27.556.0L 13 - 49ON
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs James Madison+6.040.0L 35 - 36OY
Fri 9/15 Virginia at Maryland+16.548.5L 14 - 42ON
Fri 9/22 Virginia vs NC State+8.547.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/30 Virginia at Boston College+5.052.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs William & Mary-10.042.0W 27 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Virginia at North Carolina+24.058.0W 31 - 27UY
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Miami+18.548.0L 26 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-2.057.5L 17 - 45ON
Thu 11/9 Virginia at Louisville+20.549.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia vs Duke+4.048.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 11/25 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+2.552.5L 17 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Boston College's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Boston College vs Northern Illinois-8.050.0L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/9 Boston College vs Holy Cross-10.052.0W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/16 Boston College vs Florida State+25.548.0L 29 - 31OY
Sat 9/23 Boston College at Louisville+14.053.0L 28 - 56ON
Sat 9/30 Boston College vs Virginia-5.052.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/7 Boston College at Army+2.547.0W 27 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Boston College at Georgia Tech+5.557.0W 38 - 23OY
Sat 10/28 Boston College vs UConn-14.549.0W 21 - 14UN
Fri 11/3 Boston College at Syracuse+3.051.0W 17 - 10UY
Sat 11/11 Boston College vs Virginia Tech+2.548.5L 22 - 48ON
Thu 11/16 Boston College at Pittsburgh+1.047.0L 16 - 24UN
Fri 11/24 Boston College vs Miami+13.550.5L 20 - 45ON
Thu 12/28 Boston College vs SMU+13.549.0W 23 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#88 (.15)41% (84)23.342% (82)3 (89)11841% (76)2513.68 (85)#117 (.26)45% (113)33.848% (118)43% (90)4.15 (103)55.31.71.2
BC#62 (.21)42% (63)24.846% (35)3.31 (29)19737% (106)1843.92 (66)#113 (.26)43% (82)28.343% (66)44% (106)4.41 (120)55.21.51.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1223.323.841%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15
BC Defense1328.33143.1%4.411.1 - - - - - 55%44%43%44%12%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1233.831.245.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26
BC Offense1324.824.942.3%3.921.5213811971844.761%38%46%37%13%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
Boston College1331:0721.541%76%6.555.21.51.12.90.8128.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (98)13% (123)0.89 (113)
BC Defense1355% (118)43% (66) - - - - .15 (77)3.09 (65)82% (113)7% (128)1.08 (107)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (92)9% (108)1.03 (84)
BC Offense1361% (9)46% (35)42196.74.725 (37).26 (17)3.31 (29)88% (1)7% (17)1.12 (18)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)
BC Defense1344% (16)44% (106) - - - - - - 8 (100).43 (125)1.7 (105)31% (84)32% (98).37 (99)4% (123)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)
BC Offense1338% (125)37% (106)15.727.8184.26.611.715 (96)14 (107).17 (103)1.6 (71)29% (18)28% (89).39 (45)6% (56)2.4 (2)

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.47   Boston College: -1.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -10.3   Boston College: -4.9




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -1.655 #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 30
Virginia 24


Total Points: 54

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.9
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 31

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Virginia24Boston College14VirginiaVirginia -2Virginia52.5Under
202309/30Boston College27Virginia24Boston CollegeBoston College -5Virginia52.5Under
202012/05Virginia43Boston College32VirginiaVirginia -6.5Virginia53.0Over
201710/21Virginia10Boston College41Boston CollegeVirginia -6.5Boston College48.5Over
201011/20Boston College17Virginia13Boston College
200911/14Virginia10Boston College14Boston College
200510/08Boston College28Virginia17Boston College
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College512 Overs
Virginia232 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 22 - 22 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 52 - 20 - 02 - 2

(#93) Virginia Info
Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30


Virginia has lost 4 straight
Virginia has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Virginia Highlights

Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia Can Not Run the Ball (#4)
Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Virginia does not Sack the QB (#97)
Virginia has a bad defense (#51)
Virginia has a bad defensive line (#63)
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBCUVA
OverallOver#72#97
OffenseOff#64#83
DefenseDef#74#101
Special TeamsST#82#90
PassingPass#100#45
RushingRush#28#82
Run BlockRBLK#21#61
Pass BlockPBLK#7#116
Route RunningWR Rt#107#46
TacklingTkl#91#83
Run DefenseR Def#52#110
Pass Rush DefPRush#88#94
Coverage DefCov#73#78

Rematch from Week 5
Boston College -5.0 (52.5)
Boston College won vs Virginia this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Boston College last year (24-14)
Boston College beat Virginia in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UVA | BC
Depth Chart: UVA | BC
Rosters: UVA | BC
(#82) Boston College Info
Power Rating: -1.655 #82
Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50


Boston College has lost 2 straight
Boston College has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (1 - 6 - 0 vs Spread)

Boston College Highlights
Boston College has Really Good Running Game (#130)
Boston College has a top Offensive Line (#122)

Boston College Deficiencies
Boston College Commits a Lot of Penalties (#38)
Boston College throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Boston College pass game is really bad (#26)
Boston College does not Sack the QB (#31)
Boston College gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#74)
Boston College has a bad red zone defense (#70)


  
Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea15424663%19581398.0
Tony Muskett (Tr)9314763%1031657.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Perris Jones7639325.243
Kobe Pace (Tr)12538213.122
Mike Hollins8027473.422
Anthony Colandrea7322503.130
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Washington1101426913.064
Malachi Fields58811514.039
Kobe Pace (Tr)1917639.375
Sackett Wood Jr.9141015.728

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker10740111
James Jackson804175
Kamren Robinson715141
Coen King603015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Butler225310
Ben Smiley III154211
Paul Akere153140
Kamren Robinson715141
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker10740111
Dre Walker110005
Coen King603015

Boston College's OC Steve Shimko
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)18933057%227015146.9
Emmett Morehead153050%124004.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Thomas Castellanos (Tr)2151113135.245
Kye Robichaux (Tr)16378084.857
Pat Garwo III5227015.250
Alex Broome6026614.436
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond52646712.442
Dino Tomlin24312013.052
Joseph Griffin Jr.19283014.938
Ryan O'Keefe (Tr)23235110.238

View Boston College's Full Roster
Boston College's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Vinny DePalma922111
John Pupel816001
Kameron Arnold653153
Donovan Ezeiruaku536171
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shitta Sillah143220
Neto Okpala276271
George Rooks (Tr)273240
Khris Banks241111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Jones251009
Jalen Cheek260003
Kameron Arnold653153