Virginia at Boston College Game Matchup

Virginia Cavaliers at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (2:00 PM EDT)
Boston College -5 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Boston College 27 - Virginia: 24 (ACC)

Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
BC is playing their 5th straight game
UVA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Boston College -6 (SP+ BC -5)
Projected Score: UVA: 24 - BC: 30 (52)
BC Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
UVA Travel: 488 miles

Eagles (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (16 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (34 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 7.5 (#87)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UVA Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Virginia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia vs Tennessee	+27.5	56.0	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/9	Virginia vs James Madison	+6.0	40.0	L 35 - 36	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Virginia at Maryland	+16.5	48.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Fri 9/22	Virginia vs NC State	+8.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Virginia at Boston College	+5.0	52.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Virginia vs William & Mary	-10.0	42.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Virginia at North Carolina	+24.0	58.0	W 31 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Virginia at Miami	+18.5	48.0	L 26 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	-2.0	57.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Thu 11/9	Virginia at Louisville	+20.5	49.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Virginia vs Duke	+4.0	48.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	52.5	L 17 - 55	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Boston College's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Boston College vs Northern Illinois	-8.0	50.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/9	Boston College vs Holy Cross	-10.0	52.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/16	Boston College vs Florida State	+25.5	48.0	L 29 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Boston College at Louisville	+14.0	53.0	L 28 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/30	Boston College vs Virginia	-5.0	52.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/7	Boston College at Army	+2.5	47.0	W 27 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+5.5	57.0	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Boston College vs UConn	-14.5	49.0	W 21 - 14	U	N
Fri 11/3	Boston College at Syracuse	+3.0	51.0	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	48.5	L 22 - 48	O	N
Thu 11/16	Boston College at Pittsburgh	+1.0	47.0	L 16 - 24	U	N
Fri 11/24	Boston College vs Miami	+13.5	50.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Thu 12/28	Boston College vs SMU	+13.5	49.0	W 23 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA	.08	40%	22.7	44%	3.2	123	37%	221	2.81	.13	41%	28.8	40%	41%	3.54	62.2	2.2	1.7
BC	.12	37%	28.2	36%	2.23	64	38%	247	3.25	.19	42%	23.8	44%	42%	4.28	48.5	2.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Offense	10	22.7	26.7	39.7%	2.81	2.2	19	344	123	221	3.7	45%	54%	44%	37%	22%	.08
BC Defense	12	23.8	20.7	42.4%	4.28	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	44%	42%	20%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UVA Defense	10	28.8	32.2	40.8%	3.54	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	41%	15%	.13
BC Offense	12	28.2	34.1	36.5%	3.25	2.2	17	311	64	247	2.1	37%	62%	36%	38%	25%	.12

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Virginia	10	27:30	19	32%	39%	7	62.2	2.2	1.7	5.1	3	0	28.2
Boston College	12	29:15	16.8	33%	44%	6	48.5	2.2	1.3	6.8	2.2	0	28.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Offense	10	45%	44%	32.9	123	3.7	13	.17	3.2	72%	12%	1.01
BC Defense	12	51%	44%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.03	78%	13%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UVA Defense	10	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.08	3.26	67%	9%	0.87
BC Offense	12	37%	36%	30.3	64	2.1	6	-.04	2.23	68%	17%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Offense	10	54%	37%	18.5	34.2	221	6.5	12	7	12	.04	1.5	36%	33%	.42	10%	2
BC Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.29	1.5	33%	30%	.37	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UVA Defense	10	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.19	1.4	30%	29%	.31	6%	2
BC Offense	12	62%	38%	21.8	36.7	247.1	6.7	11.3	21	14	.27	1.7	38%	27%	.34	8%	2.3

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.47 Boston College: -1.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -10.3 Boston College: -4.9

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -1.655 #82
Boston College's Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
2023 Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Boston College's 2023 Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50
Boston College's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Boston College 30
Virginia 24

Projected Total Points: 52

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.7

Boston College's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	Virginia	24	Boston College	14	Virginia	Virginia -2	Virginia	52.5	Under
2023	09/30	Boston College	27	Virginia	24	Boston College	Boston College -5	Virginia	52.5	Under
2020	12/05	Virginia	43	Boston College	32	Virginia	Virginia -6.5	Virginia	53.0	Over
2017	10/21	Virginia	10	Boston College	41	Boston College	Virginia -6.5	Boston College	48.5	Over
2010	11/20	Boston College	17	Virginia	13	Boston College
2009	11/14	Virginia	10	Boston College	14	Boston College
2005	10/08	Boston College	28	Virginia	17	Boston College

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	5	1	2 Overs
Virginia	2	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 2	2 - 2	2 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 5	2 - 2	0 - 0	2 - 2

(#93) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30

Team Profile

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Virginia Ratings Matchup Boston College

Power #93

#82

Off #84

#56

Def #114

#120

Talent #60

#37

SP+ #106

#81

SP+ Off #95

#83

SP+ Def #99

#78

Rematch from Week 5
Boston College -5.0 (52.5)
Boston College won vs Virginia this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Boston College last year (24-14)
Boston College beat Virginia in 2023 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 61° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: UVA | BC
Depth Chart: UVA | BC
Rosters: UVA | BC

(#82) Boston College Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.655 #82
Offense Rating: 17.63 #56
Defense Rating: 15.21 #120
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #81
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #83
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #78
Talent Rating: 740.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 5.50 - 7.50

Team Profile

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Virginia's OC Des Kitchings

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tony Muskett (Tr)	45	76	59%	545	3	3	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kobe Pace (Tr)	114	499	3	4.4	43
Tony Muskett (Tr)	27	98	4	3.6	18
Donte Hawthorne	1	12	0	12.0	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kobe Pace (Tr)	21	189	0	9.0	52
Demick Starling	3	56	0	18.7	27
Sackett Wood Jr.	3	18	1	6.0	8
Donte Hawthorne	1	2	0	2.0	2

View Virginia's Full Roster

Virginia's DC John Rudzinski

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4
Antonio Clary	48	3	1	1	3
Kameron Butler	43	3	3	8	2
Chico Bennett Jr.	39	8	1	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Butler	43	3	3	8	2
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4
Antonio Clary	48	3	1	1	3
Chico Bennett Jr.	39	8	1	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	98	9	2	1	4
Antonio Clary	48	3	1	1	3
Kameron Butler	43	3	3	8	2

Boston College's OC Steve Shimko

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kye Robichaux (Tr)	175	744	10	4.3	41
Pat Garwo III	55	246	5	4.5	25
Cam Barfield	33	158	0	4.8	21
Jaden Williams	1	9	0	9.0	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaden Williams	57	807	7	14.2	70
Taji Johnson	19	215	2	11.3	34
Cam Barfield	7	55	0	7.9	18
Pat Garwo III	11	48	0	4.4	13

View Boston College's Full Roster

Boston College's DC Aazaar Abdul-Rahim

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Kameron Arnold	40	0	0	0	1
Cameron Horsley	40	7	0	2	3
Neto Okpala	32	3	0	7	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1
Joe Marinaro	27	2	2	2	2
Shitta Sillah	30	6	1	0	1
Josh Hardy	1	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Horsley	40	7	0	2	3
Joe Marinaro	27	2	2	2	2
Donovan Ezeiruaku	76	19	14	14	1