Virginia at Virginia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers at Virginia Tech HokiesVirginia Tech logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Virginia Tech -4.5 (44.5) (-185)  Open: -7.5 | 48.5
Virginia Tech 37 - Virginia: 17  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -16   (SP+ VT -15)

Projected Score: UVA: 16 - VT: 32 (52)
VT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 118 miles
Hokies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (28 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia vs Richmond-21
Sat 9/7 Virginia at Wake Forest-1.555.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Maryland-2.555.5L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/21 Virginia at Coastal Carolina-3.552.0W 43 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Virginia vs Boston College-2.052.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Virginia vs Louisville+7.054.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Virginia at Clemson+20.057.5L 31 - 48OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia vs North Carolina-3.558.5L 14 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Virginia at Pittsburgh+7.556.5W 24 - 19UY
Sat 11/16 Virginia at Notre Dame+20.551.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs SMU+11.554.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/30 Virginia at Virginia Tech+4.544.5L 17 - 37ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia Tech at Vanderbilt-13.553.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/7 Virginia Tech vs Marshall-20.552.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 9/14 Virginia Tech at Old Dominion-15.547.5W 37 - 17OY
Sat 9/21 Virginia Tech vs Rutgers-3.045.0L 23 - 26ON
Fri 9/27 Virginia Tech at Miami+17.555.5L 34 - 38OY
Sat 10/5 Virginia Tech at Stanford-9.550.0W 31 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 Virginia Tech vs Boston College-8.547.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech-11.052.0W 21 - 6UY
Sat 11/2 Virginia Tech at Syracuse-3.554.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/9 Virginia Tech vs Clemson+6.554.5L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Virginia Tech at Duke-2.545.5L 28 - 31ON
Sat 11/30 Virginia Tech vs Virginia-4.544.5W 37 - 17OY
Fri 1/3 Virginia Tech vs Minnesota+10.043.5L 10 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 4, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 5, Bad 4, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 4, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#88 (.15)41% (84)22.742% (82)3 (89)11841% (76)2513.68 (85)#117 (.26)45% (113)28.848% (118)43% (90)4.15 (103)55.31.71.2
VT#59 (.21)43% (55)28.247% (32)3.2 (51)19039% (91)2014.32 (30)#49 (.16)38% (23)22.839% (36)36% (13)4.49 (124)57.81.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1222.726.741%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15
VT Defense1322.81837.6%4.491.2 - - - - - 53%46%39%36%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1228.832.245.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26
VT Offense1328.22843.1%4.321.220391190201555%45%47%39%15%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
Virginia Tech1331:0919.835%65%6.357.81.21.26.42.9230.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (98)13% (123)0.89 (113)
VT Defense1353% (110)39% (36) - - - - .15 (75)2.89 (32)70% (51)12% (17)1.1 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (92)9% (108)1.03 (84)
VT Offense1355% (32)47% (32)38.4189.9520 (61).16 (63)3.2 (51)79% (24)10% (74)0.98 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)
VT Defense1346% (26)36% (13) - - - - - - 7 (111).19 (24)1.6 (81)34% (37)24% (8).19 (14)5% (108)1.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)
VT Offense1345% (99)39% (91)15.727.4201.57.412.823 (51)5 (6).28 (70)1.7 (27)32% (67)30% (73).25 (92)5% (18)1.9 (113)

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -2.00 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -2.00   Virginia Tech: 12.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.1   Virginia Tech: 10.0




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 12.675 #29
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
2024 Talent Rating: 710.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Virginia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Virginia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 773.18
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia Tech 32
Virginia 16


Projected Total Points: 52
Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Virginia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Virginia Tech37Virginia17Virginia TechVirginia Tech -4.5Virginia Tech44.5Over
202311/25Virginia17Virginia Tech55Virginia TechVirginia Tech -2.5Virginia Tech52.5Over
202111/27Virginia24Virginia Tech29Virginia TechVirginia -7Virginia Tech63.5Under
202012/12Virginia Tech33Virginia15Virginia TechVirginia Tech -3Virginia Tech64.0Under
201911/29Virginia39Virginia Tech30VirginiaVirginia Tech -1.5Virginia48.0Over
201811/23Virginia Tech34Virginia31Virginia TechVirginia -5Virginia Tech49.5Over
201711/24Virginia0Virginia Tech10Virginia TechVirginia Tech -7Virginia Tech48.0Under
201611/26Virginia Tech52Virginia10Virginia TechVirginia Tech -18.5Virginia Tech53.5Over
201511/28Virginia20Virginia Tech23Virginia TechVirginia Tech -3.5Virginia48.0Under
201411/28Virginia Tech24Virginia20Virginia TechVirginia -2Virginia Tech38.5Over
201311/30Virginia6Virginia Tech16Virginia TechVirginia Tech -13Virginia0
201211/24Virginia Tech17Virginia14Virginia Tech
201111/26Virginia0Virginia Tech38Virginia Tech
201011/27Virginia Tech37Virginia7Virginia Tech
200911/28Virginia13Virginia Tech42Virginia Tech
200811/29Virginia Tech17Virginia14Virginia Tech
200711/24Virginia21Virginia Tech33Virginia Tech
200611/25Virginia Tech17Virginia0Virginia Tech
200511/19Virginia14Virginia Tech52Virginia Tech
200411/27Virginia Tech24Virginia10Virginia Tech
200311/29Virginia35Virginia Tech21Virginia
200111/17Virginia17Virginia Tech31Virginia Tech
200011/24Virginia Tech42Virginia21Virginia Tech
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech2186 Overs
Virginia234 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 108 - 33 - 15 - 2
Road Teams10 - 133 - 82 - 51 - 3

(#69) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.00 #69
Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 730.00 #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Virginia Notes
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good
Virginia     Ratings Matchup     Virginia Tech
Power #69
#29
Off #84
#48
Def #96
#10
Talent #50
#57
SP+ #91
#30
SP+ Off #95
#41
SP+ Def #86
#36

Rematch from Week 14
Virginia Tech -4.5 (44.5)
Virginia Tech won vs Virginia this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Virginia last year (37-17)
Virginia Tech beat Virginia in 2023 (55-17)
Virginia beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (0-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 30°

Team Information
Injuries: UVA | VT
Depth Chart: UVA | VT
Rosters: UVA | VT
(#29) Virginia Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 12.675 #29
Offense Rating: 22.24 #48
Defense Rating: 2.91 #10
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0 #30
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #41
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36
Talent Rating: 710.00 #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #48
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Great in Scoring Position 2.97 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Virginia Tech Notes
(11/25) 3 str L's, QB Watson awful vs Duke, Rgame bad
(11/9) Schlee cannot play and Off is fucking awful
(11/3) Brent Pry now 1-11 in one score games
(11/3) Drones/Tuten DNP vs Syracuse?
(11/2) Flags, TOs huge in Cuse gag. Off 450+ in L
(11/1) 3-0 in Oct, avg 20 ppg margin of victory
(10/19) Lost 12 straight games vs P4 in non-con!
(10/17) Ran over BC, 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Turnaround?
(10/17) 2-9 3rd down, 9 pen/88 yds. Allow BC back
(10/17) RB Tuten special, 266 yds, 14 ypc, 3 TD (BC)


  
Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea19832062%212513116.6
Malachi Fields2367%510017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Anthony Colandrea12827722.235
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Jack Griese155503.712
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Fields55808514.745
Tyler Neville (Tr)37394210.639
Trell Harris (Tr)15221214.745
Chris Tyree (Tr)2413605.725

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
Corey Thomas Jr. (Tr)471002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
James Jackson455220
Anthony Britton383221
Billy Koudelka41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kempton Shine (Tr)372007
Jermarian Jackson551106
Kendren Smith (Tr)392014

Virginia Tech's OC Tyler Bowen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones13622461%15621067.0
William Watson III345859%481128.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyron Drones9833763.453
Jeremiah Coney3217905.647
Malachi Thomas4316513.820
Collin Schlee (Tr)4114323.518
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Benji Gosnell32341210.731
Ayden Greene19268214.167
Harrison Saint Germain42506.314
Malachi Thomas42506.39

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster
Virginia Tech's DC Chris Marve
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Keller832021
Caleb Woodson728242
Mose Phillips III654103
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aeneas Peebles (Tr)296333
Caleb Woodson728242
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Mose Phillips III654103
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mansoor Delane541007
Keli Lawson402004
Dante Lovett200004