Virginia at Virginia Tech - 2024 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo   Virginia Cavaliers at Virginia Tech Hokies  Virginia Tech logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Virginia Tech -4.5 (44.5) (-185)  Open: -7.5 | 48.5
Virginia Tech 37 - Virginia: 17  (ACC)

 
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -16  (SP+ VT -15)

Projected Score: UVA: 17 - VT: 33 (49)
VT Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 118 miles
Hokies (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 21 - 30 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia vs Richmond-21
Sat 9/7 Virginia at Wake Forest-1.555.5W 31 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Virginia vs Maryland-2.555.5L 13 - 27UN
Sat 9/21 Virginia at Coastal Carolina-3.552.0W 43 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Virginia vs Boston College-2.052.5W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Virginia vs Louisville+7.054.0L 20 - 24UY
Sat 10/19 Virginia at Clemson+20.057.5L 31 - 48OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia vs North Carolina-3.558.5L 14 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Virginia at Pittsburgh+7.556.5W 24 - 19UY
Sat 11/16 Virginia at Notre Dame+20.551.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 11/23 Virginia vs SMU+11.554.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 11/30 Virginia at Virginia Tech+4.544.5L 17 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Virginia Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Virginia Tech at Vanderbilt-13.553.5L 27 - 34ON
Sat 9/7 Virginia Tech vs Marshall-20.552.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 9/14 Virginia Tech at Old Dominion-15.547.5W 37 - 17OY
Sat 9/21 Virginia Tech vs Rutgers-3.045.0L 23 - 26ON
Fri 9/27 Virginia Tech at Miami+17.555.5L 34 - 38OY
Sat 10/5 Virginia Tech at Stanford-9.550.0W 31 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/17 Virginia Tech vs Boston College-8.547.5W 42 - 21OY
Sat 10/26 Virginia Tech vs Georgia Tech-11.052.0W 21 - 6UY
Sat 11/2 Virginia Tech at Syracuse-3.554.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/9 Virginia Tech vs Clemson+6.554.5L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Virginia Tech at Duke-2.545.5L 28 - 31ON
Sat 11/30 Virginia Tech vs Virginia-4.544.5W 37 - 17OY
Fri 1/3 Virginia Tech vs Minnesota+10.043.5L 10 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA#88 (.15)41% (84)30.842% (82)3 (89)11841% (76)2513.68 (85)#117 (.26)45% (113)19.648% (118)43% (90)4.15 (103)55.31.71.2
VT#59 (.21)43% (55)21.447% (32)3.2 (51)19039% (91)2014.32 (30)#49 (.16)38% (23)30.239% (36)36% (13)4.49 (124)57.81.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
VT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1230.828.641%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15
VT Defense1330.231.637.6%4.491.2 - - - - - 53%46%39%36%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1219.623.245.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26
VT Offense1321.42643.1%4.321.220391190201555%45%47%39%15%.21

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
Virginia Tech1331:0919.835%65%6.357.81.21.26.42.9230.7
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (98)13% (123)0.89 (113)
VT Defense1353% (110)39% (36) - - - - .15 (75)2.89 (32)70% (51)12% (17)1.1 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (92)9% (108)1.03 (84)
VT Offense1355% (32)47% (32)38.4189.9520 (61).16 (63)3.2 (51)79% (24)10% (74)0.98 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)
VT Defense1346% (26)36% (13) - - - - - - 7 (111).19 (24)1.6 (81)34% (37)24% (8).19 (14)5% (108)1.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)
VT Offense1345% (99)39% (91)15.727.4201.57.412.823 (51)5 (6).28 (70)1.7 (27)32% (67)30% (73).25 (92)5% (18)1.9 (113)

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -2.00  #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13  #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62  #96
2024 Talent Rating: 366.00  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1  #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #86

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -2.00   Virginia Tech: 12.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.1   Virginia Tech: 10.0




Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 12.675  #29
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 22.24  #48
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 2.91  #10
2024 Talent Rating: 360.00  #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 7  #48
Virginia Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Virginia Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.0  #30
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #41
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 405
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia Tech 33
Virginia 17


Projected Total Points: 49
Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.6

Virginia Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Virginia27Virginia Tech7Virginia -9.5Virginia53.5Under
202411/30Virginia Tech37Virginia17Virginia Tech -4.5Virginia Tech44.5Over
202311/25Virginia17Virginia Tech55Virginia Tech -2.5Virginia Tech52.5Over
202111/27Virginia24Virginia Tech29Virginia -7Virginia Tech63.5Under
202012/12Virginia Tech33Virginia15Virginia Tech -3Virginia Tech64.0Under
201911/29Virginia39Virginia Tech30Virginia Tech -1.5Virginia48.0Over
201811/23Virginia Tech34Virginia31Virginia -5Virginia Tech49.5Over
201711/24Virginia0Virginia Tech10Virginia Tech -7Virginia Tech48.0Under
201611/26Virginia Tech52Virginia10Virginia Tech -18.5Virginia Tech53.5Over
201511/28Virginia20Virginia Tech23Virginia Tech -3.5Virginia48.0Under
201411/28Virginia Tech24Virginia20Virginia -2Virginia Tech38.5Over
201311/30Virginia6Virginia Tech16Virginia Tech -13Virginia0
201211/24Virginia Tech17Virginia14
201111/26Virginia0Virginia Tech38
201011/27Virginia Tech37Virginia7
200911/28Virginia13Virginia Tech42
200811/29Virginia Tech17Virginia14
200711/24Virginia21Virginia Tech33
200611/25Virginia Tech17Virginia0
200511/19Virginia14Virginia Tech52
200411/27Virginia Tech24Virginia10
200311/29Virginia35Virginia Tech21
200111/17Virginia17Virginia Tech31
200011/24Virginia Tech42Virginia21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia Tech2186 Overs
Virginia345 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 109 - 34 - 15 - 2
Road Teams10 - 143 - 92 - 51 - 4

(#69) UVA at (#29) VT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVAVT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #69 #29
SP+SP+ #91 #30
Perf GradeGrade #115 #64
OffenseOff #109 #88
DefenseDef #109 #60
Spec TeamsST #44 #22
TalentTal #54 #58
Blue ChipsBC% #82 #48
Virginia Notes
(12/17) Signed QB C Morris (N Tex/OU/TCU)
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good
(8/19) QB Colandrea good find LY, portal WRs decent
Virginia Injury Report
Virginia Tech Notes
(12/23) Signed OL coach Moore (WVU cast off/Troy/La T)
(11/25) 3 str L's, QB Watson awful vs Duke, Rgame bad
(11/9) Schlee cannot play and Off is fucking awful
(11/3) Brent Pry now 1-11 in one score games
(11/3) Drones/Tuten DNP vs Syracuse?
(11/2) Flags, TOs huge in Cuse gag. Off 450+ in L
(11/1) 3-0 in Oct, avg 20 ppg margin of victory
(10/19) Lost 12 straight games vs P4 in non-con!
(10/17) Ran over BC, 368 yds, 9.2 ypc. Turnaround?
(10/17) 2-9 3rd down, 9 pen/88 yds. Allow BC back
(10/17) RB Tuten special, 266 yds, 14 ypc, 3 TD (BC)
(9/27) Great fight @ Miami. Rgame 200 yds (6.2 ypc)
Virginia Tech Injury Report
Virginia on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
UVA OffVT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109 #60
SuccessSuc #84 #23
ExplosiveExp #96 #92
PPAPPA #88 #49
PowerPwr #84 #10
SP+SP+ #95 #36
Pts POPPO #85 #124
HavocHav #109 #47
Virginia Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
UVA OffVT Def
Run GameRun #84 #58
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #36
Run ExplRExp #113 #111
PPAExp #91 #75
Run BlockR Blk #57 -
OL YdsOLY #89 #32
Stuff RateStuff #46 #34
TackleTak -  #17
Virginia Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
UVA OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #120 #84
Pass SuccessPSuc #76 #13
Pass ExplPExl #66 #81
PPAExp #67 #24
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #120 #22
F7 HavocF7 #123 #17
DB HavocDB #79 #108
Virginia Tech on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatVT OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #88 #109
SuccessSuc #55 #113
ExplosiveExp #74 #55
PPAPPA #59 #117
PowerPwr #48 #96
SP+SP+ #41 #86
Pts POPPO #30 #103
HavocHav #55 #96
Virginia Tech Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
VT OffUVA Def
Run GameRun #40 #104
Run SuccessRSuc #32 #118
Run ExplRExp #77 #84
PPAExp #63 #124
Run BlockR Blk #98 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #116
Stuff RateStuff #85 #96
TackleTak -  #112
Virginia Tech Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCatVT OffUVA Def
Pass GamePass #82 #113
Pass SuccessPSuc #91 #90
Pass ExplPExl #27 #54
PPAExp #70 #97
Pass Block/RushP Blk #82 #72
F7 HavocF7 #74 #108
DB HavocDB #18 #57
Program Comparison
VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'24 Profile: Up to Average P4

UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'24 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Lane Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
Virginia Tech -4.5 (44.5)
Virginia Tech won vs Virginia this year (37-17)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Virginia Tech last year (27-7)
Virginia Tech beat Virginia in 2024 (37-17)
Virginia Tech beat Virginia in 2023 (55-17)

  
UVA's OC Des Kitchings (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea19832062%212513116.6
Tony Muskett457659%545337.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Pace11449934.443
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Anthony Colandrea12827722.235
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malachi Fields55808514.745
Tyler Neville (Tr)37394210.639
Trell Harris (Tr)15221214.745
Kobe Pace2118909.052

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker989214
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamren Robinson646521
Kameron Butler433382
Jonas Sanker989214
James Jackson455220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kempton Shine (Tr)372007
Jermarian Jackson551106
Jonas Sanker989214

VT's OC Tyler Bowen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones13622461%15621067.0
William Watson III345859%481128.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bhayshul Tuten1831158156.383
Kyron Drones9833763.453
Jeremiah Coney3217905.647
Malachi Thomas4316513.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Stephen Gosnell28506118.149
Jaylin Lane38466212.366
Ali Jennings15373324.965
Da'Quan Felton32360211.355

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Keller832021
Caleb Woodson728242
Mose Phillips III654103
Keonta Jenkins6510134
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antwuan Powell42191680
Aeneas Peebles (Tr)296333
Cole Nelson363360
Wilfried Pene335341
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Jones401008
Mansoor Delane541007
Dorian Strong320006