William & Mary at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
William & Mary logo William & Mary Tribe at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -30.5 (54.5) (-6500)  Open: 0.0
Virginia 55 - William & Mary: 16

 
Tribe (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 55 (16 - 55 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Virginia -11   (SP+ UVA -4)
UVA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
Cavaliers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (52 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
William & Mary's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 William & Mary at Virginia+30.554.5L 16 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for William & Mary's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+3.053.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-30.554.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-15.549.5
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+8.5
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-19
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina-4.5
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California+2.5
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-9
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-16

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
W&M0%160%000%000%550%0%0000
UVA#10 (.47)51% (26)44.756% (17)3.69 (17)27147% (45)2894.24 (54)#75 (.14)37% (51)19.337% (52)37% (48)4.45 (104)350.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
W&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
W&M Offense116160%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UVA Defense319.311.536.7%4.451 - - - - - 55%45%37%37%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
W&M Defense155550%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UVA Offense344.751.551.1%4.240.7265602712896.549%50%56%47%11%.47

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
William & Mary10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Virginia334:3125.758%44%5350.7141.3133.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
W&M Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UVA Defense355% (106)37% (52) - - - - .1 (91)2.71 (63)50% (19)8% (99)1.16 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
W&M Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UVA Offense349% (77)56% (17)422716.512 (3).55 (2)3.69 (17)86% (22)6% (21)1.31 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
W&M Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UVA Defense345% (34)37% (48) - - - - - - 1 (87).19 (62)1.5 (51)33% (68)19% (24).08 (30)9% (18)1.6 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
W&M Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UVA Offense350% (62)47% (45)2538289.37.611.64 (72)2 (60).45 (34)1.5 (68)30% (62)46% (11).63 (25)6% (79)1.6 (117)

William & Mary's Power Ratings
William & Mary's Power Rating: #NR
William & Mary's Offense Rating: #NR
William & Mary's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
William & Mary's 2025 Expected Record: -
William & Mary's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
William & Mary's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
William & Mary's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
William & Mary:    Virginia: 11.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
William & Mary:    Virginia: 3.8




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


William & Mary Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 55 PPG
Defense on Road: 55

William & Mary's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 36
William & Mary 25

Total Points: 61

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.5
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.5

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Virginia55William & Mary16VirginiaVirginia -30.5Virginia54.5Over
202310/07Virginia27William & Mary13VirginiaVirginia -10Virginia42.0Under
202109/04Virginia43William & Mary0VirginiaVirginia -30.5Virginia52.5Under
201909/06Virginia52William & Mary17VirginiaVirginia -32.5Virginia52.5Over
201709/02Virginia28William & Mary10VirginiaVirginia -28William & Mary0
201509/19Virginia35William & Mary29VirginiaVirginia -24William & Mary0
201109/03Virginia40William & Mary3Virginia
200909/05Virginia14William & Mary26William & Mary
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia742 Overs
William & Mary122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 14 - 24 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 72 - 40 - 02 - 4

(#NR) William & Mary Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -


Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

William & Mary Highlights

William & Mary Deficiencies
William & Mary has a really bad Offense
William & Mary Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUVAW&M
OverallOver#22—
OffenseOff#24—
DefenseDef#37—
Special TeamsST#6—
PassingPass#25—
RushingRush#21—
Run BlockRBLK#40—
Pass BlockPBLK#56—
Route RunningWR Rt#29—
TacklingTkl#82—
Run DefenseR Def#56—
Pass Rush DefPRush#28—
Coverage DefCov#34—

Rematch from Week 3
Virginia -30.5 (54.5)
Virginia won vs William & Mary this year (55-16)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat William & Mary in 2023 (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: W&M | UVA
Depth Chart: W&M | UVA
Rosters: W&M | UVA
(#42) Virginia Info
Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Virginia has lost 1 straight
Virginia has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl

Virginia Highlights
Virginia is Undefeated at Home
Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)

Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)

Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)


  
William & Mary's OC
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Hughes375864%430417.4
Noah Brannock81747%111006.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rashad Raymond3713823.728
Tyler Hughes3013614.537
Tariq Sims (Tr)124503.820
Noah Brannock93513.99
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Deven Thompson9194221.679
Isaiah Lemmond891011.419
Sean McElwain671211.824
Garrett Robertson454013.526

View William & Mary's Full Roster
William & Mary's DC
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Banbury (Tr)90001
Bryce Barnes60000
Ethan Yip60002
Harrison Johnson60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Luke Banbury (Tr)90001
Brady Echols31000
Cayden Trotter10000
Ty Gordon10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Yip60002
Luke Banbury (Tr)90001
Justin Krueger30000

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)628970%670417.5
Daniel Kaelin (Tr)112348%190018.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
J'mari Taylor (Tr)3321366.566
Noah Vaughn2217007.754
Harrison Waylee (Tr)1716949.997
Chandler Morris (Tr)9113012.642
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trell Harris14176012.648
Cameron Ross12164113.746
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)11123111.218
Kameron Courtney794013.430

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Danley171010
James Jackson140010
Devin Neal (Tr)112111
Mitchell Melton (Tr)103100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Koudelka21110
Maddox Marcellus (Tr)81101
Devin Neal (Tr)112111
Mitchell Melton (Tr)103100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donavon Platt (Tr)60003
McKale Boley10011
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)40001