William & Mary at Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview

William & Mary Tribe at Virginia Cavaliers(#24)

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -10 (42.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Virginia 27 - William & Mary: 13

Tribe (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 13 - 27 (13 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UVA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ UVA -10)
UVA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%

Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
W&M Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

William & Mary's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	William & Mary at Virginia	+10.0	42.0	L 13 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for William & Mary's Schedule

Virginia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Virginia vs Tennessee	+27.5	56.0	L 13 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/9	Virginia vs James Madison	+6.0	40.0	L 35 - 36	O	Y
Fri 9/15	Virginia at Maryland	+16.5	48.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Fri 9/22	Virginia vs NC State	+8.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Virginia at Boston College	+5.0	52.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Virginia vs William & Mary	-10.0	42.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Virginia at North Carolina	+24.0	58.0	W 31 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Virginia at Miami	+18.5	48.0	L 26 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Virginia vs Georgia Tech	-2.0	57.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Thu 11/9	Virginia at Louisville	+20.5	49.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Virginia vs Duke	+4.0	48.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Virginia vs Virginia Tech	+2.5	52.5	L 17 - 55	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
W&M		0%	13	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	27	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UVA	#88 (.15)	41% (84)	23.3	42% (82)	3 (89)	118	41% (76)	251	3.68 (85)	#117 (.26)	45% (113)	33.8	48% (118)	43% (90)	4.15 (103)	55.3	1.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
W&M		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UVA	#102 (.13)	40% (103)		43% (77)	3.29 (25)	133	37% (113)	229	3.47 (106)	#116 (.27)	43% (80)		44% (77)	42% (77)	4.04 (94)	45.3	1.6	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
W&M Offense	1	13	13	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UVA Defense	12	33.8	33.3	45.2%	4.15	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	48%	43%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
W&M Defense	1	27	27	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
UVA Offense	12	23.3	24.5	41%	3.68	1.7	21	369	118	251	3.1	49%	50%	42%	41%	19%	.15

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
William & Mary	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Virginia	12	31:24	21	36%	60%	6.5	55.3	1.7	1.2	4.8	0.9	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
W&M Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
UVA Defense	12	51% (87)	48% (118)	-	-	-	-	.26 (124)	3.36 (116)	76% (92)	9% (108)	1.03 (84)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
W&M Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
UVA Offense	12	49% (76)	42% (82)	37.8	117.9	3.1	12 (116)	.11 (91)	3 (89)	70% (98)	13% (123)	0.89 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
W&M Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UVA Defense	12	48% (48)	43% (90)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.32 (97)	1.6 (54)	28% (127)	30% (62)	.33 (76)	6% (57)	2.1 (85)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
W&M Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
UVA Offense	12	50% (62)	41% (76)	20.7	33	250.8	7.6	12.1	19 (78)	14 (107)	.29 (67)	1.6 (66)	32% (83)	29% (79)	.21 (105)	6% (79)	1.8 (126)

William & Mary's Power Ratings
William & Mary's Power Rating: NR
William & Mary's Offense Rating: NR
William & Mary's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
William & Mary's 2023 Expected Record: -
William & Mary's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
William & Mary's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
William & Mary's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
William & Mary: Virginia: -5.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
William & Mary: Virginia: -10.3

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.385 #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

William & Mary Scoring
Offense: 13 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

William & Mary's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia 28
William & Mary 23

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 30
William & Mary 24

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Virginia 25
William & Mary 23

Total Points: 48

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Virginia	55	William & Mary	16	Virginia -30.5	Virginia	54.5	Over
2023	10/07	Virginia	27	William & Mary	13	Virginia -10	Virginia	42.0	Under
2021	09/04	Virginia	43	William & Mary	0	Virginia -30.5	Virginia	52.5	Under
2019	09/06	Virginia	52	William & Mary	17	Virginia -32.5	Virginia	52.5	Over
2017	09/02	Virginia	28	William & Mary	10	Virginia -28	William & Mary	0
2015	09/19	Virginia	35	William & Mary	29	Virginia -24	William & Mary	0
2011	09/03	Virginia	40	William & Mary	3
2009	09/05	Virginia	14	William & Mary	26

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	7	4	2 Overs
William & Mary	1	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 1	4 - 2	4 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 7	2 - 4	0 - 0	2 - 4

(#NR) W&M at (#93) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	W&M	UVA
Power RatePwr	NR	#93
SP+SP+	NR	#106
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#116
OffenseOff	NR	#97
DefenseDef	NR	#128
Spec TeamsST	NR	#112
TalentTal	NR	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#59

William & Mary Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

William & Mary on Offense


CategoryCat	W&M Off	UVA Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#128
SuccessSuc	NR	#113
ExplosiveExp	NR	#55
PPAPPA	NR	#117
PowerPwr	NR	#114
SP+SP+	NR	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	#103
HavocHav	NR	#96

William & Mary Run Game


CategoryCat	W&M Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	NR	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#118
Run ExplRExp	NR	#84
PPAExp	NR	#124
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#116
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#96
TackleTak	-	#96

William & Mary Pass Game


CategoryCat	W&M Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#90
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#54
PPAExp	NR	#97
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#127
F7 HavocF7	NR	#108
DB HavocDB	NR	#57

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	W&M Def
Perf GradePerf	#97	NR
SuccessSuc	#84	NR
ExplosiveExp	#96	NR
PPAPPA	#88	NR
PowerPwr	#84	NR
SP+SP+	#95	NR
Pts POPPO	#85	NR
HavocHav	#109	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	W&M Def
Run GameRun	#115	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#82	NR
Run ExplRExp	#113	NR
PPAExp	#91	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#79	-
OL YdsOLY	#89	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#46	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	W&M Def
Pass GamePass	#58	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#76	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#66	NR
PPAExp	#67	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#133	NR
F7 HavocF7	#123	NR
DB HavocDB	#79	NR

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

W&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 67° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Virginia -10.0 (42.0)
Virginia won vs William & Mary this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat William & Mary in 2023 (27-13)

W&M's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View William & Mary's Full Roster

W&M's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Pius	21	4	3	3	0
Quinn Osborne	8	0	0	0	0
Jalen Jones	8	0	0	0	1
TJ McGill	6	0	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
John Pius	21	4	3	3	0
Quinn Osborne	8	0	0	0	0
Jalen Jones	8	0	0	0	1
TJ McGill	6	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalen Jones	8	0	0	0	1
John Pius	21	4	3	3	0
Quinn Osborne	8	0	0	0	0

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Anthony Colandrea	154	246	63%	1958	13	9	8.0
Tony Muskett (Tr)	93	147	63%	1031	6	5	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Perris Jones	76	393	2	5.2	43
Kobe Pace (Tr)	125	382	1	3.1	22
Mike Hollins	80	274	7	3.4	22
Anthony Colandrea	73	225	0	3.1	30

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malik Washington	110	1426	9	13.0	64
Malachi Fields	58	811	5	14.0	39
Kobe Pace (Tr)	19	176	3	9.3	75
Sackett Wood Jr.	9	141	0	15.7	28

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	107	4	0	1	11
James Jackson	80	4	1	7	5
Kamren Robinson	71	5	1	4	1
Coen King	60	3	0	1	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameron Butler	22	5	3	1	0
Ben Smiley III	15	4	2	1	1
Paul Akere	15	3	1	4	0
Kamren Robinson	71	5	1	4	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jonas Sanker	107	4	1	11
Dre Walker	11	0	0	5
Coen King	60	3	1	5