William & Mary at Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview
William & Mary logo   William & Mary Tribe at Virginia Cavaliers  Virginia logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -10 (42.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Virginia 27 - William & Mary: 13

 
Tribe (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 55 (16 - 55 on Road)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ UVA -10)
UVA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
William & Mary's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 William & Mary at Virginia+10.042.0L 13 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for William & Mary's Schedule
Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs Tennessee+27.556.0L 13 - 49ON
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs James Madison+6.040.0L 35 - 36OY
Fri 9/15 Virginia at Maryland+16.548.5L 14 - 42ON
Fri 9/22 Virginia vs NC State+8.547.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/30 Virginia at Boston College+5.052.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs William & Mary-10.042.0W 27 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Virginia at North Carolina+24.058.0W 31 - 27UY
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Miami+18.548.0L 26 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-2.057.5L 17 - 45ON
Thu 11/9 Virginia at Louisville+20.549.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia vs Duke+4.048.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 11/25 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+2.552.5L 17 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
W&M0%160%000%000%550%0%0000
UVA.0840%30.844%3.212337%2212.81.1341%19.640%41%3.5462.22.21.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
W&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
W&M Offense116160%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UVA Defense1019.617.740.8%3.541.7 - - - - - 51%49%40%41%15%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
W&M Defense155550%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UVA Offense1030.836.439.7%2.812.2193441232213.745%54%44%37%22%.08

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
William & Mary10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Virginia1027:301932%39%762.22.21.75.13028.2
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
W&M Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UVA Defense1051%40% - - - - .083.2667%9%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
W&M Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UVA Offense1045%44%32.91233.713.173.272%12%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
W&M Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UVA Defense1049%41% - - - - - - 5.191.430%29%.316%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
W&M Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UVA Offense1054%37%18.534.22216.512712.041.536%33%.4210%2

William & Mary's Power Ratings
William & Mary's Power Rating: NR
William & Mary's Offense Rating: NR
William & Mary's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
William & Mary's 2023 Expected Record: -
William & Mary's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
William & Mary's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
William & Mary's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
William & Mary:    Virginia: -5.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
William & Mary:    Virginia: -10.3




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.385  #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69  #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60  #114
2023 Talent Rating: 622.70  #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3  #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3  #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


William & Mary Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 55 PPG
Defense on Road: 55

William & Mary's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 44
William & Mary 17

Projected Total Points: 61
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Virginia55William & Mary16Virginia -30.5Virginia54.5Over
202310/07Virginia27William & Mary13Virginia -10Virginia42.0Under
202109/04Virginia43William & Mary0Virginia -30.5Virginia52.5Under
201909/06Virginia52William & Mary17Virginia -32.5Virginia52.5Over
201709/02Virginia28William & Mary10Virginia -28William & Mary0
201509/19Virginia35William & Mary29Virginia -24William & Mary0
201109/03Virginia40William & Mary3
200909/05Virginia14William & Mary26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia742 Overs
William & Mary122 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 14 - 24 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 72 - 40 - 02 - 4

(#) W&M at (#93) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatW&MUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #93
SP+SP+NR #106
Perf GradeGradeNR #116
OffenseOffNR #97
DefenseDefNR #128
Spec TeamsSTNR #112
TalentTalNR #66
Blue ChipsBC%NR #59
William & Mary on Offense
CategoryCat
W&M OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #128
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNR #114
SP+SP+NR #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
William & Mary Run Game
CategoryCat
W&M OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNR #129
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #96
William & Mary Pass Game
CategoryCat
W&M OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNR #97
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #127
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffW&M Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #97NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #84NR
SP+SP+ #95NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffW&M Def
Run GameRun #115NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #79 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffW&M Def
Pass GamePass #58NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #133NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

W&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Virginia -10.0 (42.0)
Virginia won vs William & Mary this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat William & Mary last year (55-16)
Virginia beat William & Mary in 2023 (27-13)

  
W&M's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Hughes20430866%23302037.6
Carson Jenkins010%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Hughes155670114.366
DreSean Kendrick123412.830
Andrew Piercy2-310-15.50
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DreSean Kendrick56723512.965
Joseph Johnson16193112.124
Sean McElwain12186315.540
Garrett Robertson8118014.837

View William & Mary's Full Roster

W&M's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ McGill120000
Jalen Jones40000
David Roulley31000
Nick Levy30000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ McGill120000
Jalen Jones40000
David Roulley31000
Nick Levy30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ McGill120000
Jalen Jones40000
David Roulley31000

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea15424663%19581398.0
Tony Muskett (Tr)9314763%1031657.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Perris Jones7639325.243
Kobe Pace (Tr)12538213.122
Mike Hollins8027473.422
Anthony Colandrea7322503.130
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Washington1101426913.064
Malachi Fields58811514.039
Kobe Pace (Tr)1917639.375
Sackett Wood Jr.9141015.728

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker10740111
James Jackson804175
Kamren Robinson715141
Coen King603015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Butler225310
Ben Smiley III154211
Paul Akere153140
Kamren Robinson715141
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker10740111
Dre Walker110005
Coen King603015