Norfolk State at Virginia - 2026 Matchup Preview
Norfolk State logo Norfolk State Spartans at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, September 12th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Scott Stadium - Charlottesville, VA

 
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 60 (10 - 60 on Road)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Virginia -11  (SP+ UVA -11)
UVA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
Cavaliers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (22 - 26)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Norfolk State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Norfolk State at Virginia+11

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Norfolk State's Schedule
Virginia's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 Virginia vs NC State-3.5
Sat 9/12 Virginia vs Norfolk State-32
Sat 9/19 Virginia at West Virginia-8
Sat 9/26 Virginia vs Delaware-24.5
Sat 10/3 Virginia at Florida State+2
Sat 10/10 Virginia vs Syracuse-18.5
Sat 10/17 Virginia at SMU+6
Fri 10/23 Virginia vs Duke-6.5
Sat 10/31 Virginia at Wake Forest+0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Virginia vs California-10.5
Sat 11/21 Virginia vs North Carolina-12
Sat 11/28 Virginia at Virginia Tech-8

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NSU0%100%000%000%600%0%0000
UVA#64 (.18)42% (82)30.844% (63)3.04 (53)18041% (79)2393.56 (82)#17 (.06)37% (20)19.639% (30)37% (22)3.01 (17)44.111.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NSU Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UVA Defense1419.617.737.4%3.011.4 - - - - - 51%47%39%37%18%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NSU Defense160600%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
UVA Offense1430.836.441.6%3.561224191802394.650%49%44%41%14%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Norfolk State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Virginia1432:1621.650%47%5.344.111.44.82.1330.7
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NSU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
UVA Defense1451% (77)39% (30) - - - - .04 (33)2.75 (42)71% (70)9% (77)0.92 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NSU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
UVA Offense1450% (66)44% (63)38.9179.94.629 (11).19 (30)3.04 (53)81% (11)8% (23)1.06 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NSU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
UVA Defense1447% (53)37% (22) - - - - - - 14 (38).15 (24)1.5 (44)32% (59)23% (3).11 (8)9% (5)1.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NSU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
UVA Offense1449% (71)41% (79)22.535.1239.16.810.618 (50)10 (60).24 (76)1.5 (73)32% (85)33% (34).36 (46)6% (65)1.9 (114)

Norfolk State's Power Ratings
Norfolk State's Power Rating: NR
Norfolk State's Offense Rating: NR
Norfolk State's Defense Rating: NR
2026 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Norfolk State's 2026 Expected Record: -
Norfolk State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Norfolk State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Norfolk State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MEAC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Norfolk State:    Virginia: 10.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Norfolk State:    Virginia: 11.1




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 10.9  #39
Virginia's Offense Rating: 11.32  #64
Virginia's Defense Rating: 10.62  #29
2026 Talent Rating: 820.00  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Virginia's 2026 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1  #31
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75


Norfolk State Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 60 PPG
Defense on Road: 60

Norfolk State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 36
Norfolk State 25

Projected Total Points: 61
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia000 Overs
Norfolk State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#NR) NSU at (#39) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNSUUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #39
SP+SP+NR #31
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNR #47
Blue ChipsBC%NR #65
Norfolk State on Offense
CategoryCat
NSU OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNR #20
ExplosiveExpNR #35
PPAPPANR #17
PowerPwrNR #29
SP+SP+NR #19
Pts POPPONR #17
HavocHavNR #23
Norfolk State Run Game
CategoryCat
NSU OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNR #30
Run ExplRExpNR #46
PPAExpNR #33
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #42
Stuff RateStuffNR #68
TackleTak - NR
Norfolk State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NSU OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNR #22
Pass ExplPExlNR #44
PPAExpNR #24
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NR #77
DB HavocDBNR #5
Virginia on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatUVA OffNSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #82NR
ExplosiveExp #43NR
PPAPPA #64NR
PowerPwr #64NR
SP+SP+ #56NR
Pts POPPO #82NR
HavocHav #39NR
Virginia Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
UVA OffNSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #63NR
Run ExplRExp #31NR
PPAExp #30NR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #53NR
Stuff RateStuff #32NR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatUVA OffNSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #79NR
Pass ExplPExl #73NR
PPAExp #76NR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #23NR
DB HavocDB #65NR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

NSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Earl Woods334869%285115.9
Israel Carter183256%132014.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Earl Woods3528738.266
Israel Carter154002.710
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Norfolk State's Full Roster

NSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)18227067%19461197.2
Eli Holstein (Tr)7712562%10811268.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jekail Middlebrook (Tr)14075245.472
Solomon Beebe (Tr)5633866.081
Beau Pribula (Tr)9529763.149
Peyton Lewis (Tr)7029074.132
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquon Gibson (Tr)6361609.850
Jahmal Edrine46564112.337
Jekail Middlebrook (Tr)40412310.348
Tyson Davis (Tr)25323212.936

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Jones (Tr)665001
Jalen McNair (Tr)502014
Brandyn Hillman (Tr)493003
Landon Danley481010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zion Wilson (Tr)4210641
Nnanna Anyanwu (Tr)217541
Fisher Camac446424
Jason Hammond333340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac446424
Jalen McNair (Tr)502014
Justin Ross (Tr)322134