Virginia Tech at Virginia - 2023 Matchup Preview
Virginia Tech logo Virginia Tech Hokies at Virginia Cavaliers(#19)Virginia logo
Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Virginia Tech -2.5 (52.5) (-115)  Open: -2.5 | 52.5
Virginia Tech 55 - Virginia: 17  (ACC)

 
Hokies (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brent Pry (4 - 10)
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (26 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 5.8 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UVA 2nd straight Home Game
UVA is playing their 6th straight game
VT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Virginia Tech -8.5  (SP+ VT -15)

Projected Score: VT: 31 - UVA: 23 (54)
VT Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
VT Travel: 118 miles
Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (25 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia Tech's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia Tech vs Old Dominion-16.048.0W 36 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Virginia Tech vs Purdue-1.549.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 Virginia Tech at Rutgers+6.537.5L 16 - 35ON
Sat 9/23 Virginia Tech at Marshall+5.541.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/30 Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh+3.040.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Virginia Tech at Florida State+23.552.5L 17 - 39OY
Sat 10/14 Virginia Tech vs Wake Forest-1.548.5W 30 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26 Virginia Tech vs Syracuse-2.547.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia Tech at Louisville+9.548.5L 3 - 34UN
Sat 11/11 Virginia Tech at Boston College-2.548.5W 48 - 22OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia Tech vs NC State-2.540.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 11/25 Virginia Tech at Virginia-2.552.5W 55 - 17OY
Wed 12/27 Virginia Tech vs Tulane-13.543.5W 41 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia Tech's Schedule
Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs Tennessee+27.556.0L 13 - 49ON
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs James Madison+6.040.0L 35 - 36OY
Fri 9/15 Virginia at Maryland+16.548.5L 14 - 42ON
Fri 9/22 Virginia vs NC State+8.547.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/30 Virginia at Boston College+5.052.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs William & Mary-10.042.0W 27 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Virginia at North Carolina+24.058.0W 31 - 27UY
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Miami+18.548.0L 26 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-2.057.5L 17 - 45ON
Thu 11/9 Virginia at Louisville+20.549.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia vs Duke+4.048.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 11/25 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+2.552.5L 17 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#59 (.21)43% (55)29.547% (32)3.2 (51)19039% (91)2014.32 (30)#49 (.16)38% (23)23.939% (36)36% (13)4.49 (124)57.81.21.2
UVA#88 (.15)41% (84)23.342% (82)3 (89)11841% (76)2513.68 (85)#117 (.26)45% (113)33.848% (118)43% (90)4.15 (103)55.31.71.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
VT#75 (.18)42% (87)44% (66)3.01 (76)17339% (102)1784.22 (40)#18 (.09)39% (34)42% (56)36% (15)2.97 (7)46.31.21.8
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Offense1329.52643.1%4.321.220391190201555%45%47%39%15%.21
UVA Defense1233.833.345.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
VT Defense1323.928.537.6%4.491.2 - - - - - 53%46%39%36%17%.16
UVA Offense1223.324.541%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia Tech1331:0919.835%65%6.357.81.21.26.42.9230.7
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Offense1355% (32)47% (32)38.4189.9520 (61).16 (63)3.2 (51)79% (24)10% (74)0.98 (77)
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (92)9% (108)1.03 (84)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
VT Defense1353% (110)39% (36) - - - - .15 (75)2.89 (32)70% (51)12% (17)1.1 (111)
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (98)13% (123)0.89 (113)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Offense1345% (99)39% (91)15.727.4201.57.412.823 (51)5 (6).28 (70)1.7 (27)32% (67)30% (73).25 (92)5% (18)1.9 (113)
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
VT Defense1346% (26)36% (13) - - - - - - 7 (111).19 (24)1.6 (81)34% (37)24% (8).19 (14)5% (108)1.9 (29)
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)

Virginia Tech's Power Ratings
Virginia Tech's Power Rating: 1.51  #54
Virginia Tech's Offense Rating: 17.22  #58
Virginia Tech's Defense Rating: 9.01  #61
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 7%  #57
Virginia Tech's 2023 Expected Record: 7.20 - 5.80
Virginia Tech's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7  #46
Virginia Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65
Virginia Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #44

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 1.51   Virginia: -5.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia Tech: 4.7   Virginia: -10.3




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.385  #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69  #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60  #114
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6  #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3  #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3  #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5  #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Virginia Tech Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.5

Virginia Tech's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia Tech 31
Virginia 23


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia Tech 31
Virginia 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Virginia Tech 31
Virginia 25

Total Points: 56
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Virginia27Virginia Tech7Virginia -9.5Virginia53.5Under
202411/30Virginia Tech37Virginia17Virginia Tech -4.5Virginia Tech44.5Over
202311/25Virginia17Virginia Tech55Virginia Tech -2.5Virginia Tech52.5Over
202111/27Virginia24Virginia Tech29Virginia -7Virginia Tech63.5Under
202012/12Virginia Tech33Virginia15Virginia Tech -3Virginia Tech64.0Under
201911/29Virginia39Virginia Tech30Virginia Tech -1.5Virginia48.0Over
201811/23Virginia Tech34Virginia31Virginia -5Virginia Tech49.5Over
201711/24Virginia0Virginia Tech10Virginia Tech -7Virginia Tech48.0Under
201611/26Virginia Tech52Virginia10Virginia Tech -18.5Virginia Tech53.5Over
201511/28Virginia20Virginia Tech23Virginia Tech -3.5Virginia48.0Under
201411/28Virginia Tech24Virginia20Virginia -2Virginia Tech38.5Over
201311/30Virginia6Virginia Tech16Virginia Tech -13Virginia0
201211/24Virginia Tech17Virginia14
201111/26Virginia0Virginia Tech38
201011/27Virginia Tech37Virginia7
200911/28Virginia13Virginia Tech42
200811/29Virginia Tech17Virginia14
200711/24Virginia21Virginia Tech33
200611/25Virginia Tech17Virginia0
200511/19Virginia14Virginia Tech52
200411/27Virginia Tech24Virginia10
200311/29Virginia35Virginia Tech21
200111/17Virginia17Virginia Tech31
200011/24Virginia Tech42Virginia21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia346 Overs
Virginia Tech2185 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 109 - 34 - 15 - 2
Road Teams10 - 143 - 92 - 51 - 4

(#54) VT at (#93) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatVTUVA
Power RatePwr #54 #93
SP+SP+ #46 #106
Perf GradeGrade #74 #116
OffenseOff #92 #97
DefenseDef #76 #128
Spec TeamsST #45 #112
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #57 #59
Virginia Tech on Offense
CategoryCat
VT OffUVA Def
Perf GradePerf #92 #128
SuccessSuc #55 #113
ExplosiveExp #74 #55
PPAPPA #59 #117
PowerPwr #58 #114
SP+SP+ #65 #99
Pts POPPO #30 #103
HavocHav #55 #96
Virginia Tech Run Game
CategoryCat
VT OffUVA Def
Run GameRun #49 #129
Run SuccessRSuc #32 #118
Run ExplRExp #77 #84
PPAExp #63 #124
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #116
Stuff RateStuff #85 #96
TackleTak -  #96
Virginia Tech Pass Game
CategoryCat
VT OffUVA Def
Pass GamePass #89 #97
Pass SuccessPSuc #91 #90
Pass ExplPExl #27 #54
PPAExp #70 #97
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #86 #127
F7 HavocF7 #74 #108
DB HavocDB #18 #57
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffVT Def
Perf GradePerf #97 #76
SuccessSuc #84 #23
ExplosiveExp #96 #92
PPAPPA #88 #49
PowerPwr #84 #61
SP+SP+ #95 #44
Pts POPPO #85 #124
HavocHav #109 #47
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffVT Def
Run GameRun #115 #110
Run SuccessRSuc #82 #36
Run ExplRExp #113 #111
PPAExp #91 #75
Run BlockR Blk #79 -
OL YdsOLY #89 #32
Stuff RateStuff #46 #34
TackleTak -  #94
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffVT Def
Pass GamePass #58 #77
Pass SuccessPSuc #76 #13
Pass ExplPExl #66 #81
PPAExp #67 #24
Pass Block/RushP Blk #133 #9
F7 HavocF7 #123 #17
DB HavocDB #79 #108
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

VT 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 42°
Rematch from Week 13
Virginia Tech 2.5 (52.5)
Virginia Tech won at Virginia this year (55-17)

Previous Matchups
Virginia Tech beat Virginia last year (37-17)
Virginia Tech beat Virginia in 2023 (55-17)
Virginia beat Virginia Tech in 2022 (0-0)

  
VT's OC Tyler Bowen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kyron Drones (Tr)16628558%20841737.3
Grant Wells376854%519527.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Bhayshul Tuten (Tr)173863105.049
Kyron Drones (Tr)16681854.959
Malachi Thomas8338124.635
Grant Wells177514.460
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Da'Quan Felton (Tr)38667817.684
Jaylin Lane (Tr)41538613.175
Dae'Quan Wright28366013.139
Stephen Gosnell22347315.844

View Virginia Tech's Full Roster

VT's DC Chris Marve (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keli Lawson767346
Alan Tisdale714222
Jalen Stroman552012
Mansoor Delane523001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Antwuan Powell38141060
Cole Nelson278510
Pheldarius Payne289451
Norell Pollard238410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Strong241008
Keli Lawson767346
Derrick Canteen (Tr)342005

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea15424663%19581398.0
Tony Muskett (Tr)9314763%1031657.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Perris Jones7639325.243
Kobe Pace (Tr)12538213.122
Mike Hollins8027473.422
Anthony Colandrea7322503.130
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Washington1101426913.064
Malachi Fields58811514.039
Kobe Pace (Tr)1917639.375
Sackett Wood Jr.9141015.728

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker10740111
James Jackson804175
Kamren Robinson715141
Coen King603015
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Butler225310
Ben Smiley III154211
Paul Akere153140
Kamren Robinson715141
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker10740111
Dre Walker110005
Coen King603015