Stanford at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Stanford logo Stanford Cardinal at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Scott Stadium - Charlottesville, VA  (ACC)

 
Cardinal (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Frank Reich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 34 (21 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.3 - 8.7 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 5) (Bad: 3)
UVA 2nd straight Home Game
UVA is playing their 4th straight game
STAN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Virginia -7.5   (SP+ UVA -2)
Projected Score: STAN: 23 - UVA: 30 (54)
UVA Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
STAN Travel: 2363 miles, 3 hrs behind
Cavaliers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#70)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 5)
 
Stanford's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Stanford at Hawai'i-2.555.5
Sat 9/6 Stanford at BYU+14.5
Sat 9/13 Stanford vs Boston College+5.5
Sat 9/20 Stanford at Virginia+7.5
Sat 9/27 Stanford vs San José State-2
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Stanford at SMU+21.5
Sat 10/18 Stanford vs Florida State+10.5
Sat 10/25 Stanford at Miami+28
Sat 11/1 Stanford vs Pittsburgh+7.5
Sat 11/8 Stanford at North Carolina+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Stanford vs California+1
Sat 11/29 Stanford vs Notre Dame+29

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 5, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+8.5
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-23
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-7.5
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+5.5
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+15
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-12.5
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina+4.5
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California+0.5
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-9
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+3

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)22.841% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)33.745% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)22.743% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)28.844% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense1222.821.240.1%3.671.8193251341913.750%50%41%39%22%.1
UVA Defense1228.825.342.6%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%50%44%42%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense1233.738.346.6%4.531.3 - - - - - 43%57%45%48%14%.27
UVA Offense1222.718.740%3.471.6193621332293.748%52%43%37%18%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford1231:4118.535%56%5.4491.81.35.32.1228.5
Virginia1229:5319.334%52%5.245.31.61.34.81.8029.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense1250% (71)41% (95)36.3133.83.711 (116).08 (97)2.72 (116)66% (111)15% (131)1.01 (52)
UVA Defense1249% (53)44% (77) - - - - .17 (91)3.29 (112)77% (89)9% (104)0.99 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense1243% (4)45% (92) - - - - .11 (62)2.92 (53)68% (39)10% (58)0.99 (70)
UVA Offense1248% (84)43% (77)35.9132.83.714 (98).16 (50)3.29 (25)73% (77)11% (96)0.91 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense1250% (64)39% (98)18.730.8191.36.210.318 (68)17 (127).13 (111)1.5 (120)32% (82)26% (116).22 (106)7% (102)2.1 (29)
UVA Defense1250% (83)42% (77) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (121)1.6 (84)32% (67)32% (84).43 (110)6% (67)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense1257% (131)48% (124) - - - - - - 9 (76).4 (125)1.6 (69)30% (96)34% (113).33 (85)4% (129)2 (51)
UVA Offense1252% (52)37% (113)20.533.42296.911.216 (87)14 (115).11 (122)1.5 (86)33% (101)26% (115).17 (120)7% (100)1.7 (129)

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -4.81 #80
Stanford's Offense Rating: 9.63 #94
Stanford's Defense Rating: 14.44 #64
2025 Talent Rating: 804.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Stanford's 2025 Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7
Stanford's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #96

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.18
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -4.81   Virginia: 2.19

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -6.2   Virginia: -4.3




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 2.19 #57
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.34 #50
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.66 #57
2025 Talent Rating: 856.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #55
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #79
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #70

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 825.18
Average Power Five Talent: 856.9
Average FBS Talent: 681.31


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.2
Defense: 33.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

Stanford's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 30
Stanford 23

Projected Total Points: 54
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia000 Overs
Stanford000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#80) Stanford Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.81 #80
Offense Rating: 9.63 #94
Defense Rating: 14.44 #64
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.2 #88
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 #96
Talent Rating: 804.00 #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 9% #40
Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.53 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Stanford Notes
(6/14) WR top 3 are portals, 2 FCS. Pantelis (Yale) fun
(6/14) RBs Ford & Davis some exp, Tabb a little. Starter?
(6/14) OL has 4 with starting exp, but avg to bad grades
(6/14) QB Brown, Rizk (UCF) some exp, #1 Daniels left
(5/2) TE Roush a reliable target, 70 catches past 2 yrs
(4/1) New HC Reich a one year interim HC
(3/25) HC Taylor fired by Luck for behavior issues
(3/21) RB awful LY, Daniels was lead rusher. Not ideal
(3/21) Def returns a ton, but a disaster LY.
(3/21) Former QB Luck now GM, oversees HC/staff
Stanford     Ratings Matchup     Virginia
Power #80
#57
Off #94
#50
Def #64
#57
Talent #45
#29
SP+ #88
#79
SP+ Off #82
#90
SP+ Def #96
#70

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: STAN | UVA
Depth Chart: STAN | UVA
Rosters: STAN | UVA
(#57) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.19 #57
Offense Rating: 16.34 #50
Defense Rating: 12.66 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #70
Talent Rating: 856.00 #29
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #55
Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Virginia Notes
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
(4/30) RBs Brown can play, Taylor (NC Cen) good add


  
Stanford's OC TBD
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Rizk (Tr)7311862%915527.8
Elijah Brown284858%274235.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Micah Ford7630904.126
Chris Davis Jr.5428805.347
Cole Tabb2713004.839
Caden High (Tr)119308.523
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
David Pantelis (Tr)61901814.862
Caden High (Tr)60876614.670
Sam Roush4033428.428
CJ Williams16248215.550

View Stanford's Full Roster
Stanford's DC Bobby April
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scotty Edwards802002
Mitch Leigber544011
Collin Wright453005
Tevarua Tafiti417430
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tevarua Tafiti417430
Zach Buckey116301
Hunter Barth (Tr)384212
Ernest Cooper223120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Collin Wright453005
Aaron Morris320004
Scotty Edwards802002

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)32250963%377431127.4
Suderian Harrison11100%270027.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Brown8048816.175
Harrison Waylee (Tr)6332315.136
Chandler Morris (Tr)6024244.049
Noah Vaughn3612003.313
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Ross37443312.043
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)23365215.953
Trell Harris15221214.745
Jayden Thomas (Tr)1816729.323

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Da'Marcus Crosby (Tr)812003
Kamren Robinson646521
Trey McDonald573111
Jermarian Jackson551106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fisher Camac (Tr)4615815
Kamren Robinson646521
James Jackson455220
Mitchell Melton (Tr)124210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jermarian Jackson551106
Fisher Camac (Tr)4615815
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)140005