Louisville at Virginia - 2022 Matchup Preview

Louisville Cardinals at Virginia Cavaliers

Saturday, October 8th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -1.5 (47.5)
Louisville 34 - Virginia: 17 (ACC)

Cardinals (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (23 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LOU 2nd straight Road Game
UVA is playing their 6th straight game
LOU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6.5 (SP+ LOU -18)
Projected Score: LOU: 23 - UVA: 29 (52)
UVA Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
LOU Travel: 394 miles

Cavaliers (3 - 7) (4 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LOU Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisville's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Louisville at Syracuse	-6.0	55.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/9	Louisville at UCF	+5.5	62.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/16	Louisville vs Florida State	+2.5	57.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/24	Louisville vs South Florida	-15.5	63.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisville at Boston College	-13.5	48.5	L 33 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/8	Louisville at Virginia	+1.5	47.5	W 34 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Louisville vs Pittsburgh	-1.5	55.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Louisville vs Wake Forest	+3.0	66.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Louisville vs James Madison	-6.5	53.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Louisville at Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Louisville vs NC State	-4.0	43.0	W 25 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Louisville at Kentucky	+3.5	42.5	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 12/17	Louisville vs Cincinnati	-2.5	38.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule

Virginia's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Virginia vs Richmond	-22.5	62.0	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/10	Virginia at Illinois	+4.0	55.0	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/17	Virginia vs Old Dominion	-8.0	52.5	W 16 - 14	U	N
Fri 9/23	Virginia at Syracuse	+9.5	53.5	L 20 - 22	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Virginia at Duke	+2.0	55.0	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/8	Virginia vs Louisville	-1.5	47.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/20	Virginia at Georgia Tech	+3.5	48.0	W 16 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Virginia vs Miami	+3.0	48.5	L 12 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Virginia vs North Carolina	+7.0	61.5	L 28 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Virginia vs Pittsburgh	+5.5	41.5	L 7 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/19	Virginia vs Coastal Carolina	-2.0	44.5
Sat 11/26	Virginia at Virginia Tech	+1.5	40.0

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU	.32	44%	29.9	43%	3.27	210	45%	236	4.45	.24	42%	21.2	46%	40%	4.21	54.9	1	1.3
UVA	.32	50%	30.8	51%	3.49	124	50%	392	4.33	.34	47%	19.6	49%	46%	3.8	56.8	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Offense	13	29.9	23	44.1%	4.45	1	21	446	210	236	5.4	56%	44%	43%	45%	14%	.32
UVA Defense	12	19.6	17.7	47%	3.8	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	49%	46%	14%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LOU Defense	13	21.2	25.5	42.4%	4.21	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	46%	40%	17%	.24
UVA Offense	12	30.8	36.4	50.3%	4.33	1.5	27	516	124	392	4.4	32%	67%	51%	50%	18%	.32

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisville	13	30:32	21.1	40%	52%	6.2	54.9	1	1.3	6.2	2.5	3	28.6
Virginia	12	30:42	26.5	46%	40%	6.4	56.8	1.5	1.2	4.5	1.6	0	25.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Offense	13	56%	43%	38.8	209.8	5.4	29	.25	3.27	68%	9%	1.22
UVA Defense	12	53%	49%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.57	78%	8%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LOU Defense	13	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.27	77%	10%	1.06
UVA Offense	12	32%	51%	28.3	123.6	4.4	21	.26	3.49	83%	10%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Offense	13	44%	45%	17	28	236.5	8.5	13.9	21	6	.4	1.7	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1
UVA Defense	12	46%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.44	1.6	29%	35%	.57	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LOU Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.25	1.7	33%	30%	.35	6%	2.1
UVA Offense	12	67%	50%	29.3	46.2	392.2	8.5	13.4	31	12	.38	1.5	30%	41%	.59	8%	2

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisville's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #39
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: Virginia: -2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 9.0 Virginia: -9.0

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -2 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2022 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.0 #96
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #117
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Louisville's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia 29
Louisville 23

Projected Total Points: 52

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Louisville	27	Virginia	30	Louisville -6.5	Virginia	59.5	Under
2024	10/12	Virginia	20	Louisville	24	Louisville -7	Virginia	54.0	Under
2023	11/09	Louisville	31	Virginia	24	Louisville -20.5	Virginia	49.5	Over
2022	10/08	Virginia	17	Louisville	34	Virginia -1.5	Louisville	47.5	Over
2021	10/09	Louisville	33	Virginia	34	Louisville -2.5	Virginia	69.5	Under
2020	11/14	Virginia	31	Louisville	17	Virginia -5.5	Virginia	64.5	Under
2019	10/26	Louisville	28	Virginia	21	Virginia -4.5	Louisville	51.0	Under
2018	09/22	Virginia	27	Louisville	3	Virginia -4.5	Virginia	51.5	Under
2017	11/11	Louisville	38	Virginia	21	Louisville -14	Louisville	66.5	Under
2016	10/29	Virginia	25	Louisville	32	Louisville -27	Virginia	69.5	Under
2015	11/14	Louisville	38	Virginia	31	Louisville -8.5	Virginia	48.0	Over
2014	09/13	Virginia	23	Louisville	21	Louisville -10	Virginia	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	5	9	3 Overs
Louisville	7	3	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	7 - 5	3 - 5	4 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 7	5 - 7	0 - 4	5 - 3

(#) LOU at (#) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LOU	UVA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#96
Perf GradeGrade	#57	#124
OffenseOff	#68	#127
DefenseDef	#51	#70
Spec TeamsST	#114	#120
TalentTal	#60	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisville Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	UVA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#70
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	#62	#98
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#19

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#18
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#40	#109
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Virginia on Offense


CategoryCat	UVA Off	LOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#127	#51
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#28
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Virginia Run Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#124	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#124

Virginia Pass Game


CategoryCat	UVA Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#110	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#132	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Virginia -1.5 (47.5)
Louisville won at Virginia this year (34-17)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Louisville last year (30-27)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2024 (24-20)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2023 (31-24)

LOU's OC Lance Taylor (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD