Coastal Carolina at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Coastal Carolina logo Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Virginia CavaliersVirginia logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -12.5 (57.5) (-470)  Open: -12.5 | 57.5
Virginia 48 - Coastal Carolina: 7

 
Chanticleers (1 - 2) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 7 - 29 (7 - 48 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#105)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Virginia -25   (SP+ UVA -19)
Projected Score: CCU: 15 - UVA: 40 (56)
UVA Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
CCU Travel: 294 miles
Cavaliers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (52 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Coastal Carolina at Virginia+12.557.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/6 Coastal Carolina vs Charleston Southern-28.549.0W 13 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina+7.058.0L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Coastal Carolina at South Alabama+14.550.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion+15.5
Sat 10/11 Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe-9
Sat 10/18 Coastal Carolina at App State+6.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Coastal Carolina vs Marshall-2
Sat 11/8 Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State-9
Sat 11/15 Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern-1.5
Sat 11/22 Coastal Carolina at South Carolina+29
Sat 11/29 Coastal Carolina vs James Madison+15

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+3.053.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-30.554.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-15.549.5
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+8.5
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-19
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina-4.5
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California+2.5
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-9
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-16

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#128 (-.01)38% (104)6.745% (65)2.89 (80)13533% (120)1581.67 (130)#87 (.16)43% (91)28.740% (74)46% (107)3.43 (67)653.30.7
UVA#10 (.47)51% (26)44.756% (17)3.69 (17)27147% (45)2894.24 (54)#75 (.14)37% (51)19.337% (52)37% (48)4.45 (104)350.71
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#73 (.18)40% (98)43% (81)3.05 (63)17337% (112)2024.24 (36)#94 (.21)43% (90)46% (98)41% (72)4.12 (101)63.81.31.7
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Offense36.7738.3%1.673.3192931351583.951%47%45%33%24%-.01
UVA Defense319.311.536.7%4.451 - - - - - 55%45%37%37%17%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Defense328.74842.8%3.430.7 - - - - - 50%49%40%46%14%.16
UVA Offense344.751.551.1%4.240.7265602712896.549%50%56%47%11%.47

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Coastal Carolina329:1319.331%50%7.3653.30.740.7026.6
Virginia334:3125.758%44%5350.7141.3133.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Offense351% (69)45% (65)351353.92 (109).07 (91)2.89 (80)89% (16)13% (123)0.89 (88)
UVA Defense355% (106)37% (52) - - - - .1 (91)2.71 (63)50% (19)8% (99)1.16 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Defense350% (67)40% (74) - - - - .02 (56)2.86 (78)60% (34)6% (124)0.85 (47)
UVA Offense349% (77)56% (17)422716.512 (3).55 (2)3.69 (17)86% (22)6% (21)1.31 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Offense347% (79)33% (120)18.334.31584.68.60 (133)6 (132).03 (125)1.4 (99)34% (108)25% (109)-.07 (130)11% (135)1.7 (111)
UVA Defense345% (34)37% (48) - - - - - - 1 (87).19 (62)1.5 (51)33% (68)19% (24).08 (30)9% (18)1.6 (24)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Defense349% (69)46% (107) - - - - - - 2 (56).35 (109)1.5 (65)30% (97)34% (103).34 (92)8% (26)1.6 (32)
UVA Offense350% (62)47% (45)2538289.37.611.64 (72)2 (60).45 (34)1.5 (68)30% (62)46% (11).63 (25)6% (79)1.6 (117)

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -12.19 #110
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: 1.85 #124
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 14.04 #98
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #121
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #113
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #120

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -12.19   Virginia: 11.245

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -15.4   Virginia: 3.8




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 6.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 48

Coastal Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 40
Coastal Carolina 15


Total Points: 56

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.5
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.5

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Virginia48Coastal Carolina7VirginiaVirginia -12.5Virginia57.5Under
202409/21Coastal Carolina24Virginia43VirginiaVirginia -3.5Virginia52.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia221 Overs
Coastal Carolina001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#110) Coastal Carolina Info
Power Rating: -12.19 #110
Offense Rating: 1.85 #124
Defense Rating: 14.04 #98
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 #121
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #113
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.7 #120
Talent Rating: 560.00 #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.67 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Coastal Carolina Notes
(8/21) QB E. Brown out for season in fall camp
(8/1) Off looks bad on paper, Defense looks worse
(8/1) WR top 3 back, 5 portals, Hinton (FCS) shifty
(8/1) Def really bad LY, replacing most. 17 portals
(7/22) HC Beck meh, fired OC/DC LY. Bad 2nd year
(7/22) New DC Johnson was great at La Tech LY
(3/24) OC Hollingshead was co-OC WKU, Leach tree
(3/23) QB Brown (PT Starter SJSU)/Morris (MD/NC St)
(3/23) RB rebuild. John (UMass) added, some depth
(3/23) OL 5/5 back, but bad LY. 2 portals. Jump TY?

Coastal Carolina Highlights
Coastal Carolina Secondary is very good (#26)

Coastal Carolina Deficiencies
Coastal Carolina has a really bad Offense
Coastal Carolina has a bad TO Margin (#136)
Coastal Carolina Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Coastal Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#103)
Coastal Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Coastal Carolina offense is really bad (#104)
Coastal Carolina offense is not Explosive (#110)
Coastal Carolina offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#130)
Coastal Carolina pass game is really bad (#120)
Coastal Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Coastal Carolina does not Sack the QB (#122)
Coastal Carolina Does Not Stuff Runs (#116)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUVACCU
OverallOver#22#76
OffenseOff#24#84
DefenseDef#37#64
Special TeamsST#6#86
PassingPass#25#82
RushingRush#21#88
Run BlockRBLK#40#38
Pass BlockPBLK#56#86
Route RunningWR Rt#29#93
TacklingTkl#82#58
Run DefenseR Def#56#69
Pass Rush DefPRush#28#73
Coverage DefCov#34#47

Rematch from Week 1
Virginia -12.5 (57.5)
Virginia won vs Coastal Carolina this year (48-7)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Coastal Carolina last year (43-24)
Coastal Carolina beat Virginia in 2022 (0-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CCU | UVA
Depth Chart: CCU | UVA
Rosters: CCU | UVA
(#42) Virginia Info
Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl

Virginia Highlights
Virginia is Undefeated at Home
Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)

Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)

Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)


  
Coastal Carolina's OC Drew Hollingshead
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
MJ Morris (Tr)335857%265044.6
Tad Hudson224549%209024.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Knicely1813707.652
Ja'Vin Simpkins2510914.416
Jalen John (Tr)217303.511
Jevon Edwards93804.214
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Robby Washington (Tr)9100011.139
Bryson Graves995010.621
Cameron Wright782011.723
Malick Meiga65909.819

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster
Coastal Carolina's DC Jeremiah Johnson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Bruce181000
Myles Mooyoung (Tr)161002
Dre Pinckney160000
Xamarion Gordon161002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezekiel Durham-Campbell (Tr)82221
Aamarii Notice (Tr)51100
Shane Bruce181000
Fredd Adams20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)151005
Myles Mooyoung (Tr)161002
Xamarion Gordon161002

Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)628970%670417.5
Daniel Kaelin (Tr)112348%190018.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
J'mari Taylor (Tr)3321366.566
Noah Vaughn2217007.754
Harrison Waylee (Tr)1716949.997
Chandler Morris (Tr)9113012.642
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trell Harris14176012.648
Cameron Ross12164113.746
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)11123111.218
Kameron Courtney794013.430

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Landon Danley171010
James Jackson140010
Devin Neal (Tr)112111
Mitchell Melton (Tr)103100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Billy Koudelka21110
Maddox Marcellus (Tr)81101
Devin Neal (Tr)112111
Mitchell Melton (Tr)103100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donavon Platt (Tr)60003
McKale Boley10011
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)40001