Coastal Carolina at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Coastal Carolina logo   Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Virginia Cavaliers  Virginia logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -12.5 (57.5) (-470)  Open: -12.5 | 57.5
Virginia 48 - Coastal Carolina: 7

 
Chanticleers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck* (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 22 - 33 (24 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 6.8 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Virginia -33  (SP+ UVA -26)
Projected Score: CCU: 12 - UVA: 45 (57)
UVA Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
CCU Travel: 294 miles
Cavaliers (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Coastal Carolina at Virginia+12.557.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/6 Coastal Carolina vs Charleston Southern-28.549.0W 13 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina+7.058.0L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Coastal Carolina at South Alabama+14.551.5W 38 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion+18.553.5L 7 - 47ON
Sat 10/11 Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe+3.046.5W 23 - 8UY
Sat 10/18 Coastal Carolina at App State+10.548.5W 45 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Coastal Carolina vs Marshall+7.555.5W 44 - 27OY
Sat 11/8 Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State-7.056.5W 40 - 27OY
Sat 11/15 Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern+3.059.5L 40 - 45ON
Sat 11/22 Coastal Carolina at South Carolina+24.050.0L 7 - 51ON
Sat 11/29 Coastal Carolina vs James Madison+24.054.5L 10 - 59ON
Tue 12/30 Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana Tech+10.051.0L 14 - 23UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+3.053.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-30.554.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-16.548.5W 48 - 20OY
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+7.059.5W 46 - 38OY
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+6.559.5W 30 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-16.556.5W 22 - 20UN
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina-12.551.5W 17 - 16UN
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California-6.552.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-7.048.5L 9 - 16UN
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke+5.559.5W 34 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-9.553.5W 27 - 7UY
Sat 12/6 Virginia vs Duke-3.558.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 12/27 Virginia vs Missouri+4.043.5W 13 - 7UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#73 (.18)40% (98)22.243% (81)3.05 (63)17337% (112)2024.24 (36)#94 (.21)43% (90)33.146% (98)41% (72)4.12 (101)63.81.31.7
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)30.843% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)19.644% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Offense1322.22440.5%4.241.3183751732024.756%44%43%37%14%.18
UVA Defense1219.617.742.6%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%50%44%42%15%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Defense1333.141.343.4%4.121.7 - - - - - 53%47%46%41%14%.21
UVA Offense1230.836.440%3.471.6193621332293.748%52%43%37%18%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Coastal Carolina1328:4918.138%36%6.963.81.31.74.42.2229.3
Virginia1229:5319.334%52%5.245.31.61.34.81.8029.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Offense1356% (29)43% (81)37172.84.721 (59).14 (61)3.05 (63)77% (40)8% (25)1.03 (44)
UVA Defense1249% (53)44% (77) - - - - .17 (91)3.29 (112)77% (89)9% (104)0.99 (69)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Defense1353% (97)46% (98) - - - - .14 (76)3.39 (122)85% (128)9% (99)0.92 (41)
UVA Offense1248% (84)43% (77)35.9132.83.714 (98).16 (50)3.29 (25)73% (77)11% (96)0.91 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Offense1344% (106)37% (112)1527.52027.313.520 (58)11 (72).26 (68)1.9 (9)33% (104)28% (100).3 (84)6% (86)2.3 (10)
UVA Defense1250% (83)42% (77) - - - - - - 9 (76).37 (121)1.6 (84)32% (67)32% (84).43 (110)6% (67)2.1 (82)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Defense1347% (39)41% (72) - - - - - - 11 (52).3 (102)1.8 (117)33% (47)30% (58).26 (46)5% (109)2.1 (73)
UVA Offense1252% (52)37% (113)20.533.42296.911.216 (87)14 (115).11 (122)1.5 (86)33% (101)26% (115).17 (120)7% (100)1.7 (129)

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -18.52  #129
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: 3.19  #126
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 21.71  #120
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.2 - 6.8
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1  #121
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #96
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0  #128

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -18.52   Virginia: 16.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -15.1   Virginia: 11.1




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 16.04  #18
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.24  #26
Virginia's Defense Rating: 4.26  #19
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1  #31
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1  #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.3

Coastal Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 45
Coastal Carolina 12


Projected Total Points: 57
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Virginia48Coastal Carolina7Virginia -12.5Virginia57.5Under
202409/21Coastal Carolina24Virginia43Virginia -3.5Virginia52.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia221 Overs
Coastal Carolina001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#129) CCU at (#18) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCCUUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #129 #18
SP+SP+ #121 #31
Perf GradeGrade #122 #20
OffenseOff #130 #50
DefenseDef #94 #12
Spec TeamsST #115 #51
TalentTal #105 #21
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #65
Coastal Carolina Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Ryan Beard (Missouri St). Good hire
(11/30) Fired HC Tim Beck after 6-6, 20-17 run in 3 yrs
(11/21) QB Samari Collier was better, but he's now injured
(10/19) Great W @ App St, 2 straight to save a lost season
(10/19) Playing multiple QBs including Samari Collier, meh
(10/12) 312 yds passing total last 3 games, somehow 2-1
(9/21) Big W vs S Al, box score L, OG'd but forced 3 TOs
(9/17) QB Morris benched, QB1 Hudson no better
(9/17) Team looks on a rapid descent w/ little hope
(9/15) Off #'s are bottom 20, scored 20 pts in 3 games
(8/21) QB E. Brown out for season in fall camp
(8/1) Off looks bad on paper, Defense looks worse
Coastal Carolina Injury Report
Virginia Notes
(11/26) Star LB Kam Robinson out for season (ACL)
(11/16) Killed Duke, Hoos incredible story. ACC threat
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/25) Box score L vs NC. Great story, but badly overrated
(9/26) Huge W over FSU, Run Off good, Morris tough/clutch
(9/22) Off 3rd in CFB in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/21) Off on a tear, QB Morris playing great. Good start
(9/21) Off #'s are incredible during 3-1 start, eyes on
(8/26) 20 of 23 listed on two deep are Sr or Gr.
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
Virginia Injury Report
Coastal Carolina on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #130 #12
SuccessSuc #98 #80
ExplosiveExp #12 #87
PPAPPA #73 #116
PowerPwr #126 #19
SP+SP+ #96 #19
Pts POPPO #36 #94
HavocHav #37 #91
Coastal Carolina Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUVA Def
Run GameRun #110 #33
Run SuccessRSuc #81 #77
Run ExplRExp #44 #69
PPAExp #61 #91
Run BlockR Blk #90 -
OL YdsOLY #63 #112
Stuff RateStuff #88 #121
TackleTak -  #37
Coastal Carolina Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUVA Def
Pass GamePass #126 #10
Pass SuccessPSuc #112 #77
Pass ExplPExl #9 #84
PPAExp #68 #121
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #39 #31
F7 HavocF7 #25 #104
DB HavocDB #86 #67
Virginia on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatUVA OffCCU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #50 #94
SuccessSuc #103 #90
ExplosiveExp #105 #77
PPAPPA #102 #94
PowerPwr #26 #120
SP+SP+ #56 #128
Pts POPPO #106 #101
HavocHav #109 #111
Virginia Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
UVA OffCCU Def
Run GameRun #52 #73
Run SuccessRSuc #77 #98
Run ExplRExp #92 #41
PPAExp #50 #76
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLY #25 #122
Stuff RateStuff #6 #124
TackleTak -  #121
Virginia Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatUVA OffCCU Def
Pass GamePass #45 #108
Pass SuccessPSuc #113 #72
Pass ExplPExl #86 #117
PPAExp #122 #102
Pass Block/RushP Blk #90 #54
F7 HavocF7 #96 #99
DB HavocDB #100 #109
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

CCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Virginia -12.5 (57.5)
Virginia won vs Coastal Carolina this year (48-7)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Coastal Carolina last year (48-7)
Virginia beat Coastal Carolina in 2024 (43-24)

  
CCU's OC Tim Beck* (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tad Hudson13925455%1253674.9
Samari Collier387849%489726.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Vin Simpkins12559024.746
Samari Collier7042976.185
Dominic Knicely6738435.759
Jevon Edwards6637115.643
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bryson Graves3533029.439
Robby Washington (Tr)2927839.639
Cameron Wright24274111.444
Malick Meiga19209111.032

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Craig Naivar (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xamarion Gordon623005
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)592006
Dontae Lunan568011
Tray Brown5312311
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezekiel Durham-Campbell (Tr)408681
Tray Brown5312311
Noah Arinze (Tr)316231
Ibrahim Diawara166220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)592006
Myles Woods462006
Xamarion Gordon623005

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)28243665%30001696.9
Daniel Kaelin (Tr)305258%339116.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
J'mari Taylor (Tr)2221062144.878
Harrison Waylee (Tr)11855664.797
Chandler Morris (Tr)6424553.842
Xavier Brown5124114.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trell Harris59847514.475
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)46564112.337
Cameron Ross53543210.246
J'mari Taylor (Tr)4325315.925

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Neal (Tr)882127
James Jackson663053
Kamren Robinson644221
Maddox Marcellus (Tr)493211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Rickert (Tr)369791
Mitchell Melton (Tr)4510573
Fisher Camac (Tr)446424
Jacob Holmes (Tr)336340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)262008
Devin Neal (Tr)882127
Christian Charles (Tr)431026