Coastal Carolina at Virginia - 2025 Matchup Preview
Coastal Carolina logo Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Virginia Cavaliers(#17)Virginia logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -12.5 (57.5) (-470)  Open: -12.5 | 57.5
Virginia 48 - Coastal Carolina: 7

 
Chanticleers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tim Beck (14 - 11)
Avg Score : 22 - 33 (24 - 41 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 6.8 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)
Our Line: Virginia -33.5  (SP+ UVA -26)
Projected Score: CCU: 11 - UVA: 44 (55)
UVA Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
CCU Travel: 294 miles
Cavaliers (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Coastal Carolina at Virginia+12.557.5L 7 - 48UN
Sat 9/6 Coastal Carolina vs Charleston Southern-28.549.0W 13 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina+7.058.0L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Coastal Carolina at South Alabama+14.551.5W 38 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion+18.553.5L 7 - 47ON
Sat 10/11 Coastal Carolina vs UL Monroe+3.046.5W 23 - 8UY
Sat 10/18 Coastal Carolina at App State+10.548.5W 45 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Coastal Carolina vs Marshall+7.555.5W 44 - 27OY
Sat 11/8 Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State-7.056.5W 40 - 27OY
Sat 11/15 Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern+3.059.5L 40 - 45ON
Sat 11/22 Coastal Carolina at South Carolina+24.050.0L 7 - 51ON
Sat 11/29 Coastal Carolina vs James Madison+24.054.5L 10 - 59ON
Tue 12/30 Coastal Carolina vs Louisiana Tech+10.051.0L 14 - 23UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Coastal Carolina's Schedule
Virginia's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-12.557.5W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Virginia at NC State+3.053.0L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/13 Virginia vs William & Mary-30.554.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 9/20 Virginia vs Stanford-16.548.5W 48 - 20OY
Fri 9/26 Virginia vs Florida State+7.059.5W 46 - 38OY
Sat 10/4 Virginia at Louisville+6.559.5W 30 - 27UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Virginia vs Washington State-16.556.5W 22 - 20UN
Sat 10/25 Virginia at North Carolina-12.551.5W 17 - 16UN
Sat 11/1 Virginia at California-6.552.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Virginia vs Wake Forest-7.048.5L 9 - 16UN
Sat 11/15 Virginia at Duke+5.559.5W 34 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Virginia vs Virginia Tech-9.553.5W 27 - 7UY
Sat 12/6 Virginia vs Duke-3.558.5L 20 - 27UN
Sat 12/27 Virginia vs Missouri+4.043.5W 13 - 7UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#107 (.1)38% (118)22.243% (75)2.78 (103)15332% (133)1463.82 (58)#99 (.2)44% (100)33.144% (92)45% (112)3.63 (65)48.41.51.4
UVA#64 (.18)42% (82)30.844% (66)3.04 (51)17241% (79)2253.49 (91)#18 (.06)37% (21)19.639% (30)37% (25)3.01 (19)420.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CCU#73 (.18)40% (98)43% (81)3.05 (63)17337% (112)2024.24 (36)#94 (.21)43% (90)46% (98)41% (72)4.12 (101)63.81.31.7
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Offense1322.22437.7%3.821.5162981531464.556%42%43%32%18%.1
UVA Defense1419.617.737.4%3.011.4 - - - - - 51%47%39%37%18%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CCU Defense1333.141.344.1%3.631.4 - - - - - 50%48%44%45%15%.2
UVA Offense1430.836.441.6%3.490.9203971722254.850%49%44%41%14%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Coastal Carolina1325:5315.834%56%5.848.41.51.44.81.4230.5
Virginia1429:3120.349%46%5420.91.44.62.1330.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Offense1356% (24)43% (75)34.3152.84.515 (88).1 (75)2.78 (103)73% (61)11% (120)1.03 (46)
UVA Defense1451% (78)39% (30) - - - - .04 (31)2.75 (43)71% (69)9% (75)0.92 (47)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CCU Defense1350% (68)44% (92) - - - - .16 (103)3.04 (99)64% (19)10% (68)1.05 (110)
UVA Offense1450% (65)44% (66)36172.14.828 (11).19 (34)3.04 (51)81% (13)8% (25)1.06 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Offense1342% (112)32% (133)14.826.9145.65.49.814 (114)11 (119).14 (116)1.8 (11)35% (123)28% (95).17 (116)7% (99)1.9 (89)
UVA Defense1447% (50)37% (25) - - - - - - 13 (38).15 (29)1.5 (44)32% (60)23% (3).11 (8)9% (6)1.9 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CCU Defense1348% (68)45% (112) - - - - - - 11 (38).31 (101)1.5 (56)30% (97)31% (89).38 (111)5% (98)2.1 (97)
UVA Offense1449% (73)41% (79)20.732.42256.910.918 (50)10 (60).24 (74)1.5 (74)32% (84)33% (34).36 (47)6% (68)1.9 (111)

Coastal Carolina's Power Ratings
Coastal Carolina's Power Rating: -18.21  #133
Coastal Carolina's Offense Rating: -2.55  #135
Coastal Carolina's Defense Rating: 15.66  #114
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00  #105
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Expected Record: 6.2 - 6.8
Coastal Carolina's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.0  #117
Coastal Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2  #91
Coastal Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #129

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -18.21   Virginia: 17.305

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Coastal Carolina: -14.0   Virginia: 12.1




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 17.305  #25
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.28  #32
Virginia's Defense Rating: -1.23  #27
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1  #28
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #49
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3  #23

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Coastal Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 33.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.3

Coastal Carolina's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 44
Coastal Carolina 11


Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Coastal Carolina 31
Virginia 20

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Virginia 35
Coastal Carolina 21

Total Points: 56
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Virginia48Coastal Carolina7Virginia -12.5Virginia57.5Under
202409/21Coastal Carolina24Virginia43Virginia -3.5Virginia52.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia221 Overs
Coastal Carolina001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#133) CCU at (#25) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCCUUVA
Power RatePwr #133 #25
SP+SP+ #117 #28
Perf GradeGrade #119 #16
OffenseOff #126 #46
DefenseDef #101 #15
Spec TeamsST #54 #33
TalentTal #105 #21
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #65
Coastal Carolina Notes
(12/11) Hired HC Ryan Beard (Missouri St). Good hire
(11/30) Fired HC Tim Beck after 6-6, 20-17 run in 3 yrs
(11/21) QB Samari Collier was better, but he's now injured
(10/19) Great W @ App St, 2 straight to save a lost season
(10/19) Playing multiple QBs including Samari Collier, meh
(10/12) 312 yds passing total last 3 games, somehow 2-1
(9/21) Big W vs S Al, box score L, OG'd but forced 3 TOs
(9/17) QB Morris benched, QB1 Hudson no better
(9/17) Team looks on a rapid descent w/ little hope
(9/15) Off #'s are bottom 20, scored 20 pts in 3 games
(8/21) QB E. Brown out for season in fall camp
(8/1) Off looks bad on paper, Defense looks worse
Coastal Carolina Injury Report
Virginia Notes
(11/26) Star LB Kam Robinson out for season (ACL)
(11/16) Killed Duke, Hoos incredible story. ACC threat
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/25) Box score L vs NC. Great story, but badly overrated
(9/26) Huge W over FSU, Run Off good, Morris tough/clutch
(9/22) Off 3rd in CFB in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/21) Off on a tear, QB Morris playing great. Good start
(9/21) Off #'s are incredible during 3-1 start, eyes on
(8/26) 20 of 23 listed on two deep are Sr or Gr.
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
Virginia Injury Report
Coastal Carolina on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUVA Def
Perf GradePerf #126 #15
SuccessSuc #118 #21
ExplosiveExp #47 #35
PPAPPA #107 #18
PowerPwr #135 #27
SP+SP+ #91 #23
Pts POPPO #58 #19
HavocHav #117 #23
Coastal Carolina Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUVA Def
Run GameRun #110 #39
Run SuccessRSuc #75 #30
Run ExplRExp #46 #47
PPAExp #75 #31
Run BlockR Blk #63 -
OL YdsOLY #103 #43
Stuff RateStuff #82 #70
TackleTak -  #39
Coastal Carolina Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
CCU OffUVA Def
Pass GamePass #129 #18
Pass SuccessPSuc #133 #25
Pass ExplPExl #11 #44
PPAExp #116 #29
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #37 #32
F7 HavocF7 #120 #75
DB HavocDB #99 #6
Virginia on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatUVA OffCCU Def
Perf GradePerf #46 #101
SuccessSuc #82 #100
ExplosiveExp #45 #99
PPAPPA #64 #99
PowerPwr #32 #114
SP+SP+ #49 #129
Pts POPPO #91 #65
HavocHav #38 #91
Virginia Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
UVA OffCCU Def
Run GameRun #58 #83
Run SuccessRSuc #66 #92
Run ExplRExp #33 #110
PPAExp #34 #103
Run BlockR Blk #44 -
OL YdsOLY #51 #99
Stuff RateStuff #35 #96
TackleTak -  #122
Virginia Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatUVA OffCCU Def
Pass GamePass #42 #103
Pass SuccessPSuc #79 #112
Pass ExplPExl #74 #56
PPAExp #74 #101
Pass Block/RushP Blk #78 #65
F7 HavocF7 #25 #68
DB HavocDB #68 #98
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4

CCU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 74° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Virginia -12.5 (57.5)
Virginia won vs Coastal Carolina this year (48-7)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Coastal Carolina last year (43-24)
Coastal Carolina beat Virginia in 2022 (0-0)

  
CCU's OC Drew Hollingshead (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tad Hudson11420556%942454.6
Samari Collier387849%489726.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Vin Simpkins11556724.946
Samari Collier7042976.185
Dominic Knicely6437635.959
Jevon Edwards5733515.943
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cameron Wright24274111.444
Bryson Graves2923128.024
Robby Washington (Tr)2423129.639
Jameson Tucker10197219.775

View Coastal Carolina's Full Roster

CCU's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xamarion Gordon623005
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)562006
Dontae Lunan537011
Tray Brown459311
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezekiel Durham-Campbell (Tr)408681
Tray Brown459311
Sawyer Goram-Welch233201
Noah Arinze (Tr)276231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ja'Marion Wayne (Tr)562006
Xamarion Gordon623005
Myles Woods441005

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Chandler Morris (Tr)28243665%30001696.9
Daniel Kaelin (Tr)305258%339116.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
J'mari Taylor (Tr)2221062144.878
Harrison Waylee (Tr)11855664.797
Chandler Morris (Tr)6424553.842
Xavier Brown5124114.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trell Harris59847514.475
Jahmal Edrine (Tr)46564112.337
Cameron Ross53543210.246
J'mari Taylor (Tr)4325315.925

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Devin Neal (Tr)882127
James Jackson663053
Kamren Robinson644221
Maddox Marcellus (Tr)493211
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Rickert (Tr)369791
Mitchell Melton (Tr)4510573
Fisher Camac (Tr)446424
Jacob Holmes (Tr)336340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Emmanuel Karnley (Tr)262008
Devin Neal (Tr)882127
Christian Charles (Tr)431026