Virginia Cavaliers at NC State Wolfpack
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
NC State -3.0 (53.0) (-150) Open: -3.0 | 55.5
NC State 35 - Virginia: 31
Cavaliers (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
NCST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Virginia -7.5 (SP+ UVA -9)
Projected Score: UVA: 30 - NCST: 22 (52)
NCST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UVA Travel: 155 miles
Our Line: Virginia -7.5 (SP+ UVA -9)
Projected Score: UVA: 30 - NCST: 22 (52)
NCST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UVA Travel: 155 miles
Wolfpack (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
| Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Virginia vs Coastal Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Virginia at NC State | +3.0 | 53.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -30.5 | 54.5 | W 55 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Virginia vs Stanford | -16.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/26 | Virginia vs Florida State | +7.0 | 59.5 | W 46 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Virginia at Louisville | +6.5 | 59.5 | W 30 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Virginia vs Washington State | -16.5 | 56.5 | W 22 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Virginia at North Carolina | -12.5 | 51.5 | W 17 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Virginia at California | -6.5 | 52.5 | W 31 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Virginia vs Wake Forest | -7.0 | 48.5 | L 9 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Virginia at Duke | +5.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | -9.5 | 53.5 | W 27 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/6 | Virginia vs Duke | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/27 | Virginia vs Missouri | +4.0 | 43.5 | W 13 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| NC State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.0 | 57.5 | L 33 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -10.0 | 57.5 | L 21 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -42.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +23.5 | 59.5 | L 7 - 36 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +5.5 | 52.5 | L 34 - 53 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +4.5 | 58.5 | W 48 - 36 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +16.5 | 54.5 | L 7 - 41 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +7.0 | 58.5 | W 21 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -7.0 | 48.5 | W 42 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/19 | NC State vs Memphis | -6.0 | 56.5 | W 31 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #64 (.18) | 42% (82) | 30.8 | 44% (66) | 3.04 (51) | 172 | 41% (79) | 225 | 3.49 (91) | #18 (.06) | 37% (21) | 19.6 | 39% (30) | 37% (25) | 3.01 (19) | 42 | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| NCST | #20 (.28) | 44% (52) | 30.2 | 44% (64) | 2.94 (68) | 147 | 44% (43) | 246 | 4.69 (10) | #102 (.21) | 39% (41) | 27.2 | 38% (22) | 40% (55) | 3.7 (73) | 53.8 | 1 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | ||
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 30.8 | 28.6 | 41.6% | 3.49 | 0.9 | 20 | 397 | 172 | 225 | 4.8 | 50% | 49% | 44% | 41% | 14% | .18 |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 27.2 | 21 | 39.3% | 3.7 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 43% | 56% | 38% | 40% | 15% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 19.6 | 23.2 | 37.4% | 3.01 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 47% | 39% | 37% | 18% | .06 |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 30.2 | 35.3 | 43.8% | 4.69 | 1 | 20 | 393 | 147 | 246 | 4.5 | 47% | 51% | 44% | 44% | 16% | .28 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 14 | 29:31 | 20.3 | 49% | 46% | 5 | 42 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 30.7 |
| NC State | 13 | 29:47 | 20.4 | 41% | 50% | 5.5 | 53.8 | 1 | 1.2 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 27.9 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 50% (65) | 44% (66) | 36 | 172.1 | 4.8 | 28 (11) | .19 (34) | 3.04 (51) | 81% (13) | 8% (25) | 1.06 (33) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 43% (4) | 38% (22) | - | - | - | - | .12 (78) | 2.87 (64) | 65% (26) | 8% (108) | 1.09 (122) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 51% (78) | 39% (30) | - | - | - | - | .04 (31) | 2.75 (43) | 71% (69) | 9% (75) | 0.92 (47) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 47% (86) | 44% (64) | 32.5 | 147.1 | 4.5 | 27 (40) | .19 (32) | 2.94 (68) | 73% (63) | 10% (98) | 1.1 (19) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 14 | 49% (73) | 41% (79) | 20.7 | 32.4 | 225 | 6.9 | 10.9 | 18 (50) | 10 (60) | .24 (74) | 1.5 (74) | 32% (84) | 33% (34) | .36 (47) | 6% (68) | 1.9 (111) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 56% (132) | 40% (55) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (75) | .3 (91) | 1.7 (118) | 35% (21) | 31% (90) | .38 (112) | 7% (46) | 2.1 (83) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 14 | 47% (50) | 37% (25) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (38) | .15 (29) | 1.5 (44) | 32% (60) | 23% (3) | .11 (8) | 9% (6) | 1.9 (25) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 51% (49) | 44% (43) | 21.5 | 31.8 | 245.7 | 7.7 | 11.4 | 26 (33) | 10 (119) | .39 (25) | 1.6 (31) | 31% (67) | 32% (48) | .4 (34) | 6% (54) | 2.1 (53) |
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 17.51 #25
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.28 #32
Virginia's Defense Rating: -1.23 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #28
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #49
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia's Power Rating: 17.51 #25
Virginia's Offense Rating: 16.28 #32
Virginia's Defense Rating: -1.23 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.1 #28
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #49
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #23
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 17.51 NC State: 7.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 12.1 NC State: 2.9
Virginia: 17.51 NC State: 7.39
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 12.1 NC State: 2.9
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.39 #51
NC State's Offense Rating: 16.98 #28
NC State's Defense Rating: 10.10 #80
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #61
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #73
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
NC State's Power Rating: 7.39 #51
NC State's Offense Rating: 16.98 #28
NC State's Defense Rating: 10.10 #80
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #61
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #47
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #73
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 30
NC State 22
Total Points: 52
Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 28
Virginia 19
Total Points: 47
Based on Entire Season
Virginia 27
NC State 27
Total Points: 54
Virginia 30
NC State 22
Total Points: 52
Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 28
Virginia 19
Total Points: 47
Based on Entire Season
Virginia 27
NC State 27
Total Points: 54
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | NC State | 35 | Virginia | 31 | NC State -3.0 | NC State | 53.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/22 | Virginia | 21 | NC State | 24 | NC State -8.5 | Virginia | 47.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/10 | Virginia | 21 | NC State | 38 | Virginia -7 | NC State | 59.0 | Push |
| 2018 | 09/29 | NC State | 35 | Virginia | 21 | NC State -5.5 | NC State | 52.5 | Over |
| 2012 | 11/03 | NC State | 6 | Virginia | 33 | ||||
| 2011 | 10/22 | Virginia | 14 | NC State | 28 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/27 | NC State | 29 | Virginia | 24 | ||||
| 2006 | 10/28 | Virginia | 14 | NC State | 7 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/01 | NC State | 51 | Virginia | 37 | ||||
| 2002 | 11/16 | Virginia | 14 | NC State | 9 | ||||
| 2001 | 10/27 | NC State | 24 | Virginia | 0 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Virginia | 24 | NC State | 17 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 8 | 3 | 2 Overs |
| Virginia | 4 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 4 | 3 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 8 | 1 - 3 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 2 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UVA | NCST |
| Power RatePwr | #25 | #51 |
| SP+SP+ | #28 | #61 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #16 | #73 |
| OffenseOff | #46 | #51 |
| DefenseDef | #15 | #90 |
| Spec TeamsST | #33 | #78 |
| TalentTal | #21 | #43 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #65 | #39 |
(11/16) Killed Duke, Hoos incredible story. ACC threat
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/25) Box score L vs NC. Great story, but badly overrated
(9/26) Huge W over FSU, Run Off good, Morris tough/clutch
(9/22) Off 3rd in CFB in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/21) Off on a tear, QB Morris playing great. Good start
(9/21) Off #'s are incredible during 3-1 start, eyes on
(8/26) 20 of 23 listed on two deep are Sr or Gr.
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(11/5) RB Jayden Scott (Fr) huge vs GT. Name to watch
(10/12) Def really beat up & can't compete. Off regressing
(10/9) DB injury issues, nickel down to 5th option (ND wk)
(9/30) Run Def mauled by VT? Run Off awful, horrific loss
(9/30) Things could go south in a hurry for this program
(9/20) Def horrible, torched by Duke. Bailey TOs killed
(9/11) Run Off good vs Wake, Def bad but rallied
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | NCST Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #46 | #90 |
| SuccessSuc | #82 | #41 |
| ExplosiveExp | #45 | #134 |
| PPAPPA | #64 | #102 |
| PowerPwr | #32 | #80 |
| SP+SP+ | #49 | #73 |
| Pts POPPO | #91 | #73 |
| HavocHav | #38 | #84 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | NCST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #58 | #61 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #66 | #22 |
| Run ExplRExp | #33 | #122 |
| PPAExp | #34 | #78 | Run BlockR Blk | #44 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #51 | #64 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #35 | #65 |
| TackleTak | - | #56 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | NCST Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #42 | #97 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #79 | #55 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #74 | #118 |
| PPAExp | #74 | #91 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #78 | #68 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #25 | #108 |
| DB HavocDB | #68 | #46 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST Off | UVA Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #51 | #15 |
| SuccessSuc | #52 | #21 |
| ExplosiveExp | #12 | #35 |
| PPAPPA | #20 | #18 |
| PowerPwr | #28 | #27 |
| SP+SP+ | #47 | #23 |
| Pts POPPO | #10 | #19 |
| HavocHav | #73 | #23 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NCST Off | UVA Def | |
| Run GameRun | #57 | #39 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #64 | #30 |
| Run ExplRExp | #19 | #47 |
| PPAExp | #32 | #31 | Run BlockR Blk | #67 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #68 | #43 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #112 | #70 |
| TackleTak | - | #39 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST Off | UVA Def |
| Pass GamePass | #79 | #18 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #43 | #25 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #31 | #44 |
| PPAExp | #25 | #29 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #56 | #32 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #98 | #75 |
| DB HavocDB | #54 | #6 |
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
NCST 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 87° - Wind: 8 mph
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 87° - Wind: 8 mph
NC State -3.0 (53.0)
NC State won vs Virginia this year (35-31)
Previous Matchups
NC State beat Virginia in 2023 (24-21)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 282 | 436 | 65% | 3000 | 16 | 9 | 6.9 |
| Daniel Kaelin (Tr) | 30 | 52 | 58% | 339 | 1 | 1 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 222 | 1062 | 14 | 4.8 | 78 |
| Harrison Waylee (Tr) | 118 | 556 | 6 | 4.7 | 97 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 64 | 245 | 5 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Xavier Brown | 51 | 241 | 1 | 4.7 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trell Harris | 59 | 847 | 5 | 14.4 | 75 |
| Jahmal Edrine (Tr) | 46 | 564 | 1 | 12.3 | 37 |
| Cameron Ross | 53 | 543 | 2 | 10.2 | 46 |
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 43 | 253 | 1 | 5.9 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| James Jackson | 66 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Maddox Marcellus (Tr) | 49 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rickert (Tr) | 36 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 45 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Fisher Camac (Tr) | 44 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Jacob Holmes (Tr) | 33 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Karnley (Tr) | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| Christian Charles (Tr) | 43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 273 | 397 | 69% | 3105 | 25 | 9 | 7.8 |
| Lex Thomas | 2 | 7 | 29% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 160 | 939 | 6 | 5.9 | 65 |
| Jayden Scott | 106 | 595 | 4 | 5.6 | 69 |
| CJ Bailey | 89 | 215 | 6 | 2.4 | 30 |
| Will Wilson | 43 | 146 | 10 | 3.4 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Anderson | 39 | 629 | 5 | 16.1 | 75 |
| Justin Joly | 49 | 489 | 7 | 10.0 | 59 |
| Wesley Grimes | 31 | 458 | 3 | 14.8 | 48 |
| Noah Rogers | 31 | 413 | 2 | 13.3 | 48 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 143 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr) | 80 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Asaad Brown Jr. | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Cian Slone (Tr) | 62 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tra Thomas (Tr) | 24 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Caden Fordham | 143 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Travali Price | 22 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Sabastian Harsh (Tr) | 41 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Marshall | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| Jackson Vick | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Brian Nelson II (Tr) | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |