Virginia Cavaliers at NC State Wolfpack 
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
NC State -3.0 (53.0) (-150) Open: -3.0 | 55.5
NC State 35 - Virginia: 31
Cavaliers (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
NCST 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Virginia -6.5 (SP+ UVA -6.5)
Projected Score: UVA: 30 - NCST: 24 (54)
NCST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UVA Travel: 155 miles
Our Line: Virginia -6.5 (SP+ UVA -6.5)
Projected Score: UVA: 30 - NCST: 24 (54)
NCST Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UVA Travel: 155 miles
Wolfpack (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
Coach Dave Doeren (87 - 64)
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#64)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
| Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Virginia vs Coastal Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Virginia at NC State | +3.0 | 53.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -30.5 | 54.5 | W 55 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Virginia vs Stanford | -16.5 | 48.5 | W 48 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Fri 9/26 | Virginia vs Florida State | +7.0 | 59.5 | W 46 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/4 | Virginia at Louisville | +6.5 | 59.5 | W 30 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Virginia vs Washington State | -16.5 | 56.5 | W 22 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Virginia at North Carolina | -12.5 | 51.5 | W 17 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Virginia at California | -6.5 | 52.5 | W 31 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | Virginia vs Wake Forest | -7.0 | 48.5 | L 9 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | Virginia at Duke | +5.5 | 59.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | -9.5 | 53.5 | W 27 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 12/6 | Virginia vs Duke | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 12/27 | Virginia vs Missouri | +4.0 | 43.5 | W 13 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| NC State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/28 | NC State vs East Carolina | -12.5 | 58.5 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | NC State vs Virginia | -3.0 | 53.0 | W 35 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Thu 9/11 | NC State at Wake Forest | -7.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | NC State at Duke | +3.0 | 57.5 | L 33 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | NC State vs Virginia Tech | -10.0 | 57.5 | L 21 - 23 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | NC State vs Campbell | -42.5 | 61.5 | W 56 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | NC State at Notre Dame | +23.5 | 59.5 | L 7 - 36 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | NC State at Pittsburgh | +5.5 | 52.5 | L 34 - 53 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | NC State vs Georgia Tech | +4.5 | 58.5 | W 48 - 36 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | NC State at Miami | +16.5 | 54.5 | L 7 - 41 | U | N | |
| Fri 11/21 | NC State vs Florida State | +7.0 | 58.5 | W 21 - 11 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | NC State vs North Carolina | -7.0 | 48.5 | W 42 - 19 | O | Y | |
| Fri 12/19 | NC State vs Memphis | -6.0 | 56.5 | W 31 - 7 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
Overall Stats 2024
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 30.8 | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 19.6 | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| NCST | #26 (.25) | 45% (36) | 30.2 | 44% (68) | 3.24 (36) | 130 | 47% (20) | 215 | 3.97 (61) | #86 (.19) | 41% (59) | 27.2 | 39% (31) | 43% (87) | 3.78 (67) | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| NCST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 12 | 30.8 | 28.6 | 40% | 3.47 | 1.6 | 19 | 362 | 133 | 229 | 3.7 | 48% | 52% | 43% | 37% | 18% | .13 |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 27.2 | 21 | 40.9% | 3.78 | 1.4 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% | 53% | 39% | 43% | 20% | .19 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 12 | 19.6 | 23.2 | 42.6% | 4.04 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 44% | 42% | 15% | .27 |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 30.2 | 35.3 | 45.1% | 3.97 | 1.7 | 19 | 345 | 130 | 215 | 4.4 | 47% | 52% | 44% | 47% | 19% | .25 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 12 | 29:53 | 19.3 | 34% | 52% | 5.2 | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 29.5 |
| NC State | 13 | 29:10 | 18.6 | 37% | 56% | 4.8 | 45 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 28.9 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 12 | 48% (84) | 43% (77) | 35.9 | 132.8 | 3.7 | 14 (98) | .16 (50) | 3.29 (25) | 73% (77) | 11% (96) | 0.91 (92) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 47% (33) | 39% (31) | - | - | - | - | .2 (111) | 3.07 (83) | 76% (86) | 12% (24) | 1.28 (134) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 12 | 49% (53) | 44% (77) | - | - | - | - | .17 (91) | 3.29 (112) | 77% (89) | 9% (104) | 0.99 (69) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 47% (89) | 44% (68) | 29.6 | 130.3 | 4.4 | 21 (59) | .15 (56) | 3.24 (36) | 69% (92) | 13% (127) | 0.98 (59) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Offense | 12 | 52% (52) | 37% (113) | 20.5 | 33.4 | 229 | 6.9 | 11.2 | 16 (87) | 14 (115) | .11 (122) | 1.5 (86) | 33% (101) | 26% (115) | .17 (120) | 7% (100) | 1.7 (129) |
| NCST Defense | 13 | 53% (106) | 43% (87) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .19 (47) | 1.5 (22) | 33% (49) | 30% (65) | .33 (83) | 8% (16) | 2.3 (120) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UVA Defense | 12 | 50% (83) | 42% (77) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .37 (121) | 1.6 (84) | 32% (67) | 32% (84) | .43 (110) | 6% (67) | 2.1 (82) |
| NCST Offense | 13 | 52% (48) | 47% (20) | 18.2 | 28.1 | 214.8 | 7.7 | 11.8 | 18 (68) | 12 (85) | .36 (24) | 1.6 (45) | 30% (35) | 36% (24) | .57 (5) | 6% (83) | 2.2 (19) |
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 15.98 #18
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.24 #26
Virginia's Defense Rating: 4.26 #19
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #31
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #19
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia's Power Rating: 15.98 #18
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.24 #26
Virginia's Defense Rating: 4.26 #19
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #31
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #19
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 15.98 NC State: 7.25
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 11.1 NC State: 4.8
Virginia: 15.98 NC State: 7.25
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: 11.1 NC State: 4.8
NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.25 #52
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.37 #36
NC State's Defense Rating: 13.67 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #55
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #45
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
NC State's Power Rating: 7.25 #52
NC State's Offense Rating: 18.37 #36
NC State's Defense Rating: 13.67 #67
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #39
NC State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.4 - 5.6
NC State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 #55
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 #45
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #64
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 30
NC State 24
Projected Total Points: 54
Virginia 30
NC State 24
Projected Total Points: 54
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
NC State's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | NC State | 35 | Virginia | 31 | NC State -3.0 | NC State | 53.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/22 | Virginia | 21 | NC State | 24 | NC State -8.5 | Virginia | 47.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 10/10 | Virginia | 21 | NC State | 38 | Virginia -7 | NC State | 59.0 | Push |
| 2018 | 09/29 | NC State | 35 | Virginia | 21 | NC State -5.5 | NC State | 52.5 | Over |
| 2012 | 11/03 | NC State | 6 | Virginia | 33 | ||||
| 2011 | 10/22 | Virginia | 14 | NC State | 28 | ||||
| 2007 | 10/27 | NC State | 29 | Virginia | 24 | ||||
| 2006 | 10/28 | Virginia | 14 | NC State | 7 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/01 | NC State | 51 | Virginia | 37 | ||||
| 2002 | 11/16 | Virginia | 14 | NC State | 9 | ||||
| 2001 | 10/27 | NC State | 24 | Virginia | 0 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Virginia | 24 | NC State | 17 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 8 | 3 | 2 Overs |
| Virginia | 4 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 4 | 3 - 1 | 2 - 1 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 8 | 1 - 3 | 0 - 1 | 1 - 2 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UVA | NCST |
| Net PPPPPP | NR | NR |
| Power RatePwr | #18 | #52 |
| SP+SP+ | #31 | #55 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #20 | #75 |
| OffenseOff | #50 | #52 |
| DefenseDef | #12 | #89 |
| Spec TeamsST | #51 | #91 |
| TalentTal | #21 | #43 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #65 | #39 |
(11/16) Killed Duke, Hoos incredible story. ACC threat
(10/28) 3 wins so far w/ negative Success Rate
(10/25) Box score L vs NC. Great story, but badly overrated
(9/26) Huge W over FSU, Run Off good, Morris tough/clutch
(9/22) Off 3rd in CFB in rush yds after contact (wk 5)
(9/21) Off on a tear, QB Morris playing great. Good start
(9/21) Off #'s are incredible during 3-1 start, eyes on
(8/26) 20 of 23 listed on two deep are Sr or Gr.
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(11/5) RB Jayden Scott (Fr) huge vs GT. Name to watch
(10/12) Def really beat up & can't compete. Off regressing
(10/9) DB injury issues, nickel down to 5th option (ND wk)
(9/30) Run Def mauled by VT? Run Off awful, horrific loss
(9/30) Things could go south in a hurry for this program
(9/20) Def horrible, torched by Duke. Bailey TOs killed
(9/11) Run Off good vs Wake, Def bad but rallied
(9/11) CJ Bailey is a weapon, holds ball long at times
(9/11) Tackling is an issue, Def very inconsistent
(8/29) Run Def great vs ECU, run off a big concern
(7/28) Off only 5 portals, 3 OL & 2 TE, good sign?
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | NCST Def | |
| PPPOffPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #50 | #89 |
| SuccessSuc | #103 | #59 |
| ExplosiveExp | #105 | #113 |
| PPAPPA | #102 | #86 |
| PowerPwr | #26 | #67 |
| SP+SP+ | #56 | #64 |
| Pts POPPO | #106 | #67 |
| HavocHav | #109 | #16 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | NCST Def | |
| Run GameRun | #52 | #70 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #77 | #31 |
| Run ExplRExp | #92 | #134 |
| PPAExp | #50 | #111 | Run BlockR Blk | #61 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #25 | #83 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #6 | #105 |
| TackleTak | - | #74 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50% | ||
|---|---|---|
| UVA Off | NCST Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #45 | #97 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #113 | #87 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #86 | #22 |
| PPAExp | #122 | #47 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #90 | #65 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #96 | #24 |
| DB HavocDB | #100 | #16 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST Off | UVA Def |
| PPPDefPPP | NR | NR |
| Perf GradePerf | #52 | #12 |
| SuccessSuc | #36 | #80 |
| ExplosiveExp | #32 | #87 |
| PPAPPA | #26 | #116 |
| PowerPwr | #36 | #19 |
| SP+SP+ | #45 | #19 |
| Pts POPPO | #61 | #94 |
| HavocHav | #122 | #91 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| NCST Off | UVA Def | |
| Run GameRun | #61 | #33 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #68 | #77 |
| Run ExplRExp | #59 | #69 |
| PPAExp | #56 | #91 | Run BlockR Blk | #52 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #36 | #112 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #37 | #121 |
| TackleTak | - | #37 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | NCST Off | UVA Def |
| Pass GamePass | #95 | #10 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #20 | #77 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #45 | #84 |
| PPAExp | #24 | #121 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #46 | #31 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #127 | #104 |
| DB HavocDB | #83 | #67 |
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average P4
Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
NC State -3.0 (53.0)
NC State won vs Virginia this year (35-31)
Previous Matchups
NC State beat Virginia last year (35-31)
NC State beat Virginia in 2023 (24-21)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 282 | 436 | 65% | 3000 | 16 | 9 | 6.9 |
| Daniel Kaelin (Tr) | 30 | 52 | 58% | 339 | 1 | 1 | 6.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 222 | 1062 | 14 | 4.8 | 78 |
| Harrison Waylee (Tr) | 118 | 556 | 6 | 4.7 | 97 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 64 | 245 | 5 | 3.8 | 42 |
| Xavier Brown | 51 | 241 | 1 | 4.7 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trell Harris | 59 | 847 | 5 | 14.4 | 75 |
| Jahmal Edrine (Tr) | 46 | 564 | 1 | 12.3 | 37 |
| Cameron Ross | 53 | 543 | 2 | 10.2 | 46 |
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 43 | 253 | 1 | 5.9 | 25 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| James Jackson | 66 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Maddox Marcellus (Tr) | 49 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Rickert (Tr) | 36 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 45 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Fisher Camac (Tr) | 44 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Jacob Holmes (Tr) | 33 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Karnley (Tr) | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 88 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| Christian Charles (Tr) | 43 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Bailey | 273 | 397 | 69% | 3105 | 25 | 9 | 7.8 |
| Lex Thomas | 2 | 7 | 29% | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daylan Smothers | 160 | 939 | 6 | 5.9 | 65 |
| Jayden Scott | 106 | 595 | 4 | 5.6 | 69 |
| CJ Bailey | 89 | 215 | 6 | 2.4 | 30 |
| Will Wilson | 43 | 146 | 10 | 3.4 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Anderson | 39 | 629 | 5 | 16.1 | 75 |
| Justin Joly | 49 | 489 | 7 | 10.0 | 59 |
| Wesley Grimes | 31 | 458 | 3 | 14.8 | 48 |
| Noah Rogers | 31 | 413 | 2 | 13.3 | 48 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Fordham | 143 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr) | 80 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Asaad Brown Jr. | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Cian Slone (Tr) | 62 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tra Thomas (Tr) | 24 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Caden Fordham | 143 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Travali Price | 22 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Sabastian Harsh (Tr) | 41 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Marshall | 50 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| Jackson Vick | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Brian Nelson II (Tr) | 29 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |