Virginia at Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo Virginia Cavaliers vs Tennessee VolunteersTennessee logo
Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Tennessee -27.5 (56.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tennessee 49 - Virginia: 13

 
Cavaliers (3 - 9) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (3 - 10)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#125)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Tennessee -19   (SP+ TENN -23)
Projected Score: UVA: 18 - TENN: 37 (51)
TENN Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
UVA Travel: 331 miles
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (43 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs Tennessee+27.556.0L 13 - 49ON
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs James Madison+6.040.0L 35 - 36OY
Fri 9/15 Virginia at Maryland+16.548.5L 14 - 42ON
Fri 9/22 Virginia vs NC State+8.547.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/30 Virginia at Boston College+5.052.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs William & Mary-10.042.0W 27 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Virginia at North Carolina+24.058.0W 31 - 27UY
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Miami+18.548.0L 26 - 29OY
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-2.057.5L 17 - 45ON
Thu 11/9 Virginia at Louisville+20.549.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 Virginia vs Duke+4.048.5W 30 - 27OY
Sat 11/25 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+2.552.5L 17 - 55ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.0840%22.744%3.212337%2212.81.1341%28.840%41%3.5462.22.21.7
TENN.3751%35.751%3.319951%3264.81.1841%16.139%43%3.1669.50.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1022.726.739.7%2.812.2193441232213.745%54%44%37%22%.08
TENN Defense1316.19.941.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1028.832.240.8%3.541.7 - - - - - 51%49%40%41%15%.13
TENN Offense1335.743.451.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1027:301932%39%762.22.21.75.13028.2
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1045%44%32.91233.713.173.272%12%1.01
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1051%40% - - - - .083.2667%9%0.87
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1054%37%18.534.22216.512712.041.536%33%.4210%2
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1049%41% - - - - - - 5.191.430%29%.316%2
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Virginia's Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -5.47   Tennessee: 11.355

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -10.3   Tennessee: 13.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 11.355 #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
2023 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 37
Virginia 18

Projected Total Points: 51
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Tennessee49Virginia13TennesseeTennessee -27.5Tennessee56.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee111 Overs
Virginia000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#93) Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.47 #93
Offense Rating: 14.69 #84
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #99
Talent Rating: 668.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #59
Expected Record: 3.70 - 8.30

Team Profile






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Virginia     Ratings Matchup     Tennessee
Power #93
#24
Off #84
#36
Def #114
#31
Talent #60
#12
SP+ #106
#19
SP+ Off #95
#28
SP+ Def #99
#31

Rematch from Week 1
Tennessee -27.5 (56.0)
Tennessee won vs Virginia this year (49-13)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Virginia in 2023 (49-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Nissan Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 85° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: UVA | TENN
Depth Chart: UVA | TENN
Rosters: UVA | TENN
(#24) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 11.355 #24
Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile






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Virginia's OC Des Kitchings
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tony Muskett (Tr)457659%545337.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Pace (Tr)11449934.443
Tony Muskett (Tr)279843.618
Donte Hawthorne112012.012
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kobe Pace (Tr)2118909.052
Demick Starling356018.727
Sackett Wood Jr.31816.08
Donte Hawthorne1202.02

View Virginia's Full Roster
Virginia's DC John Rudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker989214
Antonio Clary483113
Kameron Butler433382
Chico Bennett Jr.398150
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Butler433382
Jonas Sanker989214
Antonio Clary483113
Chico Bennett Jr.398150
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonas Sanker989214
Antonio Clary483113
Kameron Butler433382

Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Navy Shuler1333%10003.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Sampson2581491225.856
Bru McCoy21507.59
Patrick Wilk31204.09
Navy Shuler2502.56
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dont'E Thornton26661625.486
Bru McCoy39472212.142
Dylan Sampson2014307.221

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Elijah Herring598434
Will Brooks594115
Tamarion McDonald584201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.38138101
Tyler Baron3811660
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)184430
Elijah Herring598434
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Will Brooks594115