Virginia at Illinois - 2022 Matchup Preview
Virginia logo   Virginia Cavaliers at Illinois Fighting Illini  Illinois logo
Saturday, September 10th 2022 (4:00 PM EDT)
Illinois -4 (55.0)
Illinois 24 - Virginia: 3

 
Cavaliers (3 - 7) (4 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (29 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -15  (SP+ ILL -25)
Projected Score: UVA: 24 - ILL: 26 (50)
ILL Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UVA Travel: 540 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Virginia's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Virginia vs Richmond-22.562.0W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/10 Virginia at Illinois+4.055.0L 3 - 24UN
Sat 9/17 Virginia vs Old Dominion-8.052.5W 16 - 14UN
Fri 9/23 Virginia at Syracuse+9.553.5L 20 - 22UY
Sat 10/1 Virginia at Duke+2.055.0L 17 - 38UN
Sat 10/8 Virginia vs Louisville-1.547.5L 17 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/20 Virginia at Georgia Tech+3.548.0W 16 - 9UY
Sat 10/29 Virginia vs Miami+3.048.5L 12 - 14UY
Sat 11/5 Virginia vs North Carolina+7.061.5L 28 - 31UY
Sat 11/12 Virginia vs Pittsburgh+5.541.5L 7 - 37ON
Sat 11/19 Virginia vs Coastal Carolina-2.044.5
Sat 11/26 Virginia at Virginia Tech+1.540.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Illinois's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Illinois vs Wyoming-14.042.5W 38 - 6OY
Fri 9/2 Illinois at Indiana+1.047.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/10 Illinois vs Virginia-4.055.0W 24 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/22 Illinois vs Chattanooga-20.044.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Illinois at Wisconsin+6.543.0W 34 - 10OY
Sat 10/8 Illinois vs Iowa-3.536.5W 9 - 6UN
Sat 10/15 Illinois vs Minnesota+4.540.0W 26 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Illinois at Nebraska-7.550.5W 26 - 9UY
Sat 11/5 Illinois vs Michigan State-16.541.0L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/12 Illinois vs Purdue-6.044.0L 24 - 31ON
Sat 11/19 Illinois at Michigan+17.041.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 11/26 Illinois at Northwestern-15.038.0W 41 - 3OY
Mon 1/2 Illinois vs Mississippi State+3.546.5L 10 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA.3250%30.851%3.4912450%3924.33.3447%19.649%46%3.856.81.51.2
ILL.1340%29.445%3.3817433%1563.16.1844%23.645%42%3.3452.811.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1230.828.650.3%4.331.5275161243924.432%67%51%50%18%.32
ILL Defense1223.614.443.6%3.341.6 - - - - - 52%48%45%42%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Defense1219.623.247%3.81.2 - - - - - 53%46%49%46%14%.34
ILL Offense1229.431.339.7%3.161183301741564.559%41%45%33%16%.13

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1230:4226.546%40%6.456.81.51.24.51.6025.7
Illinois1229:1117.638%38%552.811.65.72.5028
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1232%51%28.3123.64.421.263.4983%10%0.98
ILL Defense1252%45% - - - - .143.2178%9%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Defense1253%49% - - - - .33.5778%8%1.03
ILL Offense1259%45%39173.64.512.153.3886%9%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1267%50%29.346.2392.28.513.43112.381.530%41%.598%2
ILL Defense1248%42% - - - - - - 9.261.431%27%.186%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Defense1246%46% - - - - - - 8.441.629%35%.576%2.2
ILL Offense1241%33%13.826.8156.25.811.4136.121.734%25%.157%1.8

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Virginia's 2022 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.0  #96
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2  #117
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4  #47

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    Illinois: 10.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -9.0   Illinois: 15.9




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 10.45 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9  #17
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #98
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 5.5  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Virginia's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 26
Virginia 24

Projected Total Points: 50
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/10Illinois24Virginia3Illinois -4Illinois55.0Under
202109/11Virginia42Illinois14Virginia -10.5Virginia57.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois110 Overs
Virginia112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#) UVA at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUVAILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #96 #17
Perf GradeGrade #124 #8
OffenseOff #127 #24
DefenseDef #70 #4
Spec TeamsST #120 #56
TalentTal #59 #56
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCat
UVA OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #4
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffILL Def
Run GameRun #124 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #30
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffILL Def
Pass GamePass #110 #3
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #132 #40
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffUVA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #24 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffUVA Def
Run GameRun #51 #98
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #19
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffUVA Def
Pass GamePass #21 #18
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #39 #109
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

UVA 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'22 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Illinois -4.0 (55.0)
Illinois won vs Virginia this year (24-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UVA's OC Des Kitchings (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ILL's DC Ryan Walters (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD