Syracuse at Virginia - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 10th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Scott Stadium - Charlottesville, VA

Orange (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Fran Brown (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (17 - 40 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#115)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SYR 3rd straight Road Game
UVA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Virginia -18.5 (SP+ UVA -24)
Projected Score: SYR: 18 - UVA: 37 (55)
UVA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
SYR Travel: 368 miles

Cavaliers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (22 - 26)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 3.5 (#15)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SYR Players
UVA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Syracuse's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Syracuse vs New Hampshire	-16
Sat 9/12	Syracuse vs California	+5.5
Thu 9/17	Syracuse at Pittsburgh	+18
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Syracuse at UConn	+5.5
Sat 10/10	Syracuse at Virginia	+18.5
Sat 10/17	Syracuse vs Louisville	+15.5
Sat 10/24	Syracuse at North Carolina	+9
Fri 10/30	Syracuse vs SMU	+16.5
Fri 11/6	Syracuse vs Clemson	+13.5
Sat 11/14	Syracuse at NC State	+17
Sat 11/21	Syracuse at Boston College	+5.5
Sat 11/28	Syracuse vs Notre Dame	+31.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Virginia's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/29	Virginia vs NC State	-3.5
Sat 9/12	Virginia vs Norfolk State	-32
Sat 9/19	Virginia at West Virginia	-8
Sat 9/26	Virginia vs Delaware	-24.5
Sat 10/3	Virginia at Florida State	+2
Sat 10/10	Virginia vs Syracuse	-18.5
Sat 10/17	Virginia at SMU	+6
Fri 10/23	Virginia vs Duke	-6.5
Sat 10/31	Virginia at Wake Forest	+0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	Virginia vs California	-10.5
Sat 11/21	Virginia vs North Carolina	-12
Sat 11/28	Virginia at Virginia Tech	-8

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR	#127 (.03)	38% (117)	20.2	41% (95)	2.61 (124)	123	35% (125)	217	2.98 (123)	#129 (.28)	45% (120)	34.9	45% (98)	46% (120)	4.15 (113)	54.9	1.9	0.8
UVA	#64 (.18)	42% (82)	30.8	44% (63)	3.04 (53)	180	41% (79)	239	3.56 (82)	#17 (.06)	37% (20)	19.6	39% (30)	37% (22)	3.01 (17)	44.1	1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Offense	12	20.2	17	37.7%	2.98	1.9	19	340	123	217	3.4	47%	52%	41%	35%	19%	.03
UVA Defense	14	19.6	17.7	37.4%	3.01	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	39%	37%	18%	.06

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SYR Defense	12	34.9	40.2	45.4%	4.15	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	45%	46%	13%	.28
UVA Offense	14	30.8	36.4	41.6%	3.56	1	22	419	180	239	4.6	50%	49%	44%	41%	14%	.18

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Syracuse	12	30:28	19.4	35%	47%	6.2	54.9	1.9	0.8	4.8	1.6	0	27.6
Virginia	14	32:16	21.6	50%	47%	5.3	44.1	1	1.4	4.8	2.1	3	30.7

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Offense	12	47% (89)	41% (95)	36.2	123.1	3.4	12 (88)	(122)	2.61 (124)	70% (83)	11% (105)	0.87 (115)
UVA Defense	14	51% (77)	39% (30)	-	-	-	-	.04 (33)	2.75 (42)	71% (70)	9% (77)	0.92 (46)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SYR Defense	12	47% (29)	45% (98)	-	-	-	-	.11 (78)	2.92 (77)	64% (24)	8% (112)	1.04 (107)
UVA Offense	14	50% (66)	44% (63)	38.9	179.9	4.6	29 (11)	.19 (30)	3.04 (53)	81% (11)	8% (23)	1.06 (31)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Offense	12	52% (42)	35% (125)	19.2	34	217.3	6.4	11.3	17 (30)	15 (132)	.1 (124)	1.6 (52)	33% (94)	24% (124)	.12 (128)	8% (129)	2.1 (44)
UVA Defense	14	47% (53)	37% (22)	-	-	-	-	-	-	14 (38)	.15 (24)	1.5 (44)	32% (59)	23% (3)	.11 (8)	9% (5)	1.9 (25)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SYR Defense	12	52% (114)	46% (120)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (55)	.44 (131)	1.5 (60)	29% (106)	33% (108)	.48 (132)	5% (99)	2.1 (90)
UVA Offense	14	49% (71)	41% (79)	22.5	35.1	239.1	6.8	10.6	18 (50)	10 (60)	.24 (76)	1.5 (73)	32% (85)	33% (34)	.36 (46)	6% (65)	1.9 (114)

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -1.90 #67
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 12.62 #56
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 19.52 #81
2026 Talent Rating: 832.00 #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #49
Syracuse's 2026 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Syracuse's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1 #115
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #115
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -1.90 Virginia: 10.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Syracuse: -13.1 Virginia: 11.1

Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 10.9 #39
Virginia's Offense Rating: 11.32 #64
Virginia's Defense Rating: 10.62 #29
2026 Talent Rating: 820.00 #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Virginia's 2026 Expected Record: 10.5 - 3.5
Virginia's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.1 #31
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #19

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.2

Syracuse's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Virginia 37
Syracuse 18

Projected Total Points: 55

Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/23	Syracuse	22	Virginia	20	Syracuse -9.5	Virginia	53.5	Under
2015	10/17	Virginia	44	Syracuse	38	Virginia -8.5	Syracuse	51.0	Over
2005	09/17	Syracuse	24	Virginia	27
2004	09/25	Virginia	31	Syracuse	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Virginia	3	1	1 Overs
Syracuse	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 1	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 3	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#67) SYR at (#39) UVA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SYR	UVA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#67	#39
SP+SP+	#115	#31
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#40	#47
Blue ChipsBC%	#49	#65

Syracuse Injury Report

Virginia Injury Report

Syracuse on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	UVA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#117	#20
ExplosiveExp	#96	#35
PPAPPA	#127	#17
PowerPwr	#56	#29
SP+SP+	#115	#19
Pts POPPO	#123	#17
HavocHav	#125	#23

Syracuse Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	UVA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#95	#30
Run ExplRExp	#115	#46
PPAExp	#122	#33
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#124	#42
Stuff RateStuff	#69	#68
TackleTak	-	NR

Syracuse Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	UVA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#125	#22
Pass ExplPExl	#52	#44
PPAExp	#124	#24
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#105	#77
DB HavocDB	#129	#5

Virginia on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	UVA Off	SYR Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#82	#120
ExplosiveExp	#43	#106
PPAPPA	#64	#129
PowerPwr	#64	#81
SP+SP+	#56	#106
Pts POPPO	#82	#113
HavocHav	#39	#114

Virginia Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	UVA Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#63	#98
Run ExplRExp	#31	#107
PPAExp	#30	#78
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#53	#77
Stuff RateStuff	#32	#42
TackleTak	-	NR

Virginia Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	UVA Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#79	#120
Pass ExplPExl	#73	#60
PPAExp	#76	#131
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#23	#112
DB HavocDB	#65	#99

Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

SYR 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'26 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Amari Odom (Tr)	189	291	65%	2594	19	8	8.9
Malachi Nelson (Tr)	104	190	55%	1163	8	9	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amari Odom (Tr)	120	347	7	2.9	24
Tylik Hill	24	129	0	5.4	15
Braden Davis	88	120	1	1.4	33
Joseph Filardi	30	87	1	2.9	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cole Weaver (Tr)	45	642	1	14.3	36
Noah Meyers (Tr)	32	357	3	11.2	62
Darien Williams	9	112	1	12.4	35
Tyshawn Russell	8	84	0	10.5	28

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Vince Kehres (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris D'Appolonia (Tr)	59	4	1	2	4
Gary Bryant III	53	5	1	1	0
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)	48	8	6	6	3
Antoine Deslauriers	48	3	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tunmise Adeleye (Tr)	48	8	6	6	3
Jamie Tremble	10	3	3	2	0
Jartavius Flounoy (Tr)	22	6	3	1	1
Braheem Long Jr.	42	2	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Chris Peal	39	2	0	7
Demetres Samuel Jr.	37	1	0	7
Nazir Ward (Tr)	35	3	1	6

UVA's OC Des Kitchings (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Beau Pribula (Tr)	182	270	67%	1946	11	9	7.2
Eli Holstein (Tr)	77	125	62%	1081	12	6	8.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jekail Middlebrook (Tr)	140	752	4	5.4	72
Solomon Beebe (Tr)	56	338	6	6.0	81
Beau Pribula (Tr)	95	297	6	3.1	49
Peyton Lewis (Tr)	70	290	7	4.1	32

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jacquon Gibson (Tr)	63	616	0	9.8	50
Jahmal Edrine	46	564	1	12.3	37
Jekail Middlebrook (Tr)	40	412	3	10.3	48
Tyson Davis (Tr)	25	323	2	12.9	36

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC John Rudzinski (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Jones (Tr)	66	5	0	1
Jalen McNair (Tr)	50	2	1	4
Brandyn Hillman (Tr)	49	3	0	3
Landon Danley	48	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zion Wilson (Tr)	42	10	6	4	1
Nnanna Anyanwu (Tr)	21	7	5	4	1
Fisher Camac	44	6	4	2	4
Jason Hammond	33	3	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fisher Camac	44	6	4	2	4
Jalen McNair (Tr)	50	2	0	1	4
Justin Ross (Tr)	32	2	1	3	4