Louisville Cardinals at Virginia Cavaliers
Saturday, October 12th 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Louisville -7 (54.0) (-278) Open: -8.0
Louisville 24 - Virginia: 20 (ACC)
Cardinals (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (10 - 4)
Avg Score : 37 - 24 (31 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9 - 4 (#28)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
UVA 2nd straight Home Game
LOU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -14 (SP+ LOU -18.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 34 - UVA: 20 (54)
LOU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 394 miles
LOU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Louisville -14 (SP+ LOU -18.5)
Projected Score: LOU: 34 - UVA: 20 (54)
LOU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
LOU Travel: 394 miles
Cavaliers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (6 - 16)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
| Louisville's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Louisville vs Austin Peay | -38.5 | 54.5 | W 62 - 0 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Louisville vs Jacksonville State | -27.5 | 56.5 | W 49 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Louisville vs Georgia Tech | -9.5 | 56.0 | W 31 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Louisville at Notre Dame | +6.5 | 45.0 | L 24 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Louisville vs SMU | -6.5 | 55.0 | L 27 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Louisville at Virginia | -7.0 | 54.0 | W 24 - 20 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | Louisville vs Miami | +4.5 | 61.5 | L 45 - 52 | O | N | |
| Fri 10/25 | Louisville at Boston College | -7.0 | 54.0 | W 31 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Louisville at Clemson | +11.0 | 62.5 | W 33 - 21 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Louisville at Stanford | -21.0 | 57.5 | L 35 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Louisville vs Pittsburgh | -7.0 | 57.0 | W 37 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Louisville at Kentucky | -3.5 | 48.5 | W 41 - 14 | O | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Louisville vs Washington | +1.0 | 50.5 | W 35 - 34 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Virginia's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Virginia vs Richmond | -21 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Virginia at Wake Forest | -1.5 | 55.5 | W 31 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Virginia vs Maryland | -2.5 | 55.5 | L 13 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Virginia at Coastal Carolina | -3.5 | 52.0 | W 43 - 24 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/5 | Virginia vs Boston College | -2.0 | 52.5 | W 24 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/12 | Virginia vs Louisville | +7.0 | 54.0 | L 20 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Virginia at Clemson | +20.0 | 57.5 | L 31 - 48 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Virginia vs North Carolina | -3.5 | 58.5 | L 14 - 41 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/9 | Virginia at Pittsburgh | +7.5 | 56.5 | W 24 - 19 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | Virginia at Notre Dame | +20.5 | 51.0 | L 14 - 35 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | Virginia vs SMU | +11.5 | 54.5 | L 7 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Virginia at Virginia Tech | +4.5 | 44.5 | L 17 - 37 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 36.5 | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 24.1 | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 22.7 | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 28.8 | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | #15 (.31) | 46% (26) | 48% (20) | 3.09 (56) | 173 | 45% (30) | 251 | 4.27 (31) | #73 (.18) | 40% (49) | 40% (44) | 40% (65) | 3.98 (87) | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | ||
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Offense | 13 | 36.5 | 31.3 | 46.4% | 4.27 | 0.8 | 20 | 424 | 173 | 251 | 5.8 | 45% | 54% | 48% | 45% | 13% | .31 |
| UVA Defense | 12 | 28.8 | 25.3 | 42.6% | 4.04 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 44% | 42% | 15% | .27 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Defense | 13 | 24.1 | 25.2 | 40.2% | 3.98 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 40% | 40% | 16% | .18 |
| UVA Offense | 12 | 22.7 | 18.7 | 40% | 3.47 | 1.6 | 19 | 362 | 133 | 229 | 3.7 | 48% | 52% | 43% | 37% | 18% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 13 | 27:39 | 20.1 | 40% | 40% | 5.9 | 46.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 30.3 |
| Virginia | 12 | 29:53 | 19.3 | 34% | 52% | 5.2 | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 0 | 29.5 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Offense | 13 | 45% (103) | 48% (20) | 29.9 | 172.7 | 5.8 | 27 (30) | .2 (35) | 3.09 (56) | 65% (116) | 8% (27) | 1.04 (43) |
| UVA Defense | 12 | 49% (53) | 44% (77) | - | - | - | - | .17 (91) | 3.29 (112) | 77% (89) | 9% (104) | 0.99 (69) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Defense | 13 | 49% (50) | 40% (44) | - | - | - | - | .08 (43) | 2.9 (51) | 65% (25) | 11% (43) | 0.99 (71) |
| UVA Offense | 12 | 48% (84) | 43% (77) | 35.9 | 132.8 | 3.7 | 14 (98) | .16 (50) | 3.29 (25) | 73% (77) | 11% (96) | 0.91 (92) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Offense | 13 | 54% (32) | 45% (30) | 19.6 | 30.9 | 251.5 | 8.1 | 12.8 | 23 (41) | 6 (10) | .41 (9) | 1.7 (34) | 30% (40) | 38% (8) | .5 (9) | 5% (40) | 2.1 (42) |
| UVA Defense | 12 | 50% (83) | 42% (77) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .37 (121) | 1.6 (84) | 32% (67) | 32% (84) | .43 (110) | 6% (67) | 2.1 (82) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU Defense | 13 | 51% (88) | 40% (65) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .27 (87) | 1.7 (111) | 31% (78) | 33% (99) | .26 (48) | 5% (94) | 1.8 (14) |
| UVA Offense | 12 | 52% (52) | 37% (113) | 20.5 | 33.4 | 229 | 6.9 | 11.2 | 16 (87) | 14 (115) | .11 (122) | 1.5 (86) | 33% (101) | 26% (115) | .17 (120) | 7% (100) | 1.7 (129) |
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Louisville's Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Louisville's Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Louisville's Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Louisville's 2024 Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Louisville's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 12.44 Virginia: -1.05
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 13.6 Virginia: -5.1
Louisville: 12.44 Virginia: -1.05
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 13.6 Virginia: -5.1
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: -1.05 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Virginia's Power Rating: -1.05 #69
Virginia's Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Virginia's Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Virginia's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Virginia's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2
Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.3
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2
Louisville's 2024 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 34
Virginia 20
Total Points: 54
Louisville 34
Virginia 20
Total Points: 54
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3
Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3
Virginia's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/12 | Virginia | 20 | Louisville | 24 | Louisville | Louisville -7 | Virginia | 54.0 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/09 | Louisville | 31 | Virginia | 24 | Louisville | Louisville -20.5 | Virginia | 49.5 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/08 | Virginia | 17 | Louisville | 34 | Louisville | Virginia -1.5 | Louisville | 47.5 | Over |
| 2021 | 10/09 | Louisville | 33 | Virginia | 34 | Virginia | Louisville -2.5 | Virginia | 69.5 | Under |
| 2020 | 11/14 | Virginia | 31 | Louisville | 17 | Virginia | Virginia -5.5 | Virginia | 64.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Louisville | 28 | Virginia | 21 | Louisville | Virginia -4.5 | Louisville | 51.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 09/22 | Virginia | 27 | Louisville | 3 | Virginia | Virginia -4.5 | Virginia | 51.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/11 | Louisville | 38 | Virginia | 21 | Louisville | Louisville -14 | Louisville | 66.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/29 | Virginia | 25 | Louisville | 32 | Louisville | Louisville -27 | Virginia | 69.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/14 | Louisville | 38 | Virginia | 31 | Louisville | Louisville -8.5 | Virginia | 48.0 | Over |
| 2014 | 09/13 | Virginia | 23 | Louisville | 21 | Virginia | Louisville -10 | Virginia | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 4 | 8 | 3 Overs |
| Louisville | 7 | 3 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 4 | 7 - 4 | 3 - 4 | 4 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 7 | 4 - 7 | 0 - 4 | 4 - 3 |
(#20) Louisville Info
Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Louisville has lost 2 straight
Louisville has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Louisville Notes
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville offense is efficent (#77)
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#69)
Louisville has a great TO Margin (#82)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#11)
Power Rating: 12.44 #20
Offense Rating: 24.49 #26
Defense Rating: 6.51 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.6 #21
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #7
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.9 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 9.0 - 4.0
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 46%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.27 PPO
Great Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 45%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.98 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Louisville has lost 2 straight
Louisville has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 2 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )
Louisville Notes
(11/19) DB Holloway D.V arrest after blowing Stan game
(11/18) Dumbest L @ Stan. Off was decent, Pass D torched
(11/2) 200 yds Rushing, Def owned Clemson. Easy Nov
(10/23) Expl WR Lacy (#3) ops out before BC game
(10/19) Def torched by Miami. Great fight, Shough tough
(10/13) Def mauled by UVA, season saving comeback W
(10/6) Season slipping after SMU L. Rgame/Pass D bad
(9/28) Outgained ND by 100 yds. 3 TOs. Rgame better
(9/28) Shough a tough QB, gutty vs ND. Should've won
(9/23) WR J Thompson out for season (knee)
Louisville Highlights
Louisville offense is efficent (#77)
Louisville offense is explosive (#6)
Louisville Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#69)
Louisville has a great TO Margin (#82)
Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#11)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UVA | LOU |
| OverallOver | #82 | #9 |
| OffenseOff | #87 | #12 |
| DefenseDef | #89 | #12 |
| Special TeamsST | #38 | #31 |
| PassingPass | #97 | #9 |
| RushingRush | #62 | #16 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #46 | #42 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #104 | #69 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #81 | #10 |
| TacklingTkl | #97 | #57 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #81 | #12 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #63 | #16 |
| Coverage DefCov | #91 | #29 |
Rematch from Week 7
Louisville 7.0 (54.0)
Louisville won at Virginia this year (24-20)
Previous Matchups
Louisville beat Virginia last year (24-20)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2023 (31-24)
Louisville beat Virginia in 2022 (34-17)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: LOU | UVA
Depth Chart: LOU | UVA
Rosters: LOU | UVA
(#69) Virginia Info
Power Rating: -1.05 #69
Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has won 2 straight
Virginia has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Virginia Notes
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good
Virginia Highlights
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia commits very few Penalties (#49)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a really bad Offense at Home
Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Virginia offense is really bad (#26)
Virginia offense is not Explosive (#22)
Virginia offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#54)
Virginia pass game is really bad (#45)
Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Virginia Does Not Stuff Runs (#32)
Virginia has a bad defensive line (#63)
Power Rating: -1.05 #69
Offense Rating: 18.13 #84
Defense Rating: 12.62 #96
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.1 #91
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #95
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #86
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Awful Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has won 2 straight
Virginia has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Virginia Notes
(11/25) Pass D torched by SMU, Rgame awful, QB bad
(11/18) 5 TO's cost any shot @ ND, Pass Off awful
(11/13) QB Col OK, Rgame OK, Def great in Pitt upset
(10/31) QB? Colandrea or Muskett? Col goes downfield
(10/19) Rgame awful vs Clem, QBs good. Hung in a bit
(10/13) Off great, Def OK but gagged vs L'ville
(10/6) Run Def great, Off enough in big W (BC)
(9/23) 384 rush yds, 6.6 ypc in great W @ Coastal
(9/8) QB Colandrea great, entire Off. Good W @ Wake
(9/1) Good W over Richmond, QB Col. good, Rgame good
Virginia Highlights
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia commits very few Penalties (#49)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a really bad Offense at Home
Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Virginia offense is really bad (#26)
Virginia offense is not Explosive (#22)
Virginia offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#54)
Virginia pass game is really bad (#45)
Virginia offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Virginia Does Not Stuff Runs (#32)
Virginia has a bad defensive line (#63)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Shough (Tr) | 244 | 389 | 63% | 3195 | 23 | 6 | 8.2 |
| Harrison Bailey | 24 | 33 | 73% | 227 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Brown | 165 | 1173 | 11 | 7.1 | 77 |
| Duke Watson | 67 | 597 | 7 | 8.9 | 68 |
| Keyjuan Brown | 47 | 243 | 3 | 5.2 | 24 |
| Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr) | 50 | 178 | 3 | 3.6 | 27 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Corey Brooks (Tr) | 61 | 1013 | 9 | 16.6 | 86 |
| Chris Bell | 43 | 737 | 4 | 17.1 | 68 |
| Mark Redman (Tr) | 23 | 251 | 3 | 10.9 | 32 |
| Ahmari Huggins-Bruce | 17 | 230 | 0 | 13.5 | 58 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Quinn | 82 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Stanquan Clark | 76 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| M.J. Griffin | 63 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Tamarion McDonald (Tr) | 58 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Gillotte | 43 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| Tramel Logan Jr. | 20 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Jared Dawson | 19 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Thor Griffith (Tr) | 19 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Riley | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Corey Thornton (Tr) | 38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Tayon Holloway (Tr) | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Colandrea | 198 | 320 | 62% | 2125 | 13 | 11 | 6.6 |
| Tony Muskett | 45 | 76 | 59% | 545 | 3 | 3 | 7.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Pace | 114 | 499 | 3 | 4.4 | 43 |
| Xavier Brown | 80 | 488 | 1 | 6.1 | 75 |
| Anthony Colandrea | 128 | 277 | 2 | 2.2 | 35 |
| Noah Vaughn | 36 | 120 | 0 | 3.3 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Fields | 55 | 808 | 5 | 14.7 | 45 |
| Tyler Neville (Tr) | 37 | 394 | 2 | 10.6 | 39 |
| Trell Harris (Tr) | 15 | 221 | 2 | 14.7 | 45 |
| Kobe Pace | 21 | 189 | 0 | 9.0 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Sanker | 98 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Trey McDonald | 57 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Jermarian Jackson | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamren Robinson | 64 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Kameron Butler | 43 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| Jonas Sanker | 98 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| James Jackson | 45 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kempton Shine (Tr) | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Jermarian Jackson | 55 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Jonas Sanker | 98 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 |