(#7)Florida State Seminoles at Virginia Cavaliers
Friday, September 26th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Scott Stadium - Charlottesville, VA (ACC)
Seminoles (2 - 0) (2 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (54 - 10 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Coach Mike Norvell (33 - 27)
Avg Score : 54 - 10 (54 - 10 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 2.3 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
UVA 3rd straight Home Game
UVA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -8.5 (SP+ FSU -7.5)
Projected Score: FSU: 36 - UVA: 28 (64)
FSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
FSU Travel: 620 miles
UVA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -8.5 (SP+ FSU -7.5)
Projected Score: FSU: 36 - UVA: 28 (64)
FSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
FSU Travel: 620 miles
Cavaliers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (52 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
Coach Tony Elliott (11 - 23)
Avg Score : 45 - 19 (52 - 12 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.7 - 4.3 (#48)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 3)
| Florida State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Florida State vs Alabama | +13.5 | 50.5 | W 31 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Florida State vs East Texas A&M | -43.5 | 56.5 | W 77 - 3 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Florida State vs Kent State | -45.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| Fri 9/26 | Florida State at Virginia | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Florida State vs Miami | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Florida State vs Pittsburgh | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Florida State at Stanford | -18.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Florida State vs Wake Forest | -20 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Florida State at Clemson | -1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Florida State vs Virginia Tech | -27 | |||||
| Fri 11/21 | Florida State at NC State | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Florida State at Florida | +0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Virginia's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Virginia vs Coastal Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | W 48 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Virginia at NC State | +3.0 | 53.0 | L 31 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Virginia vs William & Mary | -30.5 | 54.5 | W 55 - 16 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Virginia vs Stanford | -15.5 | 49.5 | ||||
| Fri 9/26 | Virginia vs Florida State | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Virginia at Louisville | +10.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Virginia vs Washington State | -19 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Virginia at North Carolina | -4.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Virginia at California | +2.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Virginia vs Wake Forest | -9 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Virginia at Duke | -1 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Virginia vs Virginia Tech | -16 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 3, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | #8 (.5) | 43% (76) | 54 | 45% (63) | 3.22 (45) | 296 | 36% (109) | 260 | 5.5 (13) | #31 (.01) | 37% (50) | 10 | 37% (51) | 37% (46) | 2.5 (34) | 37.5 | 1 | 1 |
| UVA | #10 (.47) | 51% (26) | 44.7 | 56% (17) | 3.69 (17) | 271 | 47% (45) | 289 | 4.24 (54) | #75 (.14) | 37% (51) | 19.3 | 37% (52) | 37% (48) | 4.45 (104) | 35 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU | #125 (.06) | 35% (128) | 40% (103) | 2.9 (92) | 91 | 31% (130) | 180 | 2.88 (131) | #112 (.25) | 41% (56) | 42% (62) | 39% (52) | 3.62 (46) | 47.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | ||
| UVA | #102 (.13) | 40% (103) | 43% (77) | 3.29 (25) | 133 | 37% (113) | 229 | 3.47 (106) | #116 (.27) | 43% (80) | 44% (77) | 42% (77) | 4.04 (94) | 45.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Offense | 2 | 54 | 54 | 42.6% | 5.5 | 1 | 25 | 556 | 296 | 260 | 5.9 | 73% | 27% | 45% | 36% | 10% | .5 |
| UVA Defense | 3 | 19.3 | 11.5 | 36.7% | 4.45 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 37% | 37% | 17% | .14 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Defense | 2 | 10 | 10 | 36.6% | 2.5 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 56% | 37% | 37% | 22% | .01 |
| UVA Offense | 3 | 44.7 | 51.5 | 51.1% | 4.24 | 0.7 | 26 | 560 | 271 | 289 | 6.5 | 49% | 50% | 56% | 47% | 11% | .47 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State | 2 | 31:10 | 24.5 | 58% | 100% | 3.5 | 37.5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 32.5 |
| Virginia | 3 | 34:31 | 25.7 | 58% | 44% | 5 | 35 | 0.7 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 | 1 | 33.4 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Offense | 2 | 73% (4) | 45% (63) | 50 | 295.5 | 5.9 | 9 (17) | .36 (19) | 3.22 (45) | 64% (99) | 9% (73) | 1.43 (9) |
| UVA Defense | 3 | 55% (106) | 37% (52) | - | - | - | - | .1 (91) | 2.71 (63) | 50% (19) | 8% (99) | 1.16 (108) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Defense | 2 | 44% (31) | 37% (51) | - | - | - | - | -.01 (45) | 2.96 (87) | 43% (10) | 15% (17) | 0.78 (31) |
| UVA Offense | 3 | 49% (77) | 56% (17) | 42 | 271 | 6.5 | 12 (3) | .55 (2) | 3.69 (17) | 86% (22) | 6% (21) | 1.31 (17) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Offense | 2 | 27% (133) | 36% (109) | 12.5 | 17 | 260 | 15.3 | 20.8 | 6 (34) | 0 (1) | .85 (3) | 3.4 (1) | 28% (43) | 35% (51) | .72 (15) | 1% (2) | 2.8 (3) |
| UVA Defense | 3 | 45% (34) | 37% (48) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .19 (62) | 1.5 (51) | 33% (68) | 19% (24) | .08 (30) | 9% (18) | 1.6 (24) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSU Defense | 2 | 56% (111) | 37% (46) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .04 (26) | 1.6 (95) | 33% (62) | 23% (35) | .12 (35) | 7% (34) | 2.6 (128) |
| UVA Offense | 3 | 50% (62) | 47% (45) | 25 | 38 | 289.3 | 7.6 | 11.6 | 4 (72) | 2 (60) | .45 (34) | 1.5 (68) | 30% (62) | 46% (11) | .63 (25) | 6% (79) | 1.6 (117) |
Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 28.15 #15
Florida State's Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Florida State's Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Florida State's Power Rating: 28.15 #15
Florida State's Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Florida State's Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #17
Florida State's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Florida State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 28.15 Virginia: 11.245
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 11.3 Virginia: 3.8
Florida State: 28.15 Virginia: 11.245
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 11.3 Virginia: 3.8
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Virginia's Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Virginia's Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
2025 Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Virginia's 2025 Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Virginia's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense on Road: 54
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense on Road: 10
Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 54 PPG
Offense on Road: 54
Defense: 10 PPG
Defense on Road: 10
Florida State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 36
Virginia 28
Total Points: 64
Florida State 36
Virginia 28
Total Points: 64
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.5
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.5
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
Offense: 44.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 51.5
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.5
Virginia's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 09/14 | Virginia | 31 | Florida State | 24 | Virginia | Virginia -7 | Push | 54.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/08 | Florida State | 34 | Virginia | 20 | Florida State | Florida State -21.5 | Virginia | 0 | |
| 2011 | 11/19 | Florida State | 13 | Virginia | 14 | Virginia | ||||
| 2010 | 10/02 | Virginia | 14 | Florida State | 34 | Florida State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/04 | Florida State | 33 | Virginia | 0 | Florida State | ||||
| 2005 | 10/15 | Virginia | 26 | Florida State | 21 | Virginia | ||||
| 2004 | 10/16 | Florida State | 36 | Virginia | 3 | Florida State | ||||
| 2003 | 10/18 | Virginia | 14 | Florida State | 19 | Florida State | ||||
| 2002 | 08/31 | Florida State | 40 | Virginia | 19 | Florida State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/20 | Virginia | 7 | Florida State | 43 | Florida State | ||||
| 2000 | 10/20 | Florida State | 37 | Virginia | 3 | Florida State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 3 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Florida State | 8 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 7 - 4 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 7 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
(#15) Florida State Info
Power Rating: 28.15 #15
Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #17
Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Team Profile
Option Offense 73%, Pass: 27%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.5 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Florida State has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Florida State Notes
(8/30) Def great vs Bama, held 6-17 3rd, 2-5 4th downs
(8/16) S. Hussey kicked off team after fight w/ coach
(7/18) Entire staff/roster to raise floor, save jobs
(7/13) Watch Fr RB Kromah, RBs talent but ? prod
(7/13) OC Malzahn interesting, DC White good (3-3-5)
(6/19) Spring was a wash on Off w/ so many injuries
(5/31) 8 win ceiling, lower & fan interest could plummet
(5/31) Def depth key, lack stars, DT Jackson has tools
(5/31) OL 4/5 starters & 80% overall exp via 6 portals
(5/31) WRs Robinson(USC) big add, depth a huge ?
Florida State Highlights
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread
Florida State in Undefeated
Florida State offense is explosive (#1)
Florida State offense is good in red zone (#13)
Florida State offense is good on 3rd downs
Florida State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Florida State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Florida State commits very few Penalties (#1)
Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State pass game is really bad (#109)
Power Rating: 28.15 #15
Offense Rating: 23.39 #25
Defense Rating: -4.76 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.3 #32
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #52
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #22
Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #17
Expected Record: 9.7 - 2.3
Team Profile
Option Offense 73%, Pass: 27%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.5 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 36%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.5 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Florida State has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Florida State Notes
(8/30) Def great vs Bama, held 6-17 3rd, 2-5 4th downs
(8/16) S. Hussey kicked off team after fight w/ coach
(7/18) Entire staff/roster to raise floor, save jobs
(7/13) Watch Fr RB Kromah, RBs talent but ? prod
(7/13) OC Malzahn interesting, DC White good (3-3-5)
(6/19) Spring was a wash on Off w/ so many injuries
(5/31) 8 win ceiling, lower & fan interest could plummet
(5/31) Def depth key, lack stars, DT Jackson has tools
(5/31) OL 4/5 starters & 80% overall exp via 6 portals
(5/31) WRs Robinson(USC) big add, depth a huge ?
Florida State Highlights
Florida State is Undefeated vs Spread
Florida State in Undefeated
Florida State offense is explosive (#1)
Florida State offense is good in red zone (#13)
Florida State offense is good on 3rd downs
Florida State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Florida State has a great TO Margin (#28)
Florida State commits very few Penalties (#1)
Florida State Deficiencies
Florida State pass game is really bad (#109)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | UVA | FSU |
| OverallOver | #22 | #45 |
| OffenseOff | #24 | #35 |
| DefenseDef | #37 | #64 |
| Special TeamsST | #6 | #82 |
| PassingPass | #25 | #26 |
| RushingRush | #21 | #18 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #40 | #94 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #56 | #6 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #29 | #42 |
| TacklingTkl | #82 | #100 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #56 | #15 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #28 | #81 |
| Coverage DefCov | #34 | #91 |
(#42) Virginia Info
Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has lost 1 straight
Virginia has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
Virginia Highlights
Virginia is Undefeated at Home
Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)
Power Rating: 11.245 #42
Offense Rating: 20.45 #31
Defense Rating: 6.76 #66
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.8 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.2 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60
Talent Rating: 906.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Expected Record: 7.7 - 4.3
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
Good Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 37%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Virginia has lost 1 straight
Virginia has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (2 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)
Virginia Notes
(6/14) Same HC, OC, DC, S&C coaches for 4 years
(6/2) QB C. Morris (4th school) can sling it & run it
(5/29) QB Morris (N Tex) was #4 pass yds LY, Kaelin #2
(5/29) Off could jump w/ better OL, good RB, QB + WR
(5/29) OL has top 20 exp but 57% via portals.
(5/29) WR rebuild, top 3 are portals, better depth TY
(5/29) OL 4/5 back, took 7 portals. Lots of depth.
(5/29) Def pretty bad LY. Took 16 portals, 9 DBs
(5/21) Talent #'s impressive, 5th in ACC, big jump.
(5/17) Lowest SOS in P4 should lead to bowl
Virginia Highlights
Virginia is Undefeated at Home
Virginia is Undefeated vs Spread at Home
Virginia has Really Good Running Game (#4)
Virginia offense is efficent (#26)
Virginia offense is explosive (#22)
Virginia has a top Offensive Line (#17)
Virginia offense is good on 3rd downs
Virginia does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#11)
Virginia Secondary is very good (#18)
Virginia has a great TO Margin (#28)
Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia has a bad red zone defense (#104)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Castellanos (Tr) | 17 | 25 | 68% | 389 | 3 | 0 | 15.6 |
| Kevin Sperry | 4 | 5 | 80% | 61 | 2 | 0 | 12.2 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micahi Danzy | 4 | 109 | 2 | 27.3 | 53 |
| Thomas Castellanos (Tr) | 20 | 85 | 1 | 4.3 | 14 |
| Samuel Singleton | 4 | 82 | 1 | 20.5 | 53 |
| Ousmane Kromah | 12 | 68 | 0 | 5.7 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duce Robinson (Tr) | 7 | 191 | 2 | 27.3 | 82 |
| Jaylin Lucas | 3 | 71 | 0 | 23.7 | 64 |
| Gavin Sawchuk (Tr) | 2 | 56 | 1 | 28.0 | 53 |
| Ousmane Kromah | 2 | 50 | 1 | 25.0 | 43 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Little II | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin Cryer | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ashlynd Barker | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ja'Bril Rawls | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon Thompson (Tr) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Lyons | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Tyeland Coleman | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Deamontae Diggs (Tr) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashlynd Barker | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Earl Little II | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Blake Nichelson | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 62 | 89 | 70% | 670 | 4 | 1 | 7.5 |
| Daniel Kaelin (Tr) | 11 | 23 | 48% | 190 | 0 | 1 | 8.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'mari Taylor (Tr) | 33 | 213 | 6 | 6.5 | 66 |
| Noah Vaughn | 22 | 170 | 0 | 7.7 | 54 |
| Harrison Waylee (Tr) | 17 | 169 | 4 | 9.9 | 97 |
| Chandler Morris (Tr) | 9 | 113 | 0 | 12.6 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trell Harris | 14 | 176 | 0 | 12.6 | 48 |
| Cameron Ross | 12 | 164 | 1 | 13.7 | 46 |
| Jahmal Edrine (Tr) | 11 | 123 | 1 | 11.2 | 18 |
| Kameron Courtney | 7 | 94 | 0 | 13.4 | 30 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Danley | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| James Jackson | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Koudelka | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Maddox Marcellus (Tr) | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Devin Neal (Tr) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Mitchell Melton (Tr) | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donavon Platt (Tr) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| McKale Boley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Emmanuel Karnley (Tr) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |