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Florida State Seminoles (@FSUFootball)
Mike Norvell (7th year) (38-34) #40
Record: 0 - 0 (0 - 0)  |  Proj: 7 - 5 (#39)  |  SOS: (#30)
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Florida State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 Florida State vs New Mexico State-26
Mon 9/7 Florida State vs SMU+3
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Florida State at Alabama+12.5
Sat 9/26 Florida State vs Central Arkansas-31
Sat 10/3 Florida State vs Virginia-1.5
Fri 10/9 Florida State at Louisville+5
Sat 10/17 Florida State at Miami+18.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Florida State vs Clemson-0
Sat 11/7 Florida State at Boston College-9
Fri 11/13 Florida State at Pittsburgh+3.5
Sat 11/21 Florida State vs NC State-2.5
Fri 11/27 Florida State vs Florida-2

Record Prediction: 7 - 5  #39
Schedule Rating:  #30
Future 2027 Schedule

Florida State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Florida State vs Alabama+13.550.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 9/6 Florida State vs East Texas A&M-43.556.5W 77 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Florida State vs Kent State-44.556.5W 66 - 10OY
Fri 9/26 Florida State at Virginia-7.059.5L 38 - 46ON
Sat 10/4 Florida State vs Miami+3.554.5L 22 - 28UN
Sat 10/11 Florida State vs Pittsburgh-10.556.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/18 Florida State at Stanford-17.555.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Florida State vs Wake Forest-12.550.5W 42 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 Florida State at Clemson+1.556.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/15 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-13.553.5W 34 - 14UY
Fri 11/21 Florida State at NC State-7.058.5L 11 - 21UN
Sat 11/29 Florida State at Florida-1.548.5L 21 - 40ON

2025 Schedule Rating:  #45
2025 Record: 5 - 7 (ACC: 2 - 6)
Spread Record 5 - 7 - 0 | O/U 5 - 7


Opponents: 2 Elite, 7 Good, 0 Avg, 1 Bad, 1 Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 2 Elite, 4 Good, 2 Avg, 1 Bad, 2 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 255 points   #14
2025 class: 244 points   #19
2024 class: 272 points   #12
2023 class: 237 points   #19
2022 class: 229 points   #20

Average Class Ranking:   #17
Average Recruiting Points: 247

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent CFP Contenders
4 Year Class:  #16 - Best:  #12 Worst:  #19



CFB Crootin Averages
ACC Class: 219  #39
Power 4 Class: 224  #39
FBS Class: 188  #69


2021 class: 215 points   #22
2020 class: 238 points   #22
2019 class: 244 points   #19
2018 class: 265 points   #11
2017 class: 293 points   #6

Average Class Ranking:   #16
Average Recruiting Points: 251
 
Transfer Portal Classes
2026 Portal Class  #24 - 22 players, 87 Avg
2025 Portal Class  #6 - 18 players, 89 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #4 - 15 players, 90 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #6 - 12 players, 91 Avg
Transfer Portal Classes
Transfer Portal Classes
2022 Portal Class  #10 - 14 players, 87 Avg
2021 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2020 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2019 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
Offensive Coordinator Tim Harris (in his first season) #66
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dean DeNobile (Tr)22334764%25281977.3
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6811957%797326.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner13159734.648
Gemari Sands (Tr)10546504.437
Ousmane Kromah7240805.723
Samuel Singleton5136047.153
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duce Robinson561074619.282
Micahi Danzy27571321.166
Desirrio Riles (Tr)28362212.942
Gemari Sands (Tr)4021705.418
(Tr) - new transfer in 2026

Defensive Coordinator Tony White (in his second season) #18
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Jones (Tr)13210402
Blake Nichelson437111
Ja'Bril Rawls402002
Ma'Khi Jones (Tr)342111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mandrell Desir308711
Chris Jones (Tr)13210402
Daniel Lyons264240
Rylan Kennedy (Tr)144211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)3130013
Chris Jones (Tr)13210402
Ja'Bril Rawls402002
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 55%  #52
Offense Returning Production: 50%  #67
Defense Returning Production: 59%  #37

Transfer Portal
2026 Portal Class  #24
22 Commits, 87.1 Avg Rating
26% of 2026 Roster from Portal, 25% TY
Team Talent
2026 Talent Rating: 894.00  #30
Offense Talent  #24 | Defense Talent  #28
2025  #17 | 2024  #12 | 2023  #20 | 2022  #18


2026 - 2023 Records
2026 Record: 0 - 0
2026 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0

2025 Record: 5 - 7
2025 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2024 Record: 2 - 10
2024 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 9

2023 Record: 13 - 1
2023 Conf Record: 9 - 0
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 7

Four Year Record: 20 - 18
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 17 - 20 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 12 - 13
2022 - 2019 Records
2022 Record: 10 - 3
2022 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2021 Record: 5 - 7
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 8

2020 Record: 3 - 6
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 3

2019 Record: 6 - 7
2019 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 4 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 7

Eight Year Record: 44 - 41
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 38 - 45 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 36 - 31

Florida State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Orange Bowl Florida State vs Georgia+23.547.0L 3 - 63
2022It Bowl Florida State vs Oklahoma-10.567.0W 35 - 32
2019N/A Florida State vs Arizona State+3.551.5L 14 - 20
2017Independence Bowl Florida State vs Southern Miss-12.548.0W 42 - 13
2016Orange Bowl Florida State vs Michigan+6.551.0W 33 - 32
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.27 (22)1.35 (20)46% (32)3.95 (46)29 (68)51%57%.16 (68)1.16 (14)42% (76)4.12 (110)30.3 (102)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.06 (125)1.29 (58)35% (128)2.88 (131)26.3 (127)29%63%.25 (112)1.38 (114)41% (56)3.62 (46)30.5 (110)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251228:4524.151%57%5.445.31.61.26.12.60
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241227:1115.229%63%5.647.91.80.55.821



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense123343.318.645.9% (32)3.95 (46)1.6244722192535.255% (32)44% (104)50% (10)41% (81)15% (54).27 (22)
2025 Defense122216.130.242.1% (76)4.12 (110)1.2 - - - - - 55% (123)44% (16)42% (66)43% (79)16% (72).16 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1215.416.412.335.4% (128)2.88 (131)1.815271911802.946% (101)54% (35)40% (103)31% (130)21% (129).06 (125)
2024 Defense122822.738.340.8% (56)3.62 (46)0.5 - - - - - 56% (119)44% (15)42% (62)39% (52)14% (98).25 (112)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1255% (32)50% (10)42.1218.85.231 (4).25 (12)3.4 (7)75% (47)9% (59)1.03 (45)
2025 Defense1255% (123)42% (66) - - - - .11 (74)3.12 (106)76% (105)11% (28)0.86 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1246% (101)40% (103)31.490.82.98 (130).07 (101)2.9 (92)68% (103)15% (130)0.87 (118)
2024 Defense1256% (119)42% (62) - - - - .2 (109)3.06 (81)80% (111)10% (77)1.1 (114)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1244% (104)41% (81)16.728.3253.4915.220 (33)9 (60).32 (46)1.9 (5)31% (67)38% (10).5 (11)6% (48)2.1 (30)
2025 Defense1244% (16)43% (79) - - - - - - 12 (12).25 (69)1.5 (58)30% (104)30% (75).34 (92)5% (122)2 (68)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1254% (35)31% (130)14.929.6180.36.112.111 (122)13 (103).04 (130)1.8 (20)39% (133)26% (113).24 (102)6% (62)2.1 (28)
2024 Defense1244% (15)39% (52) - - - - - - 4 (125).34 (110)1.8 (120)33% (45)34% (110).52 (127)5% (116)2.3 (121)




Overall
Power Rating #35 | SP+ Rating #41
Offense #31 | Defense #39
Coaching staff is #41 in CFB
Net Efficiency #28 Off #27 Def #51
Scoring: 33 - 22 | Scoring Margin: (11)
One Score Games '25: 0-4 (12-14 under M.N.)
Record Prediction 7 - 5 #39

5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Returning Prod
FSU lost their '25 starting QB
Returning Starters: 7 (Off: 2) - (Def: 5)
Proj Portal Starters: 4 (Off: 1) - (Def: 3)
Exp'd Depth: 3 (Off: 1) - (Def: 2)
Returning Production: 55% #52
Offense: 50% #67 | Defense: 59% #37
OL Prod: 47% #74, 0 starters, 0 exp'd depth
OL Snaps: 4213 #12 | From Portal: 3938 #3
Rush Prod: 80% #39 | Rec Prod: 83% #23
Front Seven: 63% #30- Secondary: 54% #62

Roster
Team Talent #30 Blue Chips: 40% #17
Offense Talent #24 Defense Talent #28
Portal Class #24 - 22 players, 87 Avg
Crootin: '26 Class #14 - 4 YR Class: #16
Talent: Consistent CFP Contenders
26% of Roster from Portal, 25% TY
51 New Players, 55% of '26 Roster #120
OC: Tim Harris #66 - in his first season
DC: Tony White #18 - in his second season


2026 Schedule
Vegas Win Total Not Available Yet
Schedule Rating: 72 #30
Opps: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
2025 Record: 5 - 7 (5 - 7 - 0) (ACC: 2 - 6)
2024 Record: 2 - 10 (4 - 8 - 0) (ACC: 1 - 7)
4 Yr Record: (20 - 18) | 8 Yr Record: (44 - 41)

Notes
OL none back. 5 portal starters all started 12 LY
Norvell back, OC retires, no GM. FSU punting TY
OC Gus Malzahn retiring, Tim Harris now OC (WR)
Word is Norvell will call plays in '26
QB: A Daniels (Aub) starter? DeNobile (FCS)?
RB has options. Wisner (Tx) added, Kromah back
WR Robinson & Danzy great duo. Depth v young
DL has some good parts + 2 exp'd portal adds
LBs have one starter back and lots of questions
DBs rebuild. 5 portal adds. Talent here but ?

Roster Data
24 players have played Starter level snaps
Starting Rotation Exp: 12 on Off, 12 on Def
Senior/Gr starters: 4 (18.2%) (Off: 1, Def: 3)
Upperclass Starters Back: 4 of 22 (18.2%)
Upperclass Two-Deep Back: 6 of 44 (13.6%)
Upperclass on Roster: 41.3%(43 of 104)


 
Top '26 Portal Adds
Quintrevion Wisner (RB) – 4★ - Rating: .93
Xavier Chaplin (OT) – 4★ - Rating: .92
Mikai Gbayor (LB) – 4★ - Rating: .90
Rylan Kennedy (EDGE) – 3★ - Rating: .87
CJ Richard Jr. (S) – 3★ - Rating: .87
Ma'khi Jones (S) – 3★ - Rating: .87
Chimdia Nwaiwu (OT) – 3★ - Rating: .87
Karson Hobbs (CB) – 3★ - Rating: .87


Top Players on Roster
(WR) Duce Robinson - 1074 Yds, 6 TD
(T) Chimdia Nwaiwu - B+ Block Grade
(T) Nate Pabst - A- Block Grade
(QB) Dean DeNobile - 2528 Yds, 19 TD
(C) Bradyn Joiner - B- Block Grade
(C) Paul Bowling - B Block Grade
(T) Xavier Chaplin - D+ Block Grade
(CB) Nehemiah Chandler - 2 Int, 13 Pd

Top '26 Incoming Recruits
Chauncey Kennon (CB) – 4★ (.98) FL
Izayia Williams (LB) – 4★ (.96) FL
Earnest Rankins (DL) – 4★ (.93) GA
Xavier Tiller (TE) – 4★ (.92) GA
Devin Carter (WR) – 4★ (.92) GA
Efrem White (WR) – 4★ (.91) FL
Jasen Lopez (WR) – 4★ (.91) FL
Jaden O'Neal (QB) – 4★ (.90) OK

 
4 Year Overall
2026 SP+ Overall:  #41 - Power Rating:  #35
2025 SP+ Overall:  #41 - Power Rating:  #49
2024 SP+ Overall:  #83 - Power Rating:  #83
2023 SP+ Overall:  #7

#7 #83 #45 #38

4 Year Offense
2026 SP+ Offense:  #54 - Power Rating:  #31
2025 SP+ Offense:  #54 - Power Rating:  #30
2024 SP+ Offense:  #114 - Power Rating:  #120
2023 SP+ Offense:  #16

#16 #117 #42 #43

4 Year Defense
2026 SP+ Defense:  #38 - Power Rating:  #39
2025 SP+ Defense:  #38 - Power Rating:  #58
2024 SP+ Defense:  #58 - Power Rating:  #87
2023 SP+ Defense:  #7

#7 #73 #48 #39