Florida State at Miami - 2022 Matchup Preview

Florida State Seminoles at Miami Hurricanes(#10)

Saturday, November 5th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Florida State -6.5 (54.0)
Florida State 45 - Miami: 3 (ACC)

Seminoles (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (8 - 13)
Avg Score : 36 - 21 (34 - 14 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MIAMI is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ FSU -16)
Projected Score: FSU: 29 - MIAMI: 22 (51)
FSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
FSU Travel: 396 miles

Hurricanes (5 - 7) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (28 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
MIAMI Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Florida State vs Duquesne	-42.0	57.0	W 47 - 7	U	N
Sun 9/4	Florida State vs LSU	+4.5	51.0	W 24 - 23	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 9/16	Florida State at Louisville	-2.5	57.0	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Florida State vs Boston College	-18.5	48.5	W 44 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Florida State vs Wake Forest	-6.0	67.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/8	Florida State at NC State	+3.5	50.5	L 17 - 19	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Florida State vs Clemson	+4.5	51.0	L 28 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida State vs Georgia Tech	-23.5	48.0	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida State at Miami	-6.5	54.0	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Florida State at Syracuse	-7.5	51.0	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Florida State vs Louisiana	-25.0	52.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
Fri 11/25	Florida State vs Florida	-10.0	58.5	W 45 - 38	O	N
Thu 12/29	Florida State vs Oklahoma	-10.5	67.0	W 35 - 32	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Miami's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Miami vs Bethune-Cookman	-49.5	60.5	W 70 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Miami vs Southern Miss	-27.5	51.0	W 30 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/17	Miami at Texas A&M	+6.5	45.5	L 9 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Miami vs Middle Tennessee	-25.5	53.5	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Miami vs North Carolina	-4.0	67.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/15	Miami at Virginia Tech	-9.0	48.5	W 20 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/22	Miami vs Duke	-10.0	59.0	L 21 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/29	Miami at Virginia	-3.0	48.5	W 14 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/5	Miami vs Florida State	+6.5	54.0	L 3 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/12	Miami at Georgia Tech	+2.0	43.5	W 35 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Miami at Clemson	+19.0	47.5	L 10 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/26	Miami vs Pittsburgh	+5.5	43.0	L 16 - 42	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	.36	49%	36.1	52%	3.33	214	46%	270	4.32	.15	41%	20.6	44%	38%	4.08	57.9	1.1	1.4
MIAMI	.13	44%	23.6	48%	3.09	128	42%	240	3.5	.15	41%	26.8	43%	40%	3.76	59.6	2.1	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)		40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)		42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5
MIAMI	#2 (.4)	52% (1)		56% (1)	3.59 (4)	165	50% (7)	332	4.96 (2)	#69 (.16)	38% (26)		38% (16)	38% (40)	4.02 (91)	63.1	1	1.4

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	13	36.1	33.8	49%	4.32	1.1	24	484	214	270	5.5	51%	48%	52%	46%	15%	.36
MIAMI Defense	12	26.8	32	41.3%	3.76	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	43%	40%	21%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	13	20.6	14	41.4%	4.08	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	38%	17%	.15
MIAMI Offense	12	23.6	27.9	44.3%	3.5	2.1	21	368	128	240	3.7	45%	54%	48%	42%	17%	.13

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	13	31:01	24.2	51%	35%	6.6	57.9	1.1	1.4	6	2.9	1	33.2
Miami	12	30:42	21.2	40%	41%	7	59.6	2.1	2.1	6.9	3.1	3	28.2

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	13	51%	52%	39.2	214.1	5.5	33	.33	3.33	65%	10%	1.11
MIAMI Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	.12	2.81	68%	14%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	13	56%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	73%	11%	0.9
MIAMI Offense	12	45%	48%	34.5	128.1	3.7	12	.09	3.09	70%	11%	0.78

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	13	48%	46%	19.2	30.4	270.2	8.9	14.1	28	7	.41	1.7	29%	39%	.51	5%	2.2
MIAMI Defense	12	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.21	1.8	32%	34%	.29	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	13	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.17	1.6	34%	28%	.3	6%	2.1
MIAMI Offense	12	54%	42%	21.3	34.4	239.9	7	11.3	18	12	.2	1.5	31%	32%	.29	7%	1.8

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.2 #23
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #34
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #34

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: Miami: 1.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 13.2 Miami: -2.7

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 1.15 NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami's 2022 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7 #76
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #81
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #76

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 36.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.8
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 14

Florida State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 29
Miami 22

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 26
Miami 22

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 32
Miami 22

Total Points: 54

Miami Scoring
Offense: 23.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.9
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Miami's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/04	Florida State	22	Miami	28	Miami -3.5	Miami	54.5	Under
2024	10/26	Miami	36	Florida State	14	Miami -22.5	Florida State	55.0	Under
2023	11/11	Florida State	27	Miami	20	Florida State -14.5	Miami	50.5	Under
2022	11/05	Miami	3	Florida State	45	Florida State -6.5	Florida State	54.0	Under
2021	11/13	Florida State	31	Miami	28	Miami -2.5	Florida State	61.5	Under
2020	09/26	Miami	52	Florida State	10	Miami -12.5	Miami	54.0	Over
2019	11/02	Florida State	10	Miami	27	Florida State -3	Miami	50.0	Under
2018	10/06	Miami	28	Florida State	27	Miami -14	Florida State	48.5	Over
2017	10/07	Florida State	20	Miami	24	Miami -3	Miami	45.5	Under
2016	10/08	Miami	19	Florida State	20	Miami -1.5	Florida State	61.5	Under
2015	10/10	Florida State	29	Miami	24	Florida State -9	Miami	54.0	Under
2014	11/15	Miami	26	Florida State	30	Florida State -2.5	Florida State	0
2013	11/02	Florida State	41	Miami	14	Florida State -21	Florida State	0
2012	10/20	Miami	20	Florida State	33
2011	11/12	Florida State	23	Miami	19
2010	10/09	Miami	17	Florida State	45
2009	09/07	Florida State	34	Miami	38
2008	10/04	Miami	39	Florida State	41
2007	10/20	Florida State	29	Miami	37
2006	09/04	Miami	10	Florida State	13
2005	09/05	Florida State	10	Miami	7
2004	09/10	Miami	16	Florida State	10
2003	01/01	Florida State	14	Miami	16
2003	10/11	Florida State	14	Miami	22
2002	10/12	Miami	28	Florida State	27
2001	10/13	Florida State	27	Miami	49
2000	10/06	Miami	27	Florida State	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami	14	6	2 Overs
Florida State	13	7	9 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 15	3 - 10	2 - 6	1 - 4
Road Teams	15 - 12	10 - 3	4 - 1	6 - 2

(#) FSU at (#) MIAMI

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FSU	MIAMI
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#23	#76
Perf GradeGrade	#9	#56
OffenseOff	#12	#96
DefenseDef	#32	#16
Spec TeamsST	#9	#74
TalentTal	#18	#13
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida State Injury Report

Miami Injury Report

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	MIAMI Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#12	#16
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#34	#76
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	#12	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#115

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	#9	#11
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#72	#25
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Miami on Offense


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	FSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#96	#32
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#81	#34
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami Run Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	#33	#32
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#111	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#43

Miami Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#36
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 78° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Florida State 6.5 (54.0)
Florida State won at Miami this year (45-3)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Florida State last year (36-14)
Florida State beat Miami in 2023 (27-20)
Florida State beat Miami in 2022 (45-3)

FSU's OC Alex Atkins (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Adam Fuller (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIAMI's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Kevin Steele (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD