LSU vs Florida State Game Matchup

Sunday, September 3rd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
LSU -2 (56.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 45 - LSU: 24 (Camping World Kickoff)

Tigers (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Brian Kelly (12 - 5)
Avg Score : 31 - 24 (27 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Florida State -2 (SP+ FSU -5)
Projected Score: LSU: 25 - FSU: 27 (49)
LSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
LSU Travel: 410 miles, 1 hrs behind

Seminoles (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (21 - 16)
Avg Score : 15 - 28 (16 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 3.4 (#8)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LSU Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

LSU's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	LSU vs Florida State	-2.0	56.5	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/9	LSU vs Grambling	-56.5	61.5	W 72 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/16	LSU at Mississippi State	-9.5	54.0	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	LSU vs Arkansas	-17.5	55.0	W 34 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/30	LSU at Ole Miss	-3.0	67.0	L 49 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/7	LSU at Missouri	-6.0	63.5	W 49 - 39	O	Y
Sat 10/14	LSU vs Auburn	-11.0	60.0	W 48 - 18	O	Y
Sat 10/21	LSU vs Army	-33.0	60.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	LSU at Alabama	+3.0	61.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/11	LSU vs Florida	-14.0	68.5	W 52 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/18	LSU vs Georgia State	-32.5	73.5	W 56 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/25	LSU vs Texas A&M	-10.5	67.5	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Mon 1/1	LSU vs Wisconsin	-9.5	59.5	W 35 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule

Florida State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Florida State vs LSU	+2.0	56.5	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Florida State vs Southern Miss	-31.0	54.0	W 66 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida State at Boston College	-25.5	48.0	W 31 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/23	Florida State at Clemson	-2.0	55.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Florida State vs Virginia Tech	-23.5	52.5	W 39 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/14	Florida State vs Syracuse	-18.5	53.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Florida State vs Duke	-14.0	49.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Florida State at Wake Forest	-21.0	53.5	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Florida State at Pittsburgh	-21.5	50.0	W 24 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Florida State vs Miami	-14.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida State vs North Alabama	-35.5
Sat 11/25	Florida State at Florida	-6.0	51.0	W 24 - 15	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Florida State vs Louisville	-3.5	51.0	W 16 - 6	U	Y
Sat 12/30	Florida State vs Georgia	+23.5	47.0	L 3 - 63	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU	.33	51%	30.5	55%	3.63	184	48%	269	4.6	.16	41%	24.3	45%	37%	3.34	52.1	1.4	2
FSU	.36	49%	15.4	52%	3.33	214	46%	270	4.32	.15	41%	28	44%	38%	4.08	57.9	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Offense	14	30.5	27.3	51.3%	4.6	1.4	25	453	184	269	5	47%	53%	55%	48%	13%	.33
FSU Defense	13	28	22.7	41.4%	4.08	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	44%	38%	17%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LSU Defense	14	24.3	27	40.8%	3.34	2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	37%	15%	.16
FSU Offense	13	15.4	16.4	49%	4.32	1.1	24	484	214	270	5.5	51%	48%	52%	46%	15%	.36

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
LSU	14	31:01	24.6	49%	50%	6	52.1	1.4	2	4.8	1.9	2	27.8
Florida State	13	31:01	24.2	51%	35%	6.6	57.9	1.1	1.4	6	2.9	1	33.2

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Offense	14	47%	55%	37	183.8	5	39	.35	3.63	80%	9%	0.99
FSU Defense	13	56%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	73%	11%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.9	74%	10%	0.93
FSU Offense	13	51%	52%	39.2	214.1	5.5	33	.33	3.33	65%	10%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Offense	14	53%	48%	23	34.3	269.3	7.9	11.7	23	7	.32	1.4	27%	35%	.43	4%	2
FSU Defense	13	43%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.17	1.6	34%	28%	.3	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LSU Defense	14	51%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.7	32%	32%	.38	5%	2.2
FSU Offense	13	48%	46%	19.2	30.4	270.2	8.9	14.1	28	7	.41	1.7	29%	39%	.51	5%	2.2

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 17.07 #8
LSU's Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
LSU's Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
2023 Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
LSU's 2023 Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30
LSU's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU: 17.07 Florida State: 19.88

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 18.7 Florida State: 23.7

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 19.88 #10
Florida State's Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Florida State's Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
2023 Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39 #19
Florida State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40
Florida State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

LSU Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

LSU's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 27
LSU 25

Projected Total Points: 49

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.4
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Florida State's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/03	Florida State	45	LSU	24	Florida State	LSU -2	Florida State	56.5	Over
2022	09/04	Florida State	24	LSU	23	Florida State	LSU -4.5	Florida State	51.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	2	2	1 Overs
LSU	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0

(#8) LSU Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 17.07 #8
Offense Rating: 35.07 #1
Defense Rating: 15.64 #122
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.7 #10
Offense SP+ Rating: 44.1 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #55
Talent Rating: 1142.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 70% #7
Expected Record: 9.70 - 3.30

Team Profile

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LSU Ratings Matchup Florida State

Power #8

#10

Off #1

#37

Def #122

Talent #6

#24

SP+ #10

SP+ Off #2

#16

SP+ Def #55

Rematch from Week 1
LSU 2.0 (56.5)
Florida State won vs LSU this year (45-24)

Previous Matchups
Florida State beat LSU in 2023 (45-24)
Florida State beat LSU in 2022 (24-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 82° - Wind: 8 mph

Team Information
Injuries: LSU | FSU
Depth Chart: LSU | FSU
Rosters: LSU | FSU

(#10) Florida State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 19.88 #10
Offense Rating: 19.82 #37
Defense Rating: -0.10 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #16
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #7
Talent Rating: 828.00 #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 39 #19
Expected Record: 10.60 - 3.40

Team Profile

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LSU's OC Mike Denbrock

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Josh Williams	117	482	6	4.1	23
Armoni Goodwin	14	88	0	6.3	26
Emery Jones	0	17	0	0.0	17
Logan Diggs (Tr)	1	15	0	15.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyren Lacy	58	866	9	14.9	35
Mason Taylor	55	546	2	9.9	33
Josh Williams	31	263	0	8.5	23
Jalen Brown	8	75	0	9.4	21

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Matt House

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)	57	13	9	8	3
Major Burns	49	5	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bradyn Swinson (Tr)	57	13	9	8	3
Savion Jones	40	7	4	8	2
Paris Shand (Tr)	25	6	3	1	1
Greg Penn III	83	5	2	8	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Laterrance Welch	19	0	0	1	7
Darian Chestnut	60	4	1	1	5
Zy Alexander (Tr)	33	3	1	0	4

Florida State's OC Alex Atkins

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tate Rodemaker	98	165	59%	985	7	7	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
CJ Campbell	165	860	11	5.2	58
Lawrance Toafili	109	456	3	4.2	28
Rodney Hill	28	184	2	6.6	70
Winston Wright	13	91	0	7.0	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Winston Wright	54	556	8	10.3	65
Ja'Khi Douglas	32	519	4	16.2	71
CJ Campbell	40	466	3	11.7	78
Lawrance Toafili	25	215	0	8.6	32

View Florida State's Full Roster

Florida State's DC Adam Fuller

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Azareye'h Thomas	51	2	0	2	4
Dennis Briggs Jr.	42	5	4	5	0
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4
Greedy Vance	29	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joshua Farmer	28	8	4	6	0
Dennis Briggs Jr.	42	5	4	5	0
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4
Malcolm Ray	25	3	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Fentrell Cypress II	24	1	0	1	5
Azareye'h Thomas	51	2	0	2	4
Kevin Knowles II	31	1	1	1	4