Florida State at Boston College - 2026 Matchup Preview

Florida State Seminoles at Boston College Eagles

Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Alumni Stadium - Chestnut Hill, MA

Seminoles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (38 - 34)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (19 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#84)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -10 (SP+ FSU -15.5)
Projected Score: FSU: 33 - BC: 23 (55)
FSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
FSU Travel: 1097 miles

Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#124)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FSU Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/29	Florida State vs New Mexico State	-26
Mon 9/7	Florida State vs SMU	+1.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Florida State at Alabama	+12.5
Sat 9/26	Florida State vs Central Arkansas	-31
Sat 10/3	Florida State vs Virginia	-2
Fri 10/9	Florida State at Louisville	+5.5
Sat 10/17	Florida State at Miami	+18
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31	Florida State vs Clemson	-1.5
Sat 11/7	Florida State at Boston College	-10
Fri 11/13	Florida State at Pittsburgh	+3
Sat 11/21	Florida State vs NC State	-3
Fri 11/27	Florida State vs Florida	-1

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule

Boston College's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Boston College at Cincinnati	+10.5
Fri 9/11	Boston College vs Rutgers	+1
Sat 9/19	Boston College vs Maine	-19
Sat 9/26	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+0
Sat 10/3	Boston College at SMU	+18.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17	Boston College vs Pittsburgh	+10
Sat 10/24	Boston College at Georgia Tech	+14
Sat 10/31	Boston College at Duke	+11.5
Sat 11/7	Boston College vs Florida State	+10
Sat 11/14	Boston College at Notre Dame	+34
Sat 11/21	Boston College vs Syracuse	-5.5
Sat 11/28	Boston College at Miami	+30.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU	#22 (.27)	46% (32)	33	50% (10)	3.4 (7)	219	41% (81)	253	3.95 (46)	#68 (.16)	42% (76)	22	42% (66)	43% (79)	4.12 (110)	45.3	1.6	1.2
BC	#79 (.16)	42% (66)	25.4	42% (92)	2.75 (106)	104	44% (50)	280	3.39 (99)	#115 (.23)	43% (82)	32.8	44% (86)	42% (72)	3.82 (83)	49.7	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Offense	12	33	18.6	45.9%	3.95	1.6	24	472	219	253	5.2	55%	44%	50%	41%	15%	.27
BC Defense	12	32.8	31.9	42.6%	3.82	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	47%	44%	42%	12%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FSU Defense	12	22	30.2	42.1%	4.12	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	42%	43%	16%	.16
BC Offense	12	25.4	25.7	42.4%	3.39	1.8	21	384	104	280	3.3	40%	58%	42%	44%	17%	.16

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida State	12	28:45	24.1	51%	57%	5.4	45.3	1.6	1.2	6.1	2.6	0	29
Boston College	12	29:16	20.8	39%	52%	5.9	49.7	1.8	1	3.8	1.3	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Offense	12	55% (32)	50% (10)	42.1	218.8	5.2	31 (4)	.25 (12)	3.4 (7)	75% (47)	9% (59)	1.03 (45)
BC Defense	12	50% (70)	44% (86)	-	-	-	-	.12 (83)	2.79 (51)	70% (61)	7% (127)	1.04 (106)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FSU Defense	12	55% (123)	42% (66)	-	-	-	-	.11 (74)	3.12 (106)	76% (105)	11% (28)	0.86 (19)
BC Offense	12	40% (128)	42% (92)	31.3	104	3.3	16 (88)	.05 (104)	2.75 (106)	80% (14)	10% (84)	0.89 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Offense	12	44% (104)	41% (81)	16.7	28.3	253.4	9	15.2	20 (33)	9 (60)	.32 (46)	1.9 (5)	31% (67)	38% (10)	.5 (11)	6% (48)	2.1 (30)
BC Defense	12	47% (57)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.39 (121)	1.7 (127)	29% (117)	33% (106)	.36 (99)	5% (102)	2 (75)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FSU Defense	12	44% (16)	43% (79)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (12)	.25 (69)	1.5 (58)	30% (104)	30% (75)	.34 (92)	5% (122)	2 (68)
BC Offense	12	58% (9)	44% (50)	23.9	37.8	280.2	7.4	11.7	20 (42)	12 (60)	.25 (66)	1.4 (125)	31% (63)	31% (54)	.32 (63)	7% (99)	1.9 (91)

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 8.15 #31
Florida State's Offense Rating: 15.90 #30
Florida State's Defense Rating: 12.75 #37
2026 Talent Rating: 838.00 #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #17
Florida State's 2026 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Florida State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #41
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #54
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #38

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 8.15 Boston College: -2.075

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 7.2 Boston College: -8.5

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -2.075 #62
Boston College's Offense Rating: 9.76 #72
Boston College's Defense Rating: 15.41 #58
2026 Talent Rating: 818.00 #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Boston College's 2026 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Boston College's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #97
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #107

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 854.47
Average Power Five Talent: 883.28
Average FBS Talent: 705.75

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 33
Boston College 23

Projected Total Points: 55

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.9

Boston College's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/02	Florida State	13	Boston College	28	Florida State -16.5	Boston College	50.0	Under
2023	09/16	Boston College	29	Florida State	31	Florida State -25.5	Boston College	48.0	Over
2022	09/24	Florida State	44	Boston College	14	Florida State -18.5	Florida State	48.5	Over
2021	11/20	Boston College	23	Florida State	26	Boston College -3	Florida State	55.5	Under
2019	11/09	Boston College	31	Florida State	38	Boston College -1	Florida State	64.5	Over
2018	11/17	Florida State	22	Boston College	21	Boston College -2.5	Florida State	47.5	Under
2017	10/27	Boston College	35	Florida State	3	Florida State -6	Boston College	46.5	Under
2016	11/11	Florida State	45	Boston College	7	Florida State -23	Florida State	47.0	Over
2015	09/18	Boston College	0	Florida State	14	Florida State -10.5	Florida State	47.5	Under
2014	11/22	Florida State	20	Boston College	17	Florida State -20.5	Boston College	0
2013	09/28	Boston College	34	Florida State	48	Florida State -23	Boston College	0
2012	10/13	Florida State	51	Boston College	7
2011	11/03	Boston College	7	Florida State	38
2010	10/16	Florida State	24	Boston College	19
2009	10/03	Boston College	28	Florida State	21
2008	11/15	Florida State	17	Boston College	27
2007	11/03	Boston College	17	Florida State	27
2006	10/21	Florida State	19	Boston College	24
2005	09/17	Boston College	17	Florida State	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	5	5	4 Overs
Florida State	14	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 11	6 - 5	2 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 8	5 - 6	1 - 4	4 - 2

(#31) FSU at (#62) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FSU	BC
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#31	#62
SP+SP+	#41	#97
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#38	#49
Blue ChipsBC%	#17	#101

Florida State Injury Report

Boston College Injury Report

Florida State on Offense

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	FSU Off	BC Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#32	#82
ExplosiveExp	#20	#127
PPAPPA	#22	#115
PowerPwr	#30	#58
SP+SP+	#54	#107
Pts POPPO	#46	#83
HavocHav	#54	#126

Florida State Run Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	FSU Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#10	#86
Run ExplRExp	#45	#106
PPAExp	#12	#83
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#7	#51
Stuff RateStuff	#5	#43
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat	FSU Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#81	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#5	#127
PPAExp	#46	#121
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#59	#127
DB HavocDB	#48	#102

Boston College on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	FSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#66	#76
ExplosiveExp	#93	#14
PPAPPA	#79	#68
PowerPwr	#72	#37
SP+SP+	#97	#38
Pts POPPO	#99	#110
HavocHav	#92	#72

Boston College Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#92	#66
Run ExplRExp	#106	#19
PPAExp	#104	#74
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#106	#106
Stuff RateStuff	#55	#120
TackleTak	-	NR

Boston College Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#79
Pass ExplPExl	#125	#58
PPAExp	#66	#69
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#84	#28
DB HavocDB	#99	#122

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Florida State in 2024 (28-13)
Florida State beat Boston College in 2023 (31-29)

FSU's OC Gus Malzahn (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ashton Daniels (Tr)	68	119	57%	797	3	2	6.7
Kevin Sperry	12	17	71%	194	2	0	11.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre Wisner	131	597	3	4.6	48
Gemari Sands (Tr)	105	465	0	4.4	37
Ousmane Kromah	72	408	0	5.7	23
Samuel Singleton	51	360	4	7.1	53

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Duce Robinson	56	1074	6	19.2	82
Micahi Danzy	27	571	3	21.1	66
Desirrio Riles (Tr)	28	362	2	12.9	42
Gemari Sands (Tr)	40	217	0	5.4	18

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Tony White (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Jones (Tr)	132	10	4	0	2
Blake Nichelson	43	7	1	1	1
Jeremiah Wilson	42	1	0	0	2
Ma'Khi Jones (Tr)	34	2	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mandrell Desir	30	8	7	1	1
Chris Jones (Tr)	132	10	4	0	2
Daniel Lyons	26	4	2	4	0
Rylan Kennedy (Tr)	14	4	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)	31	3	0	13
Chris Jones (Tr)	132	10	4	2
Jeremiah Wilson	42	1	0	2

BC's OC Vacant (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)	228	1325	16	5.8	95
Jordan Mcdonald	94	397	4	4.2	17
Nolan Ray (Tr)	67	289	2	4.3	53
Bo MacCormack III	15	43	1	2.9	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaelan Chudzinski	24	313	4	13.0	45
Dawson Pough	13	197	1	15.2	52
Javarius Green (Tr)	13	150	0	11.5	39
Jaedn Skeete	13	140	3	10.8	22

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Ted Roof (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	93	3	0	3	0
Anthony Palano (Tr)	65	1	1	4	2
Carter Davis	59	2	1	0	2
Isaiah Farris	28	0	0	0	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Demetrius Ballard (Tr)	13	3	2	0	0
Carter Davis	59	2	1	0	2
Kemori Dixon	4	1	1	0	0
Justin Medlock (Tr)	25	1	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	PD
Isaiah Farris	28	6
Syair Torrence	5	3
Ashton Cunningham	13	3