Florida State at Boston College - 2026 Matchup Preview
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Florida State Seminoles at Boston College Eagles

Boston College logo
Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Alumni Stadium - Chestnut Hill, MA  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Norvell (38 - 34)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (19 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.4 - 5.6 (#54)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 7) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
BC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Florida State -8.5  (SP+ FSU -15.5)
Projected Score: FSU: 32 - BC: 23 (55)
FSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
FSU Travel: 1097 miles
Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (9 - 16)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#83)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Florida State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29 Florida State vs New Mexico State-26
Mon 9/7 Florida State vs SMU+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Florida State at Alabama+13.5
Sat 9/26 Florida State vs Central Arkansas-31.5
Sat 10/3 Florida State vs Virginia+0.5
Fri 10/9 Florida State at Louisville+7
Sat 10/17 Florida State at Miami+19
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Florida State vs Clemson+0.5
Sat 11/7 Florida State at Boston College-8.5
Fri 11/13 Florida State at Pittsburgh+4
Sat 11/21 Florida State vs NC State-2
Fri 11/27 Florida State vs Florida-1

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Boston College's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Boston College at Cincinnati+8
Fri 9/11 Boston College vs Rutgers+2
Sat 9/19 Boston College vs Maine-20.5
Sat 9/26 Boston College vs Virginia Tech+0
Sat 10/3 Boston College at SMU+19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Boston College vs Pittsburgh+10
Sat 10/24 Boston College at Georgia Tech+14.5
Sat 10/31 Boston College at Duke+12.5
Sat 11/7 Boston College vs Florida State+8.5
Sat 11/14 Boston College at Notre Dame+32
Sat 11/21 Boston College vs Syracuse-4.5
Sat 11/28 Boston College at Miami+30

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#22 (.27)46% (32)3350% (10)3.4 (7)21941% (81)2533.95 (46)#68 (.16)42% (76)2242% (66)43% (79)4.12 (110)45.31.61.2
BC#79 (.16)42% (66)25.442% (92)2.75 (106)10444% (50)2803.39 (99)#115 (.23)43% (82)32.844% (86)42% (72)3.82 (83)49.71.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense123318.645.9%3.951.6244722192535.255%44%50%41%15%.27
BC Defense1232.831.942.6%3.821 - - - - - 50%47%44%42%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense122230.242.1%4.121.2 - - - - - 55%44%42%43%16%.16
BC Offense1225.425.742.4%3.391.8213841042803.340%58%42%44%17%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1228:4524.151%57%5.445.31.61.26.12.6029
Boston College1229:1620.839%52%5.949.71.813.81.3127.6
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1255% (32)50% (10)42.1218.85.231 (4).25 (12)3.4 (7)75% (47)9% (59)1.03 (45)
BC Defense1250% (70)44% (86) - - - - .12 (83)2.79 (51)70% (61)7% (127)1.04 (106)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1255% (123)42% (66) - - - - .11 (74)3.12 (106)76% (105)11% (28)0.86 (19)
BC Offense1240% (128)42% (92)31.31043.316 (88).05 (104)2.75 (106)80% (14)10% (84)0.89 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1244% (104)41% (81)16.728.3253.4915.220 (33)9 (60).32 (46)1.9 (5)31% (67)38% (10).5 (11)6% (48)2.1 (30)
BC Defense1247% (57)42% (72) - - - - - - 6 (75).39 (121)1.7 (127)29% (117)33% (106).36 (99)5% (102)2 (75)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1244% (16)43% (79) - - - - - - 12 (12).25 (69)1.5 (58)30% (104)30% (75).34 (92)5% (122)2 (68)
BC Offense1258% (9)44% (50)23.937.8280.27.411.720 (42)12 (60).25 (66)1.4 (125)31% (63)31% (54).32 (63)7% (99)1.9 (91)

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 9.08  #42
Florida State's Offense Rating: 15.77  #45
Florida State's Defense Rating: 11.69  #39
2026 Talent Rating: 950.00  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 36%  #17
Florida State's 2026 Expected Record: 6.4 - 5.6
Florida State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2  #41
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #54
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #38

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 9.08   Boston College: -0.41

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 7.2   Boston College: -8.5




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -0.41  #67
Boston College's Offense Rating: 12.14  #76
Boston College's Defense Rating: 14.46  #60
2026 Talent Rating: 862.00  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #103
Boston College's 2026 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Boston College's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5  #97
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #97
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #107

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 905.41
Average Power Five Talent: 910.69
Average FBS Talent: 728.9


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 32
Boston College 23

Projected Total Points: 55
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.9

Boston College's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/02Florida State13Boston College28Florida State -16.5Boston College50.0Under
202309/16Boston College29Florida State31Florida State -25.5Boston College48.0Over
202209/24Florida State44Boston College14Florida State -18.5Florida State48.5Over
202111/20Boston College23Florida State26Boston College -3Florida State55.5Under
201911/09Boston College31Florida State38Boston College -1Florida State64.5Over
201811/17Florida State22Boston College21Boston College -2.5Florida State47.5Under
201710/27Boston College35Florida State3Florida State -6Boston College46.5Under
201611/11Florida State45Boston College7Florida State -23Florida State47.0Over
201509/18Boston College0Florida State14Florida State -10.5Florida State47.5Under
201411/22Florida State20Boston College17Florida State -20.5Boston College0
201309/28Boston College34Florida State48Florida State -23Boston College0
201210/13Florida State51Boston College7
201111/03Boston College7Florida State38
201010/16Florida State24Boston College19
200910/03Boston College28Florida State21
200811/15Florida State17Boston College27
200711/03Boston College17Florida State27
200610/21Florida State19Boston College24
200509/17Boston College17Florida State28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College554 Overs
Florida State1465 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 116 - 52 - 44 - 1
Road Teams11 - 85 - 61 - 44 - 2

(#42) FSU at (#67) BC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFSUBC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #42 #67
SP+SP+ #41 #97
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #24 #45
Blue ChipsBC% #17 #103
Florida State Notes
(2/14) Vibes: Lowest in 40+ years, Norvell era failing
(2/16) OL none back. 5 portals that started 12 games LY
(2/2) OC Gus Malzahn retiring, Tim Harris now OC (WR)
(2/2) Word is Norvell will call plays in '26
(2/1) QB: A Daniels (Aub) starter? DeNobile (FCS)?
(2/1) RB has options. Wisner (Tx) added, Kromah back
(2/1) WR Robinson & Danzy great duo. Depth v young
(2/1) DL has some good parts + 2 exp'd portal adds
(2/1) LBs have one starter back and lots of questions
(2/1) DBs rebuild. 5 portal adds. Talent here but ?
Florida State Injury Report
Boston College Notes
(2/15) Vibes: Low, O'Brien/NIL - this isn't working
(2/7) QB1? Only FCS Mason McKenzie has exp (2k, 14 TD)
(2/6) DC Ted Roof? Really? OC left for NFL in Jan
(2/6) RB Dickens (Lib) good add, have depth options
(2/6) WR has a lot of guys, none > 13 FBS rec.
(2/6) OL 7 portal adds, lots of G5/FCS risers. Have exp
(2/6) DL has some parts, lots of options. Nothing special
(2/6) LB couple of good portals, could be good unit
(2/6) CB has some good options, S has exp but avg
(2/6) Playing ND, Rutgers & Cincy OOC is suicide
Boston College Injury Report
Florida State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
FSU OffBC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #32 #82
ExplosiveExp #20 #127
PPAPPA #22 #115
PowerPwr #45 #60
SP+SP+ #54 #107
Pts POPPO #46 #83
HavocHav #54 #126
Florida State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
FSU OffBC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #10 #86
Run ExplRExp #45 #106
PPAExp #12 #83
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #7 #51
Stuff RateStuff #5 #43
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 44%
CategoryCat
FSU OffBC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #81 #72
Pass ExplPExl #5 #127
PPAExp #46 #121
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #59 #127
DB HavocDB #48 #102
Boston College on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatBC OffFSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #66 #76
ExplosiveExp #93 #14
PPAPPA #79 #68
PowerPwr #76 #39
SP+SP+ #97 #38
Pts POPPO #99 #110
HavocHav #92 #72
Boston College Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BC OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #92 #66
Run ExplRExp #106 #19
PPAExp #104 #74
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #106 #106
Stuff RateStuff #55 #120
TackleTak - NR
Boston College Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatBC OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #50 #79
Pass ExplPExl #125 #58
PPAExp #66 #69
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #84 #28
DB HavocDB #99 #122
Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Florida State in 2024 (28-13)
Florida State beat Boston College in 2023 (31-29)

  
FSU's OC Tim Harris (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dean DeNobile (Tr)22334764%25281977.3
Ashton Daniels (Tr)6811957%797326.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Wisner13159734.648
Gemari Sands (Tr)10546504.437
Ousmane Kromah7240805.723
Samuel Singleton5136047.153
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Duce Robinson561074619.282
Micahi Danzy27571321.166
Desirrio Riles (Tr)28362212.942
Gemari Sands (Tr)4021705.418

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC Tony White (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Jones (Tr)13210402
Ashlynd Barker485412
Blake Nichelson437111
Ja'Bril Rawls402002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mandrell Desir308711
Chris Jones (Tr)13210402
Ashlynd Barker485412
Rylan Kennedy (Tr)144211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nehemiah Chandler (Tr)3130013
Chris Jones (Tr)13210402
Ja'Bril Rawls402002

BC's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mason McKenzie (Tr)14726755%205414N/AN/A
Bryce LaFollette (Tr)22100%15007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Dickens (Tr)2281325165.895
Mason McKenzie (Tr)11766265.7N/A
Nolan Ray (Tr)6728924.353
Bo MacCormack III154312.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Reed Swanson (Tr)57939816.567
Kaelan Chudzinski24313413.045
Dawson Pough13197115.252
Javarius Green (Tr)13150011.539

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Ted Roof (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price933030
Anthony Palano (Tr)651142
Carter Davis592102
Isaiah Farris280006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Demetrius Ballard (Tr)133200
Carter Davis592102
Justin Medlock (Tr)251111
TJ Green251102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Farris280006
Ashton Cunningham130003
Syair Torrence50003